Transcripts
1. Introduction to the course: Investors. Welcome to this new training
Value Investing with ll.ai. My name is Kenny Carrera. I have been for the last
27 years a value investor. I was able to actively retire at the age of 49 thanks
to Value Investing. I'm also, in the meantime
independent board director, and I've been managing a couple of tech companies as well. The objective of this
training, first of all, it's not a investing
training is also not to be considered
as financial advice. I'm just generally
sharing how to use ll.ai as a tool that
we have created, first of all, for ourselves and that I created with the team for myself to enhance
the productivity of my investment process. Cost structure, we'll start
with an introduction to AI and financial statements just to set the
scene a little bit. We will then be using
a navigating Vinla AI. We'll explain to you where
to find various information, how to perform analysis. There's going to be a couple
of practice examples. The first example will be
running a fundamental analysis, intrinsic evaluation
and mode with Vinla AI, and then also more advanced, let's say practice example, how to run a
forensic accounting. Analysis using a
couple of metrics that probably you have never heard about like
the BeniJamscore, the Sloan ratio,
and Banfoldslaw. And, of course, I will
be then concluding with a bonus lecture. Going to have, as always,
on the Skillshare platform, the possibility to submit
the course includes two potential assignments that you can submit
that I can review. The first one is
analyzing Hyottls which is probably a brand
that you know from a forensic
accounting perspective. There are some
interesting things to be analyzed with yottls from a forensic accounting
perspective. And then the second one
assignment that you can do is take a
company that you like. I had this morning a student who did Rolls Royce and
sent me his assignment, and then you can actually
look at the company and perform a fundamental analysis
and intrinsic evaluation. That's thank you and
enjoy the course.
2. Introduction to AI in Financial environment: The investors, welcome
back to a new training. This time, it's training
related to value investing, but more specifically, how
to leverage vilent AI, which is, in fact, the application that we have
created as value investors, first of all, for ourselves, but also for other value
investors across the world. So it's an update of
the formal training that was speaking
about Winch GPT. So the objective, as I said, of this training is really to introduce you to villain.ai, which is this AI powered
platform for value investors. And so just one note of caution. This is not a detailed
training on value investing. So, of course, I will speak
about value investing. I will show you how to execute
a full investment process. I mean, at least as I am
doing it in villain.ai. But if you really
want to go into the details of value investing, I really recommend you to take the training the out
of value investing. This is really just a less
than 2 hours training just to introduce you to
ville.ai and support you in using and leveraging so ville.ai as a powerful
value investing tool. And always, of course, things that I'm speaking about her may change and evolve as we, of course, continuously
developing the roadmap of vile.ai. So in terms of first chapter, I want to introduce
you to villin.ai where I'm coming from with
my co founder Adriana about this and then
also how to prompt large language models and also how to navigate in Villain. Because what I
already said is that Vinlat AI compared to Ving GPT, I mean, we have had
hundreds and hundreds of students who just took the
specific training on Vin GPT. Vin GPT was a custom
GPT build on Open AI. Vinla actually has
a user interface, which allows you to
have portfolios, watchlist, throw prompts. I'm going to be showing
this to you show prompts, preprogram prompts to the AI, but it has also
the AI companion. So we are trying to have
best of both worlds. So introducing you to vinla.ai. Before doing that, I think it's important that you understand
what is my journey. So I've been starting to act as a value investor
27 years ago, right? That doesn't make me much
younger when I say this. And with the luck, I feel very lucky that in 2022, I could just stop working
from my daily job. And at that time,
actually, still today, I only live and our family
budget is purely covered by the dividends that come through our value
investing portfolio. Journey started in 1999. And if I can summarize
really the people who have inspired and influenced me, these are the five people. The first one is Ben Graham, who has been the tutor
of Warren Buffett. So, Ben Graham, I learned through his book,
Intelligent Investor, how to at least from a relative
variation perspective, how to find cheap companies. What Warren Buffett and Charlie
Monga have added to this. And as I said, Warren Buffett has been a student
of Ben Graham, I think it was at
Columbia University, if I'm not mistaken. So Warren Buffet and
Charlie Monga have taught me through the annual Cholo
meetings, through the books, et cetera, podcast,
how to perform an intrinsic evaluation
and also how to look at strategic
modes of companies. So the mode is really
the competitive advantage that
their company has. Peter Lynch was, for me, very interesting because he also taught me how to look at
undervalued companies, specifically when
markets are emotional. And Aswa de Moderan, I consider him as a
leading valuation expert. So he's from New York University Stern
School of Business. And I've been through
his couple of books really going into the
mathematics of valuation, and that helped me a lot
to really figure out what are the right
methods, right vocabulary. So I'm very happy that Aswa de Monderan has been a
inspiration for me on this. Challenges that I face
during my 27 year journey, there have been many, in fact. The first one because
I started before 1999, investing into stock markets, but I didn't know how to invest. So it's really in 1999 when I started to invest as
a value investor. So at that time, I realized that I didn't know
how to value company. So when the market is
giving you a share price, is that a fair price, or
is it not a fair price? Is the market overreacting and really the market
is hot, as we say, so the price is
totally exaggerated, or is the market
really emotional and you can buy the
company at a bargain? That's the type of thing
where I was struggling to have clear and easy answers when I started as
a value investor. Also how to calculate
intrinsic value. A lot of people when they hear
the term intrinsic value, they always come
up with a method of discounted cash flow. So I mean, a lot of people
use Excel files for this, and in Excel files, you
know that you can be wrong. You will have to go into
financial reports to extract values and feed them as variables
into the Excel file. And that was always
taking me like a two hour process
for one company. But if you have 15
companies in your portfolio and doing this on
a quarterly basis, that's just, I mean,
a lot of time. So, in my opinion, there should be a method
to make this much more productive and much
more efficient. Which cause of capital or
which discount rate to use, I saw analysts repos. Well not disclose which
companies, investment companies. I saw those repos, but
also websites like Morningstar give you buy
sell recommendation, but it's a black box
assumption model. You have no clue how do
they value the company? What are the underlying
assumptions, which for me creates a lack of transparency and
explainability. And then also, I mean, I'm a business person as well. I like to invest
into companies where I understand the business
of the companies, and amongst the metrics that I look also at companies
is amongst others, is it a strong brand? What are customers and employees
say about the company. And those were things
where I had probably at that time before we started
the whole Ville project, probably six, seven, eight
websites I had to go to. So we tried to
consolidate in Ville dot on the one single website. And then last but not
least, when I say this, a lot of people tend to smile, but I do like to read
financial repots. But sometimes they are
long and too complex. So we try also to support
through an AI companion, let's say, the analysis
of financial repots. And it's just the
beginning what we currently have in ville.ai. We will be developing
much more things here. As I said, from VingPT to
villa.ai, we started actually, we started the project
with my co founder Adrian in November 2023. We launched Vin GPT,
the first version in May 2024 as a custom GPT
on the N open AI Store. But what we were lacking
is a couple of things. First of all, there was
no contextual memory. So users, I mean, if you would have a portfolio, I do have a portfolio with
Rough cut 15 companies. I don't want each
time to have to explain to the GPT
what is my portfolio. Second thing, it
was only prompting, and I believe that I agree that those
large language models like Anthropic and CHA
GPT are very useful. Absolutely. I'm
using them as well. But at the same time,
it's just prompting, and I believe that
there are things, specifically in an investment process that can be much more efficient by having also a user interface that is
complemented by an AI agent. Also, the quality of results was partially relying on
the quality of the prompts. I mean, we observed
this from our users in the first version in Ving
GPT before Vinladt AI. Because we saw that.
