Transcripts
1. Course Introduction: If you've ever been
to a supermarket, you may have realized
that you end up purchasing more than,
what do we actually mean? Well, that's because
they provide you an amazing shopper experience. And they also use these
powerful retail strategy to make sure that you spend more money and more buying in that
specific retail store. Hey, my name is not deep. I'm an MBA graduate and
have good experience in building retail
and e-commerce brand. This is the full MBA course
in retail management, e-commerce, and
merchandise planning. Whether you wanted to start
your own retail business or an eCommerce brand, or even wanting to work in retail giant Walmart and
Target as a retail manager, then this is the
right course for you, whether you are an
absolute beginner or have some de-centered understanding
about retail business. This course is for everyone. Now first section is all about building a very
strong foundation. So obviously in this
section we will only cover some very basic concepts like
your four P's of marketing, swot analysis, STP analysis, and the B6, the French between
variety and assortment. In the second section, we will talk about
the store layout, the different format
of retail store, and the basic omnichannel
and multichannel strategies. And we will understand how
exactly can you choose the best location for your retail store with
the help of data? Then we will talk about customer
relationship management because obviously it's
super important to make sure that you have good relations with
your customer because 80% of your revenue comes
from 20% of your customer. And that's why we will make
sure that we are using all the marketing strategies
like your RFM analysis, which is your recency,
frequency, and monetary. Then we will understand how
exactly you can increase the store revenue with the help of market basket analysis. And then we will design our own store layout
with the help of lift. And the concept of lift
is very interesting and we will understand that specific concept in this course. Finally, we will understand some basics of finance
and accounting. I know finance and
accounting sounds boring to a lot of people, but I'll try to make
it as simple as I can. And believe me, after
watching this course, you will have a very
good understanding of finance and
accounting principle, specially for managing
or retail store. We will talk about your
gross margin, your profits, your inventory turnover ratio, and all of these complex topic
in a very simplified way. In short, this is
the most diverse and the practical course about reading management
on the Internet. Now to make sure that
you are applying all of these concepts that we're
learning in this course. I will also give you a couple of assignments and Excel sheets. In short, I can
bet you that this is the most
affordable and one of the best course about retail management and
e-commerce on the Internet. I've covered almost
everything that you need to understand in
a retail business.
2. What is Retail Management?: So hey, everyone. This is the first video on
retail management. And in this video,
I'm going to give you an overview of all the concepts that we'll be covering
in this course. The main purpose of
this course is to help you understand each and every small detail about running and operating
a retail store. So if you're planning to join as a retail manager or you're
working in a retail company, then understanding all of these topic becomes
super important for you. So first in the Section one, we'll start by understanding
some basic concept about retail management and how the retail value
chain actually works. After that, I'm going to give you a small introduction about how a retail store targets the different kind of
audience in different areas. Then we'll talk
about retail format, channels and trading areas. Format means if it
is a hypermarket, supermarket, or just
a retail store. Channel means, are you
selling it online, offline, and trading area
means how much of area or population does
each retail store covers? Then we'll talk about
assortment versus merchandise, which means what kind of
product you'll be carrying in your retail store and how deep you want to go in
that specific segment. After that, in fifth section, we'll talk about
pricing and promotion and how you do it right
in your retail store. Then we'll talk about inventory and how do you replenish
the inventory? What's the cost of
holding inventory? How do you calculate it? We'll talk everything about inventory and
replenishment as well. After that, we'll move towards store layout and experience. And how do you create
a efficient layout that doesn't create bottleneck inside
the retail store so that people can
move efficiently, and then they can come to the counter and get
their billing done. After that, we're
going to discuss a bit about Omnichannel. Omnichannel simply means
that you are selling your product online and
through retail store. So people might search
about your product online and then they'll buy
it from the retail store. That's your omni channel. After that, we'll
talk about data, CRM and loyalty program. So we'll talk about
Cosco loyalty program, how it was actually developed, and how it creates good
amount of revenue, and how they use a
large amount of data to power these kind
of loyalty programs. In the end, I'm
going to give you some retail math
and some finance related metric to understand how much revenue can you
generate from per square feet? What is your gross merchandise
return on investment? So we will talk about all
the fancy financial metric that are important
in a retail store. So let's start with
our first concept about retail management, the retail value chain. I mean, why do we need
retailers at the first place? So imagine you are walking
into a grocery store on Sunday morning and you can see that all the shelves
are full of apple, milk, bread, and soap, and maybe a few
thousand other items. I'm talking about a normal
grocery retail store that we all see around us. But if you carefully observe, this retail store is not
manufacturing any of these item. They are just buying these items from suppliers
and distributor. So if we talk about
the job of a retailer, their primary job is to buy the right product from their suppliers and
distributor in bulk quantity, then they break down
these product into smaller convenient pack so that a customer like me and
you can purchase it. And they make a tiny cut
out of that whole purchase, and they make super
convenient for a customer to
purchase variety of item just from a single
shop so that they don't really have to go to ten different shop to
buy 20 different items. So a retailer
simply bridge a gap between a buyer and
a manufacturer, and that's the primary
job of a retailer. So consider a grocery store like the last link of a big chain. So when you go into
the supply chain, let's look at a
strawberry farmer who actually supplied
strawberry to a retail store. So a farmer or a factory actually grow any product that you buy from
a retail store, then they sell it
to a distributor who store these product
in large quantity, and I'm talking about huge
warehouses where they actually store all of these goods that are produced
by factories or farmer. Then these distributor
with the help of supplier ship these product
to retailers and finally, a customer like you and me pick these product in small
quantity and consume it. So a retailer job is to buy these product from a
supplier or distributor, store them in their retail store and sell it to the end user. Anywhere in the
hale supply chain, if something breaks in between, the retailer has to suffer. Let's say if the
farmer is on strike or the factory is not
producing enough product, in that case, distributor and supplier cannot really
supply you anything, and the retailer will
face the problem. The whole supply chain breaks if you just remove any of
these parties in between. If I have to give you
some real world example to understand about
retail store, let me give you some example of some supermarket
or hypermarket. I'm using this term loosely like supermarket
and hypermarket, but in reality, both
of them are different. Let's talk about a
big retail store or a supermarket
hypermarket like Walmart, Big Bazaar, or Costco.
Let's talk about these. So if you look at
Walmart as an example, it's a hypermarket that actually store a
variety of product. So they source different kind of product from different supplier, things like rice, soap, cloth, and electronic item. And they source these from different manufacturer and supplier, probably
a few thousand. Then they negotiate
the prices because Walmart always purchase
in bulk quantity. So they purchase millions
of quantity at once, and that's how they get the
cheapest price possible. Then they also try to
curate a variety because Walmart always try to target
a specific set of audience. So they try to create a variety which targets a
common household. They don't really buy super
expensive luxury item. They always buy a variety of product that caters
towards a normal family. Then they ensure that they are maintaining trust, quality, service, return, and they
guarantee all of these things. Now, just imagine for a second, if tomorrow Wolma doesn't
exist as a retail chain, you would be directly
talking to farmer or soft factory or some
clothing tailor to buy all of these
products separately. And it's super annoying to just buy ten product
from 20 different people. It's frustrating. And that is why the retail
stores are important, and that's the value that they create in our day to day life. Now when we talk
about a retail store, they don't just sell
us the product. They also add value
on the top of that. Let me give you some example so that you
understand it better. So just look at Apple
Store or Starbucks. Whenever you go to
both of these store, you'll find everything
under a single roof. Like in case of Apple store, you'll find all
the apple product under a single retail store. In case of Starbucks, you'll find different
variety of coffee and snacks at a single location.
That's your convenience. They also give you choices. You can choose from different
variety of product, and they have also built
trust where you feel that these two store are going to
give us really good quality. They have super good policies, and they assure us
with warranties. And when you look carefully, they also have really
good ambience. So you feel like paying
something extra as a service fees or as
a loyalty points. So they are not just shop to try out or buy
a certain product, they also make you feel good. Same goes with Starbucks. They don't just sell coffee. They also sell you experience. So you can just have
a small meeting, you can go with your family, and you can have a good coffee. So retailer don't just
sell the product. They sell you ambience,
trust, and comfort.
3. Understanding the Retail Consumer: So now we will understand why your shopper
matters the most, like why a customer is so
important for a retail store. Let me give you some examples so that you
understand it better. So a retail store obviously doesn't exist
without the shopper. And when you think carefully, it's not about what you want
to sell it to the shopper. It's about what exactly
a customer want. For example, if your
value proposition of your retail store is selling fresh fruits
and vegetable, in that case, a shopper will decide what stays on your
shelf and what gets remote. So the starting point is that the customer is always right. For example, let's say a store me wanting to
stock some fancy cheese. But if the local neighborhood
only buy bread and milk, then those cheese will
not move out of shelf. They'll just stay there
and occupy the space. So understanding what
the shopper wanted to purchase from your retail
store is important. So let's go to the basic and understand about
the shopper first. So when you talk
about a shopper, we are talking about
different kind of people buying different
things from a retail store. For example, when you look at the basic
need of human being, let's say one person
just wanted to buy rice for dinner
from a retail store. Another person wanted to buy
some ice cream for dessert. That's the want. And kids
usually do impulse purchase. So if they see some
chocolate or something, then they simply buy
these things on discount. So you have needs,
wants, and impulse. So usually when your parents
goes to the supermarket, they may plan to
buy some essentials like milk, vegetables. But when you look at a kid, they may simply just go for snacks at the checkout
or chocolates. Let's understand this with
the help of simple example. It's not just about shopper, but it is also about
your brand proposition. Let's understand this
with the help of two simple brand Target and ADs. Target is popular in the US. They have a wide
variety of product. They sell affordable items, and they serve customer on the basis of convenience
and lifestyle. So when I was in the US, I used to order from
Target from DoorDash, and Target sells you
affordable items. And they also sell some convenience
lifestyle items as well. For normal household, these are not super
luxurious items. But when you look at A's, which is very popular in
Europe and in the US, they are focused on assortment. They sell you at a low price, but they are super focused
about one category. So the value proposition of
a store is also important. So a retail store like Hole food has positioned
themselves as a great place for fresh fruits and vegetables
and organic item, then people will buy
from there instead of going to some other
cheaper alternative. So same kind of
grocery store can have different shopper
with different strategy. So let's understand a
little about shoppers. And how these different
retail store use a large amount of data and observation to understand
more about shoppers. The first thing that
they do is they try to create loyalty card. And this is super popular
in case of Costco. Costco, I mean, you cannot buy anything from Costco
without a loyalty card, and Costco actually generates a large amount of revenue with
the help of loyalty card. So if you have been to
the Costco in the US, they sell you a large batch of items like if you
wanted to buy Coca Cola, you literally have to
buy 40, 50, 60 pack. So if you have been to
the Costco in the US, they don't sell
you a single item. They always try to sell you
a large bundle of a product. For example, they'll
have offers like buy 50, get five pack free. So they sell you 50, 60 can of Coca Cola
instead of one or two, and they sell you at the
most affordable price, and you have to have the Costco membership to buy from it. Then these retail store try to understand the consumer behavior by doing a market
basket analysis. A super simple example is whenever you go
to a retail store, you'll find bread
and eggs together. The reason is that
if a person is purchasing bread or eggs, they'll likely purchase
the other item. So that's possible with the help of market basket analysis. We'll understand more
about this topic in the upcoming videos. Third one is simple observation. They try to understand what
exactly a customer need, what are their expectation
in a specific area, and they try to sell that
category of product. For example, a supermarket generally places diaper
next to the BB wipe and formula because they know that the parent who is
buying a diaper may go for wipes or other
baby formula as well. So perfect. In the next video, we'll talk about formats
and trading area, and this is important. So when I talk about format, I'm talking about different
types of retail store, like a convenience store, a boutique, a supermarket,
a hypermarket. I'm talking about
different retail store that targets different
kind of audience and need. We'll also talk
about trading area. Like if one retail store
has a presence over here, they have to have
some target area. They will say, Hey,
the area around the retail store for up to two to three
mile belongs to this. They'll op on a different
retail store maybe over here. Over here that
covered this much. That's your retail trading area. They'll also look
at other store. Let's say if there is
another hypermarket or supermarket just over here, they will try opening
their retail store here. They'll go over
here. They'll look at trading area as well, and we'll discuss about all of these concepts in
the upcoming video.
4. Format and Channels in Retail: So, hey, everyone.
Now we will discuss about different format and
channels of retail store. So let's first understand
why store format matters. So when we look into shoppers, they have different mission. Let's look at different
people in a family. Let's say a family wanted to
buy groceries for the week. They will go to a supermarket
or a hypermarket. But when you look at a student, they just wanted to
grab some items on the way from the college
or from the office. On the flip side, when you
look at a busy professional, well they don't really have
time to go to a hypermarket, supermarket or a retail store, and they might simply use app to buy groceries
at their doorstep. And that's why retail
and that's why retailers don't look at all these people the same way
that we normally see them. They design different
retail format and channels that
fit them the best. So let's talk about
common retail format, and what exactly do they target? The first example is
supermarket and hypermarket. These are big store that has
wide variety of product, and people usually
shop once a week. Few examples are Walmart,
Costco, Big Bazaar. That's your supermarket
or hypermarket. The second retail format
is convenience store. These are small store where
you can quickly grab a item, and these are very closer
to where people live. A good example of
convenience store is 711 or Reliance Smart Point, or maybe any store that
you see at a gas station. The third is Department Store. Now, these are multi category
store under one roof. The main purpose is that you
will see department store in a shopping mall or where people just usually go
out for dinner or lunch. A good example is Macy's
or Shopper Store. Then you have specialty store, which just focuses on
one single category. So in specialty store, you will find a specialists. So you'll find a specialty store for makeup and beauty product. You'll find speciality store for sports item and equipment, things like Decathlon, Sephora. These are the example
of speciality store. Now, if you think for a second, each and every kind
of retail format targets a specific segment
of customer and their need. For example, if I wanted to
buy groceries for my family, I might go to a supermarket
or hypermarket. But if I'm inviting my
friends, and in that case, I need to grab some snacks
or some soda for them, I'll go to a convenience
store in case if I'm going for a movie and if I wanted to buy a t
shirt or something, then I might go to
a department store. In case if my girlfriend or a friend wanted to buy something from
a speciality store, they'll go to Decathlon. Each and every kind of so you buy your weekly groceries
from a supermarket, but you run into convenience
store if you need milk. You will buy your grocery
store from a supermarket, but you will run into
convenience store if you need products
like milk at the night. Now let's talk about
trading area and location. So your format is
super important. It matters the most in deciding what exactly
you wanted to put in your retail store and what kind of audience
you wanted to target. But location also
decides the success, you cannot open the
similar kind of retail store in one single area. You have to define the
retail trading area, and then only you should
open the retail store. The first thing that
you need to look into is the residential
neighborhood. If you're opening a
supermarket for daily needs, you have to make
sure that you have enough people buying these product from
your retail store. And there is an
exercise in this course that we'll be doing
to understand how much potential
buyer can we expect in our retail store from a
specific retail trading area. Then you have transit
hubs and highways. So if you are opening a small convenience
store, in that case, footfall is very important, like how many people
are passing by that street so that you can
actually drive some sale. Third is downtown Moon. If you're opening a department
store or a flagship store, you need think how many
people are just coming to that area with their
family as a couple so that they can actually buy something from
your retail store. And this super simple exercise
is usually performed by all retail store like
Starbucks or 711 or Taco Bell, they try to understand
how many people are actually walking
by in this area and what's the
potential sale that we can expect from this location. Like when you look
at a Starbucks, they always try to open
their store near to office where you
have a morning rush and people wanted
to grab a coffee. In fact, you will
see Starbucks a lot often on the airport where people don't really want
to miss their flight, and that's why they
go for a coffee. In fact, you will always
see Starbucks near highways where people just
stop for a long road trip. So you have same brand, but different location strategy depending on the location. Let me give you some
real world examples so that you
understand it better. Now, one good example I
can think of is Walmart. They have a huge hypermarket. They have a wide assortment of product at low prices and people usually go there
for weekly purchase. Then you have 711,
which is global. People usually grab
a few items like snacks or some cold drink
whenever they are passing by. Both of them target the same audience but have
different retail strategy. Their format and location
is super important. Now, after this, we're
going to talk about a very important concept
of assortment and variety. Let me give you a
super simple example. Let's say you are
selling watches shorts, t shirts, hat, and shoes
in your retail store. Now, when you're selling
five different item, you can only maintain a limited variety
within each category. This is the breadth, how much variety do you
maintain in your retail store? And the variation of a
product like watches, shorts, t shirt, hat, and shoes, let's
say you have 15, 20, 30, or even 100 different
variations of product. This is depth. So
we'll talk about variety which is breadth and
assortment which is depth. So this is assortment, which means how deep can you go in one specific
product category, and this is your variety. Love how wide you are. And it depends on the
kind of retail format, if your mean value
proposition of your retail store is that
you only sell fashion, in that case, you
can go super deep. But let's say if you are
talking about Walmart, they may have a
limited assortment, but a large variety. So we'll talk about
this specific concept a little later in the course. But the big question that the
retailer need to ask that what product should I stock and how much
should I arrange them. We'll talk about assortment and merchandising a little
later in the course.
5. Variety vs Assortment: Now if you wanted to start
your own e-commerce brand or retail store, or let's say you're working
for some 3D company, then you will have so many
different types of challenges. So in this video, we're
going to talk about all of those challenges
that you will face in the future in case if you wanted to start
your own retail brand, or if you will work for
companies like Amazon, Walmart, or Target or any
big multinational company that is mainly
intended reading domain. So let's look at all of the challenges that you will face. The number one
challenge is inventory. So having too much of
inventory is going to affect the reputation and the unit economics
of your business. So you have to make sure that you're balancing
out your inventory. We will do some
exercises on inventory. I have acting out
34 different types of exercises and
assignments on inventory. And we're going to cover
that specific exercise and assignment in the coming
videos about inventory, how exactly you can maintain inventory in
different situation. Then you have your
working capital. Welcome capitalists,
the amount of capital that you will need to run your day-to-day business. And we will understand how exactly you will not give
credit to a lot of people. Because if you have
a lot of debt in your business and your working capital
cycle is very long, then it will become
a difficult task for you to manage your
business on databases. Let's say you're
selling something and you're getting payment
after two or three month, then your money is locked four to three months
and you do not have regular cashflow to
run your business. And we will understand
how exactly you can optimize the
working capital cycle. Normally, companies have a
walking MapReduce cycle of 15, 20, or 30 days. Recently, I have seen some companies with a negative
working capital cycle. That means people will be in advance in the form
of subscription. We're going to
understand this working capital example with the help of one B2C brand that I'm going to explain
in the coming videos. Then you have your
omnichannel experience. Omni-channel means
you are providing an overall amazing
expedience bought to the customer who are
purchasing online and offline. And then you're connecting both of those customers together. If you look at companies
like H&M, I mean, they also have offline store and they also have an
online e-commerce store. And if you login through your mobile
number or your meal ID, then they will have a very
omni-channel experience that they will give you some online offers as wells and offline
offers as well. The connect all of your is together and then they will provide some
omnichannel experience. I guess all of the
recent reading, brands in spectacles,
in cosmetics, all of these grants are creating some amazing
omnichannel experience. We're going to talk about
that in the coming videos, where we will talk
about omni-channel, multi-channel of and I think cross-channel of
expedience to connect customer. Then reading also have
a very big challenge of optimizing logistics
and supply chain. And in this part we will talk
about the shipment cost. So let's say if you wanted to start your own e-commerce brand, obviously you cannot ship all of your product by yourself. So you have to look for
some logistic partner, like FedEx or R. And then you have to look for those logistic partner
to ship your product. Then you also have
to make sure that your argue rate is low. Audio is returned to the origin. So if a lot of customers are
sending back your product, then you have to be twice the logistic cost and
that's bad for business. So how exactly you
can minimize audio, you can create efficient
delivery and you can maybe give some offers to
make sure that you have less RTO In that case. So that's one of
the big problem. Now let's reduced our
WTO by understanding our foster biggest problem,
which is inventory. Now to minimize inventory, you first have to understand
the basic difference between variety and assortment
of your product. Now, variety and assortment
have a lot to do with the kind of free
deal format that you will be setting up for
your retail store. And let's quickly
understand this with the help of an example. Let's say you wanted to open our retail store in electronics. Let's say you wanted to
sell electronic gadget. So you always have two choices. Either you will look for
Brecht of MOOC and dice, or you will look for
depth of merchandise. But what do I mean by
variety and assortment? Let's understand this
with the help of example. Let's say you wanted to
send icon as a product. So if you open a store
where you will have all of these different types of
smartphone along with iPhone, That's a variety of product. So if you go to Walmart, you may find maybe 20 different or smartphone
brands or let's say 20 different types of electronic gadget that
seed variety of product. You will have different types of electronic brands from
smartphone to your dv du, your All the ReadSpeaker do your any gadget that
you can imagine from your laptop of
different company. But if you go to an Apple
store, that's the assortment, That's the depth of
motor nice deck beams. You will just have
Apple products, almost all of the
Apple product from smart bone to
airpower to laptop, you will just have
Apple product. So you will take very small
segment and you will go as deep as you can in that
specific segment or brand. In case of Apple
Store, it's the brain. They are going very
deep into brands. So desktop, milk and ice. In case of Walmart or any
other normal electronic store, you will have variety of
product, red dot guys. So you will have
smartphone to TV, to speaker, two different
types of gadget. So you will have a
breadth of milk and ice. Same goes with your genes. So let's say you wanted to
purchase a jeans if you go to any retail store, Let's say Walmart again, you may have different
types of bloods from genes to be sure to fuse to anything
that you can imagine, let's say for both
meals and immune. But if you go to Levis, then chances are they will have much more options for
genes than Walmart. That's the assortment. So that's the basic difference between variety and assortment. Let's really understand this. So variety is the breadth of
merchandise of you can have a wide variety kind of retail store or a narrow
variety kind of retail store. So if you look at
a retail store, can have a computer
address, a necklace. You can have a wide variety of product in your retail store. On the other side, you
can have a depth of merchandise which
is deep or shallow. And you can have
just one category. Let's say if you
just wanted to set smart phone or in
your retail store, well, that's the assortment
that you're looking for. So that's the basic difference between variety and assortment. The reason I'm covering this
topic is because when you will try to maintain
inventory in your store, the new had to take these,
these hard decision. So let's say you wanted
to open electronic store. Then how many SparkFun can
you please in your store? Then you have to look out
for all dots smartphone, which are moving out of your
shelf as fast as possible. Let's see if you
look for examples like if you wanted to have iPhone Pro in your retail store of you may have all of
the four dummy DCIS. What, what kind of
iPhone you have to maintain with the
maximum inventory? Let's see if people
are, let's say, 80 percent customer about choosing the green
variant of iPhone, then you have to maintain
more inventory for that specific color or design
or variety of product. And then you have to minimize the inventory for other product. We will do some exercises
on minimizing and maximizing the most selling and the least selling
product in your. But right now we're just building a strong
foundation and we are just working on understanding some
basic concept of 3D. So in the next video, so the next video
we will talk about the different types
of detailed format. So you will have your dollar
store, your grocery store.
6. Why Pricing Matters in Retail: So perfect. Now we will discuss about pricing
and promotion. But let's first understand
why pricing is important. Even if the store has
the right kind of product and layout
and merchandising, customer always think about
finding the right deal. So they flip the label and see if the product
is worth it or not. Now, pricing doesn't mean that you can start
selling cheap. You have to signal the value. Do you want to signal a cheap, premium or fair that you have to decide based on your
retail strategy? For example, in a
convenience store, you might sell premium
or fair value. You may not be able
to sell cheap, but in Costco, your value
proposition is cheap. Then if you try to
set wrong price, then obviously, if you set it too high,
customer may not buy it. If you set it too low, then
you won't be profitable. So you have to create
so you have to price your product
in a smarter way to build trust and loyalty. So there are a few
products that you should always sell cheaper
to attract customer, and then you make money
from other products. For example, there is a
famous theory that if you wanted to attract a lot of customer to
your retail store, in that case, you start selling these six items and they will automatically
get attracted, and then obviously they'll buy something else where you
can make more money. So if you sell
five of these item affordable or cheap
in your retail store, obviously signaling
a good quality or maybe you bundle
it really well. In that case, you would be
able to attract so many users. You have to bundle
your milk, egg, butter, and a few other product really well for the customer, and make things look
more attractive, they will eventually purchase
these items from you, and sometimes they'll also
buy a few more things. So retailers use
different approach as a pricing strategy. Like if I give you some example like Walmart has
everyday low pricing, where they try to maintain a consistent low
prices of all product. Then you have high
and low prices, like certain brand don't
really sell at a lower price, but on certain festival like Black Friday or New Year's Sale, they have frequent
discounts on weekend, and Msys and Big Bazaar are those two brand who sell
it at a normal price, but they always have some
sort of discount going on. And then you have Stan
brand that try to sell you at a premium because that's
their value proposition. Hole foods and Apple store, you'll rarely find a discount or a deal on any of their
product because they sell a really good premium
brand and they don't really want to compromise
on the branding.