I mean, that's okay. I mean, I have a tendency
to because I also did prompt engineering
courses to try to be specific when
I write prompts. But a lot of people
don't know exactly how to write prompts, at least today in 2026. So this was the reason
why we said, Well, maybe we can create in ville.ai, we can actually send
prompts to the AI agent, but the prompts are
already pre written by us. I'm going to show you how
this works in ville.ai. And also what we
observed in Chan GPT, or specifically in Ving GPT, that with the underlying
AI sub processing engine, so after the model is 51, five dot two, we had what
is called prompt drifting. We not going now into
AI conversations, but we were seeing
that the prompts were just so the same prompt, depending on the model
that the user was choosing wasn't providing
reliable results. So that was also
one of the reasons why we started, actually. So we are now recording
this mid March 2026. And so we started actually in the summer of 2025 to
build this so vile.ai, what we'll be launching
now in a couple of hours. So basically, vine.ai is
Ving GPT on steroids. So it's an enhanced
AI companion. I will show you the differences. We have preprogrammed
it with also prompts. You have AI helpers
as well that you can throw at the AI companion. And we tried really to build
a visual interface that is also nice and that can help investors in their
investment journey. So we're not going
into the details. I mean, you will have I mean, you can download these slides as well on the various platforms. So there is nothing secret here. But, I mean, of course, we
do use curated data brokers, so we do not rely on HGPT on
Tropic for the data points. So we have, first of all, data points that we curate
from our own data brokers, amongst others, AMP in
Canada, New York University, Interbrand, comparably,
there is an SEC API. We are connected directly and reduce it to the US
Federal Reserve, as well. Have now in lat AI already first version where
we are connected with coin market cap for
crypto assets as well, because crypto assets will
come very, very soon. In Ville one dot two, you're going to even
be able to have crypto assets in your portfolio. So we are working on this. We intend also to add compliance elements
like ESG, sanctions, international reports, also European and Asian
macro indicators, not just US fed
macro indicators. Lot of things that
are happening there in terms of curated knowledge. So in the meantime, we are at 180 pages of our own
knowledge that we have written every single
word that includes also rough cut 20 pages
of crypto knowledge. We have added specific books. So, yes, you have access to the Intelligent
Investor book of 1929. There are some interesting
research papers as well, public research papers. You have the IFRS,
US GAAP references. So we are feeding with curated
knowledge also VinlatAI. So there are a lot of things
actually that are much, much better than what we had in the previous version,
which was Ving GBT. You have a lot of functions. We were limited in Ving GPT. We only had 30 functions. Now we have 107
different functions, including forensic
accounting analysis. That does not exist in Ving GPT. It's existing now in vile dot a. We'll show you how
this looks like in a typical investment process. You have portfolio watch list, screen nos, you have even
a personal calendar. I use this in Vinla now because I have my own
portfolio of 15 companies. I want to know when is the
next earnings of my company? When is the next
dividend coming up. So this is something
I have also in my personal calendar in vine.ai. And assets. So our
scope has not changed. So we are now at 60 global stock markets
that are covered. Rough cut, 38,000
stocks, 10,000 ETFs, and we have the first crypto
assets that can be analyzed, but there for the time being not visible yet in the portfolio. So when you search for them,
you will not find them, but you can ask the AI companion
to perform, for example, analysis of Bitcoin or Ripple
or Etherium, for example. So one thing that I would like always to remind
people when we speak about vin.ai is that vile.ai is a
specialized AI model. So it has been trained by us. So there is curated data points. There is curated knowledge,
curated processes. And, of course, it's a
curated interface, right? So this is really something
different than, for example, when you use a general AI model like ChenGPT or Enthropic. So I mean, this is
very broad knowledge. They have general data. I
have seen for some of them, and it's not a criticism
that I'm expressing here. Of them, they just search
websites and then they just provide the
results of the website. So this creates, for example, when you try to calculate the intrinsic valuation
of a company, this creates risks because
as I always say when I do public conferences about Vt
AI or even in GBT before, if the AI is telling me that the intrinsic value
of Coca Cola is between $10 and $180,
that doesn't help me. I mean, that is
worthless for me. What I need to know
is more or less, what is the interval, I'm just saying now maybe
$65-69 for Coca Cola. That is helpful. So
that's why also, and I believe and there are many also academic studies
about this that the world, and I hope that users will understand that
it's better to have a specialized AI than a
general or generalist AI. One of the things that I
want to address, as well, is how to prompt large
language models. So I won't go too much
into the details. I'm going to show
you the evolution of what we did in villa.ai, but I want to show
you, nonetheless, or at least create a little
bit of awareness around how to prompt in an adequate way an AI model, including villa.ai. I mean, what I've learned doing prompt engineering
courses as well is that effective prompts, they typically carry
two characteristics. The first one is to be correctly formulated and being specific. So as explicit as
possible and as implicit. I mean, avoid having implicit
prompts and also give them all the time to think
specifically when it is a complex prom that will
require a lot of processing. You have to tell
explicitly to the prompt. Take your time. Do not rush to provide the
results, for example. So examples of general
knowledge questions could be, what are the main
accounting principles? What is why is return on invested capital a good measure of profitability or performance? What is the formula
for DDM, for example. So there are general
knowledge questions that can be phrased. And I'm going to give
a couple of examples. I'm going to give you
an average prompt. So for example,
here, I was using Vinla so I was using the
AI compared to Vine. I'm not showing yet the
whole interface here. I was asking the model, can you provide me list of
the top ten stocks by market cap on the
New York Stock Exchange that have a PE ratio
below 15? Okay. You would say that's already pretty okayih type of prompt. And I'm going to tell you,
yes, but it's just average. Why? Because there are a couple of things
that are implicit. So what is implicit
is that I'm not mentioning that the time element around this, because here, the model may understand that
I'm asking for the latest, the most recent
top ten stocks by Market Cap with a PE below 15 on the New York
Stock Exchange, but it could be also that the model would come up
with the results of 2024, for example, because I'm not
explicitly mentioning this, there is a risk, okay? So a better prompt would
actually be that you add so that you add
the same prompt, you just add using
the latest data. Or you write in March
2026, for example, that will allow the
model to be much more explicit what
type of data you are actually looking
at and will avoid what is called an
hallucination of AI or at least a result
where you are not happy with the results that the AI companion has provided you. So one of the things
that we have added to vile.ai is, I'm
putting it this way. I'm saying this
very respectfully, and I'm saying this
for me because I mean, writing prompts is nice, but sometimes I'm lazy. I just want to have the
results of something. So what you will see
in the user interface, and this is spread across the whole user
interface of vila.ai, you're going to be actually
having prompts that you can throw at the AI engine without
having to write them. Here's an example.
So here I want to search for undervalued
companies on I've selected the New
York Stock Exchange. And actually, I have not written the prompt that you
see on the right hand side. I just clicked on Search, one
of the search arrows here. And with the variables that I wanted to have
using the sliders, so you see that
I'm using the UI, it throws a prompt
at the AI engine and the AI engine comes back
with results, for example. You're going to
see this. This is happening in the screeners page. We'll explain later on what
are those pages very briefly. So the screen page is to find undervalued companies
using three methods, the Graham ratio method, the enterprise value to EBIT
on the variation method, and the market cap to CAF
on the valuation method. This is the current methods
that we currently use. You're going to see the same in the intrinsic evaluation
screen where you can actually send a
preprogram prompt to Vine to assess the intrinsic evaluation of a company if you would be
Warren Buffett, for example. So we have Peter
Lynch or Joel Green, but those are the
current methods that we currently are using. So when you are discussing
with an AR agent, so as said, it's important that you write explicit prompts so that
prompts are precise. And, of course, and this is something that is
called disambiguation. So avoiding ambiguity when you are asking about a company. So for example, if I look at
those three prompt examples, perform a fundamental
analysis of Hershey. The first thing
that Vnleyt AI will do is trying to understand
who is Hershey. I mean, of course, we have
trained that Hershey is probably a company
name or an ETF name. So the first thing that Viney
will do is disambiguation. So it will check does it have Hersche in its
investment universe? And maybe if there
are multiple results, it will actually ask you
which one you want to analyze because I may have multiple Hersheys in my
investment universe. So Worry veinle knows that, if there is just one, it will immediately do the
fundamental analysis. Same here, what is the
cost of capital for Nike, it will first check what
is the ticker of Nike. I mean, of course, you can
be more precise if you just throw the ticker
directly at the AI engine. So those are examples
and things that the engine will do
actually for you. So this is something important when you
write an AI model, what is called this
ambiguation related to, for example, company
names or ETF names. They're navigating in Vinlay. So as I said earlier, I mean, Vinla is not just
an AI companion. It's an AI companion, or it's an app. It's a visual app
that is, let's say, enhanced by an AI companion, where Ving GBT was just
a prompting model. So what you will have in inlay, you're going to have
on the left hand side, this is what I'm
showing you here. So I've just took a part
of the Vinlay home screen. You will have on the left always this navigation bar available to you where you're going to have at least for
the time being, we are March 2026. Home analysis,
screeners calendar very rapidly before the summer, we intend to come
up with performance world radar and Mastery. You can read what
those modules will do. And also, one thing that is important in a lot of screens, you will always have your portfolio and
watch list available. You just have to click
on it and it will run the analysis for
you, in fact, very, very the intention of this villa.ai application
enhanced by an AI Companion is really to make your life and your investment journey as productive and
efficient as possible. What you will see in the
interface as well is you're going to see what
I call AI helpers. So AI helpers are icons. When you click on it, it will send a prompt to
Vinla VinlaEplain me, for example, relative valuation. You will also have what I was already showing you here
on fundamental analysis. You can send a prompt when you click on an arrow
in the interface, so you don't have to
write the prompt. The inlay app will write the prompt and send
it to the AI agent. You just have to wait
for the results and read the results in
the eye companion. Also, what you have
in some screens, you will actually have
the AI agent that is not directly visible because
we felt that, for example, looking at fundamentals
analysis of stocks, that what was on that one
more important was really to have the metrics available
and chart, for example. But you can always
request an AI agent to be popped up by clicking on so the third icon that you
see on the right here. If I move my mouse, you're probably going to see
my mouse moving here. And of course, you
can then, I mean, the AI agent will pop
up. You can minimize it. You can maximize it to
have the full screen. So play with it and provide
us feedback that will, of course, very appreciated. But we thought that in some
screens it does make sense that we have all the time the
AI agent that is visible. So you're going to see
this when you're going to be using the interface. So I'm giving you now an
example of an AI helper. So this is the intrinsic
valuation screen. So it's so you see here, I'm here in analysis.
I'm going to valuation. So that's the my typical investment process
first fundamental, then intrinsic
valuation, then mode, and then forensic accounting. I will be explaining this in Chapter two in this training. So here you see, for example,
where the red dot is. So I have this AI helper where the label is
relative valuation, and here by clicking on it,
I don't have to write it. So yes, it's okay to be lazy. Let's be very honest about this. So it sends a prom to the AI agent Win explain
me relative valuation. That's it, basically.
Okay? That's what AI helpers are all about. And you're going to then get the results back from I mean, we have a specific knowledge
content for the AI helpers. So you're gonna get this is
content that is coming from our own knowledge base that Microphone Ariano has
been actually writing. Has been writing the knowledge
base for the A helps. Here's another example
on the fundamentals. So I'm still in the
analysis bench. So you see that's the first
sub screen or let's say, first card, which is about
fundamental analysis of a stock on ETF. So here I'm on a stock, which is LVMH, luxury group
that I actually disclaim. I have that in my portfolio, so I'm just showing you here. And so, I mean, when
you click on it here, it will already fetch all
the necessary data points. But I'm interested in
having the interpretation. How does Winley assess
those fundamentals? I just then have to click
here on this arrow. This is a prompt
submission, icon. And actually, you don't have to write
it. It writes it for you. It says, perform fundamental
analysis of mc dot pA, which is a ticket that
I've selected here. And the prompt has been
preformatted by us. That's, I would
say our knowledge as also having done prompt
engineering courses. So we are setting explicit expectations
towards Vinlas AR agent. We are saying perform
a fundamental analysis of the ticker, dot format the output in a markdown table and
assess the results. So that's the preprogram
prompt that we are sending to Vinla in fact. So you don't have to write it. It's okay to be lazy.
I'm sometimes lazy. I just ask Vinla just by
clicking on the prompt, assess me the results
of this company. And I think that's okay. So intention is to make
productive and that you can really spend more time on your investment decisions than spending time writing prompts. Example of the AI agent. So you see, I was just mentioned
a couple of seconds ago. So this is the
fundamental screen. So by default, you see here, if you see my mouse moving, the fundamental screens on
the right hand side does not have the AI agent
compared to the home screen. You can when you click
here on the icon, it will actually throw so it will make an AI agent appear, and you can then discuss
with Vinla if you have specific questions that are not AI helper related or that you are not sending
a specific prompt. And of course, you see it here. I've just maximized it
here that you see it. You can, of course, minimize it, create a new chat
or maximize it. So maximizing means that you are expanding the AI agent
to the full screen. And when you minimize it or
when you just reduce it, you will be coming back
actually to this view. So play with it,
provide us feedback. We appreciate any
feedback to make this tool as successful
as possible. And Valla that's for
Chapter number one. In the next chapter, I will
be showing you how I use Vine to do my investment
process for a specific company. So thanks for tuning in and talk to you in the next
chapter. Thank you.
3. 2 minutes quick onboarding: Welcome to Vinley, your AI powered investment
analysis platform to make you a Smarter investor. Start by searching
for any stock, ETF or cryptoasset and adding it to your watch
list or portfolio. Vinley helps you organize
your investments and track opportunities across global
markets all in one place. For stocks, Vinley provides a complete analysis process
from fundamentals, valuation, MOT up to forensic analysis, helping investors
evaluate quality, valuation, competitive
advantage, and financial risk. Use Vinle's AI agent to get
deeper explanations about fundamentals or key metrics like reliability of financials, financial strength,
profitability, and return to shareholders. Then move to valuation, where Vinley helps
investors estimate and understand intrinsic value using discounted cash flow models, future earnings estimates, and
other valuation scenarios. Vinley also helps identify potential accounting
red flags using forensic analysis metrics like the aggregated Beneish
M-score and its variables. Want to compare
investments side by side, Vinley makes it easy to compare
fundamentals, valuation, profitability, and
financial strength of multiple stocks side by side, helping investors allocate capital with greater confidence. ETFs and crypto assets, Vinley provides simplified
fundamental analysis with efficient visual
interpretation. Quickly evaluate the
crypto assets by analyzing Vinley
crypto quality score, token age, token dominance,
market capitalization rank, and risk indicators with intuitive traffic signal style
interpretation designed to simplify investment
analysis for crypto assets or even compare multiple
cryptoassets simultaneously. For ETFs, quickly
understand sector exposure. Top holdings,
geographic allocation, diversification, and
asset composition, helping investors
instantly evaluate what they're investing
whenever you need help, simply ask the Vinley AI agent. Get instant explanations,
investment summaries, valuation insights, and financial analysis in
more than 25 languages. You can also explore holdings and portfolio movements from our Vinley users
and also some of the world's most
successful investors, including Warren Buffett, to discover new
investment ideas. Vinley gives investors
the tools to invest with greater
clarity and confidence. Welcome to Smarter
Investing with Vinley.
4. How to use Vinley AI: Welcome back Investors, Chapter number two in this training, value investing with ville.ai. So what I will be showing you. And again, I'm not going
into all the details, what is value investing. Why I have chosen some metrics together with
the team in the tool. That's part of the a
value investing training. But here I'm just
showing you the process, how a typical investment
process would look like. So first things
first, of course, is setting up your portfolio
and your watch list, okay? Something that you didn't
have in VNC GPT before. So the first thing that
you have to do, I mean, at least we recommend
you is that, I mean, you're going to have
frozen empty screen here. You will have to
decide which ETFs and stocks you want to
add either into your watch list or
into your portfolio. If you're adding it
into your watch list, you just click on Add watchlist, say Add, and it will, as shown here, I
mean, quantities, cost, et cetera,
will be put to zero. If you're adding it as an
asset in your portfolio, of course, you'll
have to tell what is the quantity, the
purchase price. The purchase currency
will be set by default because that is linked to the ticker and the
purchase date. Okay? And then you click on AD, and this then gives you
this type of results, this is an example,
where you have assets that are yellow flagged here, which are assets that you
have in your portfolio, and then it gives
you comparison. I mean, the typical type
of thing that you find on financial
investment websites, and here you have the assets that are just on the watch list. But the advantage is that you're going to have them
available afterwards. So all of them, you
can, of course, click your portfolio watchlist, if you want to run analysis
on those companies. So this is to explain to
you how to, first of all, populate your portfolio
or watch list. For the time being, ETF stocks, crypto assets will come very, very soon in inleon dot two. The typical next
step that I do after having populated my watch
list and my portfolio is, I analyze the fundamentals and I'll start with the
fundamentals of the company. I mean, I'm not an ETF investor. I have to be honest
about this, but I know that a lot of you are also a mix between value
investors and ETF investors. So I'm showing you here both
things in fundamentals. The first thing is, when you go then to the fundamental
screen, I mean, you can either search if the ticker is not
available here, neither in your watchlist
nor in your portfolio, you can of course
search here and analyze a company that is not even in your
watches or portfolio. Of course, that's normal.