7. Types of retail store based on format: Hey everyone, In the last
video we were discussing about the difference between
variety and assortment. In this video, we're gonna talk about the different types of retail store based on
the format and location. So based on the format, you have all of these different
types of retail store. You have your club store, your mass modernize,
your dollar store, your traditional grocery store, and your organic or
natural grocery store. These from the perineal area, you have all of these
three different format. You have your solitary side, your plant shopping area,
unplanned shopping area. Now the meaning of
this video is not talked about the different
types of retail store, but just to cover some
very basic concept about the different 3D format so that you can
understand them better. Because the more if you start
working in a club store, then your strategy will
be very different than the strategy which is
used by a dollar store. To the meaning of
this video is to understand some basic concept. And in the coming videos, we'll do some exercises and assignments on
retail trading area. Now bringing your
cotton ball club store, we're talking about Blob stores like Costco or Sam's Club. These are big warehouse where you will get
all of your product. But in bulk quantity. When we talk about
mass merchandise, you will also purchase all of your different product or
enlarge number of quantity. And we are talking about companies like
Walmart and Target. These companies have
mass merchandise store. Then we have Dollar Store. I think all of the
product or I would say the majority of the product
are close to around a dollar. And then you have your oldies, your gender, and
your Dollar Tree, all of these columns under
Dollar Store category, then you have your
traditional grocery store. So any normal grocery store
that you can see around yourself that comes under
this specific category. Then you have your natural
and grocery store. So companies like
Whole Foods sprouts, people who are running these
organic grocery store. In the end you have
your doorstep delivery. So companies like instruct
our blue upper arm. These companies are doing the doorstep delivery and that's also a type of retail format. I know that's an online format. It comes under e-commerce
and last-mile delivery, but we're still covering this specific type
of retail format because it's really trending and we have to get over the
different types of crime. And if you want me
to cover all of these six different types of retail store or reading format. I can do that, but that's one of the eastern
lot of your time. That's why in this video, we're gonna take a couple of
example to understand all of these different OK store
in a much better way. Now let's quickly understand how exactly Costco and
Sam's Club made money. If you're not from us, then Costco and Sam's Club are two big reteaching or I would say kind of
a warehouse team. They have such a big
warehouse where you can purchase the product
in bulk quantity. So clubs and warehouse
kind of retail store like Costco and Sam's Club usually offer lowest price
of the product, but they have limited
shortening and you have to purchase all of those
products in bulk quantity. Let's quickly understand that with the help of an example. Let's say you wanted to purchase granola bar from
Costco or Sam's Club? And let's say you
have two situation. Let's say in Costco, maybe you have a 49
individual pack of granola bar and that
specific pack size is gonna cause to
around $14.79, same. And the per unit price of one granola bar
is around ¢0.302. On the other side,
if you purchase the SIM granola bar
from a grocery store, then they will have
backoff six granola bar. And then the reading price
of that specific pack is around 20 dollar and 79 percent, then you will have a per
unit price of $0.46, which means all of these Colombian warehouse paint
off reading format, we'll say You all of these
products in bulk quantity. And that's why the
per unit price of the product is very less, but they don't really provide
you a wide assortment. That's why a lot of people go to these kind of globin warehouse, retail store and the repurchase, all of the product of their
choice in bulk quantity. Not because they are
having a very limited or shortening or depth
of the product. They are saving a lot more on logistic and inventory
holding cost.
8. Types of retail store based on trading area: Hey everyone, My name is Nadine. And in this video
we're going to talk about retail location
and site selection. Now, obviously,
if you're opening a new store or
your retail brand, then you have to make
sure that you're looking at competition and how many people you can serve from that specific retail store. And that's why we will cover this topic where we
will understand how exactly you can look at retail location and how you
can select a good site. You can start your retail store. One business location
is a unique factor, or I would say,
competitive advantage, which cannot be copied by any
of your competitors, are, if you look at companies
like McDonald's, McDonald's is not just
a fast food company. It's a brilliant Jodi
Boolean real estate company. And there is a beautiful
article that you can find out about
McDonald's and how they were purchasing
the best quality retail or species back in 2010, 2013, and how they are
real estate company, apart from being the fast food or a fast food chain
kind of business. So purchasing the right kind of free deal acid at the right
price at the right time. It's super important
because if you have that, obviously it will
increase in value. And then you will
then also generate profit from that specific
real estate property, apart from the
traditional business that McDonald's is
doing right now. Now how the 3D location will give you a very strong
competitive advantage. So if you select a
good retail location, or it could be a really good
decision in the long gone. Because obviously, you will generate some good
profit from your brand. And the property that
you have purchased for your reading store will
also increase in value. But nowadays, a lot of these retail chain usually
leads these properties for, let's say five years,
seven years or 10 years. But both choosing them
at the right price at the right frame can also
be very beneficial then of purchasing a
reading property can be a long-term investment
because obviously you can't really bulges one piece of property somewhere and then
even sided after few years, you have to establish
your readings store. You have to build your brand around that specific
retail store. And that's why it's a very
long-term capital investment. Also. If you're Reagan store is
located at the right location, it will also attract
a lot more customer. Because Exxon EDS, you have a specific gene
of retail store. And if you have
your retail store around that specific area, let's say you're opening
your retail store or let's say your restaurant
around the food court. Or in that situation, that's a very good location
because a lot of people are coming to that
specific area just to eat food and having a good location can also change the customer's
buying habit. Now to understand how
exactly you will decide on choosing the right kind of location for your
specific restaurant. We will understand that
creating area cost. If you look at this diagram, you can see that at the center you have
your retail store. And around that same though, the first circle is your
primary trading area. The second circle is your
second rotating area. The third concentric circle
is your fringe trading area. And then you have your customer. So almost 70 to 80 percent of your customer will be there
in this primary grading area. Around 15 to 20 percent of your customer will be there in the secondary trading area. And around five to 10
percent of your customer will be there in the
French trading area. So your primary focus
should always be on capturing majority
of the customer in this primary printing area. When I'm saying
primary trading area for some retail store, this can be our own, maybe, let's say five miles or 10 miles for other
readings stored, this can be around
15 or 20 miles depending on the type
of retail store. So let's say if you are planning to let say expand Wal-Mart, let's say if you're working
as a retail manager in Walmart and you wanted
to start a new store. In that situation, you
will always take our 3D creating a the operon
15 to 25 miles, something like that.
But you got the idea. So let's understand
the benefit of doing the trading analysis or the
training area analysis. Now, obviously, before
opening a retail store, you will examine your customer, their demographics, their
social, economic profile. And you will also focus on some of the
promotional activities. Then you will evaluate
whether your grading area is overlapping with our different
retail store or not. And then you will give
the iron competition because you have to make sure that you do not
have any competition, at least in the
primary grading area. Then you will always
make sure that you have optimal number of store in a
specific geographical area. Now let's quickly have a
look at the different types of retail store that you can establish a
different reading area. Then we will do some exercise to understand how can you accept the optimizer
trading area and how you can choose the right
kind of grading area. And we will do that by understanding released
law and Hoff's law. And we will do a couple of exercises on release
low and hostile. But before that, let's
understand the different types of retail options
based on trading area. So fast you have your
solid tree site. So these are single
freestanding shops or outlets which isolated
from other retailers. And these are normal
mom-and-pop store. And if you look at the advantage
of these kind of store, are these we have a
low occupancy cost because obviously the rent
of the store will be less because they are located
in some other area where you have less number
of people and they also have less
number of competition. But the disadvantages are because you have less
number of people, you will always have
lower footfall, or so-called low visibility. Then you have your
unplanned shopping areas. Now these are there in developing countries
like India, China, and probably might
not be there in developed countries
like the United State, UK, or Australia. But these are basically
some location which evolved over time because
you have more number of people into that
specific area. So the advantage
of these kind of unplanned shopping areas
is because they have high visibility and
a lot of people are coming to these kind
of random market. But the disadvantage is you
do not have any security, you do not have any
parking facility. So it'll be super
difficult for customers to purchase from these
unplanned shopping areas. Then you have your
plants up in areas. So all of your shopping malls will come under this category. So these are large retail brands or so-called anchor stores. Which basically elevates
the customer interest of if you look at the advantage of these kind of
blend shopping areas, you have your high visibility, you have more number of customer and they have excellent
parking space. In terms of disadvantage, they need a high cost to
maintain the security. And you always have to be a very high rank to get one
shop in the shopping mall. So I hope you got a fair understanding of
all the different types of retail store based on format and different type of retail
store based on trading area. So I hope you'll
be 600 a strong. Remember, the main
purpose of making the last few videos is not
to D2, any technical topic, but to build up a strong foundation because once you have a
decent understanding of what do you
mean by club store or mass merchandise
store or Dollar Store, or how exactly are
solitary side work? What are the disadvantage and advantage of these kind of site? In the coming videos, we will understand how exactly when to
calculate probability. How many people will
come to your store, the radial creating area, the distance between
two retail store, the time between
two retail store. And all of those complex
exercises on Excel sheet. So we have so many
at once problems to solve and we're going to talk about that in the coming videos. So in the last video,
we were talking about all of these
different types of retail store based on their
format and grading area. So in this video
we will continue. All of those are retail store by understanding all of the factors that will undermine
the retail location. Let's quickly understand all of these factors and
then we will start doing some exercises or
some moderns and all. So the marketing team or the management team
of your company have to analyze a 3D location by understanding all
of these factors. Obviously, the cost factor is
the size of catchment area. So if you have more
number of people into any specific area, chances of your retail store
becoming successful is very high because you
have more number of people coming into your store. Also the occupancy cost or the brain of your retail
store in super-important, you have to establish a retail store where
you have less rent or less occupancy cost are then
you have number of people in the vicinity on disposable
income of all of those people. Customer traffic or footfall or so-called visibility
of your retail store. If you're a retail
store is located area where you have more number of people coming to a retail store. Obviously you will have
more number of sales down the line if you have
the right kind of product. Also the convenience
of the location. If you're reading
stories located in such an area where it's
super easy to commute. I mean, if people can gun by the guard their bus,
or public transport, if they have all
of these facility, then that's a good
location as well, then parking capacity because a lot of people
need that nowadays. And diamond distance
from other store. A lot of times I've
seen a lot of people doing 34 stuff at
the same plane. Let's see. Probably if you're
going out with your family members and then
you may end up purchasing 3, 4 product in just one go. So you need to make sure that your retail store
is located nearby to other retail
store so that people can plan for 34 different
types of bridges. And if you want to get rid
of mine at vD trading area, you have so many different
types of mortar. So the first model is a very simple analog
model where you will understand the revenue
from the similar store. So let's say if you have one more similar store
in the same media, you can understand
how much revenue that specific stories
shouldn't rating. And based on that revenue, you can take that are new
as a reference point. Same with the level
of competition. You can do some very
subjective analysis on how many stores are there
on that specific area, and then even expect
your market share. So if you already have 23 store, you can expect a market
share of around 20, 30% in the future. And then you then
analyze the size of the area and the basic
population density are these are the basic analog
model that you can follow in case if you
wanted to understand that we deal creating area. But we also have some
pretty advanced, more blue like Rayleigh's
law of gravitation.
9. Reilly's Law of Retail Gravitation : Hey everyone, Welcome
to this video of understanding the
retail creating media. I know from past so many videos, you guys are asking me for some technical
concept that you wanted to understand
and you can use that technical concept
in your real life. And that's why in this
video we're going to understand release
of gravitation and this library
help you understand that how much distance people can travel and come to
your reading store. Now this law is based on a premise that people
will be attracted to large assemblies or
large retail store like Walmart or Target. And they will travel
and the Gantt drought, almost 10 to 15 miles of
distance to reach to your store. And the probability
of people coming to your store will be based on the time and the distance they have to travel to
reach to your store. So you'll be using a
mathematical formula to understand if you're
opening a retail store, how much ADR in
terms of kilometers you can cover in good
that specific city. And we'll be using this formula. Dab is equal to D divided by one plus under root of BB VBA. And here dB is the
limit of locality. Let say if you are opening
a store in locality a, and you also have one
storing, look at it, dB, how much distance you can cover with the store that you're
opening in locality a, let's say you have a
and B are separated by, let's say toric kilometers. If you have to store, store a and store B. And he wanted to understand how much area I can
cover with this store a, then DAB is the amount of distance that you can
cover from store a. When you are also
having a store B into the same vicinity
or area or city. Now V is the total amount of distance that you have
the green-blue store. So let's say the green
store a and store B, how much distance
you have, that's D. Then PV is the population
of locality a and B, a is depopulation of locality. So basically we have two
different retail store, retail store a and store B. And then we will understand
if a retail store, eax have a population
of this much, and if a retail store we will have a population of that much, how much distance we can cover with the retail store
8903 is very confusing. So let's really understand this topic with the
help of an example. Let's say you have two
different location, 3D location a and location B. And both of these
locations are separated by a distance of 75 kilometers. And at a retail location a, you have a population of
both of the 1000 people. At location B, you have a population of around
a 100 thousand people. Now you have to calculate that. How much area does retail
store, EEG and occupied? Now you have to calculate
the breaking boundary or the weedy area that we
didn't store IQ and occupy. And you have to get
glued the outer edge of that specific
retail trading area. What's the maximum distance that we didn't store
EEG and occupy. In the previous few videos
we were discussing about the primary area,
the second area. So what is the maximum
area or what is the outgoing edge of that specific area that we
didn't store EEG and occupied. Let's understand that. So I'm going to put all of
these on details that I have. I have the distance between these two different
retail store, which is 75 kilometers. I also have the population
of CTE and so DB, which is 250 thousand people
and a 100 thousand people. Once I put all of these values, I will divide 75
divided by one hundred, ten hundred divided by
250 thousand people. I will have a value
of 45.9 kilometers. That means we will store a, will have an ADL
45.9 kilometers. And we didn't store B
will have a reading tweeting AT off bernie
9.1 kilometers. That means if you
start a retail store a in a different city and you will have
250 thousand people. So the maximum distance from which your
customer is coming to your retail store a will
be 45.9 kilometers. And similarly,
29.1 kilometers is the maximum distance from which your customer will becoming
to retail store number B. That's the simple
concept that you can do in case if you wanted to calculate the retail
creating area just by understanding
important number, population of that specific area and the distance between
blue retail store. Obviously we are not considering any other assumptions like
the type of retail store, the kind of merchandise you
have in your retail store, what date of default
which are there in that specific area? How much disposable
income they have, what is the amount of revenue
that you can generate? We will understand all of these advanced topic or
advanced problem. Or I would say we will
do these multifactors or might be variable or calculation
in the coming videos. But the main purpose of
understanding Rayleigh's law of gravitation is to understand just the two
important parameters, which is your population of a specific city and
the distance traveled by people in the
different retail store or girls, two different city.
10. Huff Gravity Model: So hey everyone, In the last
video we were discussing about release well,
three-day gravitation, where we calculated
the 3D area in terms of distance that you
can cover if you know, depopulation and the distance between two different
store or city. In that case, we
had a CDA and Cdb, which had a population
at a certain distance. And then we were
able to calculate the area of that
specific retail store, like your retail store
located at the VA or sub db. So now in this video
we're going to talk about hops gravity marble, or hops love
shoppers attraction. But why we are doing that? The problem is the size
of the median store. In the last video,
we were discussing about the population of
a particular city and the distance between two
different retail store or between two different cities. Because if you have a
bigger retail store, chances of people coming to a bigger retail store of a
bigger size is very high. That's the decent
people have a lot of chances of coming
to Walmart or Target. Obviously the stance is the major factor and that's
why you have distance decay. So if you increase
the size between two different retail store or between two different location, the amount of activities between two different retail
store will decrease. That means we will consider distance and the size
of retail store. Two halfs gravity Morgan. So let's understand that with
the help of the example. So you have two
different retail store, retail store I or
widowed store Gee, you can take it as retail
store a or a and store B. And then you have two
different customer, customer number e and
customer number B. Now, what will be the
probability of customer a going to retail store I, if he knows the size of the retail store and the
distance of the retail store. That's what we want to calculate using hubs gravity model. And similarly for customer B, if he knows that distance
between retail store I and retail store G and the size of both of
these retail store, what will be the
probability of customer B? And do retail store j
or retail store ai, based on only two assumptions, the size of the retail store and the distance between
those two retail store. But remember, the probability
of customer going to any of the store will depend directly
on the size of the store, which means probability
of customer going to NAD the in-store is directly proportional to the size of the detail store and the probability of
a customer going to any of these retail store is inversely proportional to the
distance of DDT and store. So if you have
high permeability, because the size of the
retail store is higher. Let's say if you have a customer
at this black point and these two stores are separated by a distance of 75 kilometers. And let's say this customer is located at 37.5 kilometers
from location a. Now you wanted to calculate
the probability of this specific customer
going to location a and the probability of this
specific customer going to location B if you have the size of the
store a and store B. So the size of store a is 250 thousand square feet or footage, whatever
you call it. And the size of location B is a 100 thousand
square footage. So let's say you wanted to
calculate this probability. Bce, PA is the size of this
specific retail store, a RDAs, the distance
from this customer, or I would say 37.5 kilometers, and then the summation of
the total distance and the total retail store size. So you have your 250
thousand square feet divided by 37.5 kilometers, which is the distance of
this customer to location a. And this is divided by the total summation of
the complete distance, which is 37.5 plus 37.5, plus your complete or size
of bodies retail store, which is 250
thousand square feet plus 100 thousand square feet. And then the probability
of this customer going to read in
store a is 0.71. So if you subtract
the probability of this customer
going to store a, which is 0.71 from one, which is the total probability, then you will have 0.29. So the probability of
customer going to store a is 0.71 and the probability of the same customer going
to store B is 0.29. If you add 0.71 with
zero-point due 9, you will have one as
your probability, or you can also consider
this as a person needs. So there are 71 percent chance that this customer
will go to store a, and there are 29% chance that this customer
will go to store B. If you only have two factors like the size of the store and
the distance of the store. So in the last video, we had a discussion about
if you have the population of a specific area and the distance between
those two areas. In this video, we
had a discussion about if you have the
size of a location a, and the distance between
both of those magician. And what will be the probability
of a customer going to location a or store
a or maybe store B. That's what we had a discussion about the
hubs gravity model. Now obviously these
things sounds super simple in
the presentation. But in the next video
we're going to do a super complicated problem, a real life problem
of a retail store. And then we will calculate the probability that
we deal trading area. And in the coming videos, I'm also going to give
you one assignment. So in the next video, we will do one problem in Excel sheet. And then I'm going to give you one assignment that you
have to do by yourself. Remember, the main
purpose of creating this retail management course is to make sure that you are doing all of these
assignments by yourself because that's how you will understand all of these concept. So please do all of
these assignment. If you are stuck somewhere, please refer to the FAQ or
the comment section below. And I'm also going to attach
the solution as well. But these Excel sheet
problems will really help you solve these
complex problem. Because I feel in the
presentation I didn't cover. So Dean topic I can cover
electron more theory. But these excellent seat will be a very strong foundation or will help you
understand these topic, this topic in a much better way. In the end, apart from
hops gravity model, there are so many
components that you also have to consider while you are calculating the probability or that retail
trading area, lake. We already had a discussion
about the catchment area. What we now had a discussion
about the occupancy cost, or rent of a retail store, which is a major
deciding factor. The disposable income
of the people, the parking capacity,
and the competition. Now, in the coming videos, I think I'm also
going to take all of these things under
consideration. So now we're going to do one problem in the
Excel sheet where we will take the competition
on the parking space, the occupancy cost,
and couple of more factors like working
capital and all of those. So in the coming
videos, we will take all of these factors because in the past videos we just took
our factors like population, distance and the size
of the beat in store. But we also have to
consider competition on disposable income that went off that specific retail store. And we will do couple of exercises in the coming
videos because I feel if I will cover all of these
3D law or retaliatory, it's not going to add
value to your carrier. So I feel it's better
to solve problems, or I would say use cases or assignment to understand
these concepts.
11. What is Omnichannel retail strategy: So now in this video, we'll talk about
omni channel retail. In Omnichannel retail strategy, a company will try to create multiple channel to create a consistent
seamless experience. For example, you can order
grocery online using Walmart and Target and you can also go to the retail
store and buy the grocery. That's your Omnichannel. And not just grocery store. If you wanted to buy spectacles, then you can just go to A
Lenscart or Vo Be Parker to buy your spectacles and
you can also get them online as well if
you know your par. So the main idea is that
in omnichannel retail, you can experience or get to experience both in
retail and in online. And they try to provide you
a consistent experience. And generally shoppers sometimes research online about
a certain product, but they don't really know
the quality and the feel, and that's why they
go to a offline store so that they can touch
and feel the product, and that's where
they purchase it. And this can happen other
way around as well. Let's say they go
to a retail store, simply touch and
feel the product, and if they feel that
they are getting some good deal online,
they also buy it. And sometimes people
get a little confused. Now you can always sell a
product cheaper online. On the flip side, if you
open a retail store, you now have to pay
rent, salaries, you have to stock all of those item in multiple
retail store. Isn't the cost going up for a retail store?
The answer is yes. But as a brand, you still
have to price your product consistently both
offline and online channel so that people
don't feel that, hey, we got a bad deal
in a retail store, but online, it was cheaper. So they try to maintain the experience consistent,
including the price, but sometimes they also simply just lose the context and
give more discount online. But the two important term
that you need to understand in Omni channel is web
rooming and showrooming. Let me help you understand this with the help of some example. So in webrooming,
you browse online, but you buy that
product in store. That's your web rooming. So let's say you look at a laptop online on a
ecommerce website, but then you feel
like that, Hey, I wanted to go into
a retail store, wanted to use the
laptop for some time, and then I want to
take a decision if the price is the same. So that's the example
of webrooming. Then you have show
rooming where you actually size the
product in store, and then you buy it online. Now, there could be
multiple reason. Let's say you might be getting a good discount online or you want it to get a delivery of a certain product
at your doorstep, or you simply want
to gift someone. In that case, you go
with showrooming. That experience is
known as showrooming. Retailers must prepare
for both the kind of experience and you need to
maintain a consistent price, and you need to maintain
a consistent experience. And that's why omni
channel is important. But why Omni channel
is so important? Why do you need to maintain
multiple channel like online retail store selling
through third party? Why do you actually just
create more problems? Well, the simple answer is
that different people need different product
at different point in time using different channel. For example, you
may want a coffee, but you don't really have
time to go to a coffee shop. In that case, you will
use a food delivery app. Sometime convenience is one
factor where people want it to order online and they want it to pick
up from a retail shop. Sometimes they just
wanted to order online and expect a
delivery on their doorstep. Convenience is one
factor why brand usually go for Omni
channel presence, where they create a app, try to sell the product
online if they can, and they also have
retail locations so that they can
build more trust, provide a better experience, and people can actually feel the experience
around the product. Third one is loyalty. If you are giving some
loyalty points to some users, you need to make sure
that they are able to use these loyalty
points everywhere, whether they go to a retail
store or they buy it online. A really good example
is Starbucks. Their app will give you loyalty points that you
can earn and redeem both online using
their mobile app and even in a retail location. When you look at any
of the retail store or retail chain or in
fact a DTC brand, they have online presence, and some are more online, less offline, while some are
less offline, more online. It depends on the retail mix. Like when we talk
about a DTC brand, they cross their first
five to ten millions of revenue online by
selling on Amazon, Ebay or any other
ecommerce store. And once they have a
strong online presence, then they try to open a few offline store at some
popular places where they can actually make sure that people
are able to touch and feel the product and it builds
trust and also drive sales. Now let me give you
some example of brands that has to have
a omni channel strategy, it becomes compulsion for them. One good example is verbi Parker and one Asian
example is LensCart. When you try to sell
spectacles online, it's difficult because
as an individual, I honestly don't know what my e par is and that's why
I left with no option, but to walk into a
retail store who can measure my IPR and then they can just suggest
me a good spectacle. So they have to have
offline presence so that people can walk
in, choose a frame, then they can get
their eye test it, and then these spectacles would get delivered
at your doorstep. So they don't manufacture anything inside
the retail store. They have a centralized
manufacturing, but the retail location is there so that you
can pick a frame, get your eye tested, and the product will be
delivered at your doorstep. Now, once your eye is tested, your par remains same for at least one to two years if
you are below 25-years-old, and above 25, I think mostly your par remains same up
to seven to 80 years. So once you know your par and
this platform knows that, hey, your eye par is this, you don't really have to walk
in into our retail store. You can simply pick online, and yeah, we'll deliver
it at your doorstep. That's one advantage.
Another example is Nike. Like, Nike sells all
of their shoes online, but you still love going to their retail store and
you want it to try out the shoes because you just wanted to touch
and feel the product. Another example is Walmart. So you can order
groceries online using Walmart App or you can also
go inside the Walmart store, and you can simply, you know, buy all of the stuff. Then you have Sipora. So all of these brand has an
omnichannel presence. They try to maintain consistent
price and experience, and some actually uses offline retail channel so that you can touch
and feel the product. So that's the main idea
of omnichannel strategy.
12. Webrooming vs Showrooming: Hey everyone, welcome
to the new video. In the last couple of videos, we were discussing a lot more about traditional retail brands, like your Walmart, dog ate, and a lot more franchisee brand. But if you look at 21st century, we are currently living in 2022. And you may see a lot more
demand of e-commerce brand, B2C brand, all of
this internet 3D. And that's why
we're going to talk about the modern
e-commerce, B2C, and internet retail with the
help of this specific topic, which is omni-channel strategy. Now before jumping
into Omni-channel and multi-channel and understanding
the modern e-commerce. We didn't strategy. We first have to
strengthen our basics by understanding the difference between showrooming
or webrooming. Believe you're
not. E-commerce is important of DTC brands
are very important. But on the flip side, retail is here to stay. Retail will grow in the future. You will still see a lot of franchisees we
deal Ben's opening up in your place and both of these things
will go hand in hand. That's why we're going to
understand the difference between showrooming
and webrooming. But before that,
let's understand the advantage and disadvantage of opening and we didn't store. And same with the
e-commerce brain. Now let's look at
the advantage of opening our retail store. The first advantage is
obviously touch and be. A lot of people can walk in into your retail store and they can touch all of these product, specially if you
look at beauty bar x or let's see all
of your plots. In all of these kind of product, you always need this touch
and feel kind of element. And people still don't prefer
buying these things online, like a beauty product, your lipstick or growths, and all of the stock. Also, you may not have
a personal touch or a personal service and you can always reduce down the risk. Because when you
purchase online, although the securities super strong gravities and
privacy is also very good. A lot of these e-commerce rent
are producting your data, but still you have a very
minor chance of some form of security and privacy risks are then you will also get
immediate gratification. The time you use a lipstick, you can instantly
see the result. For eCommerce brand, you
have to purchase it, then it's going
to take some time to reach to your doorstep, then you will try it. So that may not give you
instant gratification, this radial stork and give
you instant gratification. Also the entertainment and
the social experience. Because chances are that if you are visiting
a retail store, you may have your friend, your boyfriend, your
husband with you. I know you don't really enjoy it that much
with your boyfriend, husband if you're
purchasing a lipstick. But you got the point. You always have some form of entertainment and social
experience in that part. Then browsing experience, you will look around for 10 grindy, totally different
types of lipstick with different sort of seeds. I was not really aware that being to have so many
different types of sheets like hot pink and I guess there are 20 different types of
shades within the pink. I'm still confused
between red and pink. But that's a different thing, but you will have a good
browsing experience. The process to jogger
also be using cash. I think that's not that
important nowadays. If you look at the issues which are their ingredients store, you will have a limited reach on because if you are
opening a retail store, you can just call it 10, 15, or 20 miles of
distance, That's all. Then you also have
limited assortment and variety and that's the
most important factors. That's the reason why all of these e-commerce rent
or super successful. They can provide
you thousands and thousands of different products
with different shades, different size, different
color, or different flavors. So that's the variety
and assortment. I hope you already have
a good understanding about the difference between
variety and assortment, where IT is the
breadth of the product and assortment is the
depth of the product. Then you have your
high operation cost. Obviously, if you're
opening a store, you have to pay your rent, you have to be or some operational goals
like your salary, running a store, electricity, furniture, and all
of the interior. Then also you can't really use information or
destroyed by people. And because you have a
very limited timeframe, if a purchasing online
you can give rating, you can pass on feedback. You can choose multiple options. And that's going
to give a lot more feedback from the people. Let's look at the advantage of having an online e-commerce Ren, and let's look at
a disadvantage. The first advantage is
obviously look and see. People can look around
maybe too grindy, totally different types of
product without being judged. Nobody's going to ask
that why you are asking for so many different
types of product. Also, you will have a
personalization, Dutch. Now, the element of personalization
is super important. Let's see, intermediate story. You can only maintain 10, 20, 30 different types of inventory. But in online you can maintain maybe, let's say ten thousand, fifteen thousand
different types of fossilization element in
a centralized warehouse for the whole country. But for retail store,
you can't really have that personalization touch. Then you have a broader
and deeper assortment. I think we already had a good
understanding about this, where IT is basically how broad
categories assortment is, how deep your category is. So that's the benefit of
having an online store. Also, the time information. I mean, online app
is open 24, 7. You can purchase
it in the morning, in the evening anytime you want. Also, they provide
you a greater reach if they're opening up
online e-commerce store. Obviously, you can dab on all the people are
on the wall in your own country
at any location, then they have a
lower cost structure. It's just going to take
cost to around 25, $30 to open an online
e-commerce friend and you can start selling all of your product or
different customer. Let's look at a disadvantage of having an online
e-commerce spring. One of the disadvantageous high security and privacy concern. I think that's not a
disadvantage anymore. Our recently, if you use a third party channels
like Shopify weeks, WooCommerce, I think the
data is quite productive. And that's not an
issue nowadays, but previously it was
a big issue back then. Then you also have a
higher returns then store. And this is a very big problem. I think go, I've
seen are returned to origin or RTO
rate of 20 percent. When I was working for 1D to see brand almost 23 years back, I scale when B2C brand from 0 to a million
dollars in revenue. And when I was
working, I've seen 20, 30% of product coming
back to our beer house. And when the product
is coming back, you are incurring
the logistic cost, both the forward logistic cost and reverse logistics cost. And that's a very big of being in the wrong
part of your body. I mean, you just being
the fees just to ship the product
and if the customer is sending back to the product, you're also paying the fees. Very, very bad stuff. Then you also have a lack
of trust on this issue is somewhat also resort because
of the legal compliances. Almost all countries have very strict rules
and regulations. In Greece, offeror
in case of something bad happens to the customer. Now let's understand
the difference between showrooming
or webrooming. This is super-important. So let's say you always
have two options. Let's say you wanted to
purchase a dress from H&M. Are you always have two options. You can either go
to their website and then purchase the product. Or maybe you visit
a nearby store, lookout for that specific dress. And if you find that there is
a price difference between what's their own
internet and what's there on the retail store, then you will come back home and purchase that from
your smartphone. So you always have astronomy. Showrooming means you
browse on in the store, you look out for that
specific product and you will purchase online. For webrooming, you
will browse, I mean, you will browse, you
browse on the Internet. And then you look out
for a good product. And then you will go to
that specific brand, retail brand, and then you
will purchase these products. Now, webrooming and
showrooming have advantage and
disadvantage as well. One of the biggest
disadvantage webrooming and showrooming half is
price inconsistency. Obviously, to run
our retail store, it's going to be
super expensive. You have to pay rent, you have to pay salary, you have to maintain inventory. You have to make
sure that you have enough furniture,
electricity bill, and all of the stock so that we automatically inflate the
price of the product. On the other side, if you're
running an e-commerce store, you just have to maintain a centralized inventory
in a warehouse. And then you can ship
all of your product from that warehouse to all the
people around the world. So technically the
cost will be less in the e-commerce keys, but because people are doing
showrooming or webrooming, it's super difficult for a retailer to maintain
price consistency. Nowadays they're doing
it because customer, it's super smart and they have to align with the customer. But that's a problem that
we are still tagging. So as a retail manager, if tomorrow we will walk for any multinational company
like Amazon, Walmart, Target. And you also have to
make sure that you have the price consistency
across all the channels, your e-commerce, your
retail store, or anywhere. Let's understand
some research study that was done in
showrooming or webrooming. So let's look at the
showrooming or webrooming part. So let's look at webrooming. 78 percent of customer have
researched their product online before this doc
purchasing physical store, which means hinder out of 78
customer accepted that they use to look out for product own lane before the repurchase those
product offline. That means webrooming as important and you should
consider webrooming. Seemed it's showing me almost
72 percent people have visited some form
of store before they start purchasing
that product online. That means showrooming
is also important. That means you have to focus on webrooming aswell
shortcoming as well. One of the major
factor which influence this webrooming and
shortening stuff is price. You have to maintain
consistent price. Or let's say if
you don't want to maintain consistent price, then don't start the
retail store until and unless if you have
other factors like your personal dodge,
your personal feed. All of those factors which also influence
customer behavior. Let's say if you're
selling your product at an extra 5% rate and then providing touch and
feel of your product, then it's not a big deal. But if you're selling
something which doesn't need a lot of personal touch,
feel and experience. So by conclude this video, if you're working
for some company, you have to ask questions like, why do you maintain price
consistency at both the places? What's the reason behind that? Thus, price consistency
will increase the crust, or does your product have some Dutch field and comfort
shorter element which will push people do come to your retail store and then
only purchased the product. Also, if you are opening a retail
store and if they're also selling your
product online, how do you manage inventory
cost, and working capital? For a retail store,
it's super difficult to maintain a very large
number of inventory. Because obviously you have very limited space
in retail store. And obviously if you're dealing
with some distributors, suppliers, then you also have
a working capital cycle. So let's say if a supplier is taking product from
your retail store, he may transfer money after
one week or after a month. So you're working capital
is like a month or a week and you may not
have a proper cash flow. So how will you
manage that part? And in the end, how
will you decide what's the soft point between
variety and assortment? Let's say if you wanted to
maintain a variety of Ben, different types of shoes
in your retail store. How exactly will you decide that rich shoes you have to maintain? For this purpose, we will
be doing some exercises in the coming videos where we will understand three different
category of product. You always have passed
moving product, medium moving product,
and slow moving product. We will understand
how exactly you will balance out the inventory level between a fast-moving and a slow moving product
inside your retail store. We will understand those kind of scenarios in the coming videos. But if I conclude the video, you will have to have both of these offline and
online channels. Because the benefit of having online channel is
because you can push customer gluteal
people cheese if a customer already have a good level of understanding
about your brand, about your product,
then chances are that that person is going to purchase all of your product online. That's a repeat purchase. Almost all eCommerce brand
have a very high level of repeat purchase because of the comfort and
ease of purchase. We want to talk about that in the coming case
study where we will discuss about Warby Parker. That's a omni-channel brand
in US for IVR and spectacles. So we will understand
how exactly those people started that business as
an offline retail store. But then they started
realizing that they can also sell spectacles online, which will increase
the repeat purchase in the future and reduce
down their costs, their inventory and
working capital, and sales per square foot
in the retail store. That's a different topic. Also online, it's
super attractive to the people from the age
group of 18 years to 40 years. If you are a very young
other kind of person, chances are that
you will use all of these eCommerce brand
and retail store. Also, you can maintain unlimited inventory in the
online e-commerce plan, you can have a
standardized product. And there are so many things. But we deal store
are super important if you wanted to give
offline touch points. Now when I'm saying
offline touch points, that means any product that require a touch, feel, comfort, and a social element in it, like purchasing a lipstick, purchasing your clothes,
or are having a meal, anything that require
a personal touch. So these offline retail
store will act as a personal touch to
build a strong brand, to build a very high
level of trust. Then the age group of retail store is closed
around 40 to 50 years. I mean, I'm not saying that young people don't go
to a retail store, but people with the age
group of 40 to 50 years, they don't really trust these eCommerce brand and
that's why every single time they go to the z-table
store and they only purchased from
these retail store. And they usually our
DC commerce man. I might be wrong as well. In some countries you will have very smart people
from this age group. But the majority of the
cases people may not prefer purchasing all of
these product online. Then you have your
touch and feel element, which is there in
these retail store.
13. Warby Parker Case Study Intro: Hey everyone, In the last
video we were discussing about the omni-channel
strategy of Walmart. Walmart was using the
omni-channel strategy. In this video, we will do a small case study
of Warby Parker. We will understand their
omni-channel strategy and how they were able to build a very strong brand by focusing on the
omni-channel strategy. Omni-channel strategy is really by which your product or your service reach to consumer
wherever they are present. Let's save your consumer is present in the offline market. Then you will open a store. If a consumer is browsing
through Internet, then you will start
your own website or your own e-commerce store. That's the strategy of
capturing your customer at almost all the touch
points will be your online store or you're offline store wherever
your customer is present. But remember, if you're
not from United States, you will have all of these
other brands as well. If you're from
India, then you will have companies
like length Scott. If you are from UK, you have
companies like specks where all of these companies are
doing exactly the same thing. But because these companies are presented in
different countries, different geography,
then you may have different names of
all of these brands. The main purpose is
exactly the same. Build the omni-channel
strategy for eyewear or spectacles or
whatever you call it. So let's quickly
understand Warby Parker, omni-channel strategy and lead strategies are applicable to every single brand irrespective of the country or geography
that they are serving. Let's understand the first successful strategy
which was used by Warby Parker to make
sure that people are having the best
customer experience. Now there is a reason why
people spend a lot of money in buying
these spectacles. I've seen so many
people going to different optometrist
and then get all of their intestine
and then they will purchase all of these
expensive spectacles. Now let's understand
how exactly this home try-on program of
Warby Parker works. Let's say you will go to the e-commerce
website and then you will choose five of
your best frame. And then they will deliver all of those five best
scream at your doorstep. And then you will try all
of these five frames. Maybe you will
capture a photograph and post that photograph
on Instagram. And then you will choose one frame out of
these five frames. And then Warby
Parker will deliver that specific frame at your doorstep with
whatever power you have. So that was the strategy which was used by Verbit partner to make sure that the customer
have the best experience. And even after sending all of these five different
types of spectacles, if you do not like any
of these spectacles, you can send the complete
parcel back to Warby Parker. That's the strategy
which was used by Warby Parker in their
home try-on program. Apart from this,
or they also have a full omnichannel
retail experience. They also have these
amazing retail store where you can visit
these retail store and then you can move around. Maybe I've seen some
people who did not really, like try on these five
spectacles are glasses. And they wanted to try maybe 304050 different types of
frames to choose the best one. And that's why they
have opened all of these retail store to
make sure that instead of trying to just five
spectacles now you can try 50 spectacles on your fees
or 50 frames on your fees. Also, they have
integrated their online and the offline omnichannel
retail experience. That means you can
probably purchase all of your spectacles online with
their EIM and algorithm. So you just have to
rotate your face and it will take the 3D
mapping of your fees, and then it will start showing
your different frames. We just need to
swipe right or left. And it will show different
frames on your fees. As soon as you
choose your frame, then you can quickly go to the nearby Warby Parker store and you can request them to make that specific frame for you
and then you can pick up that specific spectacles
in the next day itself. That's the kind of
integrated offline and online omni-channel
experience where we partner provide
to the customer. Because the half absorbed at 75% of people were
coming to their website, but they were not
really checking out because they were not having that physical
touch, especially in IVR. And that's why these
guys started opening all of their offline
retail store. Remember, in eyewear,
in spectacles, post-purchase always happens
in the retail store. That is also a form
of touch point. So you always acquire a customer
from these retail store. And once you have customer
trust and the customer, then the customer
would style start using your in
e-commerce website, your online app or whatever. That's the strategy
that almost all of these eCommerce
brand is following. So no matter you have
your warbyparker, your lens scarred,
your spec savor. All of these friends are following this
omni-channel strategy, where their main purpose is to acquire customer
using a retail store. Because in retail store you have different types of frame. You have all of the smartest
people who can guide you, who can educate you on the types of frames or lenses
you can choose. And once you have
all of that sort of experience about
a specific brand, then they will push
you to purchase all of these products online
because they have your part. They have the different types
of lenses that you like. And now you can browse
through maybe a millions of different types of frame in their website or
in the mobile app. Now let's understand
the different types of metrics that Warby
Parker needs to track in both their
online e-commerce store and in their retail
store as well. Let's understand specifically
for retail store, The first one is
obviously the very new. Now revenue is the
total amount of seeds that are retail
store is trend reading. The second is the channel mix, which means how many customers are purchasing the
product online and how many approaches in
that specific product offline the mix of online
and offline purchase, then you have your
growth and retention. Because obviously
if you are driving a customer in your own store, you are incurring a
massive amount of cost. You have to make sure
that whatever customer that are purchasing from
your offline store, you have to read in them. You have to make sure that all those costumer are purchasing the product
again and again. That's the repeat purchase and retention that you
need to focus on. Now in the coming videos, we
have couple of strategy to make sure that you are
retaining the customer. We have RFM analysis to do that. Then you have your
four Walmart or not. These are also known as your average sales
per square foot. So let's say if you
have a storage size with specific square foot area, then you will calculate how much sales that you're generating from every
single square feet. I mean, that's an allergy. But if you have a bigger
store and then you have to generate more amount of
revenue or more sales. If you have a smaller store, you have to generate
less than a month of revenue or then you have
your contribution margin. And we will talk
about that a little later in the course when we will discuss about the retail
accounting and finance. Please don't get scared with
finance and accounting. I'm going to make it
super simple for you.
14. Warby parker Retail Finance Metrics: Now let's quickly have a look at the case study of Warby Parker. And meanwhile in
this case study, we will also understand couple
of these metrics as well. Warby Parker started
the journey back in 2010 when they fulfilled
their first-order. Then they started
selling sunglasses. They built up their own
e-commerce website. Then they started opening
all of these retail store. They started having in-house
optical labs and they study scaling retail are after 2014 and now they have
omnichannel strategy, which means now they have
both online e-commerce app and e-commerce website
and the retail store. And the main purpose
of Warby Parker is obviously to offer the high-quality and
uniquely designed glasses for a reasonable price point. And obviously the
point of difference of Warby Parker is to offer high-quality and uniquely
designed glasses at a reasonable price. And they have home
try-on programs. They also offer outstanding
customer service, and they also have
omni-channel presence, which means they have the
online e-commerce website, mobile app, and they
also have retail store. And both of these things are very much connected
to each other. So the main purpose of Warby
Parker is to make sure that they are not focusing
on brick and mortar store, but they are converting
brick and mortar to click and brick
kind of store. We will understand that in
the next couple of slides. So let's understand
the amount of revenue that they're
generating from their retail store when
compared with their mobile app, more than half of their revenue is coming from the retail store. You can see that with
this specific diagram, you can see that in
2018, the Channel Mixer, which is the contribution of their online sale
with the offline see, you can see that you have your e-commerce sales and
your retail store city. In putting it in the retail
store sales were at 62%. And in 2020, majority
of their sales is coming from their
e-commerce website, but they also have a good
contribution of sale that is coming from their
offline retail store. What does that mean? This means that the kind of retail store that they
have started back in 2018, majority of the first seal that happened in all of
these retail store, but then customers
started purchasing all of their IVR or
spectacles online. That means your
first purchase or your first touch point is always the offline retail store. Now let's understand the
contribution of revenue from their retail store and their online e-commerce
website or mobile app. More than half of the revenue is coming
from the retail store. That means majority of the porches happens
in the retail store. And once costumer have porches, the product from
the retail store, then they will start purchasing the product online or
maybe using mobile lab. You can see purely from
this diagram, in 2018, 38% of their sales
was coming from online e-commerce
store or mobile app, and 62% it was coming
from retail store. But in 2020, that number
decreased down by almost 40%. That means 40% of their
sales were coming from retail store and 60%
from e-commerce store. What does this diagrams shown? This means that the first
touch point of the customer or the customer acquisition channel is always the retail store. Customers started
purchasing all of their spectacles back in
2018 from the retail store. But once they have purchased the product from this specific
brand or Warby Parker, then they got a good
understanding about the product, and then they started
purchasing online. You first open all of
these retail store to make sure that you are giving
best customer experience. And once a customer has a specific perception
about your brand, then they will start purchasing all of these products online. Retail store will act as a first touch point for
all of these customer. And then they will
do repeat purchases from mobile app because
mobile app have millions of frame and retail
store will just have maybe 5070 or a 100
different types of frame. Now this means that
stores are the key to the growth or for
this specific company, you can see the number
of store count in 2018, the number of store
count where 88 in 2021, the number of store
count is 145. So where we Parker is
progressively increasing the number of store count because this really
fuels off the growth. Now store count
might be difficult to open because
obviously you have to have a very high capital
expenditure in the shorter term, if you open a new store, you have to invest
capital in space, in furniture and interior, then you have to be certainly
do all of those employees. But once people start purchasing from that
specific store, it will reduce down the
expenditure in the longer run, because a customer normally
box in inside the store, he will have a good experience
from that specific brand, and then he will start
purchasing online. Based on the above trend, you can see that the store
count will increase and it may increase your capital
expenditure for a while. But after maybe
four or five years, you will see that capex
going down because now customers started purchasing online because of convenience. Now apart from your
offline store, your e-commerce website, you also need to focus on retention. And retention is one of the most important matrix
that you need to track. Seven times more
difficult to acquire a new customer than to retain
the existing customer. And that's why retention is the most important metrics as a retail manager you
need to focus on. You can see that
they have 24% around twenty-five percent retention
in the fascial months. You'll have it on
50% retention in the first two ears and then you have your around 75% retention in first three years
and around maybe 9798% retention in
phosphor years. Now the reason behind
that is obviously people don't really purchase leads
spectacle stat often. Like normally I purchase my spectacles in
around two years. So you will have a good amount
of retention in 24 months. Now the retention
cohorts is amazing. I feel this specific number
is little inflated from the very bankers side
because it's super difficult to get a
9790% retention. Normally, if you
are amazing brand, if you have amazing
customer service, you can reach to a
figure of around 8590%. But that much of retention, It's luckily inflated, I guess.
15. Basics of Income Statement: That's all about the retention. Now to understand the cost
structure of Warby Parker, we first have to understand the basics of income statement. So if you're someone who have 0 idea about finance
or accounting, I'm going to make
income statements super simple for
you to understand. And believe me, just give me five minutes and I'm pretty
much sure that you can understand this
specific diagram and probably how exactly income
statement looks like. So at the top you
have your net sales. Net sales is the total amount of revenue that you will generate. Let's say if you are
selling product, then you just need to
multiply your total number of product with the price at which you are
selling those products. And that's your total
revenue or corporate sales. So you have your total
sales at the top, then you have your COGS. Now COGS is your
cost of goods sold. That means, what is the
cost that you need to incur to produce a
specific product? Let's say if you're
selling spectacles, then what is the cost
that you require? Manufacturer that
specific spectacles? That's your COGS. If you're selling
a spectacles at, let's say a $100 and the cost required to produce TTX
spectacles is like, let's say $30, then COGS is $30, your net sales is a $100, then you have your gross profit. So if you subtract your neck seals are
your total revenue, then you have your gross profit. For gross profit, you just
need to subtract your COGS, which is cost of goods sold from your neck revenue or net sales, that's your gross profit. Remember, gross profit
is not your net profit. Gross profit is
basically subtracting the manufacturing cost
from your total revenue. Then you have your
operating expense. Operating expenses, nothing but your salary of the employees. Store, rent, your furniture, your electricity calls,
your administration cost. These are all the
operating costs which are required to
run a specific business. Now, then you may have some other costs like your furniture, your
administration, your electricity,
your marketing, your paid promotion, all
of these are other costs. So if you combine your operating
cost with other costs, you have your total cost. And if you subtract this specific total calls
from your gross profit, then you will have appetite. Appetite is you're
owning before interest, tax and a amortization. That's your avatar, which is
your net profit before tax. Then you also have
to pay some form of taxis to different
governments. That the reason we
are having a beta here because obviously if
you are running a company, you may have some
form of data as well. You have to pay debt. For that specific debt, you have to be some
form of interest. Then you have to pay taxes
to the front governments. And finally, whatever property or whatever story you have, you may also have some form of, some form of PR or damage onto that specific
property or acid. Then you will
subtract your taxes. And finally, you will
have your net profit. So that's the structure of an income statement
for any company. Now this is the
oversimplified version of an income statement. Obviously, with more figures, this will become very confusing. But for any company, this is the basic
income statement. You have your net
sales at the top, then you will subtract your manufacturing costs
from your neck sales, you will have your gross profit. Then from gross profit, you will subtract all of your
expenses like your salary, your administration calls
your store or ramp, or maybe let's say
your electricity calls to a furniture costs, all of these costs or expenses. And then you will have your
avatar appetite is you're owning before interest,
tax and amortization. Abby dot, which is also known as your net
profit before tax. And then you'll
subtract your texts, your interest, whatever. And finally, you will have
your net profit after-tax, so-called your net profit. That's the basic flow
of income statement. Now once we have a good understanding of
income statement, let's understand the
contribution margin and they have a really
strong contribution margin.