But otherwise, I mean, this is like a quick navigation bar where
you can just click on the ticker here and it will then fetch all the
data that you want. Here I'm in the fundamental
analysis screen. So you're going to be
having for stocks, it fetches the information, the fundamental
analysis metrics, like reliability of
financials, profitability, solvency and financial strength, relative valuation,
those type of things. So typically things that we were doing already
before I vingBT and the typical things
that I recommend to do when performing a
fundamental analysis. And then, of course,
what you can do is send a prompt to the AI, and you can say to Willy, Analyze me the fundamentals. ETFs, you see that
actually, I mean, Vinley knows that when
the user selects an ETF, that the information is not the same than stock information. So you're going to
have, of course, the asset information,
but you're going to have the
sector ratings, the counter ratings, and
you're going to have immediately the AI agent
available on the ETFs. You're going to have
also the expense rate. You can also here click on, I mean, I'm not sure if
you're seeing my mouse here, but you can click here
and ask Vine what are the holdings that the
ETF actually has. So that's something for
the time being that is done through a
prompt, for example. So this is what I was
showing you here. So zooming in here. So
you see that clicking. Again, I was using LV mature. So you have kin formation, asset information,
company description. Because sometimes you're
analyzing a company and you're interested just to know what is a company basically doing. And you have so
this is our method, the reliability of financial
solvency, profitability, passive income, and you have the relative valuation as
well on the right hand side. So that's analyzing
the fundamentals. If the fundamentals
look okay and ask Vinlay what
is the opinion of Vinley about the
fundamentals by clicking on this R and asking inlay to
assess the fundamentals, then the typical thing
that I do next is, okay, the fundamentals
look solid. I understand the
business of the company. What is the intrinsic
valuation of the company now? Because the market
is giving me today a share price, and I
want to know, actually, what is the company
really worth versus what the market is giving me today
in terms of share price. So there you go typically
into the second screen, which is the valuation level
two screen, we call it. And there, in fact, inley
will do, let's say, pre calculations for you, where you don't have
to send a prompt, it will immediately come
in the user interface. So you're going
to have, first of all, relative
valuation measures. You're going to
have immediately, even without sending a prompt, the calculation of the intrinsic valuation,
discounted cash flow, intrinsic valuation
discounted future earnings and intrinsic valuation
dividend discount model. Of course, that's going
to be zero the DDM, if the company is not
paying out any dividends, of course, right? We agree. And what you will see when
you will leverage villle.ai, it will actually do what is
called sensitivity analysis. So that's something
that was for me, very important as an investor, and still today, even as an independent board
director, very important. When you think
about investments, as I said in the
introduction, need to think, what is the cost of
capital and what is the expected growth rate for
business plan, for example. What Winley will do automatically, and
you're going to see, actually, the sliders move automatically when you click
on the company on the left, it will predetermine
for you what is the average growth rate on free cash flow for
the last three years. Maybe some of you would not like to use a three year
free cash flow. We will enhancing the user interface
here and adding so showing you the
three values that we have because we
have also growth, not just on the free
cash flow, but, for example, on net
income and on revenue. We have decided for the
time being just to do it on the three year
average on free cash flow. And we are using from
New York University. So this is what Aswa Asman Aran is doing with his students,
and I'm thankful for that. He knows that we are
using his database. We actually making
when a company we have to calculate
intrinsic value. It actually uses
the industry cost of capital as a proxy
for the company. And so what it does as well, when it does those, it analyzes those two
variables per default. If the growth rate
has been negative, as we have to project
the intrinsic value, that's a future projection
of earnings of cash flows, Ville will automatically
set the growth to zero, and it will tell it to you. So it will actually have here
a message where it says, I've set the growth
rate to 0% because the three year average
growth rate on free cash flow was minus
four 16%, for example. And if it is above 10%, we have decided
to cap it at 10%. You have sometimes
companies that grow at 25% over the
last three years, but that's more like
growth investing. We have decided that and you can change
this, of course. I mean, you can modify
the sliders as you want, and it will recalculate
the IV, of course, right? We just feel that when
you're doing a valuation of a company for the next ten
years, 20 years, 30 years, and the company is
growing at 78%, the company will not
be able to continue growing at 78%, okay? So that's why we
said the growth, if the sensitivity
analysis on the growth is above 10%, we're
going to cap it at ten. We're going to mention
it. So you're going to see in the
explanation of Vinla it will say that I have
capped the growth, and it will tell you
what was actually the original three year average historical free
cash flow growth. Okay? So this is what we
call sensitive analysis. And then what you
can do, of course, you can send prompts. You can say assess the
IV like Warren Buffet, assess the IV like Peter Lynch, assess the IV like
Joel Greenblatt. So, Warren Buffett, I mean, for those who have done the Auto Valle
investing training, that's a typical
intrinsic value DCF, discounted future earnings
and dividend discount model. For Peter Lynch is going to
be the price earnings growth, the price to earnings
growth yield, and for Joel Greenwell, it's going to be the earnings yield. So that's a little
bit we are what is different in
those three methods. And I have to be honest, I'm more Warren Buffett
type of investor, but we have users who like to have the perspective
of Peter Lynch. If Peter Lynch would
be in the room, how would he assess the company? And the same for Joel Greenlat. Then, so we did fundamentals
analysis looking, are the financials reliable? I mean, the aggregated score, the Benjam score,
the other ratios, are they okay, bankruptcy risk, solvency risk, so profitability,
those type of things. Then we did absolute valuation.
That's the second step. And then the next step that I typically do is
looking at the mode. Does the company have a mode, so a strategic
competitive advantage that is difficult to
attack by competition? So I'm sticking here
with my example of LVMH. So one of the tiers of LVMH is c dot pA on the Paris
Stock Exchange. And so just to explain what
we have in modes, I modes, we have rough cut 13 years of the top hundred
brands in the world. So Ville will tell
you, for any company, it will say here, yes or no, is the company part of the
top hundred global brand? And then, so here see LVMH LVMH has multiple
brands in the top hundred. They actually have five, so Louis Vuiton Tiffany's
and Co that they bought. Couple of years ago, Dior, I think it's Christian Dior, if not mistaken Hennessy, I think that's like
whiskey cognac. Sorry, that's maybe
not the right term. But this is like
alcoholic drinks, and then they have sopora, which is cosmetic retail shops. So those are five brands that
LVMH has in the top 100. We only have the top hundred in the world currently
for the last 13 years. So please bear with us on that. What we have as well is, and that's own curated data, we have selected, I think it's 389 companies that have a
white mode or a narrow mode. And this will be
then explained here, and we are updating this
on an annual basis. Of course, we are
looking at also publicly available information, but we are trying
to be strategic here on when we say a company has a white mode
or a narrow mode. And then, and I've been
running webinws about this in September,
October timeline, 2025, we do have now for nearly
2000 companies of the 38,000, so it's true it's just 5%, but those are the largest
companies in the world, where we were able
actually to get data from comparably about which is publicly
available data, but we are just
aggregating that data. And this is available
in the I mean, for any user, so you don't need a paid subscription in Ville to have access to
this information. So you're going to
have access to CSM and employee satisfaction
information. So what we call the
net promoter score and the employee promoter score. And it will show you on the right hand side,
a couple of metrics. We have added a
couple of metrics. I will not go today into that. What is the customer
happiness score and the management
quality score, which is an aggregated score of the three sub
metrics that we have for customers and for employees. But I think it's
important to know, customers happy
about the company? Are employees happy about
the company or not? Then the last thing
that I typically do at least from an investment
process perspective is looking at the This
requires a little bit more, let's say, knowledge
in corporate finance. I look at, so I do forensic
accounting, in fact. So what is forensic accounting? And of course, I want
to make this available to my students and to
our users in villain.ai. Or we want to make this available
to all of you, as well. It's about productivity
and efficiency. I really promise you
and no arrogance here. I promise you that there are only a few platforms that have, for example, the Danish
MScore available. So, you got to have access to a couple of things in
forensic and accounting. And you see it again, in
the analysis sub screen, you have forensics,
which is here. So you're going to have access to the
Benish AM score first. The Benish AM score tells you if the earnings are
manipulated or not. At least if there are signals
of manipulation, yes or no. What Vine will do is you
just have to either click or search on an asset
that would not be in your watch list or
in your portfolio, but you can also
click on the assets that are in your watch
list on your portfolio, and it will fetch the latest
available annual filing, and it will calculate the
Benish AM score aggregate it. And you're going to have even the variables
available here. We are adding a small label
that you understand what are those eight sub
variables that actually make up the Banish
aggregated A score. If you don't know, just
click here on the prompt and ask Vinla to analyze the
Benish Score in detail, and it will send a
prompt where you will have an explanation for the eight sub variables
which are okay, which are not okay. But this, of course, requires a little bit of
accounting knowledge because the Benish MScore relies a lot on the three
financial reports, balance sheets,
income statement, and cash flow statement, mostly balance sheet
and income statement, if I recall that correctly. And then what I believe is
the most powerful currently function in terms of forensic accounting
in Vine is this one. So you can actually just
by clicking on this arrow, of course, you can prompt
if you want differently, but just by clicking
on this arrow, and as I said earlier, it's okay to be lazy.
I'm sometimes lazy. I just want to know from Vinla I want to invest my
money into this company. Beyond the Benish AM score, there are other metrics that
I believe are important. These are the four
that we are currently analyzing from a forensic
accounting perspective. The BainisEScore,
up to ten years. I promise you, I've not
seen one single platform. Financial platform having this. The second one is
a bankruptcy risk. So you're going to
see up to ten years back how the bankruptcy risk. So the Altman ZScO
has been evolving. On top of that, the Sloan ratio, the Sloan ratio is
a metric that looks at the quality of
earnings because in fact, you could manipulate
earnings through accrual. So sending out fake invoices, and as nobody will be
paying those invoices, those invoices will sit in
accounts receivables for those who know how this
works in a balance sheet. Then Ben fords law, that's something that
financial auditors know. So this is something
also very specific. I've seen outside of Vinlay and I'm saying
this will love humility, nobody providing this
type of information. And I tell you, this was
complex to program in Vinlay. So because I mean, this is the calculations, one thing that maybe I
could have mentioned. Sorry, those calculations
are not done by the AI. Those calculations are done
by our algorithms, okay? So just to avoid hallucinations. The Ben ford looks at so this is a law that
financial auditors use. When they analyze a sample
of financial transactions, there is, according to Benford, this has been observed
a natural distribution of the first digits of numbers. So one digit will appear, for example, twice as
much as a two digit, and the three digits will
even be less, let's say, available in
everything in nature, in financial repos, et cetera. This is basically what
Benford's law is looking at. And what financial auditors actually do, maybe
you didn't know this, is that Benford's law is analyzing and the
auditors do this, really, they analyze just by looking at the numbers and the
first digit of a number, if there is a risk
that the numbers have been manipulated
because when, for example, a CFO, he or she manipulates
the numbers, they're going to make
mistakes and will disrespect the natural
distribution appearance of first digits as they appear in nature and in
financial reports. So this is something
I have to be honest, very evolved, but
it's interesting. So I recommend you and this is what I do as a fourth step
before I invest into company. And I'm giving you
an example of Hyatt, which was one of the
companies lately, which had a bad Benish AM score. So there are elements
that suggest that it could be that Hyatt is manipulating
their earnings. This is the latest
2025 annual report. I think it came out a month ago in February, if
I'm not mistaken. And then you see on
the right hand side, I just clicked
here on the arrow, and it sends this prompt, provide a multi annual
forensic analysis for company H because, of course, I had
selected company H here. And it will provide me, in fact, the results
in interpretation. So again, this is I'm
just showing you how I execute a typical
investment process using villa.ai. Well, that's it. So I will just conclude in
the next very short lecture. I hope that this is useful
for you that you see, maybe if I can come back
here to this slide. This is a typical process I do. So the first one is
just building up my portfolio and watch list and then going
through fundamentals, valuation mode and
forensic accounting, specifically for companies
because I'm a value investor, and I typically investors
into companies. But you have also ETFs that you can add
to your portfolio, but you will not have
for the time being the same depth of analysis
that you have with stocks. Hope this is useful and talk
to you in the conclusion. Thank you.
5. Practice Example - Complete company analysis process from Fundamentals to Moat: Morning investors. Welcome back. I'm showing you here
in this lecture a full process from
how to log in to Vine and how to set up your portfolio and even potentially doing
a full analysis. We're going to be
looking at Nike, in fact. So let
me show you here. So when you log in or when
you go to the first page, which is a dill and I, you have here just to log in, in case you haven't log in, you will have, of course,
to create an account. So what I will be
doing here, of course, I'll just put my password,
which is secured. So it's not us being
the security provider. It's Microsoft, so we're using Microsoft as a
security provider. So the first time you're going to, in
fact, be logging in, I'm going to show
you you will be landing on the guided tour
that you can either skip or there are just three
pages just to explain you really the
fundamentals of Vin. So I'm just finalizing
here the tour, and what you will have here. I mean, the first time
you're going to land here, it's going to be totally empty. You will have to find assets. Let me just switch
White M. So you have all the time a Togal
here where you can switch between light
and dark theme. So I'm going to just be
using now the light theme. And so if this is
normally empty, I already have prepared
for this lecture. But what you can do is
actually just type a ticker, for example, and just
add it to the portfolio, or you can also type
the company name. Or the ETF name, and you will then find here the various tickers that are
available in asm Universe. Just showing to
you, for example, on Dow Jones, let's
see what comes up. So you're going to see,
for example, here, when you type Dow
Jones, a couple of ETFs that also appear. Okay. So that's the first
thing that you have to do. I'm just going to do now, let me do it for any
type of company. I'm going to be adding, do I have Adidas, which
is a competitor to Nike? No, I'm going to show
how to add Adidas here. So and when you add Adidas. So this one, for example, you have to choose either
adding it to the portfolio. So this is really like you're
owning the company and you decide how many stocks you have accompany the purchase
price and the dates, or you just add it
to the watch list, and that's basically it. And you'll see it has
appeared, in fact, now here. Good. So, and what
is interesting. So as I was showing you
in previous lectures, again, this is just
an example lecture. You're going to have the
various navigations, and what you can do. In fact, now, if I
go back to Adidas, you can either go here and
click on fundamental analysis. I will bring you to the
fundamental screen, and you're going to
have the main elements. The fundamental
analysis of a company which already pre calculated
that you see here. I mean, you have done the Audi
value investing training. You know that I'm always interested in reliability
of financials, then solvency profitability,
passive income, and a little bit of
iative valuation. If you want to know
how Winne feels about, you just have to throw
here the prompt. Ask Vinne to analyze the
fundamentals of the company, and you're going
to see, in fact, that automatically it's will. So just showing you
this again here. So it will, in fact, overlap. So you have here the icon. You're going to have the
agent that is running and will be performing and
it already came back. You see the
fundamental analysis, in fact, of Adidas. So as you have learned from the Audi value investing training
for those who did it, so you see the reliability
of financials. You see everything that is
related to relative valuation, the passive income, of course, you can find the values here. You see 1 422-066-9002. So you have the same that
you have here as well. And then you have debt to
equity interest coverage ratio, altmanZ score, and
return on invested. Capital. Right. I mean, what you can, of course, do is you can maximize the
AI agent, if you wish, of course, I've taken a full
screen, clicking back on it. And so if you're
minimizing the AI agent, the current conversation
that you have, if you navigate somewhere else
will remain in fact, okay? So here, for example, again, I open the AI
agent, I minimize it, and I'm going to any
other type of screen, the conversation is what is
called stateful, in fact. The second, going
back to Adidas, the second typical
thing that you can do. In fact, of course, in
the analysis screen, you can also search
here for the company. If you would not
have it. I'm just looking now at, for
example, Danone. It's not part, neither of my
portfolio nor my watches, but I could, of course, just do analysis directly here just by searching
for the assets. But let me go back to Addidas. So Adidas, so we did the
fundamental analysis. We asked Vin what is this about? One of the things that
you can also do is ask, for example, what is
called an AI helper. So you see here this term
reliability of financials, but you don't know exactly what that is. Well, just click on it. Ask inlay, and in will explain to you what is reliability
of financials. So it will throw a
prompt at the AI agent, so at Vinla and VNA
will now, of course, look at its internal
knowledge and provide you feedback on that. So let me show you
how that works. You see, I mean, the reference, this is our explainer
AI helper file. So it means that this is curated data that is coming from us
and explain a little bit, what is reliability
of financials, for example. What
is that all about? The next typical
thing that I do as an investor is I do a
intrinsic evaluation. Not going into the details
because if you want to learn how to calculate
intrinsic valuation, it was relative or absolute, do the trainings, the
out of value investing, the out of company valuation. But what is interesting
is when you're going to see the sliders move here
and the values change, when I click on a
specific company, you can actually
see that it will, depending on the company, it will calculate the
intrinsic value automatically, and it will do the
sensitivity analysis, and it will change the sliders based on three years
of free cash flow. For example, here, it
says that for Coca Cola, V has performed a
sensitivity analysis using 0% growth for the
last three years on the free cash flow and a
cost of capital of 730 9%. And you can, of
course, adjust this. And you see when you will
be adjusting these values, you're going to see,
in fact, that is recalculating immediately
the intrinsic valuation. For example, here on BSF, you see that a
couple of things are moving because it does
the sensitivity analysis. Then for some companies, not all of them, you may have those companies
may have a mode. You know that I'm a
big fan of looking at Cosm and employee sentiment, and you can see, in
fact, that, for example, we do have this is
Ferrari, so Ferrari, we don't have the employee
and customer satisfaction, but we do have the brand
position, brand evolution. But, for example, if I go
to Microsoft for Microsoft, we see that they have two
brands at the top hundred, which are Micoft and LinkedIn. And we do have Cosm and
employee satisfaction. So this is what I
want to show you. And again, for
Adidas, I'm not sure. Adidas is part of the top
hundred in the world. And we do have the Cosmic
employee sentiment. So you see that for
Adidas, typically, I mean, the three step process that I use is doing the fundamentals, potentially asking Vinley to
analyze the fundamentals. This is what I was, in fact, doing here, so you see when I come back. So you see that the
prompt is pre planned. Then the evaluation. So here you see that it does a sensitivity analysis
and then the mode. And for the mode.
So here, again, in full transparency
from the Rough ca 37,000 companies
that we have, only 2000 companies have
Cosmin and pre satisfaction, so the 2000 biggest
in the world. And sometimes we don't have
access to that information. And for modes and
brand information, it's 13 years of the top hundred in the
world of Interbrand. This is what I
wanted to show you. I'm going to be showing you
in another example lecture, forensic accounting because that's the fourth
step that I do, but I will wrap up here so that you have understood how to go from fundamentals to
valuation to mode. Thank you. Hope that this was
useful and enjoy using Villa as your AI,
investing AI companion.