16. Warby Parker Contribution Margin: In this video, we will understand the most
important part, which is the
contribution margin. But before understanding contribution margin
per customer, we have to understand
all of the cost that is there while you're selling product or
different customer. You have your average revenue
per customer at the top. In 2018, the average revenue
per customer was $188. In 2020, the average revenue
per customer is $218. If you wanted to calculate
average revenue, you just need to divide your total revenue by
your total customer. So if you have, let's say, a million dollars in revenue and you have
a million customer, then your average revenue
per customer is $1. Let's look at all of
these cost structure. At the top you have your
cost of goods sold, which is your COGS. Let me quickly
take a highlighter and this is your
cost of goods sold. Now obviously in COGS, you have your product cost, you have your fulfillment cost, because obviously you
will be fulfilling all of these products at
customer doorstep. Then you have your salary, you have your store, and you have your depreciation. Depreciation is when
your store assets are depreciating over time, they're losing their value. Let's say you have
brought some furniture. If you resell that
specific furniture after two or three years, obviously there will be some
sort of price reduction. That's your appreciation. And that happens in almost
every single asset, from your furniture
to your lightings, to your glass, every single asset will
depreciate over time. So that's your COGS, which is cost of goods sold. What is the cost that you are incurring to sell one
specific product to customer, then you have your
acquisition cost. This is your ad spend. So let's say if we are running
Google ads or Facebook ads or any form of advertisement, or if you are doing
any paid promotion, What is the money that
you're spending to acquire one single customer? For example, let's
say if you are running Google ads and
you're spending $100, and then you are able
to acquire, let's say, a 100 customer than $10 is your customer
acquisition cost, $1000 divided by hinder customer
that you have acquired. By running that
specific ad campaign, you're acquiring a
customer intent dollar. Then you have your
service and sales cost. Obviously, if you're running
offline or a retail store, then you have to pay salary. Then you also have to provide them all of these
financial services. Then you have to accept payment. Then you also have to
provide customer expedience, which includes
having a right kind of gadget in the store, like an iPad or maybe package all of these products
to customers in different sort of packaging. So if you closely have a look at all of these cost structure, the cost of goods sold in
2018 was at $75 per customer, and this was around 14% of the average revenue
per customer in 2022. This number increased
from $75 to $90, and this is 41% of the
average revenue per customer. Similarly, in customer
acquisition cost in 2018, the customer acquisition
cost was just $26, which is 14% of
the total revenue. In 2020, the customer
acquisition cost got increased from $26 to $40, which is along 19%
of the revenue. And this might be a problem for Warby Parker because now you
have enough competition, now you have different
players in the market. They literally have to spend more money to acquire
the same customer. But they somehow can
solve this problem by retaining the
existing costumer. Then you have your selling
and service costs. In 2018, it was around $39. In 2020, it is at around $43. There is a slight
decrease in this. You have your 21% of
total sales in 2018, and now you have 20% of total sales in 2020,
sorry, it was 21%. There is a slight
decrease in this. So you have your
thirty-nine dollar, which is 21% of
the total revenue. And this code, the
crease down by 1%. In 2020, they have
20% of this cost, which is a percentage
of revenue. Then they have the contribution
margin per customer. They had twenty-five percent contribution margin
back in 2018. And this year they have
21% contribution margin, which is a slight
drop off around 4%. And this happened because of the customer acquisition cost. There is a slight decrease
in the contribution margin from 25% to 21% in 2020. And this happened because of the higher customer
acquisition cost that got increased from $26 back
in 2018 to $40 in 2022. Because of this
contribution margin, obviously this is also affecting their avatar and that's why their EBITDA margins are tight. So appetite is you're
earning before interest, UX, depreciation
and amortization. So you can see that in 2018, they had a habit of
around 3.2% in 2019, that got increased from 3.25%.9. And in 2020 this again
got decreased by 1.9%. I think this also happened
because of COVID. But in 2021 we will see the same trend on the
EBITDA margin will go up once the pandemic and all of the lockdown
stuff is over. I think it's already
all in 2022. Right now you're
making this video. But in 2022 as of now, they have already had
the EBITDA margins.
17. Customer Relationship Management: Hey everyone. In the
last video we had a discussion about
Warby Parker and we had a good description about
the different types of omni-channel strategy that Warby Parker was using to integrate their
offline channels, which is their retail store, and the online channel, which is their e-commerce
website and the mobile app. What one of the most
important element that you have to consider
if you wanted to build brands like Warby Parker is your customer
relationship management. But before that, let's understand what do
you mean by CRM. So when I'm saying customer
relationship management, these are the set of
practices, strategies, and technologies
that you will use to improve the customer experience, retention, and the lifecycle. Now I know that a couple
of complex trauma in this specific definition. So let's break down all of
these terms one-by-one. So you have your
customer experience, your customer retention, and
your customer life cycle. When I talk about
customer experience, one of the ways by
which we can increase the customer experience is
buy market basket analysis. We will understand
how exactly in a retail store you can put all of these similar
products together. Let's say you have your milk, your bed, your egg,
and your butter. All of these products
are very similar. So how exactly you can find
the similar products and then you can put all of those similar products
together in a store. To understand retention
we will do when RFM analysis recommends
your recency, frequency, and monetary. In the coming videos, we
will do an RFM analysis to understand how exactly you can create different buckets
of your customer. And then you can assign
a score and you can give them some loyalty
card or something, which can help you read
in your top 20 customer. And the customer
life cycle we will understand about the planogram. And there are a couple
of more retail concept. That's how we can
manage our customer. Now that's the advanced way to manage all of your customer. But before that we have to understand some
very basic concept. Now if you're aware
of Pareto principle, it's applicable at almost
every single place. Almost 80% of your sales comes
from 20% of your clients. Almost 80% of your profits comes from 20% of your
product and services. And similarly, 80%
of decision in a meeting are made
in 20% of your time. And not only about meetings,
sales, or services. Better TO principle is there at almost every single place at. But why we are discussing
about Betty TO or pattern TO, I don't know how
you pronounce it. Principle in this
specific video. Well, the reason is 80% of the retail business comes
from 20% of your customer. And we have to make sure that this 20% of our customer
is on loyal customer. So we have to make sure
that we are making strategy to make sure that these people are purchasing our product over and over again, we have to change our strategy
from product centric book, customer centric, because customer will
never produce the product. Customer will always
pushes the brand. And that's why we have to leave this product centric or
sales centric approach. And we have to focus on
customer centric approach. And that's what we
will understand in customer relationship
management video. But before that,
let's understand the different components of CRM. So I'm sure that you have used any of these CRM softwares. So hey everyone, In this video, we will understand the
different components of customer relationship
management. The time a customer visit on your website to the
time he will check out. There are so many touch
points that a customer will have and you have to break down all of those touch points. And then we will understand how exactly you can use all of these different types
of software to make sure that your costumer
have the best experience. Let's start with our first
one, marketing automation. No marketing automation. Email tools of very common. So let's say if you sign
up for any product, you will receive a
confirmation mail. And after that, those specific websites have
sorting e-mail triggers. So let's say every
two hours or let's say after two hours you
will get an email saying that we are offering
you 5% off on a phosphatase or let's
say maybe $5 of discount. Maybe after six hours you
will get one more meal. After two days, you will
get one more meeting. So all of these emails are
nothing but email finance, they have a specific
time trigger or let's say an action trigger. The time you visit the
website you will receive the mean from the same product
that you have visited. And all of these different
types of trigger. That is nothing but
marketing automation. You can use different
types of tool. You have HubSpot, you have
fresh work, you have Zoho. All of these are marketing
automation tool. Then you have sales
force automation. Now, we will understand
about all of these factors are components
in the coming videos. But I'm just giving
you a basic overview. Then you have your contact
center automation. So if you go to any
e-commerce website. You can see that
those websites have jet boats or maybe IVR. So let's say if you're always getting delayed and you
wanted to call someone, then they will provide you
some toll-free number. That's nothing but an IVR. And if you call
that specific IVR, it will help you navigate through the status of your
order if you wanted to change the payment
option or let's say if you wanted to cancel
that specific order, all of that is done
using IVR and checkbox. Then you have your
geolocation technology or so-called geo fencing. So let's say if you wanted
to set up product in a specific country or in a specific state or in
a specific geography, then you can put geo fencing
as restriction and then people of that specific location may not be able to order
from your website. Then you have your
workflow automation. And workflow automation is
normally used in warehousing and maybe streamlining
the basic work that you have in your company. Now there are so
many use cases that goes inside the
workflow automation, but we will discuss about that a little later
in the course. Then you have your lead
management software, and these are very basic shot off software that
anyone can use. So let's say if
you wanted to run a Google ad campaign or
a Facebook campaign, or let's say a Snapchat
campaign or Tiktok tamping, you will need a software
where you can manage all of your customer who are coming as a lead from that
specific campaign. And then you can create
all your e-mail triggers. Then you can maybe drop
some message or whatever. That's nothing but a lead
management software. You can use HubSpot,
intercom fresh work. There are more than
a million lead management SAS best product out there in the market. You can watch my course
video if you want to understand more about all of these different types
of SAS software, I have a full 78 hour course
on Software as a Service, also known as SAS. So all of these
software products that they are in the market, I have a complete course on how exactly these things work. Then you have your human
resource management or let's say you can
use your workday or DOM in books kind
of software to manage your resource of so-called
your employees internally. Then you have your analytics for your customer and you can
use Capillary Technology and capillary inside kind of product to see the status
of your customer. If I summarize the customer
relationship management or with the help of all these
different types of tool, you will manage your customer
and you will make sure that you have the complete
history of your customer, which includes the
purchase date. So at what did the customer is purchasing
any specific product? How much price that
customers have Betas. So let's say if they are using any offline channel
or online channel, you have to have the
customer data in case if you wanted to make
any of the strategy, then you have to have
the data of the SKU, which is your stock
keeping unit, or the different types of
products that he's purchasing, then you have to understand whether that customer
is purchasing products from some sort of promotion which
was given by u, or that's an organic porches. Then you also need to have all the data about the
different touch points. So let's say if you
have maybe a couple of retail store and a
website as well, then you have to understand
that whether the PO2s happened at the online
store or a BD deal store. You have to have customer data in case if you wanted
to manage them. Now there's so much
opportunity that I can cover in customer
relationship management. But personally, I feel totally is going to be used
a lot of your time. I'm personally not a
big fan of covering a lot more authority
in any of the concept. And that's why in
the coming videos, we will directly jump inside the concept and the
different models that we will use to make sure
that customer have the best experience without
discovering a lot of theory. There's a lot of
theory that is there in customer relationship
management, like how will you analyze
different types of customer, what data to collect, how to filter out the data. But I guess based on all of your important time and that's
why in the coming videos, we will directly understand the different types
of strategy that you will use to make sure that your customer have
the best experience. Let's quickly have a look. We will use three
different techniques, or I would say these are the most important techniques that are used in
retail management to analyze customer
data and make sure that you are providing the
best customer experience. The first strategy is identifying the right
customer segment. And to identify the right
kind of customer segment, we will do RFM analysis, which is your recency, frequency and monetary analysis with the help of next
model or next strategy, we will understand the
different ways by which you can identify the best costumer. To identify a best costumer, we will use CLV analysis, which is your customer
lifetime value and to increase the
share of wallet. Or I would see the ticket size or the revenue per customer. We will use market
basket analysis and we will understand how exactly you can
increase the lift off different products with the help of market basket analysis.
18. RFM analysis (Recency, Frequency and Monetary): Hey everyone. In this
video we're gonna talk about RFM analysis. Rfm is also known as recency, frequency and monetary analysis. In the last video,
we were discussing about the different ways by which you can make sure that your customer have
the best experience. And we were talking about the Customer
Relationship Management. What in this video,
we will understand the first strategy or
technique or analysis by which you can make
sure that you are giving the right kind of offers or promotions to
the right customer. Remember, 80% of your revenue comes from 20% of your customer. And identifying
this 20% segment is the most important part of
your retail management. And that's what
we're going to do. We will identify this 20%
customer using RFM analysis. Let's dive in. So before
jumping into RFM, let's understand what are we going to do with RFM analysis. Let's say we have a 100
different customer. And out of these hetero
different customer, we have to identify
top 20 customer. Now, what do we mean
by top 20 customer? These block 20 customers are purchasing from us
very frequently. These 20 customer have a
very high ticket size, or let's say a high
average revenue per user or average
revenue per user. And these 20% customer
have Bolchoz recently. These are playing them customer, these 20% are at the top
of this specific triangle. We have to identify
different segments like and probably we can also
give them a loyalty card. Let's say we will give a
loyalty card reflecting them loyalty card to 20,
20% percent customer. We will give a gore or loyalty card to around
other top 20% customer. And same with other short
of customer as well. So you have to divide all of your customer into
loyalty buckets. So obviously our main focus
is to maximize profit. Customer which are there in the lead or in the item segment. These are the least
profitable customer and we have to focus
on top 20 customer, which is our plutonium, and probably let's say
gold customer as well. Now, plutonium customer are the most loyal customer because they are least
price sensitive. Even if your brand will
increase the price, these customer will
still purchase from your brand
because these are loyal video brand that
really liked the experience because they are purchasing products from your
brand very regularly. Then you have your
goal sort of segment. Now, these are next,
best to loyal. And then you have your iron, which is that these
customer doesn't dissolve that much of attention and then you have your leg. Now recency will help
you understand how recently the customer have
purchased your product, whether your customer had
purchased the product yesterday or day
before yesterday, or maybe in the last week
or in the last month. Recency will help you understand how rethink the porches force, then you have your frequency. Obviously, frequency
is the number of transaction that the customer
have done with your brand. Let's say how many
times the customer is engaging or
purchasing your product. Let's say in last seventies, the customer have both
used your product, let's say twice, the
frequency is two, then you have monetary. Monetary will show you the average ticket size or the transaction size
of your customer. So let's say in one Bagchi is the customer has paid
you, let's say a $100. And another purchase
the customer has paid you, let's say $120. That's the monetary size or the transaction size of
that specific customer. What is these bolts
using power or spending power of that
specific customer? Now let's quickly understand this with the help
of one example. Let's say in this table, let me quickly take
a highlighter. Let's say in this table you
have your customer data. These different customer
have some very unique ID. So let's say customer one
have a unique ID of 123. So these are your customer ID. This can be a five-digit or
a six digit customer ID. This can be anything
just to see the number, then you have the recency. That means from today, how recently the customer
have purchased the product. Now here one means
that the customer have purchased the product
yesterday itself. Means the customer have purchased the product
day before yesterday. Party means that
the customer have purchased the correct
almost a month back. Now obviously, this will
come in the form of date, but we have changed the format
from D to today's state. Then you need to apply a sort function and
then you have to rank it out based on the
specific ranking criteria. Let's say the customer
12 hypotenuse to a product yesterday itself. So the rank of this
specific customer in terms of recency score is one. Customer number 11, have purchased your product
day before yesterday. That recency was three. And you have to rank this specific customer
at number two. And same goes with
all of this data. This customer have purchased your product almost
50 days back, and that's why you
give him a rankled 15. And this is your rank. So you will first short out
all of your data by recency. Then you will rank
all of these customer based on that specific
recency knob. You have to assign a
score from one to five. Now you will split out all of these customer into
five different segment, and then you will
assign it a score or a decency score
from one to five, where one means the
lowest reasons z-score. So if a customer has purchased
the product way back, let's say one or
two months back. Then you give it at
recency score of one. But if a customer have purchased your product just recently, let say yesterday or
day before yesterday, then you have to give them
a recency score of five. You can assign a recency
score from one to five based on how recently they have
purchased the product. Let's say two top 20 customer, we will assign the
recency score of five. And to the bottom 20 customer, we can assign the
reason z-score of one. You can see that you have
your 555 recency score. Then you have your
four for four weeks and z score, then
you have your 332. We have divided all of
these customers into five differential top
20% with $0.50 score because these customers
have porches very recently and bottom three
have purchased way back. These have the
recency score of one. This is all about the reason
z-score in RFM analysis. Now we also have to calculate the frequency score and the monetary score
in the same manner. So let's quickly do that. You have all of your customer, then you have to calculate
the frequency score and the monetary score.
Let's understand it. When I'm saying frequency, that means how many
times a customer is purchasing any
specific product. So let's say
customer number 9.5, a maximum frequency of 15. This customer is purchasing
15 times from your brand. This customer will have a
frequency score of five. This customer is purchasing
11 times from your brand, so you will have a
frequency score of five. Now please do not get worried
about this specific data. We will use multiple
different types of datasheet and we will do exactly the same
exercise in XLS way. The main reason of doing
this in presentation is because you can understand this much better
than other people. That's why I'm doing
this specific exercise in the presentation, but we will do the
exactly same exercise in excel sheet as well. So let's say you have
your data after customer. So customer number 3.5, both chest just once. And that's why you have a
frequency score of one. You can also assign five
as a frequency score to all of those
customers who are purchasing for the
maximum number of times, you can assign one as a
frequency score to all of that customer who are purchasing the least
number of times. And similarly, you will also
assign the monetary score. You will short all of these
customer by frequency, and then you can assign
a frequency score of five top 20 customer. And similarly, you also have to assign the monetary score. Now when I'm saying
monetary score, this is the ticket size. Obviously, you can use dollar or maybe let's say euro or any
currency that you want. If you closely have a look
at this specific data, because customer number nine is purchasing for the
maximum number of times. That's why customer number 9.5, the maximum monetary value, which is 263 $0 or euro, or whatever currency
that you are using. Customer number 12 is purchasing
for almost ten times. And that's why this
customer also have a ticket size or the
total revenue of 1510. And similarly, you will also
assign a monetary score. So if you have top 20% of your customer who are giving you maximum amount of revenue, you will give a
monetary score of 55 to all of those
top 20 customer. And you will assign
a monetary score of one to the
bottom 20 customer. Let's say customer number 15 is just giving you $25 in revenue. And customer number 15 and approaches just once
from your brand. And that's why you gave him
a monetary score of one. Now if you could click on mine all of these three diagrams, you will have this specific
diagram from one to 15. You have all of these 15
different types of customer. And if you get all of
their recency, frequency, and monetary score, you have
this specific kind of score. So costly. Customer number 1.5,
recently score of five, of frequency score of four, and a monetary score of four. Customer number, let's say 15.5, or recency score of four, frequency score of one and
a monetary score of one. And you will average out
all of these three value, let's say five plus four
plus four divided by three. Similarly, four plus five
plus four divided by three. If you average out
the RFM score and then you will find the
average of this RFM cell. So to find the average, you have to add all of
these three numbers and then you have to divide
these numbers by three. You have to add five
plus four plus four. And then you have to divide this specific number by three. You will have a
RFM score of 4.3. Similarly, you will add one plus one plus one
divided by three. You will have an
RFM score of money. Similarly, you will add
this specific number, five plus four plus four, and you will have a
different score of 4.3. Now you have to see that
all of those RFM score, which are very close to five, these are the most
important customer for you because
these customers are purchasing from your brain very decently because they
have high recency score. They are purchasing
from your brand very frequently because
they also have a very A high frequency score, and they also have very large ticket size or
after this transaction value. And that's why we have a
very high monetary score. That means all those customers
who have higher RFM score, these are the most
important customer. If you closely have a look
at the customer number 12, this customer have a
recency score of five, of frequency score of five, and a monetary score of five. This means that this customer is purchasing from your
brand very recently, very frequently, and with
the higher ticket size. And that's why you have to
focus on customer number 12 or maybe customer number 11, because this customer also have a good RFM score, five for four. And maybe customer number 12. And that's how you are able to understand the RFM analysis. Finally, if we come
back to our same point, RFM analysis will help you
identify the best customer. Rfm analysis will also help you identify all of those
customers who will soon John, or who will soon
leave your brand. So if you look at
customer number three, This customer is having a
very bad RFM score of one. This customer may stop using
your brand in the future. Then isotherm analysis
will also help you identify the potential of
your valuable customer. Let's say all of the
customer which are having a good RFM score like this
one, customer number nine. Now this customer had a
very bad recency score, but this customer have a good frequency
and monetary score. So probably you have to give him a little more promotion so that he can start by choosing from your brand or written
more recently. Or maybe the recency will become higher if you do some sort
of promotional offer. But this specific
type of customer, I'm short after understanding
this outcome analysis, You have a good understanding of different techniques
that you can use to identify the best
customer segment for your brand. And how exactly you can maybe do a couple of add promotions
are a couple of offers to make sure that
those customers are purchasing from your
brand very decently. Now this one problem with RFM analysis is it fair to
average out the recency, frequency, and
monetary score for almost all of the retail
format? Well, not really. If you look at brands like
consumer durable business, the monetary value by
transaction is very high. Let's say if somebody
is buying a fridge or a refrigerator or let's
say air conditioner. Then though, transaction size or the ticket size is very high, but that customer may
not purchase from your brand every single month or let's say every single year. So the monitory value for that specific
transaction is high. But the reason c value is
very less or very low because the customer may not purchase that specific product from
your brand every single month. Well, let's say
every single year, you have a very bad frequency
of very bad recency, but you have a good
monetary score. In fact, if you look
at other products like your fashion and cosmetic products like a t-shirt or a lipstick or a foundation. These products have
very high recency score and frequency score, but they do not have a
high monetary score. Let's say if I'm purchasing a five or $10 t-shirt
every two months, then my recency and frequency
score is very high, but my monetary
score is very less. So in that situation,
how exactly you can balance out the recency,
frequency, and monetary. Just taking their
fair average value doesn't make sense
in that situation. You will just
combine the recency, frequency, and monetary score. This is your original data. So you have a list of
all of these customer. You have the recency score,
their frequency score, and their monetary score, which is the total amount of money that they're
spending with your brand. And then you will
assign a reason z-score of frequency score
and monetary score. Instead of just
averaging them out, you will just put them
next to each other. Let's say one-to-one,
one, two, three, four, two, one, two, one,
one, and one for three. And all of those customer
who have a high RFM score, not the average score, but the total score. These are the most
valuable customer here, four to one, which is a
recently score of 421. Here we have prioritized
the recency. If you wanted to
prioritize the frequency, then you take frequency
on the phosphite, and then you can prioritize frequency based on your
prioritization matrix. So let's say this refrigerator
air conditioner business wanted to prioritize
them monetary aspect. So they have to put em
at the first-place, then they have to put maybe
recency and frequency. And based on that
specific score, they will understand whether which customer is much
more valuable to them. Still, it's a very subjective decision that you have to take. And that's why RFM score have
multiple dimensions to it. You have to understand in which retail business
we are currently in. And then you can find
out your recency, frequency, and monetary score. In the next video, we will do a small exercise and we can understand this
topic in a much better way. In that video. I will also give you assignment
so that you can also practice this RFM analysis for your specific retail brand.