6. Practice Example - Forensic Accounting analysis example with Hyatt Hotels: Welcome back Investors.
This lecture, I will be showing you one of my favorite
functions in Vine, which is a forensic accounting. To be very transparent, you will need a plus
subscription for this, but it's one that actually is extremely powerful
that we have created, and I've created
because I never found such a function in
any other tool. Maybe Bloomberg has it, but I don't want to pay
50,000 per year for this. So we were speaking
about Adidas, and I can show this
workers father company. So I have Adidas, of course, in my watch list. It's not part of my portfolio. So you see how I navigate
here on the screen, and I've been showing you how to look at fundamental
valuation modes. So one of for me the most powerful functions in VNA is this forensic
accounting function. So this forensic
accounting function, you see in this screen, I mean, I will just create
a new chat here. In this screen, in fact, I have selected the company, so I'm looking at Adidas. And what inlay will do
will automatically look at the latest annual available
financial repots. So you see you may see
it moving here, in fact, depending on when the company has published their
latest annual results. I'm just checking if I
have an example where they have not published
yet the 2025 results. Yeah, they all already have
published We are March, so it doesn't surprise
me looking at no. So you see they all have 2025, but in will be, in fact, looking at what is the latest annual report
of these companies. And coming back to
Adidas, you see, I mean, you probably have seen
that the numbers were moving here. I will
automatically. So first of all, select
the latest annual report and show you the
Benish AM score, which if you remember, and I have a specific course
on the Benish AM score. This is really showing
you if the earnings of the company are
manipulated or not. And even here in the
forensic accounting, it will give you
the details of it. So what I would like now
here to do as a first step, and this is really what
I do as an investor, I going to be asking, in fact, for Adidas Adidas, I'm
going to be asking Vinlay to do a detailed
analysis of the Benish M score. So not just having
the aggregated one, but really knowing
what Viney feels about the various
variables that he is, in fact, seeing here. So you see here, I
mean, of course, here you only have two decimals, but you see the gross margin
index 10777-108 rounded. For the leverage, 109824, you see it here, 098. So remember that we don't
do calculation in the AI. All the calculations are done in our back end just to avoid
hallucinations of AI. So you see that the overall
Benish score is minus 233, which is below the
threshold of minus 178. And you see that. So it explains all the
various variables that, in fact, make up
the Benish A score, and it gives you an
interpretation at the end. So it tells that
this Nellis reflects the financial data from the last two audited
annual reports up to 2025. So you see it here, it says 2025, 2024. And overall, the Ben
Jamco suggests that Adidas is not like engaging
in earnings manipulation, but some variables like
gross margin index and Dale the day sales in receivables,
they require monitoring. I'm going to show
you one that is, in fact, for the time
being a little bit, is at least flagging
red on the Benish, which is, if I remember, well, Hyatt's hotels, you see. So I was just clicking
here on Hyatt. You see that the
aggregated M score is 072, and let me just ask just by
clicking on the link here, let me ask Viney to provide me an analysis of
Hyatt for 2025. You're going to see that the
results will not be good, in fact, but I just
wanted to show you this. So here you see it comes
back with the results. And you see here that it says in interpretation that
the combination of a high Benish AM score, very high gross margin index, and high, this is the sales general
administrative expenses. It's a sales growth index. So it suggests that
hots maybe under pressure and could be at risk
of earnings manipulation. So what it means, in fact, is you would need to analyze overall in details
the financials. If I would have to invest into this company,
which I'm not doing. But you see that
so Vin says that the Beni Jamskv 072 is significantly above the
threshold of minus 178, which suggests a
higher likelihood of earnings manipulation. Of course, what you could
do is look at zero, sorry, at 2024, you see that
here the value is okay. So this seems to be
a short term thing. There is another way
of doing this in a much better way and
much more efficient. And this is a pretty advance. I'm going to be probably
doing a specific or extending the Benes
and Autman Ziskni. You have here the multi
annual forensic analysis. So this one will be looking at ten years, up to ten years. We'll select how many
years are available and do an analysis of the
company on four metrics. Let me just show you
so this is a prompt. Of course, you can write
those prompts manually, but I'm showing you how
this prompt actually will provide a certain amount
of elements in the screen. What I'm going to
be doing are just going to be reducing the zoom a little bit that we see
better the results. So what this does, so so this is already I mean,
this is pretty advanced. I can tell you that
you are really now in the era of
forensic accounting. Let me just increase
the zoom a little bit. So you see that it
has been analyzing, and you saw that it
was pretty quick. From 2016, 2025, Benihamscore, the Altman z score, which is rated to bankruptcy,
the Benford's law, and also the accruals quality, which is the Sloan ratio. We'll not go into
the details of it, but what it tells me in summary, what Windle is
telling me and you saw this took what 3 seconds. I mean, this cannot
be done manually. I mean, if you
would have to have those four ratios
over ten years, this is a huge amount of work
that you would have to do. So what it shows is while
bankruptcy risk is low, there are in terminant
red flags related to earnings manipulation
and data anomalies. So probably the Benford score. Yeah, there are some years where the Benford score shows
suspicious or strong anomalies. The Benish was red interesting. In 2020, I didn't
catch that one. So I knew that 2025
for Hiatt hotels, that the Beini Jam
score was not good. You saw that when I clicked
on 2024, it was okay. Because I made a historical
analysis of up to ten years, it actually is
telling me that 2020 also the Beni Jamsko
was not good. So you see all I
know that this is an extremely powerful function. Just in a couple of clicks, it will give you elements, signals of potential
earnings manipulation, data and figures manipulation. And also, if the quality
of the revenues is linked to a high number of accruals. So basically, what are
accruals is that I sending out a lot of invoices that
I recognized as revenue, but I will never get
those invoices paid back. That's a way of
inflating artificially. Revenues. So this
one I wanted to show you how to use this in Vine, and I hope that you liked
it and that you will be able to leverage this function because I really
believe it's a very, very powerful function
that a lot of investors and me being a valid
investor for now 27 years, I'm so happy that I have this. You see, it's a couple
of cliques with interpretation in the
AI age and how to do forensic accounting analysis for a company and detecting
some signals. With that, thank you for
your attention, and, yeah, enjoy practicing and
playing around with Vinla AI. Thank you.
7. Practice Example - Compare side-by-side companies & ETFs: The investors welcome to
a supplemental lecture about Vinley and how to use Vinley to have an efficient
investment process. So this supplemental
lecture is about a new functionality that
we have added to Vinley, which myself, I have to be
honest, I wanted to have, which is a side by side
comparison of companies, and I do know that some of the users already
have provided a lot of positive feedback of having this visual capability of just comparing ETFs and
stocks side by side. So let me show you
exactly what it is about. So, I mean, going back to I'll start before going
to the compare screen. I'll start with the
analysis screen. So if you remember, the
investment process typically that is executed is a
fundamental evaluation. For a small subset of companies, remember that on the mode, we only have the
top hundred brands in the world for
the last 13 years, and we have around 2000
companies with NPS and eNPS, forensics amongst others. And so what we have now added, you see here, if you
see my mouse moving, we have added a compare screen. And Compare screen
works in a similar way. You can search for an asset
that you don't have in your portfolio or
in your watch list. So as always, you can click here and just having all my
assets available here. And same logic,
you're going to have this horizontal bar
which allows you to look at the
comparison between AO stocks or ETFs
really side by side. We're going to be adding crypto in a couple of days as well. So you'll be able also to see side by side comparison
of crypto assets. How now, so you see, of course, it says select stocks
from the ASEL is a search baar to
compare live data. So I will just compare here, let's say, two
companies side by side. So I just clicked on
Porsche and on Ferrari, you see that they appear here. And you can I mean, I'm just deleting them here. You can, of course, at any time, just delete them, and then
add or select new companies. For example, I'm just adding
now Proc and Gamble and I'm going to add Mondelez to it and coca cola, for example. So you can do this up to five. You're going to see here that
we are looking at stocks. So of course, if you
click now on an ETF, it will say that there is
an asset type mismatch, because you are now
analyzing stock. So if you want to compare ETFs, you remove all the stocks, and then I'm going to show
you how this looks like. So remove all the stocks that you want to
compare side by side, and you start with
the first ETF. It will set the category
of comparison to ETF, and then I'm just
selecting three ETFs that I have in my watch list. And you have here an ETF side by side comparison with the top
countries, the top sectors, the market cap, the
exchange, last price, those type of things, in fact, that are available in a side
by side comparison of ETF. So let me go back and show you concretely
through an example. So I was about to compare propan gamble,
mondels Coca Cola, for example, and let me add Unilever to it.
So we have four now. So we're looking at
four side by side. What is actually the first part? You're going to
have a side by side comparison of the fundamentals. So the fundamentals is the same, let's say, details that you have in the
fundamental analysis. So we start with
reliability of financials. We start, then we continue with solvency and
financial strength, profitability,
passive income return to shareholders,
the key financials. Of course, you always have the
AI agent available to you. So we have the AI
helpers here as well. You can always
click here and send a prompt to the Vinley AI
agent, for example. Okay? So let me just minimize this. So let's come back to
the compare screen. And of course, we have
the traffic lights that help you, in fact, very rapidly make
the interpretation of the visual elements. On top of that, we do have a fundamental so the
fundamental analysis screen, but a visual representation. This has been, I have
to say, very tricky, but I wanted to
have with the team, I wanted to have this
visual representation. So have the same
categories of elements, if it's solvency,
financial strength, profitability, liquidity, passive income, and reliability. And you're going
to see, in fact, so this took us a lot of time to bring in
the right logic, specifically when you
have extreme values, how, for example, to make the visual representation of a current ratio of
an operating margin. So see, of course, here we are in a very similar industry
that they are overlapping. But of course, you
could say, Let me add, I'm just saying now, let me
add Uber to it, for example. And just by clicking on it, it will, in fact, add Uber. And of course, if
you want to change, you can just click here and remove one of those assets here, we are looking at
stocks and just add supplemental one. You
can only do five. So if I add Nike, we say
that for the time being, we have limited at five
because this is I mean, it takes a lot of
resources to make this. And we believe also from an ergonomics perspective and UI, five is definitely enough. What you have, as
well, is you can make a side by side intrinsic
valuation comparison. So this is extremely powerful
and it's not just static. So I mean, for those
who have done already intrinsic valuation in
the analysis screen for a specific stock,
have the same values. You have everything that
is relative valuation, and again, you
have the AI agent, of course, that is here. You see that the AI agent
came back with a reply. If you don't remember, you
can just click on it and say, Okay, what is
relative valuation? So I will just minimize this. So we have the
price to earnings, everything that is
relative valuation, price of free cash flow,
price to book, et cetera. And you have also
the last prices. So you see that we are
the last day of April when I'm doing this recording. You have the intrinsic value discounted casual dis
counted future earnings. We have now also written out completely the labels instead of having the abbreviations. And what I really like is that, so it makes a
sensitivity analysis for all those stocks,
in fact, okay? But if you want to change, you can change your growth rate, and it will actually
just change the values for the stock that you have
changed the assumption. So you see that the
values, of course, are changing, and we just
put her 5% for proctor. And this is something
I think that is very powerful so that
you can really do side by side
intrinsic valuations and having the capability of changing the input variables for the intrinsic
valuation on the fly. I think that's very
powerful. The last one. So, I mean, we decided for
the time being mode and NPS eNPS not to provide the functionality
because let's be very honest, from 38,000 stocks that we have in the
Investment Universe, we only have top hundred brands
for the last 13 years and the top 2000 companies
from NPS ENPS perspective. If you really believe that's something that you
want to have, I mean, we can create a site
by site for modes. For the time being, we
decided not to do it, but we created already the
site by site for forensics. This allows you actually
to see very quickly. And if you remember, we have
improved for for our users, we have improved
also the separation of the eight subvaribs
of the Beni Jam score. So we do use mostly in
forensic accounting, the Beni Jam score as
a first proxy measure. But if you go into
forensic accounting, you can do the ten
year analysis. So that's very powerful,
I have to say. So that was difficult
to replicate here. So here we really concentrated
on the Beni Jam score, and, in fact, you can't see, so let me just we'll
just remove one company. Let's remove Coca cola. At Hyatt Hotels, for
example, which is this one. And you're going to see actually
that indeed, of course, if you remember
the examples that Hyatt has a red Benish ESCR, so the Beni Jam Score is
not looking good at Hyatt. And then you have the
various subvariable. So you have the two categories, sub variables of
the Beni Jam Score, which are really linked to potentially direct earnings
manipulation signals and other ones that
are more let's say, if those variables are bad, it will create pressure
on management, and it will create
an incentive to potentially start
manipulating the numbers. So this is what you have as well here in the
forensic screen. That's basically what
I wanted to show you. So if you allow me
just remind you. So this is a typical
analysis screen where you do for one
specific company, you work through the company and you have very
advanced features. But now in the compare screen, you can do the same
if it is for stocks. You have the opportunity
to do it for ETFs as well. Of course, for ETFs, we
only have the fundamentals, and in very near future, you will have the
capability of also analyzing the fundamentals
of crypto assets. That's a very major update that we're going to add
just in a couple of days, in fact, everything goes fine. I hope that this
was useful to show the compare screen, and I said, thank you for all the
users who have provided positive feedback that we have created this compare screen. And yeah, as always, do not hesitate to provide us feedback by sending us emails at contact at vin.ai if there are even specific
features you'd like to have. So feel free either to join our discode community
or send us emails, and we will then analyze if we can add this
to the roadmap. Thank you for your attention. Talk to you in the next lecture.
8. Practice Example - Cash circulatory system: Mac Invests, welcome to
a new lecture about Do value investing and looking specifically at your investment
process using Vinley AI. One thing that for
me as an investor is extremely important
is looking at the value creation
cycle of a company. So let me before actually I show you how it looks like in Vinley, just to re explain and set the scene about why the
value creation cycle, also called the Cash
circulatory system is extremely important
for investors. So if you remember, for those who did the O
value investing training. So if this is a simple
review of a balance sheet, a balance sheet shows
the creation and destruction of wealth of
the company since day one, since inception, which
is different from the income statement cash
flows stim, if you remember. Cash flow statements
and income statements only look at a certain
period of time. It can be a quarter,
a month, a year. The balance sheet, at any moment in time you
look at the balance sheet, you're looking at the
creation of wealth or destruction of wealth of company management
since day one. So it shows you the whole
history of the company. If you think in terms
of a balance sheet, if you remember
for those who did the other very
investing trading, but again, warming
things up here. So you have two
sources of capital. You have lenders. So people who are so the company is borrowing
money from debt holders, from lenders, can be a bank, can be even I don't know, private people who are making money available through
a loan to the company. And you have shareholders, so
the shareholders typically, not always, but typically bring
in cash into the company, and they own a
portion, let's say, economic rights on
amongst others, the assets and the profits that the company is generating. So those are the two
sources of capital that you have on the
right hand side, right? So those are called liabilities. You have debt or type of debt liabilities and a type
of equity liabilities. So let's take the assumption. Of course, a shareholder
can bring in a car, a laptop into the company as a tangible asset will be
valued by the accountant. But let's consider
that an investor brings in cash or debt holders, they're going to provide
cash to the company. What we hope, what
company management, which is sitting in
the middle will do is that they're going
to use that cash and allocate that money into
and use it for real assets. Real assets can be buying
manufacturing plant, buying office space,
buying goods, for example, so buying inventory,
for example, raw materials that then
they will transform into semi good or final products that they're going to
resell, for example. And so those assets, so the cash is
converted into assets, and those assets will
hopefully generate a profit. This is the flow number three, remember, for those
who did the training, the Auto value investing. So profit is actually let's say, an outflow of cash that
comes from the assets. So the assets hopefully
generate the profit. So this is called
the operational or the operating cash flow. Then when the company has generated a positive
operating cash flow, the company management and
the board of directors, they have three ways or three things that
they can do, in fact, with a positive profit generated that has been generated from an
operating cycle. Either they reinvest
the cash that has been generated by
the profits into the company and they
buy more assets, they buy more
factories, more cars, more office space,
more raw materials. Or it's non exclusive. Flow number five is they provide a return to shareholders, sorry, to credit holders, first of all, so they reduce the amount of debt if there was
debt in the company, and or flow number six, they provide a return
to shareholders, which can be a cash dividend, but it can also be buying
back shares from the market. And it can be a combination
of those three flows, okay? So the operating cash
flow flow number three, can have a investing cash flow that goes back to the company, but it can also have two types of financing
cash flows, one, which is reducing the amount
of debt that the company carries so that the company also pays less interest to
service that debt, or they provide a
return to shareholders. Now, this is the theory
and I have realized over now more than 25 years of being an investor that it's nice
to have this in theory. I mean, I did not invent this
cash circulatres system. This is coming from
Harvard Business School, so it was a training
I did on finance, and I found the way how
they were explaining this, the value creation cycle
extremely, extremely relevant. And was for me, eye opening, how the sources of
capital actually generate profits and how they
are transformed into assets that hopefully
generate an operating profit. And then what can happen then with the operating cash flow? Was missing is so
beyond the theory, a way of looking at it. And this is basically
what we did with Vinley. So let me show you
what we did in Vinley. So let me just switch over here. So what we did in Vinley, let me just re
login. My apologies. I was locked out, so let me just relogin here into
the application. And so what I will show you is that now since
a couple of days, what you have available, is
that you have the capability of visualizing the cache
circulatory system, the value creation cycle. So when I go here to analysis, and I'm just going
to take Microsoft. Okay? So let me just select Microsoft to Microsoft is here. For example, I could have
sorted it alphabetical. It doesn't matter.