19. RFM Analysis Excel Exercise: Hey everyone. And this specific video, we will do one RFM analysis. Because we know that 80% of our revenue comes from
20% of our customer. And it's super important to identify these 20%
of our customer. And one of the way you
can identify top 20% of your customer is by
doing the RFM analysis. Remember, our farm stands for recency frequency and monetary. Ideal customer have
a high recency, high frequency and
high monetary score. The main purpose of RFM
analysis is to identify the different segment
of customer based on their recency,
frequency, and monetary. And then it's up
to you whether you want it to give them
a loyalty card. You wanted to send
a small gift ampere or a thank you note,
or let's say when, if you wanted to drop
a medial or let's say three different men to all of these three different
customer segment. That's the main purpose of
doing this RFM analysis. You have these 10
thousand transaction and these 10 thousand
transaction will have these number of customers. You will also have
your customer ID. This is your customer
ID 41841011. I think you have a
customer from one to 5 thousand, I guess, yes. Then you have your
transaction data from one to 10 thousand. So let's look at the data. So you have your 10
thousand transaction data, and these 10 thousand
transaction data is there for these customer. You also have your customer ID, Customer ID or 18436571011. This is the unique customer ID that will repeat all
the time because obviously these specific
customer from one to 5 thousand are doing 10
thousand different transaction. Then you also have the gate
of this specific transaction. And then you also
have the amount of this specific transaction. Transaction number
one was around $30. And similarly, you have all of these different types
of transaction. Now we need to calculate the RFM score for all of these different
types of customer. Obviously, we will use
a pivot table fast. So I will hit control shift, right arrow and down arrow. Now I have all selected all of my data inside this specific. So you go to Insert tab. I will choose the pivot table and I will create a pivot
table into a new sheet, which is your sheet number two. Now I have all of my data
inside the pivot table. Now first I will drag my
customer column inside my role. Now I have all of these
different types of customer. Now once I had all
of my customer now I will create how
many transaction, which is the frequency of transaction these
customers are doing. It'll go to the
value setting that. And instead of doing the sum of all of these
different transaction, I will do the count of all of these different types
of transaction. So now I have now I have count. So customer number one
is 2015 transaction. Customer number two is
telling 20 transaction. Now these transactions are
happening over a period of pi. So obviously, now we need to calculate the recency
of RFM score. Now remember, recent
see shows you how recently a customer had
purchased the product. Now this one problem, we
just have one specific cell, which is our dataset. You don't have phosphate
and phosphate. The main purpose of
calculating recency is why subtracting your phosphate
from your last date. So for phosphate and last week, we will change this
from our max values. Then we will change this from
general to the date format. Now this is our last state. We will do the same exercise
for phosphate as well. We will change this from
value to the minimum. This time we are calculating the last date will
change the format. We have our phosphate
and our last tweet. Now we need to calculate
the difference between all of these dates, and we will do that
in the coming video. But we also need one more
thing we have to replenish. See, we also got
recency this time. We also need monetary to find. The monetary will drag and drop amount and we will sum it up. Now we got our recency
frequency and monetary. Customer number one, specific customer had
purchased 15 times in total. And he approaches these
products first time in 2015, which is your 2015105. And the last time this
specific customer have porches or product is in 201886. So the total amount of money that he'd spending
on our retail store, remember, this is the
total amount of money over 15 transaction,
that is 947. Let's quickly copy the
specific table or data. So we will hit Control Shift
right arrow and down arrow. And maybe we don't want this N value, which
is the summation. I will hit Control C and we will paste this specific
data table over here. And instead of pasting
the complete table, I know only the values
because if you paste the complete pivot table, then you will start
getting pivoted our hair, which we don't want,
we just want values. So now we have all of our data. So you have your total
number of transaction, which is the total
transaction done by all of these customer over
a period of time, then you have your most
recent transaction and you're starting a transaction and you have your
monetary value, which is. Overall amount of money that a customer has spent
in your retail store. Now we need to
calculate how many, for how many years this customer is purchasing products
from our bed. Obviously about the best way
to do that is to subtract your most recent transaction
minus your starting date. And then you will divide
this specific number by 365, which is your number
of days in a year. You will have your 3.586. Let me reduce it down. So this customer is
purchasing from your brand from last 3.58 years. Now obviously, we need to
calculate this circuit. Double-click on
this specific part. You can see that now
we have the d dog, all of these different types of customers who are
purchasing from your brand. This customer is purchasing
from these many ears. So now you can see
this specific data. Now we need to calculate
the frequency score. Now we already have
the frequency score or the total number of times a customer is purchasing
from your brand. That is our total transaction
that a customer is doing. But we need to calculate the frequency for
every single ear. That means, if this customer has purchased the
product 15 times, how many times this customer had purchased in a single ear. Obviously, we will divide
our total number of transaction by total
number of ears. Doc is this specific
customer had purchased 4.18 times in one single
ear. Double-click on it. Now you can see the data. These are the number
of transaction that is happening in one single ear. Now I need to calculate
the recency rank. So obviously, in item
analysis you will decorate your recency rank or frequency rank and
your monetary rank. Then you will combine all of
these links together in RFM. And finally, we will
calculate your RFM score, will use a simple rank function. Now I need to
calculate the rank of, now i, now let's
calculate the RFM score. Obviously, before
calculating the IFM score, we first have to calculate rank, and then you will
divide different ranks. Before calculating
the RFM score, we first have to
calculate the recency, frequency and monetary rank. Let's say we thank
recency frequency and monetary from one to 5 thousand. So let's quickly
calculate Frank Foster and then we will assign
the recency score. I will use a rank AVG function. So obviously I had
to create or find a recency score from
this specific number, from this specific data table. So I'll hit control
shift now and I have to freeze it and I'm looking
for ascending order. And obviously I have to freeze this specific data because this data will remain
constant over time. And only this cell will change when we will drag and drop
this function, hit Enter. And if I double-click on this, you can see that
now I got my bank. I have 677 rank
27, 406th string. You can see that I
have my recency link. Now I need to calculate
my frequency. Then I will usually use the
scene rank function rank AVG. Now I have this
specific frequency. I will calculate the
frequency from this specific data
Control Shift down. I'm looking for ascending order to freeze
this specific data because this will remain
constant over time, I will hit Enter. Similarly, I will also
calculate the rank for monetary theories
or rank AVG, monetary, have this
monetary score. I have to find rank
descending order. Then I put freeze
this specific data because this will remain
calm and overtime. Then I have to
close this bracket. Now I have this, now I have the frank
of my recency, frequency and monetary values. Now I have to segment all of this rank in a recency score
ranging from one to five. And then we will combine this recency score to
calculate our RFM score, and then we will
divide the segment. So let's say if
you wanted to give a platinum or a goal
loyalty card to, let's say, top 5% of our
customer, we can do that. Well, let's say you
wanted to send a meal or a gift or anything to 5% of your loyal
customers, you can do that. Now I think before
calculating the RFM score, I did it all. I think this monetary rank
that I've calculated, this is from the
overall monetary values that I have to calculate, the amount of money customer is spending every single year. This is the total
amount of money that customer is spending. So up to insert a new cell. And then I will create, Let's see, amount per year. How much among though our customer is spending
every single year. So obviously, do that. I will divide this
specific monetary score divided by number of years. Drag and drop. And now I'm good to go. And I also have to
change the value. Now I have to change the value
from L5 to maybe or five. So I will change this
value to all five. And even from L5 to
maybe 550 volt to four. Let me also change this. Then I will
double-click on this, and yes, I have my rank. Now I need to calculate
B recent z-score. We will use a Q function. So if, so, if this
specific value, which is my, this one, is less than 10000, then I will segment this specific customer
with recent C1. So obviously from a ranking
of one to 5 thousand, which is we have 5
thousand customer. We have divided the rent into
five different segments. In segment one, you have customer from one
to 10 thousand. In segment two,
you have customer from 1000 to 2 thousand. And similarly in
segment number five, we have customer from 1000 to 5 thousand to
all of these segment. We will give them a reason
to score from one to five, and we will do the same exercise for frequency and
monetary as well. If P50 value is less than 1000, we will give them a
recency score of one. And similarly, if the P50 value, which is this one, is less than equal to 1000, we will give them a
recent Z-score of two. Similarly, if P50 value
is again less than, it will do 3 thousand, we will give them
recency score of three. If P50 value is again, less than equal to 4 thousand, will give them a reason
to score of four. And finally, if it is
more than 4 thousand, we will give them a
reason to score of five, and then we will close
this specific table. You have a recency score of four because the recency values
more than 3 thousand, but it is less than 4 thousand. I will hit and drop. And you can see
that now you have a recency score
from one to five. Now we need to complete the
frequency score as well. The frequency score we'll
do the same exercise, can see that if this
specific frequency score is less than equal to 10000, we will give them a
frequency score of one. If it is less than
equal to 2 thousand, will give them a
frequency score of two. If it is less than 3 thousand, then three if 4,004. And finally, if this between 4,005% will give them a
frequency score of five. We will also drag and drop
this specific number. And now we have to calculate the monetary score
in the same manner. Now we have the similarly
the monetary score if it is less than 100001, if it is less than two thousand
and two thousand three. And similarly we will hit Enter and we will drag and drop. You can see that we
have our decency score, our frequency
score, and monetary score from the last video. Now we have to calculate
our total RFM score. Now there are two
ways by which you can calculate the RFM score. Either you can use
the mean RFM score, which is your recency is much more important than frequency. And frequency is more
important than monetary, then you have to be significant, catenate these
functions all you can find out the average RFM score. And then you can rearrange
these numbers and give whatever benefits you wanted to repeat your customer, let's say a loyalty
card to talk 5% or an email that you wanted to draw based on these RFM score? Well, let's say you wanted
to send some gift Pampers or whatever. I'm thankful. Thank you. Message. So let's quickly use our fast-twitch
concatenate function. We will concatenate. All of these values
are this value, this value, and this value. We will concatenate
these three values. And apart from concatenating
these three values, we can also create an RFM score. And this will be our
average RFM score. And then we will calculate a mean or an average
of these numbers. Have to go this way. And to calculate the
RFM mean average, remember, the use of this
RFM is also very important. So if you are using this
RFA analytical analysis in a store where
recency doesn't matter. All of these three values
are really important, or I would say
equally important. Let's say if you are running a retail store which is
selling practices iterator, which is a seasonal product. That sense your frequency
and recency doesn't matter. You want, we expect
matters a lot. But let's calculate
the average RFM score. Average this number. And now you can find out
the top 5% of the bracket. I will apply a short function. And then you can basically apply a short function on this. And maybe you can rearrange this on ascending or
descending order. And then you can take 5%
of your customer, or 10%, or 15%, or 20%, whatever number that
you have in your mind. And then you can give
them a loyalty card. Or maybe you can send
a email to them. Or maybe you can saying a tank full message
or whatever activity or a promotional coupons or a discount on
the next product, or whatever a new
load product loss that you are doing in
your retail store. And that's how you can calculate the RFM score of
five per cent of your customer just by having the data of transaction
Customer ID, the transaction date and the amount of money that they're spending or
that specific transaction.
20. Market Basket Analysis: Hey everyone. In the
last video we have discussion about RFM analysis, which is your recency,
frequency and monetary. And we have discussion about
different customer segment. Let us say there is
a customer segment which is purchasing very
recently from a brand. The frequency of that
specific customer segment is also very high. And they are also spending
a lot more money. So the average transaction
is also very high. So we categorize that
specific customer segment and we'll give them
a higher recency, frequency, and monetary score. Now in this video,
we're going to talk about market basket analysis. And market basket analysis
is super important even if you're working for an e-commerce brand
or a B2C brand, or if you wanted to open
your normal retail store. Now let's understand why we are doing market basket analysis. Let you closely look at all
of these three products. These three products are always pleased close
to each other. But what's the
reason behind that? Based on the retail data, these three products are
always purchased together. And that's why retailer
will always put all of these three products
as close as they can, because that's how
people will end up purchasing all of these
three products together. That's the purpose of doing
market basket analysis. With the help of market
basket analysis, we can list on of these
three products together so that they will become part of this specific bucket
or boss Pete. And that's why we call this
as market basket analysis. So if you look at the definition of market basket analysis, market basket analysis is a data mining technique which is used by different retailers, will increase the size
of the purchase and to understand the
porches pattern of different types of customer. And this can be done by
analyzing a very large dataset. In the coming videos, we will
take very small dataset of, let's say five transaction, ten different transactions to understand market
basket analysis. But in real life situation, you normally have a dataset of, let's say 1 million transaction or let's say 10
million transaction. Based off that specific dataset, we will understand
the purchase history, the different product groups, and how exactly we can increase the lift or the purchase of
closely related product. And that's what we're gonna
do in the coming videos. So let's understand the
real light use case of market basket analysis. If you closely look at
platforms like Amazon, 35% of sales that comes to Amazon is driven by their
recommendation system. This codify, or percent of sales is close
to only be 5060, $70 billion for Amazon. So if you have ever purchased
any product from Amazon, you may have seen
this specific type of recommendation engine
that these three products are frequently brought together. So let's say if you purchase any camera from Amazon will also suggest you to purchase
memory card or let's see, our lithium ion by three. And the main reason behind
that is to increase your average revenue per user or your gross
merchandise value. Amazon is increasing your
average revenue per user. Amazon is also making
sure that they have high gross
merchandise value. And that's how Amazon is cross-selling and
up-selling you the product. This specific recommendation
engine is the help of all of these different types of
algorithm or formula or models. We will not go that
deep into all of these different types of
algorithms because that will require me to run a Python script with
the help of Pandas and NumPy of you have your
SET EM algorithm, your FP Growth, your AIS, all of these different
types of algorithm will not jump into all of these different types
of complex algorithm, but rather we will understand the basic type of
market basket analysis. So why do we need
market basket analysis? Obviously, the main
reason is to figure out the different products
which are brought together. Also, we have to understand the different cross-selling
strategy of the product. Let's say if a customer is purchasing one type of product, we can cross on him, or different types
of product based on the different transaction
that happened in the past. Then we can also optimize
the store layout. So let's say if we have two products which are
very frequently bought, brought together by
different customer, we can purchase those two
products as close as we can. That's one of the way to
optimize the shelf layout. Then we can also bundle all of these DO products together with the help of
product modeling. Then we can also do
couple of promotions. We can also plan discounts. We can also maybe optimize
the storage space, which is a very big constraint for majority of the retailers, they may not have that
much of store space. And based on the market
basket analysis, and not only market
basket analysis, whatever we will do in
this video, we will also, we can also use these kind of concept in understanding
the medical symptoms or let's say maybe
financial drain because we will understand about lift, confidence and support
in this video. And you can also use the
same kind of concept in maybe predicting
different types of disease in human body. Let's say if you have cancer, then you may also have
these kind of issues. Let's say if you are
a diabetic patient, you may also have some
heart related issues. And you can also create
association confidence and lift. Obviously, we will not use this specific concept in
medical or finance as of now. But let's quickly understand
how exactly you can use market basket analysis to find association confidence and lift between different products.
21. Association and Support (Market Basket Analysis): So let's quickly
start a video by understanding our first concept, which is association or support. If you have some basic
understanding of math, then you can easily understand this topic of
association and support. Let's see, these are all different types of
transaction and these are the different
types of items that approaches in that
specific transaction. In transaction number 100, the customer had purchased beer, diaper, chocolate, and cheese. In transaction number 101, the customer have purchased
milk, chocolate, and shampoo. Similarly in other
sort of transaction, these are all different types of products that a customer
half poetry is. Technically if a customer
is purchasing a diaper, you can see that a customer
is also purchasing the B or let me quickly
take this highlighter. I can show you that if a customer is
purchasing the diaper, the customer is also
approaches in the video. Similarly, if the customer have diaper in their transaction, chances are that they
also have B or similarly, you can have diaper
beer, diaper beer. Now this is a very
small dataset. Obviously in real
life situation, you will have a dataset with 1 million transaction or let's say 10 million
transaction. But if it closely
have a look at couple of friends in this
specific dataset, you can find that in
every transaction, if a customer is
purchasing beer, he also have diaper. You can see that in
transaction number 101, you have your beer and diaper. In transaction number 103, you have your beer and diaper. Similarly in 104, you have
your diaper and beer. You can see that if a customer
is purchasing diaper, chances are that that customer
will also purchase beer. And similarly, if a
customer is having beer and diaper in his purchase, chances are he will also
approaches Gs and chocolate. You can see that you
have beer, diaper it, and choose diaper,
Gs and chocolate. So the first way to identify
any sort of association or linkage between two
different products is by understanding
this support, the formula of support is the frequency of
product X and Y, both Gs together divided by
total number of transaction. So here let's say we wanted
to find out the support between diaper and beer
in three transaction, diaper and beer, both are there and total number of
transactions are five. So the support of beer and diaper in this specific dataset is 0.60 or 60% for the
support of diaper, which is leading
to the porches of VR is three divided by five, which is 0.60 or 60% of transaction
contains both these items. Let you dig deep into
this small dataset. You can find that all the transaction diaper,
we'll have beer. But there is one
transaction would be that doesn't have any diaper. And this is very interesting and we'll talk about
that in a minute. If I summarize association
or support rule, you have sorting type
of dataset which will lead to the purchase of
other type of dataset. Let's say if a customer is purchasing diaper and b before, chances are that that
specific customer will also purchase
beer and coffee. But the problem is if a
person is purchasing of beer, his purchasing task
specific product because of diaper or
because of baby food, or let's say the person
is splotches in coffee, that specific coffee purchase is done because of
diaper or B before. So to understand that
specific concept, we will understand
about confidence. Confidence will help us answer
this specific question. Is beer leading to the diaper approaches or diaper leading
to the b approaches. Let's understand about the
confidence in the next video.
22. Confidence (Market Basket Analysis): Let's say you have
the same kind of dataset and you have all
of these transaction. Remember, this is a
smaller dataset that we are taking in real
life situation, you have a dataset with 10000 or 1 million or let's say
10 million transaction. And we will deal with the real
data in the coming videos. We will do one assignment
with the help of Excel sheet. So confidence is basically
a major of percentage of times item is purchased given
the product x is purchased. Let's understand what do you
mean by x and y over here. With the help of support, we had a good
understanding about product X and Y,
both Gs together. And then we have divided
that specific or association or support by total
number of transaction. In the previous video, we had a discussion about diaper and beer board diaper and beer was purchased three
out of five times. So we have divided
three divided by five, we have 0.6 or 16% of
association or support. Let's understand confidence. Confidence is the frequency
of product X and Y purchased together divided by frequency
of any specific product. Let's say you wanted to
understand the confidence of maybe beer leading to
the porches of typer. In all of these transaction, beer and diaper approaches three times and
beer is purchased. It seems that means if
you divide three by four, you have 0.75 in
75% of transaction. If a customer is
purchasing beer, he will also purchase diaper. If you closely Have a look 1234 in all of these
for transaction, out of these four transaction
in three transaction, if a person is
purchasing a beer, even also purchase on paper, that is 75% confidence. That means in 75 transaction, if a person will
purchase a beer, he will also purchase a diaper. Now let's understand the
confidence of diaper to be. And that means if a person
is purchasing a diaper, you have a 100% chance
that the person will also purchase a beer diaper to
be erased three by three, which is 0.10 or a 100%. Similarly for beer diaper, you have three by four. So out of these
four transaction, if you look at the confidence
of beer to diaper, that is three by four, is bocce is the
likelihood of paper. Both cheeses is 75%. And this will help
us understand that a diaper is leading
to the apologies of beer because diaper to be your confidence level is a 100%, while the beer to diaper
confidence level is 75%. That means people are purchasing beer because they are
purchasing diaper. Diaper is leading to
the purchase of beer, not the other way around. We'll look at the
confidence score. The confidence score
of diaper leading to the porches of beer
is three-by-three. The confidence score
of P are leading to the approaches of diaper
is three by four, which is seventy-five percent. Finally, diaper is leading
to the porches of beer, not the beer is leading
to the purchase of typer. And we will
understand more about the confidence score
in the coming videos. So far, we had a
good understanding about support and confidence. If we have an
example like we have hinder customer and out
of these hetero customer, ten of them have brought milk, it brought butter and six
plot on both of them. Then if you calculate the
support between milk and bottom six people have
purchased milk and water bought out of
Hendra transaction. The support is
0.06, which is 6%. If we look at confidence, confidence is nothing
but support divided by the confidence of
that specific product. Let's say we wanted to calculate the confidence of butter. Support is 0.06 divided by 0.08, which is 75% confidence. Similarly, you can also calculate lift in
the coming videos. In the next video, we
will understand how exactly you can calculate
left S squared. But if I summarize the video
of support and confidence, if in a list of
transaction you have different types of
products and you wanted to understand the support between two different products that
are both cheese together, you just have to take all of these transaction which
have those two product common and the new divide that specific number of transactions by total
number of transaction. And then you can have
your support score. To calculate the
confidence score, you have to take the transaction which have
both of those two products divided by total number of transaction that will have
that specific product. Let's say for beer and diaper. For transaction will
have beer and diaper. And let us say out
of ten transaction, five transactions have B or you wanted to calculate
confidence for beer, so four divided by five. Similarly, if you
wanted to calculate confidence for diaper than four divided by
whatever number of transaction that will
have diaper as a product. And that's how you can
calculate confidence. In the next video, let's
understand the lift score. And finally, after that, we can calculate your
market basket analysis.
23. Lift (Market Basket Analysis): Let us quickly understand lift. So unlike in confidence, lift doesn't have any
specific direction. Lift means if you are
purchasing one product, what is the probability of you also purchasing
the other product? But in confidence of we were discussing about the direction
of tech specific purchase. Let's see if a customer
is purchasing beer. The beer is leading
to the porches of typer or dipole is leading
to the purchase of beer. We were discussing Locke, all of these different types of
direction in confidence. But Lyft doesn't have
any direction at such, which means the lift of BR2 diaper is always equal
to the left of diaper to be. In the next exercise
we will take 11 different
transaction and then we will calculate
some form of lift. Let's say if you
wanted to calculate the lift of butter and bread, that specific lift is also equal to the left of
bread and butter. In the next video, we will
take 11 different types of transactions and then we
will understand the lift. So obviously this is the formula
that we were discussing. In the last video. We had a discussion about
support confidence. And in this video we will
understand about Lyft. If you don't have a
basic understanding about support and confidence, let me revise your concept. If you have two
different products In a list of transaction, if you divide the number of transaction that will have
those two different product, let's say maybe diaper and beer. And you have ten
different transaction. And in five transaction you
have your diaper and beer. So five divided by ten. That's your support. And let's say if you
wanted to calculate confidence for one product, let's say B or VO2 diaper. Then you will take all of the transaction which will
have diaper and beaver beer, and then you divide
that specific number of transaction by all of those transactions
that we'll have beer, then you will have
your confidence. In this video, we will
calculate about lift. Left pays nothing
but your support, your overall support divided by your support of X and
your support AAC. Why? The liftoff bread and butter is equal to the lift off
butter and bread. This doesn't have any
specific direction, just like confidence. If you need to calculate the
lift off bread and butter, you just need to calculate the overall support of bread and bottle divided by the
individual support of bread and butter. Let's say you have 11 different transaction of these, 11 different transaction. In three transaction you
have your bread and butter. And in seven transaction
you only have your butter and in three transaction you
just have your bread. So if you calculate the
lift of bread and bottom, you have your three
divided by 11, then you will divide
three divided by 11 multiplied by
seven divided by 11. So if you divide three
by 11, you have 0.27. Similarly, if you
divide seven by 11, you will have 0.636. That means the lift of
bread and butter is 1.571 and that's a positive lift out of 11 different transaction, three transactions, butter and
breeding them and just 321 section just have bothering them and seven transaction
have bred in them. And if we assume that
the relation between bread and butter as
independent relationship, then the butter is occurring independently in twenty-seven
percent transaction, which is three divided by 11. And bread is occurring in 63% transaction which is seven divided by 11
number of orders. Let's say there is no
relationship between them. Let's say these two
products doesn't have any form of
relationship between them, then we would expect
both of them to show up together
in the same order, 17.35% of the time. This 17.35% games by multiplying your 0.27
by 0.7 in three-sixths. So if you multiply
your 27.2% by 63.6%, you will have this
specific 17.35%. So if I summarize the left, if you have a lift-off one, this implies that you have no relationship between
product x and y. But if you haven't left
off more than one, that means you have a
positive relationship between Product X and Product Y. If I summarize the video, if you haven't left off one, that means you do not have any relationship between
Product X and Product Y. But if you have a
liftoff more than one, that means you will have a positive relationship between
Product X and Product Y. On the other side, if you
have a liftoff less than one, that means you will have
a negative relationship between Product X and Product Y. And Product X and Product Y will occur less often than random. But if you have a
liftoff more than y, then these two
products will occur together more often than random. In our previous example, we saw that don't lift
off bread and butter is 1.7 times more than random. We can conclude that there is a positive relationship
between that and bottom. So let's replace, summarize
all of these three concepts. In the previous video, we had a discussion about
support and confidence. And now we are
discussing about lift. Let us quickly revise the
concept by understanding lift, confidence and support with
the help of this example, assume that they
are a 100 customer. Then of those entered
customer have plot milk, eat of those entered customer have brought bottle and six OK, toss customer have
brought both of them, both milk and order. If you wanted to
understand the support of milk and butter in six
different transaction, you have both of them milk and bottle out of these
Android transaction, the support of milk and
butter is six divided by 100, which is 0.7 in six or 6%. Let's calculate confidence. So the, the formula
of confidence, it's support divided by the confidence of that
specific product. Whether water is leading to
the purchase of milk or milk, leading to the
budgets of butter. Let's say we wanted
to understand the confidence of butter. We have support divided by
the confidence of butter. So you have a support of 0.06 and then the
confidence of butter, which is 0.08, you have a
confidence level of 75%. That means if a pollster
is purchasing a butter, there are 75% chance that, that specific transaction
will also have milk in it. Then you have a
left, which is it by dividing 0.750.10, which is 7.5. That's a positive lift. That means chances of
people purchasing bread and butter is 7.5 times
more than random. That is all about support,
confidence and lift. I know a couple of you are still confused with couple
of few concepts. In the coming videos. We will do one or
excellent exercise, and then we will
understand all of these three different concept with the help of Excel sheet. And probably then you can understand these products
in a much better way.
24. Name manager and Indirect function: Hey everyone, My name is now deep in the last
few videos we were discussing about association,
confidence and lift. And we had a good discussion
about different concept by which you can increase
the lift of the product. In case if you're not sure about market basket analysis and lift or the concept of
market basket analysis and lift is also applicable if you're building an
e-commerce website or an e-commerce store like Amazon or any other
e-commerce website. The main purpose here
is to make sure that people are purchasing more and more different
types of product. Main purpose of
calculating lift and doing this market
basket analysis is to understand which two
products we can place together so that we can
increase the overall sales. Whether we can put
milk and fruits together or fruits
and DVDs together, or let's say BB products
and DVDs together. So if someone is
purchasing BB product, chances of ten purchasing
DVDs will become higher. Or let's say if somebody's
purchasing fruits, chances of those
people purchasing DVDs will be compared to calculate how closely
these two products are related to each other. We are looking at the positive. Remember, we are using the past to eat off
any retail store. Let's say if you're
working for Walmart, you can look at the
positive rate of, let's say a last one
week or last one month, or even last one ear. Now this is a simple data with
20 different transaction. Mean data can be a
1000 transaction long, or it may contains even
a million transaction. We are just taking a
very small dataset so that understanding the concept will become easier if you look at all of
these different transaction, these transactions have a dB. So on which date of the week
the product is purchased. And in this specific
transaction, you also have these
different types of products. Remember, one means that the customer had
purchased the product, and 0 means the customer
haven't purchased that specific product in
that specific transaction. So if you look at
transaction number one, this customer have
porches visible in the transaction and milk and Depot and meat products
in the transaction. If you look at
transaction number to this specific transaction
contains vegetable, baby product, fruit book, and it doesn't contain
some DVDs and meat. You can closely
have a look at all of these 20 different
transaction. And this transaction contains all of these different
types of products. Now this is a practical
exercise to calculate liftoff, all of these different
types of products. So all those products which
have a liftoff more than one, we replace all of those two products together
in admittance store. Let's say in a retail
store you have 1520 different types of shelf. And all those products
which have a liftoff, more than one, we will please both of those products together. So here you can see that you have all of
these different columns. So you have column C, column D, column E, F, G, and H. And all of these columns
contains different items. Now to perform this calculation
or to calculate the lift, you need to have a
basic understanding of Microsoft excellent. If you're new to the
XO, I would highly recommend you to go
to YouTube and just watch couple of videos that you have a basic
understanding of Microsoft x. But again, still
new to the team. Do not worry about that. I'm going to explain you all of these actual function
in this video. And that's why this
video might be a little longer than
a normal video. This video might be at 2030
minute video because I have to explain you all of
these Excel function first. And then we will use these actual function to calculate the lift
of the product. Now the first function
that we need to understand is the Name Manager. If you closely have
a look at all of these different
types of columns, you can see that you
have column C, Column D, and these column contains
all of this dataset. Now if you want to add all of the values in a specific column, you can just put
the sum function. So let's say you can
apply the sum function. So you can type is equal to some and you can hit Tab to
select this function. And then you can maybe manually that all
of these numbers. And then you can close this specific function
and then you can hit Enter and you will have
the sum of all the data. Very basic, nothing complex. But instead of selecting this
dataset every single time, you can also name this
specific dataset. Let's say I'm going to
select this dataset. And over here I will name
this dataset is where g is, it is already named by me. Similarly, I can also name this specific dataset. Swelling. Obviously doing that for all of these different types of columns
will take a lot of time. One of the better
way to do that is by selecting all
of this dataset. Then you have to go
to the Name Manager and then you can
create from selection. And then you can
see that it will ask us whether we
wanted to create the column name inside the
Name Manager with the help of all of these
different types of headers, I will hit okay? And then you can
see that you have all of these different
types of names. You have your vegetable
for this specific column. You have your Vd for
this specific column, fruit for this specific column, milk DVDs and meter. If you wanted to calculate sum. Now you can see that you
just need to type milk and then you have to hit Tab
to select this and down, you just need to hit Enter. And you can see that we
have are some of the milk. Similarly, you can do for
anything that you want. This is our Name Manager, which means we can
assign a name to any specific column and
then we can directly pulled that name to refer to this specific column instead of manually selecting
the column. Because otherwise you
have to manually select the dataset every single
time you have to use it. It's always advisable
to assign a column, a specific name inside
the Name Manager. So if you go inside
the Name Manager, now that's one of the
way by which you can assign a name to a
specific column. Now let's delete all of this because this is a
sample dataset. In the next sheet we
have the mean dataset. So I'm going to delete this. I hope you got out understanding about how exactly you can rename all of these columns with a specific name
so that reference, that name will allow. You do have all of these data inside that
specific function. Let's look at the
indirect function. Now if you're not familiar
with indirect function, indirect function is
basically allow you to refer the mean dataset
from a specific cell. So it works like a
hyperlink. Let's see. I wanted to calculate
what's there in D1. You can see that
v1 is this cell. I wanted to know
what's there in D1. So I will simply
write in direct, hit that, and then I will put this specific cell
and I will hit Enter. You can see that it is showing
me that in D1 BB is there. So you can see that in D1 BB or the mean reason we are using indirect function is to allow us to use these values dynamically. Let's say if I write
anything else apart from v1, let's see if I write y1, you can see that this baby
will automatically change. This is automatically
changed to the fruit. That's the main purpose of
using indirect function. Remember, this index function is using the value inside
this specific cell. And this specific cell is
referring to the value which is over here
into the mean dataset. That's the mean function of
using indirect function. We can also use our indirect function
inside of the function. So let's say if I
wanted to calculate the sum of cell D2 to D5. So you can see that D2 to D5, I wanted to calculate some
of the specific dataset, or let's say calculate the sum of datasets from D2 to D21. Let's rename this to D21. And now I wanted to calculate
the sum is equal to some. You will have to hit Tab
to select this function. Then you have to type
in direct function because we wanted to refer
it to a specific cell, which we'll refer to
the specific data. So we will select the
indirect function, and then we have to select
this specific number. And then we have to hit Enter. And you can see that
the sum is three. Same thing goes with vegetables
and BB product I sweat and they wanted to use
the indirect function and then you need to calculate. Obviously in the last video, we deleted all of
the name that we have assigned to all of these
different types of columns. So let me quickly
assign the name again. I will go and select
all of this dataset, and then I will create
the name of all of these different columns inside the Name Manager
from the Hadoop. These are all of your header. That's why I've selected
this option top row. Now I have all of my name. I need to calculate
the sum of all of these ready tables by
using indirect function. And then I will use
this specific setting. Remember, the main purpose of
indirect function is to use a specific cell in which we'll
refer to the mean dataset. That's our primary
purpose. I will hit Enter.
25. Market Basket Analysis: This is the mean sheet. This contains almost 3
thousand transaction. So we first have to calculate how many transaction
it contains, and then we will
calculate how many of these transaction contains
vegetables, baby product. And then we will take any of these two products and we
will calculate the lift. And finally, the next
video maybe we will arrange different types of products into different
shelf in a retail store. But in this video, we will understand which to product have a
liftoff more than one. Remember if you have
a liftoff more than one or let's say close to one. That means those two
product will be purchased by different customer in
one single transaction. Probability of
those two products, both just in a single
transaction is higher. That's the main idea
behind calculating left. So we have to calculate
lift for all of these different types of
products into this data table. And then we will understand
which two combination have the maximum lift or
a lift-off more than one, which is a positive left
or positive correlation. Now let's quickly calculate the total number of transaction. So it's simply use
the count function. And I will simply put
my cursor over here. I'll hit Control Shift
down and I will hit Enter. And you can see there
are total 2928 number of transaction into
this specific dataset. Now I have to
calculate how many of these transaction only
contains which tables. Now in simply use
COUNTIF function count if these transaction
contains vegetables, and instead of using
the mean value, I will refer that specific
value to this specific cell. I will use indirect function
inside the COUNTIF function. Very simple. So you will use countif function and
the indirect function. I will refer to this
specific value. So I have to count out of this specific dataset how many of them
contains vegetables? If I have to close this and if any transaction
contains vegetable, it will contain one. You will have this
specific value. That means out of 2928 transaction one hundred seven hundred seventy six transaction contains vegetables. I'll do the same thing for
baby products as well. I will apply COUNTIF function. Then I will refer to
this specific cell, which is done by using
indirect function. Then I will refer to
this specific cell. I will close the
indirect function. I'm looking for one which is
a successful transaction. I will close the bracket and you will have 794 transaction. And if you drag it forward, you can see that you
will have all of these different types
of transactions. Now I have to calculate
the probability of vegetables out of
total transaction. Now to calculate
the probability, I just have to divide this specific number divided
by the total transaction. You will have a
probability of 0.61, which means 61% transaction contains vegetables.
Very simple. So out of 2928 transaction,
1776 transaction, which is 0.6161%, transaction
contains vegetables. That's the probability. If you wanted to find
probability with a quick efficient
way to do that, let's do with the boring base. So you have to divide
this with total number of transaction and you will
have a probability of 0.27. There is a probability of 0.27 if you take some
random transaction and you have to find out. But at this transaction contains very products are not.
Let me quickly delete it. I have a faster way to do that. I will freeze the cell L1 because this cell
will remain constant, the total number of transaction
will remain constant. Then I will move horizontally. So you just have to
drag it this way. And you will have
the probability of all of these different types of products out of this specific total
number of transactions. Very simple. There's
nothing complex in that if you just understand
the basics of excellent. Now, we have two
different products. Now we have to calculate lift. Remember, the mean
approach of doing market basket
analysis is to take two different types
of product and understand whether they are
positively correlated or not. If the lift is more than one, answers of people purchasing both those products
together will be higher. And that's why we will
put all of those to product as close as we can in a retail store so that
people will visit a retail store and they will purchase both of those
products together. That's the main idea of doing
market basket analysis. Let's take any of
these two products. I'll take vegetables
in baby product. First I have to find out the probability
which is already there. Instead of just
writing it manually, I will use an edge
lookup function. So it's simply use an
edge local functions. And I'm looking for vegetable
value in this data, or this is my data. And my probability of this wedge table value is
present in the third row index, I will write three,
and then I will write the exact match,
which is false. Then I will hit Enter. So the
probability is 0.6 months. Remember, repeat this function
again in case if you're not familiar with HLookup
and VLookup, we look, lookup is used when you are moving into the vertical dataset and HLookup is fused if you're moving into the
horizontal dataset. So basically, we are looking for this specific value
into this table array. And we are looking
for probability of this specific value. So we're looking for
probability which is present in the third row index. So you have your pattern
in the row index one, you have your counting
row index two, and you have your probability
in row index number three. And then we are looking for the exact match or 0 or
whatever you call it. I will hit tab and then
I will close this. And you can see that. The probability 0.27. Perfect. Now we have to find the number of transaction
which contains both vegetables and
BB product because our main aim is to find the
lift of these two products. If the lift is greater than one, we will put all of these
two products together. Otherwise, we will look for some other alternatives which
haven't if more than one. So we will first count all of the transaction that contains both vegetables and BB product. I will use count its function. So I will use COUNTIFS function. First we have to
write vegetables. So we already know because at this specific
column have one, that means people
apologies Reggie tables. But not only that,
we also have to make sure that the
same transaction also contains baby because
we are looking for a transaction that contains
both of these two products. So obviously I'm looking for
BB, the current worksheet. Obviously I have multiple
worksheets so you can ignore the spot
in your worksheet. You may not have this
specific sort of problem. I will close this. And you
can see that that means for 64 transaction contains both vegetables
and maybe product. Now, I need to calculate
the probability. So obviously you have to divide this by our total
number of transaction. And the probability is 0.15. Obviously, we will use values
dynamically over here. So that's why only the county
functions may not work. So we have to use
the index function to refer to the specific value, and then these value will
refer to the mean dataset. I will use indirect function inside the count, its function. So indirect function,
I will refer to this specific cell and I have to find out whether one
value is pleasant or not. Then I will again use one
more indirect function. And now this time
I'm referring to BB, but obviously this BB or
shut off cell is wrapping to this dataset and I need to find whether it
contains one or not. You have to put comma. Then I have to close it. Same number is steel, so forth. 64 transaction contains
both item a and item B. Remember if we change value
dynamically over here, we are using the
indirect function. And that's why we
can see the changes. In case of probability, we can to just divide this
by this specific number. You can see we have the same
probability of 0.15847. Now this is the most
important part. Now we have to calculate lift. Remember the main
purpose is to find out whether we can please both of these products together or not. To calculate the lift we are
using this specific formula. This is a very simple formula. You have to calculate
the probability of people purchasing a and B product divided by the probability of people purchasing product
a and product B. Obviously the probability of people purchasing vegetables and BB is 0.15 divided by the probability of people
purchasing vegetable is 0.61 and people purchasing
pV product is 0.27. So we just need to divide this specific number divided by, I'll take a Blackett. And then I will put
the probability of this multiplied by the
probability of this. That is simple. And we
will have a liftoff 0.96. That means there are
very high chance that people who purchase vegetable will also produce pV product. Remember, this number
is not more than one. We will always take the number
which is more than one, but it is very close to one. So we may or may not
consider it. It's confusing. At least one more scenario. If a transaction contains
seem kind of product or if a transaction contains
the similar kind of product, the lift is always one. So the lift of
vegetable to vegetable is the lift of baby to
Bobby product is one. I will use a simple IF function. If a transaction which is item one is equal to your item number two, then write one. Otherwise, write
whatever value that is coming on the left part,
which is your key 14. And then you will close this
and you will hit Enter. Right now I have pseudo 0.96. Now this is the difficult, or I would say the
interesting part. You will, we will be using the data table function
to fill up this Theta. Now remember, vegetable to
vegetable lift will be one, baby to be belief will be one
fruit to float left field. We want all the values that will come in this way
will always be one. So this value, this,
sorry, I have to use this. These values will always be one because meat to meet
value will be one degree two. Dvd lift value will be one. So I have to delete this. I'll be using the
data table function. So in case if you don't have
this data table function, you can search for add-ons, Add-ins, and then
you can checkmark the data table function and maybe dot solver
writing functions. You can also go into the
file and maybe the option, and then you can
find the same atoms. Now we have to use this data table function inside the data. I'll be using what
if this data table is there under What-If Analysis? And I have to put all of these, this value in the row input. This value I have to put in column input cell,
I will hit Okay? And now you can see that I have all of these
different types of values. You can see that lift to
vegetable, to which degree? Lift this one, BB to baby
lift this one fruit to float. Lift is one, milliliter is one. So all of these have
the lift number one. Obviously, you can
also color it. Let's say if I'll go to the
conditional formatting, if I wanted to color the
dataset. Can find that. If I color it, then
you can see that all the products which have
a liftoff more than one, these products are
closely deleted. You can see that lift off
DVDs to be baby is 2.769. Liftoff me to DVDs is three. So all the products that have a positive lift
off more than one, you can put all of those
products together.
26. Customer Life time Value: Hey everyone. In the last two videos, we had a discussion about RFM analysis and the
market basket analysis. In this video, we're
gonna talk about customer lifetime
value and that's the best way to understand your customer in terms
of monetary aspect. In this video, we
will understand about customer lifetime value. Customer lifetime value is the total amount of
profit that you can generate from your
average customer over the span of their lifetime. To calculate customer
lifetime value, you have to consider so many
different types of factors, like the COGS of the product. Obviously, if you
make any product, that specific product have
some manufacturing costs, which is your cost
of goods sold. Then you also have your
customer acquisition cost. Because obviously if you
are acquiring any customer, you have to acquire that specific customer
with the help of paid medium or let's
say online marketing, that is your customer
acquisition cost. Then you also have
marketing expenses AND operation expenses. If I'd give you two
formula to understand the customer lifetime value or the lifetime
value in general. These are the two formulas
that we will be using in this video to calculate the
customer lifetime value. If you closely have a look
at this specific formula, your customer lifetime
value is equal to your lifetime value multiplied
by your profit margins. Now the lifetime value of any specific customer
will depends on the average transaction value or the average ticket
size of your customer, so-called average value of sale, multiplied by the number of transaction that specific
customer is doing, multiplied by the
retention rate. Let's quickly take an
example and understand this customer lifetime
value in a much better way. Let us say you are
a clothing retailer and you're running
a retail store. Let's say you have an average
sale of $50 per customer. One customer is shopping from your retail store three
times every single year, and that customer will
last for almost two years. Video retail brand. So if you calculate the lifetime
value of your customer, obviously you have an
average ticket size as $50. That customer will purchase
three times in a year. And that customer will read in with your brand
for two years. So 50 multiplied by
three, multiplied by two, you have $300 as the lifetime value of
task specific customer. Obviously, to acquire
this customer, you have to have some
Cost of Goods Sold, overhead, marketing expenses,
administration expenses. And finally, you end up with a profit margin of, let's say, 20% of $300, which is your overall revenue or your lifetime value of
that specific customer. You have a profit margin of 20%. If you multiply the
complete number by 0.20, you have $60 as your
customer lifetime value. Remember $300 is
your lifetime value and $60 is your customer
lifetime value. Customer lifetime value is
also equal to the amount of profit you can generate
from one single customer. Now, let me quickly give you one assignment on
customer lifetime value. Obviously in the coming videos, we will understand
customer lifetime value with the help of Excel sheet. And I'll be giving you
one very complex problem where you will have so many
different moving parts. And then you will calculate customer lifetime value
of task specific problem. But let's quickly start
with a very small problem.
27. Customer Lifetime Value Assignment: Let's say you have a total
revenue of $10 thousand. You have total
number of customers. You have to calculate
average revenue per user by using this formula. The total number of transaction one user is doing with
your brand is ten. Then you also have
a chunk of 20%, which means 20% customer will stop using your
product after a year. If you wanted to
calculate retention, you can use this formula, which is one divided by
customer churn rate, then you have a
profit margin of 20%. So if you remove your
administration expenses, your operational goals
to your overhead, you will have 20% as
your profit margin. Now you need to calculate the lifetime value of
this specific customer, and then you need to calculate the customer lifetime value
of this specific customer. Now obviously you can ignore this gross margin
or profit margin formula because we already have that specific
number with us. And you can directly plugging all of these values
and then you can calculate customer
lifetime value of this specific customer. Now apart from this, I have one interesting
calculator for you. So if you wanted to calculate the customer lifetime value, you can hit Alt and you can
just go to this specific link and then you can calculate the customer lifetime
value of any customer.
28. Types of Store Layout: Hey everyone. In this video we're gonna
talk about planogram. Now, planogram is
the centerpiece of store design and
visual merchandise. And it is super important, especially for retail store, because with the
help of planogram, you can design
your store layout. You can optimize
the store porches and you can place product at different location so
that you can make sure that your consumer are
having the best experience. And you're also increasing
sales per square foot. This is the store layout of
a successful retail store, and we will also design. So let's quickly
understand why we are using planogram and how exactly you can use store layout as a strategic tool to influence
the customer expedience. Venogram have two
main components, your store design and
your customer flow. If you look at store design, you have to consider a
strategic floor plan. Then you have to make sure that you're optimizing your
space really well. You're increasing your
sales per square feet. And then you have to make sure that you are using
the right kind of furniture, display or lighting. And not only in
offline retail store, if you are starting
online e-commerce store, user experience and user design. Ux and UI are the two main components that
you have to understand. If we are building an
online e-commerce website. Obviously we will understand about e-commerce
or little later in the course once we have a basic understanding
of the detailed format, similar thing scores
with consumer flow. With consumer flow, you
will also need to make sure that you are opening the
right kind of retail store, targeting the right
kind of segment. Geographic location is
also really important. Then you need to find out all the different
types of products that you can bundle together. And then you also need to
make sure that you're opening your retail store with the
right size of a building, then you can use some advanced video
analytics tool like sharper analytics, heatmap inside your retail store so that you can make sure that which kind of flow your retail stories having
an e-commerce website, normally companies use cash
and cookies to make sure that they are giving
best customer experience to all of their consumer. If you visit any website, your browser usually store all
of these cash and cookies. And these things
will really help your browser to Lord Foster, all of these images that you see on different
e-commerce website. While these are,
these are cached by your browser so that they can load these images
faster for you. Now let's understand a
step-by-step guide to plan your store layout and
maximize your storage space, also known as your
sales per square feet. The number one step to design your store layout is to
target the first floor. There are so many
research studies that have indicated that the customer will always prefer navigating to
the ground floor. They don't really like
walking up and down using stringers or
elevators or escalators. And it really affects
the consumer behavior. Second step is you identify
your customer flow. And to identify
our customer flow, you can use video recordings or video analytics or
heatmap analysis. And this will help
you understand which specific idiot doesn't have visibility
or customer flow. Then you need to focus on
the design of your ads. Whereas customer will
enter into your store, they always pick right down. And then they will
continue to navigate in the counterclockwise
direction inside a store. And finally, you have to remove the narrow eyes because customer never prefer going to these narrow eyes in
the retail store. And let's quickly understand the different types of
retail store layout. And there are different types of 3D layouts that
you can refer to. But in this video, I will cover almost four to five different
types of retail layout. But there are more than 20 total different types
of store layout. And it's super difficult
to cover all of them. I think it doesn't make
sense for you guys as well, because in the coming videos, we will do when
exercise in excel sheet and we will do all
of the store layout with the help of that
specific x and shoot. So do not worry about that. We will build our own reading
store, our own planogram. These different types of layouts may not make
much more sense for you. Let's understand the first one. That is your forced
part store layout. And this kind of layout
is very famous in ITIL. That's the forced
part store layout. And it will expose you to all the merchandise that are offered by debt,
specifically dealer. You can have that specific
type of retail layout. There are so many different
types of strategy behind this that we will not
cover in this video. Obviously, we can discuss about those kind of strategy
in the coming videos. Then you have your
grid store layout. And this will allow all of
your customer to move quickly, efficiently in your floor space. You can see that
you have your exit and entry on one side. And this is very famous for pharmacy or maybe some
normal retail store, or I would say a general store. You have your plotting,
your electronics, your bakery, fruits, vegetable, and then you have your checkout. This is a very common
technique that is used by all of these different retail
store or pharmacy store. Then you have your
loop store layout and loops totally out is very famous if you're opening a fashion store or a
beauty product storm. If you have something which
is actually very attractive and you want your customer
to see everything. This is the best store
layout that you can imagine. Then you have your
strip store layout. And this is very
famous if you are opening a liquor store
or a convenience store. Because indeed store, you
have very high traffic in the P cars and you want your customer to move
as fast as they can, because often this area
is somewhat hidden. A lot of customers don't really
go in this specific area. And majority of the approaches always happens in
this specific area, maybe in this area as well, and some parts of these areas. So it's ready famous among our liquor store in
convenience store, this type of layout can be used by all of
those retail store, like a liquor store and
your convenience store. Now these are just for example, there are so many
different types of retail store layout
that you can refer to. And probably you can think about all of these
different types of layout. But remember, layouts
are not important. In the coming videos, we will do an exercise and then we will design our
own planogram. Or maybe we will put our
own product based on left. And then we will put products
into different shelf. And we will understand about
that in the coming video.
29. Goal of Store Design: But let's understand the
most important question, why we are designing
the store layout? I mean, we know
that planogram is the centerpiece of store
design and visual merchandise. But why we are doing it? I mean, we know that the
anagram can boost our sales. It can reduce down our costs. It can also increase our
customer experience. But what's the main
reason behind it? Well, if you closely
look at the customer, the customer always have a very less attention span
and a very less time. Then you have to grab all of the attention of this
specific customer. And you need to make sure that
the costumer will put j is much more than he has in
his mind as a human being. We always have sought
in line sport, if some productive
stayed at the top, that product will
consider overrides. If some product is there
in front of your eyes, That's your eye height. But if the product is present in the lower shelf,
that's your underwrite. And below that you have
low and on the ground. And the maximum
purchase will always happen in the under
I and II height. It will never happen in overlays or low or on the ground height. Not only that people are really influenced by the window,
the manic paints, the floor design, the color, the promotional language are different types of
lighting studies. They're in a retail store. All of these factors
really affect the overall consumer expedience
and how much you can say, well, one single customer, if you are going to
a retail store which have really nice
mannequins from outside. You'll really like
the floor design, the promotional campaign, the different types of store arrangement or
product arrangement, the different variety and
assortment of the product. And you really like
the music as well. In fact, music plays a very important role
in a retail store. But the main purpose of
planogram or building ultimate store design is that you have a
maximum visual appeal. So if you been to any
of the retail store, you may have seen this
specific visual appeal from Snickers, which is your happy Halloween. Then you have to also make
sure that you are increasing the cross-sell of that
specifically then store and you're optimizing
sales per square feet. That means you will make sure that if you have a bigger store, you are generating more revenue. If you have a smaller store, you're generating under
the less revenue. So you will have to optimize
your sales per square foot. Also, you have to restock
more efficiently. That means whatever
product that is theory in a retail store that will move out of shelf as fast as you can. Don't really want to store inventory in your retail store, you will always put all
of those products in your retail store that
are moving very fast, that customer
purchasing very fast. You don't really want to hold inventory in your
retail store because holding inventory
is the worst thing you can do with
your retail store. In the coming videos,
we will do couple of exercises about left
about planogram. And we will also use a very small tool to design our own store
layout or planogram. That's not very effective. But remember, the main purpose
of this course is not to give you a very deep understanding
of weeded management, but to prepare you with all of these basic strategy
and concept, once you have a
basic understanding of all the strategies
and concepts, you can use the same strategy
if you are working in a retail store or let's say in an e-commerce brand
and sales marketing, if you're working with
different distributor, reseller or manufacturers, all of these strategies
will be important. That's the main purpose
of this course. In the coming videos, obviously, we will also talk about
e-commerce, DDC, brand mark. For now we're just covering
the retail strategy.