I go to financials. And I remember, we have the side by side view,
which is, I think, a unique view that
nearly nobody has, I think, I'm saying this
with a lot of humility. But we have added this one, the Cash circulatory system, and look how it looks like. So what you have now for
every company is, of course, you already had before the
main on the left hand side, the main financial metrics, you had already the
operating cash, investing cash, et cetera. But what we did here is exactly what I have been taught from
Harvard Business School and what I have been
teaching in the Audi Var investing how to look at the cash circulatory
system of companies. And here, for example,
you see from Microsoft, let me maybe zoom
in a little bit. You see here from Microsoft
that Microsoft has, so they have a operating
cash flow of 136 billion. So of course, you can do this on a quarterly and annual basis, of course. You can
switch between the two. So it will take the last one. So for the time being,
we have limited, it's the last full fiscal year or the last quarterly review. So in the last annual
fiscal review, so Microft has generated 136 billion of
operating cash flow. This is real cash that
they have generated, and they have
invested 72 billion, and they have provided 51
as a financing cash flow. What is interesting is
when you look here at the visualization, so you're going to
have the same number, 136,000,000,072, you will not see the 51 because
the 51 is now split it. But let me do first
things first. What I have learned from
Harvard Business School is that the first
thing that you have to do when you're looking at company operations is
their profitability. How good is the company generating profits
from its assets? So here, the company has a balance sheet of
619 so $620 billion. And the company was able with that amount of
assets to generate 136 billion of operating cash
flow, which is fantastic. It's 22% of total assets. If you take another company, I'm just taking now Nestle, for example, you're
going to see, well, that company is still okay,
so they generate a 12%. But if I take maybe one
that is not as good, for example, Hyatt Hotels, they just were able
to generate 2%. So the operating
cash flow represents only 2% of their total assets, which is, in fact, bad. If I go back to Microsoft,
that's the first thing, so really making the circulatory
system practical here. Then typically in a
typical scenario, if you remember what I've been telling in the Audi
value investing, normally, the company has, first of all, an operating
cash flow that is positive. It can happen that the company has a negative
operating cash flow. That's very problematic. And if under the assumption
that the company has a positive operating
cash flow, normally, it will allocate a
certain amount back to buying new assets, expanding the amount of assets. And this is what
Microsoft is doing here. So you see that
they have actually allocated half of the
operating cash flow. So it's pre calculated
by Vinley here, and you have the traffic
light. So this is orange. This is a lot. So it means
that it's for the time being, Microsoft has a very
high reinvesting ratio. They spend a lot
of their profits, and if you have followed the
story of Microsoft, yes, it's true because they
are investing a lot into data centers and into AI. So that's why they're
operating cash flow. In fact, they allocate
for the time being, nearly half of it to
buying new assets, which is buying
chips from Invidia, for example, or expanding
their data center capacity. Then what they need as
well, if you remember, so those are the 72
billion and then they have 51 billion that are
financing cash flow. What I don't like
when just providing those three numbers
is I don't see clearly the value
creation cycle, the cash circulatory system. So what we did in Vinley we have splitted the financing cash
flow into everything that is debt reduction and everything that is cash dividends being
paid out and share buybacks. So basically what is
interesting is that you see that they have reduced
debt by 8 billion. You even have here
the financial debt to equity ratio of Microsof
which is very low at 0:13. They have total amount of debt after the reimbursement
of 43 billion, still, but they have reduced
debt by a lot, actually. And also, you see that
they have allocated 17% of the operating cash flow to paying out dividends.
Why is it orange? Because me as a VA investor, I like to be 30-70% in terms
of dividend payout ratio, if you remember, for those
who did the training, the AdiV value investing. So it's giving the
traffic light. So this is very positive because they have reduced by
a lot, their debt. The financial debt to equity
ratio is also pretty low. And also you see here
what they have been doing on allocation of 17% of operating cash flow to
cash dividends and 12% of the operating cash flow to buying back shares
from the market. Go to show you an example that is also interesting and that you understand that the arrows can
actually change direction. For example, so I was
speaking about Hiottel. So Hiottls had a small
operating cash flow of two 7%, so that's
why it's orange. It's not fantastic.
It would be ready. It would be negative, actually. What is interesting, you
see here and we provide a red arrow to say
that there has been an investing cash
flow that is positive. How is this possible? So because a lot of
even of my students, they very often do
not understand, and I'm saying this
with a lot of respect. They don't understand
how an investing cash flow can be
positive because normally the typical value should be operating cash
flow being positive, investing cash flow
being negative, debt reduction being negative. And if there is some
return to shareholders through share buybacks
or cash deans, also to be negative. Those are the typical values. But the values are
not always like this. Operating cash flow can be
negative, first of all, when the company
doesn't generate a profit from its own assets. Investing cash flow, which normally is negative
can become positive. How, when the company sells its own assets or sells a
division of their business, for example, then they have a unique investing cash flow
by selling their assets. But of course, those assets will reduce the size
of the balance sheet. Those assets will disappear
in the next operating cycle. Debt can, in this case, it's being reduced, but it can also go
the other way around. The value of debt can be
debt issuance so that there is more debt that
is flowing into the company than debt reduction. So we will be analyzing
this, and we will tell you. I don't remember if it
was it Porsche, I think. So I don't remember
on debt on debt, of course, they have not reduced their debt here, but the
ratio is still okay. But, for example, on shares, so here see that they spend
a certain amount of money on cash dividends in
the annual report or in the annual cycle. But, for example, here see that the arrow on shares issued
is the other way around, comes from right to left. Why? Because there is an
equity dilution mechanism. So the company has not bought back money or shares
from the market. It has actually
printed new shares, maybe for employee stock
option plans, for example. So what is interesting
is that and you're going to see, for
example, at Porsche, in the last annual one, they
had 52 billion of assets. They generated six 9%, which is still okay in terms
of operating cash flow. So the profitability on the
total amount of assets. They had to invest a lot. So they have actually invested more than the cash
flow generated. So it means that the
cash balance has come down for those who are fluent
in analyzing those numbers. Didn't allocate any
money reducing the debt. They paid out rough cut 58%, so that's in the 30%
to 70%, which is, for me, healthy to shareholders, and nonetheless, they have
created equity dilution. Not a lot very minor, but those are typical things
that you have to look into. And again, so for example, this case, Proc Dan Gamble. So here you see that again. Typically, Proc and Gamble has a very nice
operating cash flow, 48% of total assets. Investing is negative,
which is a typical, let's say, orientation
of investing cash flow. The company who invest only 21%, so it's not to capital
intensive business. What is interesting is that
the debt has increased. So you see here a red arrow, and you see that it
has increased by a rough cut one 8% of the
total amount of financial. It's not huge, 630 million
over a debt of 34 billion, and it's still the
financial debt to equity ratio is 066,
so it's pretty okay. They have spent 55%, which is for me as
a Val investor, 30% to 70% payout ratio. So they are in the middle of
that dividend payout ratio. They have also spent
big amounts of money on buying back
shares from the market. So that's also something
that I wanted to show you. So you have seen now
the various cases. Again, if I come back to Markov, which is the typical
example where you see how the arrows
typically should go, while when the
arrows are abnormal, you're going to see
actually that we're going to make the
arrows red, in fact. This tells you a
little bit what is going on the company,
and at least for me, it is an extremely
strategic tool to look how management is, in fact, employing money
that is coming out. Well, the first thing
I'm going to look into is the operating
cash row positive or not? If it is negative, the company
is in trouble. For sure. You have to analyze
this. And then really how capital
intensive are they? And what are they doing are
they reducing the debt? Are they providing some type
of return to shareholders? So we have splitted the
financing cash flow. I hope that this was useful. I wanted to show this to you. Honestly, and again, saying
there's a lot of humility, I think this is
extremely powerful, and I have not seen any
platform who has this. So most of the platforms
they're going to provide you the operating cash flow and investing cash flow financing, but they will not
provide the logic of the value creation cycle. So I hope that you will find this useful as a
serious investor, and this will hopefully help you in your analysis when you will be doing your
investment journey, how to seriously invest into companies and
analyze how company employs the cases they generate hopefully if they have a
positive operating cash flow. That thanks for
your attention and talk to you in the next
lecture. Thank you.
9. Conclusion: Alright. Welcome
back, investors. Thanks for taking the time to go through the
concluding lecture. It's going to be very
short. I just want to wrap up what I've
been showing you here. So first of all, and
before I wrap up things, in Vinlat AI, of course,
we welcome feedback. I mean, we are trying
to make this app to help us as investors to make our journey as
efficient as possible. So please if you have feedback, if it is a bug that you observe, if you want to add
things to our roadmap, if you want to have if you have things
that you don't like, of course, and if you have
things that you like, please provide us feedback. We are, of course,
very attentive and we want to listen
to the feedback that our community is
providing you have a feedback form when you go in Vinla in your profile menu, just click on Contact Support and it will send an email to us, in fact, you just fill
out what you want here. So, so that was basically the purpose of these
three lectures. I wanted to share with
you how to invest. So a typical investment
process that I perform, I hope that you have understood
that lat AI is much more powerful already in terms of
knowledge of data points, brokers, but also having added user interface what
we had with Ving GBT. So if you want to know
more about villa.ai, of course, please
go to our website. Also through our website. You can contact us. We're
going to be running webinars. Of course, I mean, I
didn't put it here, but we have a YouTube
channel as well. And starting March 15, you can log in and register to Vinla by
navigating to app.ai, or you just go to our website, and from the website, you will be able to go
to this logging screen, which is the login
screen of Vinlay. So with that, thank you very
much for your attention. If you have any
questions, of course, if this video is
on YouTube or on platforms like You Dare me or Skillshare,
please contact us. We welcome all questions. Or use the Q&A sections or the comment sections in the various platforms
that are available, and looking forward to getting your feedback. So
thank you very much. I hope that you will
be enjoying inlay, as we are enjoying it. We have put a lot of effort since two years and specific now since the summer of 2025
to build this platform. So thank you very much and talk to you very
soon. Thank you.