30. Store Layout Excel Exercise: Hey everyone, my
name is not deep. And in this video
we're going to talk about how exactly you can
design your store layout. But before this video, let me go back and
revise the concept of market basket analysis. Remember, in a retail store, our main purpose is to make
sure that we place all of those products together
which have a higher lift. The course finally, we want to sell more and more
number of products, a different customer,
and that's our aim. If you remember from
our previous exercise, we calculated the left between
two different products. So you can see that there is a lift between bread
and cookies and meet. This is the left between
bright and cookies and meet. And that's how we calculated
the left between all of the six different products
in this specific table. Now using this February, we will now put these different products
together in a retail store. Let's assume that our
story is pretty small. So let's take a
hypothetical retail store which only had two roles. You have your row number
a and row number B. And all of these two rows
have three different shelf. In row number a, you have
your shell number one, shell number E2, and
shift number A3. Similarly in row number B, you have your chef
V1, V2, and V3. Also, you can take very
complex retail store. But just to make things
a little simple, I'm just taking
two different rows and three different shelf. In a normal retail store, you have 20 or 30
different roles, or maybe 200 or 300
different types of shelf. But that will make
this specific exercise already more complicated. That's why I'm
taking only two rows and three different shelf, and this is your entry and the exit point in
a retail store. Now let's quickly duplicate this specific design of this
retail store on a table. In this table you
have your two rows, row number e and row number B. And you have your three shelf, shelf one shelf and shelf Three. Let's place all of these
six different products. So remember, in a
normal retail store, you can have $100 and say 2 thousand different
types of products. But right now we just have
six different types of products because we wanted
to understand the concept. So let's say you have
three different shelf and you have two different rows. We will place all of these six different products
in a very random fashion. You can place in
whatever sequence you want that's in shelf. Even you have your product
number one In shelf, A2, you have product
number two in shelf, E3, you have product number
five in Shelf be when you have your product
number six in Chef B12, you have your
product number four. In shed B3, you have your
product number three. Now let's quickly
calculate the lift between different products
in a specific sentence. So let's come back to this
specific data or store design. If you place a product in A1, that specific product will have a lift influence from B1 and A2. So if you place a product in A1, we will calculate
the lift between A1 and B1 and A1 and A2, because this specific
product will have influenced from a, B2 and B1. If you place a product in E2, this specific product will have a lift influence
from B2, A1, and A3. Similarly, if you
place a product in A3, we will calculate the lift
between the product in A3 with the B3 and E2. And that's why it to calculate
the lift off even product, you have to calculate the lift between A1 and A2 and A1 and B1. Similarly, if you wanted to calculate the lift
off the shelf B1, you have to calculate
the lift off shelf B1, B2, and then V1 will be one. Similarly, if you wanted
to calculate the lift off shell shelf E2, then you have to
calculate the lift of shelf E2 with Avon product, E2 and E3 product and
E2 with P2P product. Let's quickly do that in
case you get confused with this product A1, we will calculate the
lift of product E1, E2, and E1 with b1. Let's quickly do that. We will use are actually
look a function for this. So we will apply our
edge lookup function. So I will type, actually look up and
then I will hit Tab. Now I went to
calculate the lift of this specific product with
this product and this product. So let's quickly take the specific product from
this specific table. Now we wanted to calculate
the lift of A1 with b1. Because we have these
two specific row at the top as a header, we will type plus two. We are looking for exact match. This is our first Swift. Now we also need to
calculate one more Lift between product A1 and
obviously your E2. Remember, the product
in A1 will have influence of lift
from B1 and A2. Similarly, product
in E2 will have infants from A1, A3, and V2. Similarly in products in E3
will have an influence from. V3 and A2. Now we're
calculating the second lift. Obviously this product will have influence from this
specific shelf as well. So we will take the
same table array. And obviously now we need to calculate the lift
between A1 and A2. And because e2 is
present and you have two rows at the
top in the header, we will type plus two any product number
two is your daily. We are calculating the left between your product number one, which is your produce. So remember in this
specific example, the products in A1,
which is your one, we are calculating
the left between produce any product number six, which is your bread and cookies, the lift between produce
and your dairy product. We are calculating
lift between produce, barren cookies and produce
and dairy products. Let me quickly apply the exact function and
let me close this. And you can see that you
have a total liftoff 2.15. We will do the same
calculation with a2. With A2, we are
calculating the left between A2 to A1 product, E2, A2, A3 product, and E2 with B2B products. So let's quickly do that. This time we will apply
three edge lookup function. Let's quickly apply
first HLookup function. So obviously we are
calculating for E2. We are looking at
this specific product into this table array. And obviously let's
quickly start off with A1. So obviously with E2. So let's say an E2, you have
your product number two, which is your dairy product. We are calculating the left
between didi and soft drink, which is your we do. So if you go back to
this specific table, you can understand that we are calculating the left between A2, B2 plus a2 with E1
plus E2 with A3. The ghost of products
in E2 will have influenced from E1, E3, and V2. I hope you understand
that we are calculating the left
between a2 with A1. And obviously we will add
two because we'll have your header at the top and
then we will close it. Similarly this time. Similarly, we will add one
more edge lookup function. This time we will
calculate the left between this specific product from
the same table array. I hope we forgot to write the exact match in
the previous one. So we'll come back to this one. And obviously we are taking
the same table array. This time we will calculate
the left between E2 and V2. And we will add plus two because you have your
two header at the top. And we're looking
for exact match. We will close this. Now we also have to take, actually look a
function one more time. Look a function. And this time we are looking
for the lift between E2, which is your N5 right now
from the same table array. And we are calculating
the left between E2 and E3 this time, obviously we will take
this specific data and we will add plus two. We're looking for exact match. And then we will close it. And you can see that
we have a lift of 3.6. Similarly, we will
calculate the liftoff a3. So obviously the products
and E3 will have a lift influence from V3 and a2. Obviously, we will
calculate the lift between a3 and b3 and A3 and A2. Let's quickly do that. We will again apply the edge
lookup function. I know this is a
boarding exercise. We don't have any choice either. We will calculate the liftoff. Products in A3 will use
the memtable array. So obviously we are calculating the left
between a3 and b3. So let's quickly take B3 fast. Let's add plus two. We're looking for exact
match. Let's close it. Let us take look up
function one more time. And this time we are
calculating the left between this specific cell, this specific shelf
from this table array. And we are calculating
the left between this one and this one. And obviously we
will have plus two because we have two
roles as hello, looking for exact match, we will close this. And then you can see that
you have a lift of 2.5. Similarly, we will
calculate the lift of products and shall v1, the products in
sheriff B1 will have an influence from A1 and A2, B2. And that's why we will
calculate the lift between V1 and A1 plus B1 and B2. All the products in
V1 will have a lift between products in A1 and B2. Let us quickly apply
h local function. You have your B1, which is this one looking from
this table array. And then we're looking between
this specific product. We will add plus two
because you have your two had two rows in a huddle. And then we're looking
for the exact match. We will close. This will take actually come function
one more time. This time you are
calculating the left between this specific
product and this one. So we are looking for M6
from the same table array. Looking for this time
we will add plus two because we have two
rows in our header. Exact match. Here you go. So you have 2.35. Obviously the ferry more
than one because we are adding lift off two different products
into different shelf. So it will be obviously
more than one. You have your B12.
So let's quickly take a look at function
one more time. So V2 this time we have to find the gift of this
specific product from the same table array. Obviously this bee
products and B2 will have influenced from
A2, A1, and A3. So let's start off with this one subclass to
looking for exact match. I'm doing it really fast. So sonify end up making
some mistake on this. So products over here, looking from the
same table array. Now let's do that with
this one plus two. We are looking for exact match. Let's do this one more time. So you have your HLookup. This time we are
calculating lift off specific product from
the same table array. And we're looking left between this specific
product on this one. Let's take this one this time and let's say plus two and we are looking
for exact match. And then we will close
this edge lookup function. And you can see that
there's a lift of 3.2. Let's do that. Do that
for this one as well. So our products and b2, b3 will have a lift
influence from A3 and A2, sorry, products and V3 will have a lift influence
from e3 and B12. That's why Let's do this. Actually look up of V3, which is this one looking
from this table array. And obviously we will
calculate the left between products and B3 with a3. And let's add plus two. We're looking for
the exact match. We will close this. We will take that to call
function one more time. This one, we're looking
from the same table array. This time we will
calculate the lift between products in B3, B2, and we will add plus two. We are looking for exact match. We will close this. And then you can see that
you have a liftoff 2.5. So let's quickly calculate the sum of all these
different types of lifting, all of these different shelf. And you got a leftOp 16.30 mean aim is to
maximize this specific lift. Because if you have
more and more lift, you allow people to produce more and more number of products because you have
please delay kind of combination in
your medium store. Main aim is to maximize
this specific setup. Now, we have to maximize this
specific cell by changing the sequence of all of these products into
all of these shelf. Let's say we have placed all
of these products randomly. So you'll have your 125643
into all of these shelf. So you have your product
one in A1 to A2, product number five in A3, product number six and B1, correct number four in V2 and
product number three in V3, we have randomly placed all of these products into
all of the CEF. But we have to maximize this. We will use a solver. And if you don't have
Solver in your Excel, just go to Add-ins,
click on Add-ins, and then you can click on this and you can add the solver. You can also add
the data going pack and all of that thing. If you want. You go
inside our data, we'll open our solver. Now let me, let, let me quickly tell
you how exactly the solver work this solver. So we will set the objective using the solver that we have to maximize this specific cell
with a specific constraint. And you give me the
maximum data that you can give me in this
specific area by randomly calculating
or readjusting the numbers or values
in this specific area. Let's quickly do that. We have to maximize this specific cell. So I will take this
specific cell, we have to maximize our
objective is to make sure that we have to maximize
this specific cell, which is our total
lift or overall lift, by changing the values
in this specific area, which is the sequence
of product that you can place inside your shelf. But we have to add
couple of constraints. What is the first constraint? Obviously, whatever
data that will go inside this specific cell should be less
than equal to six, because obviously we can, we just have six
different products. One more thing that
we have to add, whatever data that will go
inside all of the shelf should be greater
than equal to one because we don't have any
product less than one. Also, we want to
please unique numbers. Whatever number that
you will rearrange from this specific cell should be different and we will add it. Now. We have to maximize
this specific data by rearranging all of these
numbers from one to six. And reputation is
not allowed because we have put all of
these constraints. Now we will use
Evolutionary Solver. Now there are multiple
techniques that you can use in this specific solver, and we will maximize
this specific cell. Let me quickly hit solve. Let me quickly check. Everything is fine. Let me hit solid. Now it is doing multiple
combinations and permutations to find the best number which
has the maximum lift. By readjusting all
of the sequence, you can see that 125643
is the sequence. It will change as
soon as you get the maximum lift in
this specific area. It is doing multiple
permutation combination. It may also end up crashing
my system because it's very system having a process. You can see that it
is, it has solved, maybe taught in
thousand combinations or whatever cell objective. You can see that it has rearranged all of
these different numbers. And now I have a leftOp 16.90. You can see that my lift gotta
increase from 16.30216.90. And now this specific of Lyft have rearranged all of these different
products into different shelf. Now this is the best
possible option. So this is the best
possible option of all of these
different products into all of these
different shelf to get the maximum lift top 16.90. A big store like Walmart, you will have a very
complex calculation to calculate this number. That's the simplified
v in the Excel sheet because we wanted to understand
the core ideology of a concept so that you can
use this specific concept in real-time if you join a retail company or
an e-commerce NumPy. And remember, all of these
concepts are also applicable. If you start working in
an e-commerce company, you'll do the same calculation, but with your e-commerce
website, you have, let's say, all of these different position in your e-commerce website, you have your
recommendation engine. And let's say we are building
your recommendation engine. You can use all of
the strategy to build a new and efficient
recommendation system for your e-commerce store. Let me get say you and I will be sharing the shoot with you.
31. Introduction to Retail Finance: Hey everyone, My name is
now deep and welcome to the finance and the accounting
portion of this course. I know this portion may sound
boring to a lot of people, but I will try my best to make accounting and finance
as simple as possible. And in this video, we
will start understanding about some basics of retail
finance and accounting. And in the coming videos, we will understand couple of
strategy by which you can minimize your inventory and
you can maximize your sales. And we will understand
how exactly different retailers
and e-commerce store. And I'm assuming that
majority of you have 0 or understanding
about finance. I'm starting finance
and accounting from very B6 so that I can build
a very strong foundation. If you're someone
who already have a decent understanding about
finance and accounting, you can skip this video. But if you have 0 idea about
finance and accounting, then you can still
watch this video because I'm gonna start
finance and accounting from scratch so that even of new person can also
understand that I'm focusing on building
a strong foundation. In this video, we
will understand the basic difference between the annual report and we will understand about
the balance sheet, the income statement, and
the cash flow statement. Remember, this is just an
introductory video and I'm just gonna cover some very basic
concepts about finance. If you already have a
decent understanding, bleed script this
video and watch the next video or maybe
next to the next video. But if you have 0 idea, you can continue
watching the video. Let's talk about
the balance sheet. Balance sheet
basically shows you the financial position
of any company. This balance sheet
will have things like your cash, your
current assets. So let's say if you are
opening a retail store, you need to have some cash
in your account and you need to maintain some form
of inventory or asset, and then you need to
rent out a property, then you need to
have some employees in that specific property, then you need to take some loan. In balance sheet. We basically have things
like your caching balance, your current asset or daughter lesser your current liabilities. We will dig deep into all of these individual terms
in the coming videos. And then you have your
income statement. Now income statement
will basically help you understand about your revenue, your sales, or your
cost of goods sold, your earnings before tax. And what is the net profit
that you are generating from that specific readings store
income statement will help you understand the basic
difference between profit and loss in your balance sheet. Then you have your
cash flow statement. And cash flow statement
will help you understand your gash that is coming from
your operating activities, from your financing activities and from your
investing activities. Your cashflow and
income statement, Both are the subset of
your balance sheet and whatever data that
you will get in your cash flow statement
and income statement. All of that data will feed
back to the balance sheet. That's the basic
introduction of finance. Let's dig deep and expand all of these different types
of financial statement. So let's start with
a balance sheet, which is at the center of
your financial statement. In the balance sheet at the top, you have your cash
in the bank account. Let's say if you are running a retail chain or if you want to start your own
e-commerce brand, you need to have some
form of capital. Now obviously this can
be a bootstrap startup, or you may have this
song palm of capital from some angel investors
or venture capitalists. That's your cash in the bank, then you have your debt. So let's say if you have taken some form of loan
from some bank, then you can also put
that specific number. Then you have your
current assets. So let's say if you own a property or if you're
renting out a property, or if you have some
form of inventory or let's say chair furniture, all of that is your
current asset. And then you have
your fixed assets, which is the subset of
your current asset. And then you have
your creditors, your interest that you will
pay to that specific bank. If you have taken some form
of loan, that dividend, if you're a public
company and if you have listed yourself into
the stock market, then you have to be some form
of dividend to investor, that's optional, then you have
your current liabilities. So let's see if you have
taken any form of debt from some supplier,
from some bank, then you have your total
liabilities and we will break down all of these things
further in the coming videos. Then you have your
cash-flow statement. And cash flow statement
will help you understand how much gas you're
business is generating. I think we will straight away go to the next
video and we will break down all of these
three different types of statements in
the coming videos. So let's start off with
our balance sheet. So obviously in
the balance sheet, this is the complete overview
of your balance sheet. I think this is
the oversimplified version of the balance sheet. Now if you look at any business, you have some form of acid
and some form of liabilities. If you subtract your liabilities
from all of your assets, you have net worth
of an individually. Let's say if you're
starting a retail store and you have your retail store, your inventory, your
cash in the bank. All of these are acid. And if you have
taken any form of loan, that's your liability. And if you subtract your
liabilities from your interest, That's the owner's
equity or net worth. This is the total number
of assets you have. And if you subtract
liabilities from this asset, you have your owner's equity. So let's understand what
all will cover under acid. Acid is anything that holds a monetary value in
the retail store. Any items, any machine, any inventory that is there
in your retail store. That's your sweet. Even if you have some
cash in the bank, that also comes under the acid. Let's see if you have to
receive some form of cash from your distributor,
from your supplier, that is also a form of asset because that's a money which
will come in the future. That's the acid. And obviously your
furniture, your equipment, your property, or
whatever it is there, That's some form of acid. Obviously this asset will
depreciate over time. So let's say if you have
purchased any furniture, that furniture will decrease down in value in
the coming future. So that's a depreciation
that you have to subtract from
all of that assets. So your property furniture, you're whatever, you have
porches to set up a store, then you have your liabilities. Liabilities are
basically or debt or your loan that you have
taken from different banks. So obviously if you are
running a retail store, you have to take some form of loan to establish
a retail store. And once that retail store
will generate revenue profits, then you will repeat that
specific loan to the bank. In libraries you
have your period, all your texts variables. Let's say if you have to
pay some form of money to some supplier and you will pay that after a
certain period of time, then your accounts payable are short-term loans are
all your liabilities. And if you subtract
these libraries from all of your assets, you have your networks or
owners equity that will somehow also determine how
much money that you have, or let's say how much worth
you have in your company. This is the basic overview
of balance sheet. You also have so many
different moving parts that we are not going to
discuss in this video. If you want me to
make separate course for finance and
accounting, I can do that. But that's not my expertise or not someone who have core
competency in finance. But the main purpose
of this course is to cover some basic
concepts about finance. Like basic concept
about balance sheet, your income statement or
profit loss statement. And then jump directly into the concept that you
need to understand. Because obviously,
the main purpose of including finance
and accounting part in this course is because
some of you may become some financial
analysts in a retail company, let's say online e-commerce
store or let's say Walmart or Target or any
reading management brand. Having that sort of
perspective is also very important because I believe
Within retail management, you have 20 different
types of job. You can become a store manager, you can become a
financial analyst, you can become a
marketing manager. You have 20 different types
of flaw in retail management. And that's why
understanding the roles and responsibility of
every single role is also very important. And that's why I have covered this specific module
in this course. Now, let's come back
to our same spot. So we have a basic
understanding of balance sheet. In balance sheet you
have different types of assets and you have different
types of liabilities. And if you subtract all of these libraries from your asset, you have your total equity or your total worth
of your company.
32. Income Statement and Cash flow statement: Now let's jump into
the income statement. So I think we already have a dissenter understanding
about income statement. Income statement will
help you understand the total amount of
profit and loss. Your business is
strong rating because obviously you need to have a
basic understanding of it. All elements that are
generating profits for you. And if you have some
form of losses, how exactly you can minimize that specific loss
in your business. Let's understand the basics
of income statement. At the top you have
your net sales. Net sales is the total amount of revenue that you
are generating. Whatever product that you're
selling in your business. If you multiply that with the amount of money
that you're making, let's say number of products multiplied by the
price of the product, you will have your total
revenue that we're generating from your business. Then you have your
cost of goods sold, which is also known
as your COGS. Obviously, if you are
selling some product, they will have some form
of manufacturing costs. And that's your COGS. If you subtract your neck or your COGS from your neck sales, you will have your gross margin. If you subtract $180
thousand from $330 thousand, you will have $150 thousand
as your gross margin. Then you have your
operating expense. Now these operating expense can be the length of your store, this can be the salary
of your employees. This can be anything. And if you subtract or and
then you have other expenses. If you subtract
your total expenses from your operating expense, you have your appetite, also known as your
earnings before interest, tax and amortization, if you subtract your total expenses
from your gross margin, you will have your appetite
or net profit before tax. And after being texts, you will have net
profit after tax. Now obviously instead of profit, you can also have loss. You have your COGS, which
is the total amount of money that you need to spend to manufacturer
certain product or to acquire a
certain merchandise, then you have your gross profit, which is the difference
between your neck sales and cost of goods sold. Then you have your
operating expense, which is the total
amount of money that you need to spend to run a business, and then you have to pay tax. And finally, you have
net profit after-tax. Once you pay everything, then you will have your
net profit after tax. That's the basics of
income statement. Remember, in the balance sheet, we were subtracting all of our liabilities from
all of our assets. And in the end we will
have some form of owner's equity or maybe not total net
worth of the individual. Similarly, in income statement, we are calculating the net
profit or net loss after subtracting all of the
expenses from all of the revenue or gross profit
that we are generating. At the top we have revenue. Then we were subtracting
cost of goods sold, the total expenses that
we have like salary, running a store,
rent, all of that. And then we were
subtracting taxes in depreciation or amortization. And finally, we will have
some form of loss or profit, whatever the business is making. And then we will feed that specific data inside
the balance sheet. And then we will show
cash in the bank. So let's say if you are
generating some profit, obviously you will back that specific profit or
in your bank account. And if you're
generating some losses, then this will happen other way around in the coming videos, let's understand the
cashflow statement. Hey everyone, In
this video we will understand about the
cashflow statement. So this is the basic structure
of cashflow statement. Let's quickly understand
all the components which are there in the
cashflow statement. One of the components, or I would say
cashflow statement usually have three components. The first one is the cashflow
from operating activities. Obviously, if you are opening
different retail store, if you're running
those retail store, how much cash that specific
business is generating, that is your cashflow from
operating activities. Let's say if you are generating some form of sales from
those retail store, that is obviously the cash
from the operating activities. If you have some form of
payments coming in or going out for different
suppliers or distributors. That is also the
cash that you are generating from your
operating activities. Let's say if you have
some salaries to pay or some form of wages, that is also a form of cash
that you are generating. Or you're receiving
audio, sending, whatever you're doing, then you are being some form of rank. And that is also a
form of cash that they are generating from
operating activities. But this cash flow
can be positive or this can be negative as well. But that's the amount of cash that you are
generating from all of these different types
of operating activities, then you have gas from
your investing activities. Obviously, if you're
running a retail store, chances are that
you will be using some form of cash into
different types of investment. So let's say you
might be acquiring some smaller retail chains or some small e-commerce website if you're running an
Internet company, or let's say if
you are purchasing a new property or
a new location, or if you're opening
a new retail store, these are all the
cash that you are generating by
investing something or maybe let's say
selling something. So let's say if you're selling a property or a retail store, that's the gas that you're generating from
investment activities. And finally, you have
some form of cash that we're generating from
financing activities. Let's say if you are taking any form of loan from any bank, well, that's the
cash that you're generating from
financing activities. Or let's say you're being
sampled dividend from all of these different banks or your
shareholders or anything. That's the cash that
you're generating from financing activities. Remember, this cash can
be positive or negative. You might be generating
positive cash flow or negative cash flow. You might be profitable
in this sense. Or let's say, when I'm
saying profitable, that means you're
generating positive cash flow, negative gas. I mean, cash is going out of your business or it is
coming into your business, but that's the
cashflow that you, that you saw in your
cashflow statement. If I summarize this video bought income statement and
our cashflow statement, they are both feeding out this data into the
balance sheet. And that's how we have a
basic understanding about financial management
in retail store or any retail company. This cashflow statement
is pumping back all of this data back to
the balance sheet. And that's how we have the basic understanding
of all of this data. This is your delta or
change in the cash flow. And then you will pump back this same data into
this balance sheet. That's how we understand whether the company is financially
stable or not.
33. Asset and Margin Management: Hey everyone, In the
last video we were discussing about the
income statement, the cash flow statement,
and the balance sheet. And how exactly your
income statement and your cash flow statement is pumping back the data
into the balance sheet. Now in this video, we will
understand the difference between asset management
and margin management. If you're running
a retail store, obviously you have different
types of inventory and finding up perfect
balance between your acid that you have inside the retail store
and the amount of profit that you can generate
in that retail store. It's super important. Let's say if you're generating
some amount of profit, then obviously you can porches different types of products, but finding a specific
balance between purchasing new different types of inventory
versus making profits. That's super important
because if you end up using more of different
types of products, then chances are you will have higher inventory holding cost, and then your profit
would go down. Finding a perfect balance between generating
more amount of profit and also holding more
inventory or more asset. It's super important. We will be using some data. You can go to the Walmart's
website and you can download this annual report and then you can
read through it. You can do your analysis
by your offset. But we will be using
some dummy data, will not be using
the actual data of Walmart's report 2021. This is the link to the
Walmarts report 2021. You can download
this presentation and then you can check out this specific
financial document of Walmart, this project document, you can find the balance
sheet, cash flow statement, the income statement of Walmart, and that's at 2021
financial statement. But we will be using
some sample data of brands like Walmart
are definitely or target. And we'll be doing couple
of analysis or we will be understanding few metrics to understand all of
these financial terms, Let's quickly start a video by understanding
margin management. So obviously, if you are
starting a retail store, The main aim should always be to maximize this
specific profit. Whatever sales that
you are generating or revenue that we're generating
from your retail store. You have to subtract your COGS, then you will have
your cross margin. And once we have
the gross margin, then you need to subtract
your total expense, which is your
operating expense and your other expense from
this gross margin. Then you will have
your net profit before tax and then you
will subtract your texts. And finally, you will have
your net profit after-tax. This will look
something like this. You have a total sales of, let's imagine a $100. And you have your COGS of $60. If you subtract your COGS
from your neck sales, you will have your gross
margin, which is $40. And let's say if your total
expenses twenty-five dollar, then you will subtract your total expenses
from your gross margin. So 14, so 40 minus 25 is $315. This is your net profit. If you divide your net
profit by your sales, and if you multiply that
specific number by 100, you will have your
net profit margin. That means out of
a $100 in sales, this business is generating a net profit of
$15, which is 15%. That's the basic of
margin management. Now let's understand
the asset management. Obviously in the retail store, you have to optimize
your profit. But on the other side, you also need to
manage your acid. So let's say if you're
running any retail store, you chances are that you will be maintaining some form of
inventory of different product. Let's say you're maintaining
our inventory of $5 and then you will have
some account receivable. Account receivable is the
total amount of money that you have to receive from
all of your distributor, but you haven't received so far. That's your accounts
receivable, which is your $4. And then you have your current
asset like your furniture, your fan, all of your infrastructure that is
supporting your retail store. And if you combine all of these current assets,
like your inventory, accounts receivable, and
your current assets, you will have $10 as
your current assets. Then you will also
have your fixed asset, like your property, your rent, your employees, these are all of
your fixed asset. If you combine your current
assets with your fixed asset, you will have your total acid. And if it divide
your total sales or total revenue that you're generating from
your retail store, or let's say from all
of your retail store. And you divide that
specific revenue or sales by total asset, you will have your
asset turnover ratio. If you have more
asset turnover ratio, that means you have very values your assets to generate
more amount of sales.
34. Strategic Profit Model in Retail Management: Previously we had a good
understanding about profit margin or
margin management. And we were discussing
about the net margin or the profit margin that we are generating
from our Business. In this video, we had
a good understanding about asset turnover, which shows how much sales
or revenue that you can generate from your existing
assets that you have, which includes your inventory, your accounts receivable,
your fixed asset. And if you are able to generate more sales from a
specific number of acid, you have a good asset
turnover ratio. And if you combine all
of these two things, your asset turnover and your
net profit margin together, you will have the most
important matrix in the retail management that
is written on your asset. In net profit margin, you will subtract
your cost of goods sold from your neck sales, and then you will have
your gross margin. And if you subtract
your total expense, which is your variable
expenses plus your fixed expense from
your gross margin, then you will have
your net profit. And if you divide this net
profit by your neck sales, you will have your
net profit margin. And we saw that we had
a net profit margin of around 15% because
we were generating $15 in profit out of
hinder dollars in revenue. So this is our net profit
margin at the top. Let's calculate our
asset turnover. So we had some inventory that we were maintaining
inside a retail store, inventories the stock that you are maintaining
insider retail store. We had some accounts receivable because we had
some distributors, some supplier, and we have to receive the
money from them, but we haven't
received the money. That's the accounts receivable. And if you combine all
of these three numbers, we will have a total
current assets. And if we add our fixed asset with this total current asset, then we will have
our total assets. And if you divide your neck
sales by your total assets, you will have your
asset turnover ratio. And if you have more
asset turnover, that means you are
able to generate more revenue in more sales
from the existing acid. That means, even after maintaining a small
amount of inventory, even after maintaining a
small accounts receivable, you are able to
generate more sales. That's the positive
side of your business. And if you multiply
this net profit margin by your asset turnover, you will have return on assets. And return on asset is the most important
retail finance matrix that you will understand
in the coming videos. So let's quickly take a sample dataset and let's understand the complete calculation with
the same sample dataset. This is a sample dataset. Let's say we had a net
sales of around a $100. We were generating
revenue of around a $100. Our cost of goods sold
was around at $60. If you subtract
out cost of goods sold from our net sales. Now crosstalk gold salts is basically your
manufacturing costs. And if you subtract
your manufacturing cost from your neck sales
or net revenue, you will have your gross margin. We had a gross margin
of around $40. Now let's plug in a
couple of numbers and let's understand this
beautiful diagram. Because if you are able to understand this
specific diagram, then things will become very simple for you in
the coming videos. In the previous video, we had net sales or net revenue
of around a $100. And I took these numbers just to make things
easy for you. We can use complicated
numbers in millions, but that will complicate things. That's why I'm taking 16040, these kind of simple
numbers to simplify this specific diagram,
strategic profit model. We had a total revenue or
total sales of around a $100. We were having a cost
of goods sold or COGS, which is the total amount of money that is required
to manufacture a product or sell a
product or purchase a mocking base of around $62. And if you subtract this COGS from your net sales revenue, then you will have a gross
margin of around $40. And then we had
couple of expenditure like your operating expense,
your other experience. And if you subtract this total expenditure
from your gross margin, you will have your net profit. If you divide this net
profit by your sales, you will have your net
profit margin of around 15%. Net profit margin is your net profit
divided by net sales. Similarly, in acetone over, we were maintaining
an inventory of $5. Now inventory is the total
amount of product or the vault of the
product that we are maintaining inside
a retail store. So let's say if you
are maintaining five different products and all of them have a price of $1. We are maintaining a $5 of inventory or stock
in a retail store, then you have your
accounts receivable. This is the money that we will get in the future from
all of our retailers, distributors, suppliers, but we haven't got this specific
money from them. Then we have some
other current assets. And if you add all
of these things, you will have your current asset and then you also have
your fixed assets, like your lens, your rank, your salary, all of
these topics tested. And if you combine your current assets and your fixed assets, you will have your total assets. And if you divide your total
sales by your total asset, you will have your
asset turnover ratio. Remember, if you have
more acetone over, that means you are able to
generate more revenue or more sales from a
very limited acid because that just maintaining
a small inventory, you're just having a couple of account receivable from some distributors,
some supplier, but you are still generating
M Assume amount of Cs, more asset turnover
is always good. If you multiply this, you will have written
on asset of 37.5%. And that's a very good number. We will be focusing on this specific matrix
in the coming videos. If I summarize this
complete video, your profit margin is your net
profit by your neck sales. Your asset turnover is your
neck sales by total assets. And obviously you can cross out next sales with net sales, you will have your net
profit by your total assets. Return on assets is your net
profit by your total assets. That's the formula. But remember, you can have less net profit and
more asset turnover, or you can have more
asset turnover. Let's, let's understand that
with the help of example. Let's say you have a big
restore and a jewelry store. Obviously in a bakery store, your profit margins
are always less, but you have more acetone over. That means by maintaining a very minimal
inventory or acid, you can generate more revenue. So if you look at your
total return on asset, you still have a 10%
return on asset with asset turnover of ten times and the net profit
model of just 1%. With jewelry, you can have
more net profit margin, but your asset turnover is less. That means maintaining
a very large inventory and you're selling it very slow. But because your profit
margins are high, you can have a written
on asset of 10%. You can see that with
different retail format, you can have a different
asset turnover. You can have a different
profit margin. But the most important
matrix is written on acid. And the coming videos, we will focus on this
specific matrix.
35. Walmart and Tiffany Financial Statement: Hey everyone, In the last
video we were discussing about this specific diagram. And we had a good
discussion about margin management and
asset management. In the last video, we
were discussing about the net profit margin and
asset turnover ratio. If you have a good
asset turnover ratio, if you have a higher number
or in asset turnover ratio, that means you can
generate more sales with lower acid and
that's a good thing. Similarly, you need to have
a good profit margin in your specific retail
chain or retail store. And if you multiply your net profit margin
with your asset turnover, you will have return on asset. And return on asset is the most important metrics
in retail management. Now in this video, let's use this specific example
in the real life. And for that, I'm gonna take
an example of Walmart and definitely this is
the balance sheet of Walmart and Tiffany. On this side, you have all of your assets in balance sheet. You have your asset
and liability. And if you subtract your
liabilities from your assets, you will have your owner's
equity or your net worth of that specific company
start-up or founder, you have all of your
current assets. Accounts receivable is the
amount of money that you will receive from all of your
suppliers or distributors, then you have your
merchandise inventory. So obviously if you are
running a retail store, you will be maintaining
some sort of inventory and that's your
merchandise inventory. Then you also have
your cash in hand. So you need to
maintain some cash of running a retail store and then you have your
other current asset. And if you combine all of
these things together, you have your total
current assets. Then you have your fixed assets. Fixed asset will
includes your building, accurate comments or
other fixed assets. And obviously you need to
subtract depreciation as well. And then you will have
your total assets. You have your current assets and fixed assets of Walmart
on this specific column. And same goes with definite
in this specific column. Similarly, you have
your liabilities, you have your current liabilities,
long-term liabilities. So obviously if you have taken any form of debt or loan
from any specific bank, that will goes on
the liability side. And finally, we will use
this specific diagram. And then you can see
that you can calculate the asset turnover ratio of
both of these two brands. This dark blue color is your Walmart and this black
color is you're definitely, you can see that you'd have to calculate the
asset turnover ratio. And obviously if you need to calculate asset turnover ratio, you need to have things
like your total assets, fixed asset, and
then you will divide your total asset from net sales and then you can
have your asset turnover. You have your accounts
receivable as 2 thousand for Walmart and $99 for Tiffany. Similarly, for
merchandise inventory, you have 22,164 for Walmart
and 602 for Tiffany. These numbers are in millions. That's why we have
our scale it down to ten thousandths and then you can multiply
this by millions. Same goes with gash,
other current asset. And you can get all of this data from the income statement, or I would say the
financial statement of every single public company
in the United States, all the public company released their income statement
balance sheet and their cashflow statement
every single quarter. And that's how you can visit their website and
you can pull out all of this data that is there
in their income statement, balance sheet and
cash flow statement. Obviously, you will get all
of this data if you started working in finance
department of any company. And then you can arrange
all of this data and then you can understand
the asset turnover ratio. Obviously in the coming videos, we will understand how can you optimize this asset
turnover ratio? If the asset turnover
ratio is less, you have to minimize
your inventory and you have to
maximize your sales. If your sales is not going up. If you have more inventory, obviously you have to
change the store layout, then you also have
to work on the left. How can you increase the
market basket analysis? And then all of that specific
strategy will come in. But this is a finance video. In this video, let's understand
other sort of things. So let's say you also need to calculate inventory
to acid ratio. If you need to calculate
inventory to asset ratio, you have to divide your
inventory by your total assets. This is your inventory, 22164, and this is
your total assets. To calculate inventory to acid ratio for
Walmart and Tiffany, you just need to divide their inventory with
your total assets. Same goes with definitely, but why we are calculating
inventory to asset ratio? If you are holding a lot
of inventory and that inventory holds the majority
of your total asset. Because obviously
apart from inventory, you also have other assets like. Gosh is one of your
acid of stories, one of your assets,
property people, all of these are your assets. If inventory holds a major
portion of your asset, that's a bad thing. Your inventory should
be as less as possible. And that's why this ratio
should be as less as possible. Obviously, if you are running a traditional retail
store or a grocery store, you have to make sure
that your inventory to asset ratio is very less. So I think we had a discussion
about inventory turnover. And to calculate this,
you just have to divide your neck sales with
your average inventory. So obviously, if you are having more revenue
and less inventory, or let's say you're generating more sales with less inventory. That's a positive thing. You always need to have more and more inventory
turnover ratio. You have to maximize
inventory turnover ratio and you have to minimize
inventory to acid ratio. We will understand how exactly will you do that
in the coming videos. We have three different
types of inventory. If I covered that specific
concept in this video, you have your
fast-flowing inventory, you have your slow
moving inventory, and then you have your
average morning inventory. You need to make sure that
with the help of data, you are storing the
fast-moving inventory. And you will make
sure that you have less and less slow moving and maybe our average
morning inventory. So almost 80% of your sales comes from
20% of your product. You always need to make
sure that you have the maximum stock of debt
burning percent stock, which contributes to
80% of your sales. And that's our primary aim. If we have that specific
Briney percent, then our inventory to
asset ratio will be less. And similarly, inventory
turnover will be higher. And that's what we
have to optimize. Even in this case. Now you may have
different output. There is a reason I
haven't mentioned the number because I think that is something which
is irrelevant for this case because we are
taking hypothetical figure. Well, it may not give you
a right kind of picture. If I summarize the
asset turnover ratio. Asset turnover ratio will
show you the efficiency of a company who is using their assets to generate
sales or revenue. If you look at the formula
of asset turnover, you just have to
divide your neck says with your total assets. So let's imagine two different
scenario you're running. Let's say you have two
different types of store, antique cabinet and
plywood cabinet. For these two different
types of store, you have different
asset turnover ratio. Now obviously we consider higher asset turnover
ratio as a good thing. What does it really applicable
to every single situation? Well, the answer is no. All the product which
will have low margins are low profit margins usually
have high acid turnover ratio. But on the flip side, if you're selling something
which is premium, which will have more margin, normally they have the
low asset turnover ratio. Remember, if you go back
to the same formula, asset turnover ratio doesn't
really matter that much. You also need to focus on
net profit margin because our primary aim is always on maximizing the
return on asset. Not only the asset
turnover ratio, asset turnover ratio is
important obviously, but if the profit
margins are really good and you have an average
asset turnover ratio. And if you multiply all
of these two figures, you will still have a
good return on asset. So our primary focus should
always be on written on acid. And this will only
be maximized with the help of asset turnover
and net profit margin. Similarly, you can
also calculate return on assets for the same problem. And this is an
assignment for you. You have to download this
presentation or ppt file, and then you can plug
in all of these values. You just have to plug in the net profit margin value
and asset turnover value. So obviously your
net profit margin is your net profit
divided by net sales. And your asset turnover is your net sales divided
by total assets. And then you can plug in all of these values and
then you can help me understand what is
the ROA or return on assets of Walmart and
Tiffany in this case. You can go back into the
same presentation and you can look at all of the
numbers that you have. And then you can maybe fill in this assignment in
the next short video. And then you can just
do this assignment not just like return on asset or maybe inventory turnover. You have 20 different
types of business ratios, but I guess those are
not very important. And you can read about those
ratios in case if you have a very specific
financial analyst or business analyst role in retail company or an
e-commerce company. You have your quick
ratio in which you will have your cash plus accounts receivable
and then you have to divide that with your
total liabilities. Then you will have your current ratio where
you have to divide your total current asset with your total
current liabilities, then you have your
collection periods. So you have to divide
your account receivable by net sales and
then you have to multiply that specific
number by 365. Then you have your
account payable to net sales, overall gross profit, financial leverage, and so many different
types of business ratios. Remember, these are
important business ratios. But to cover all of
these business ratios, we have to make 56
different videos, which may not make
sense for everyone. So you can maybe just Google
it out or maybe if you're specifically in the
finance department of a retail management. Now if I summarize this
specific retail finance video, you have your
written on network. So you have to multiply
your net profit margin with the asset turnover ratio and
then the financial leverage. And then you will have
your written on network.
36. Retail Finance Assignment: Hey everyone, this is
the assignment video. And in this video you have to calculate all of these
different types of ratios or margins with the
help of this sample dataset, let's consider these two
as your dream company. So you have your dream company, one dream company too. You obviously you can change the stream company wanted to
with any name that you want. You have your net
sales at the top. You have your cost
of goods sold. You have your gross margin,
your total expense, your net profit
before tax or avatar on in before interest,
tax and amortization. Then you have your taxes, then you have your tax rate, and then you have your
net profit after tax. Obviously, you first have to
calculate the gross margin, which is right there. This is your income
statement and you also have balance sheet
of your dream company. Obviously for your
dream company 12, you have your assets, your liabilities,
your owner's equity. This is the balance sheet. This is the income statement. So obviously, if you wanted to calculate
the owner's equity, you have to subtract your liabilities from
your total assets. And that's how you can
calculate your owner's equity. You can quickly download this presentation
file and you have to help me understand
all of these ratios. So first of all, you
have to calculate your total expense by
your neck sales ratio. So you have to divide your total expense
by your net sales. Then you have to calculate
your net profit margin. So you have to divide your
net profit by your net sales. Then you have to calculate
the inventory turnover ratio. You have to divide
your net sales by your average inventory
and you have to calculate the
asset turnover ratio. You have to divide your net
sales by your total assets. So that's your task. Please
complete this assignment. I'm gonna give you all of the
resources with this video. You can find this attachment
with this specific video, and then you can download
this specific ppt file and you can complete
this assignment. In the next video, we will understand why we
are doing all of these different types of
metrics, ratios, or calculation. What is the main
idea of doing all of this retail finance and
calculation in the coming video.
37. Financial metrics Conclusion: Hey everyone. In the past few videos we had
a discussion about all of these different types of
retail finance matrix. This video, we will understand why we
are measuring all of these metrics and
the phosphorylase and who needs all of
these financial metrics? Let's start off our journey
by understanding ROE, which is your return on equity. We all know that if you subtract your liabilities or all
of your debts from acid, you will have your
owner's equity, also known as your
total net worth. And we had a discussion about this specific topic in
the balance sheet video. In balance sheet, you
have your owner's equity, your assets, and
your liabilities. And if you subtract all of
your liabilities, your lawns, your debt from the asset, you will have your owner's
equity or net worth. If it divide net profit
by owner's equity, you will have your
return on equity. Which means if you have
more and more assets, you can generate more profit. And then you will
have a higher ARPU, ie, That's a corporate
level matrix. Normally ROE is measured by the CEO because this
ROE matrix will define how much return you can generate from the
specific equity that this business have. Then you have your
merchandise matrix. For that, you have your GMR, which is your gross margin
return on inventory. That means how
efficiently you can manage all of your
merchandise inventory. We all know that gross
margin can be calculated by subtracting your cost of goods sold from
your total revenue, and that's your gross margin. And if you have less inventory
and higher gross margin, your GMR or I will be higher. That means if somebody have the access of GMR or a matrix, they can inform you about
deep management of inventory. Now this means a good G
MROI will significantly help you understand how well our retail store is
managing their inventory. Then you have your
store data matrix, which will help you
understand how value somebody's managing a
specific retail store. And to do that, you
just have to divide your net sales by
your square foot. Now this will help
you understand how much sales we are generating
per square feet of area. We all know that if you
have a larger retail store, you have the potential to generate more amount of revenue. If you have a smaller
retail store, obviously that we distort
and generate less revenue. So this specific matrix, which is your sales
per square feet, will help you understand
how much sales or revenue you can join rate
per square foot of area. You just need to
divide your neck sales by your square foot. This specific matrix will
help you understand how every single store
is being managed by different store manager
or director of store.
38. Introduction to Category Management: So here the one in
the last few videos, we had a discussion
about different types of merchandise inventory
management and how effectively you
can manage the store. But the problem is we have 0 idea about inventory
optimization. So how do we exactly know that? How much inventory
we can manage, what all different types
of inventory we have in our store and how
exactly you can optimize these
inventory to make sure that you're generating
more sales and revenue. And you also have a fast-moving
inventory in your store which can generate
more sales and how exactly you can manage
all of these smoke. And I use that idea of product and the depth
of the product. That's why in this
course or in this video, we will understand about
merchandise management. Inventories, one of the biggest
cost for any retailers. And retailers will
always make sure that the inventory is
translating into sales. Because obviously 80% of your sales comes from
20% of your inventory. And you have to make
sure that you're not storing anything which is not moving fast in
your retail store. In fact, you may have
seen these kind of store, these small retailers will
always make sure that they have a specific
kind of inventory which is moving from
the shelf very fast. That's why these
retailers will always avoid accepting new
brands, new product. They will always put all of those products which
are very familiar. Or if the customer is very familiar with those
specific product. Merchandise management
is a process by which retail operators
the correct quantity of merchandise in
the right place at the right time to meet the
company's financial goal. Now this person's mean
m is to put all of those different types of
product which will move out of shelf very fast because it has to
make sure that all of these different people are purchasing these
different products so that he can purchase
new stock and you can, again cell that specific stock and generate more
amount of revenue. If your sales cycle or
inventory cycle is fast, this person can meet more money. Because storing inventory is one of the biggest
headache you can have. Interbreeding. And that's why
to manage this merchandise, these retailers will always
maintain a portfolio. And before maintaining
a portfolio, they will always analyze how much dollar they wanted to invest in this
specific inventory. And this can better be
managed by working capital. Let's say if you have
free cashflow of every $10 thousand out of
that $10 thousand, how much inventory
you need to buy? What are the different types
of inventory unit to mind? And this guy will make
sure that he's investing 80% of the money into
the Hotmail conveys. Now hot merchandise
is a specific type of product which is
moving very fast, or let's say 80%
of sales is coming from this 20% of
hot mocking base. These products are selling
very fast and he also need to make sure that he is
also open to buy it. So let's save some huge discount is coming in the market
in the future or let say some good sales is going on from the retailers
or supplier side, this person can quickly
purchase some extra product. And then if you have a certain level of
stock in his store, he also needs to
maintain a portfolio. He also needs to
monitor the stock. Let's say if 20 pieces are
remaining in the store, when will he refill that
specific product in the store? Let's say some product is
not selling very fast. What kind of discount or price he can offer the
different customer. So we need to maintain all of these different factors
inside a retail store. Now this is a small
retail store. If you look at bigger companies
like Walmart or Target, those people have very specific
set of buying process. And you will have
different people involved in different
buying process. Let's say if you are
working in Walmart, you may have seen
this specific kind of buying process if the monitor
to start a new category or a new format of
retail store or lets a new type of product
line in a retail store. At the top you have
your merchandise group. This will be managed by senior
VP or merchandise manager. Then you will have different
types of departments. So let's say if you're
opening a new retail store, you have 45 different
types of department or division of product or different types of
merchandise strategy. And this will be managed by divisional
merchandise manager. And then you have different
types of classification. Let's say if you have
women fashion as a category and then
you will classify that specific woman
fraction into, let's see. Let's say a person is targeting just a child segment and that specific category of
the person who is targeting each group of, let's say ten years
to put in five years. And another person
who is managing the age group of maybe 30
plus years to for 50 years. And then you have
different classification. And then finally you have
different categories. So let's say within
the retail store, if you have clothing, then you will have different
types of categories. Inside clothing's, you will
have sportswear dream, we're swim, we are out of here. And normally these
different categories are managed by
category managers. Then you have your SKU, which is your stock
keeping units. So what all different
types of products you wanted to purchase in
that specific category? You have your different types of variation, colors,
flavors, styles. These are managed by all of these category
managers at SKU level. This is the typical buying
process in different, or I would say in
big retail chain. But let's focus on one specific topic which
is most important because majority of you
will be joining as academy manager in a specific video gym
or e-commerce store. Let's understand what do you
mean by category management. Category management
is the managing of a retail business with the objective of
maximizing sales and profits of that
specific category, not just the complete brand. They will give you one specific category in a retail store, let's say daily product or
building as a category, or let's say nutritional
supplement as a category. And then you have to
make sure that you have all of these different
types of product. You are managing inventory,
you're optimizing it. You are forecasting demand. You are making sure
that you will have that fast-moving inventory
in your retail store. But on the flip side,
you also have a mix of slow moving and
different variety and assortment of products. The purpose of assigning
this specific category to category manager is
to make sure that he understands the
consumer behavior. And he will come up with a plan which will have
proper variety and assortment of different products so that they can satisfy
the customer need. They will also make sure
that they are improving the profitability of
this specific category. Here everyone on now
let's quickly understand the different types of
merchandise management system. Inside the retail store, you have two different
types of merchandise. You have your staple modernize, and you have your
fashion merchandise. Now step up merchandise have
a valid, predictable demand. Obviously, you can predict
the demand of bread, butter, and egg
every single day. Because you know that from
past these many years, this is the sales
number that we have these product relatively
accurate forecasting, because you exactly know that these many people will be both choosing these
many products. And this is the amount of sales we can generate
every single day. Well, let's say
every single week. And this weekend store
will continuously replenish the stock of
deed staple merchandise. Your bread, butter, egg, G is whatever that is used by
people on day-to-day basis. These are stapled merchandise. Remember they have
a low shelf life, and that's why these mock
Mondays will be replaced by all of these retail store every single day or
probably every single week. On the other side, you have your fashion merchandise
and you will always have unpredictable demand of these fashion merchandise. Because obviously if you have
some festival coming in, you have some special
occasion or season coming in, then you will solve people purchasing a lot of these
fashion merchandise. So the demand is
always unpredictable, or I would say semi or
partially predictable. And sometime a lot of seasonal
variation are also there. So let's say if you
have a sudden spike in temperature or a sudden drop in temperature within a week, you will see that there
is an increase in the demand of all of these
fashion merchandise. And because of that, it is super difficult
to forecast sales. And that's why many of
these retailers will show open to buying
process where they will quickly purchase all of these different types of merchandise as soon as they
see some sort of demand. In this specific category.
39. ROI and GMROI: In future, if you will become
a merchandise manager, then you have to control
what all merchandise that you have to buy for
that specific retail store, at what price you will be purchasing that
specific mock Mondays. And obviously you also
have to make sure that you're always selling
at a higher price. And then you also need to maintain the cost
of merchandise, so-called your COGS,
cost of goods sold. But you may not be controlling factors like operating expense, human resource, real estate, Supply Chain Management
Information System. All of these things will be maintained from your
central headquarter. And these people will decide how many new retail store
the monitor to open, or how many people they wanted to deploy in
those retail store. How can they optimize their supply chain and
operation management? As a merchandise manager, your main responsibilities
is to buy a specific merchandise of that specific category
at a cheaper price. And you need to make sure
that you are generating more amount of profit by selling them at a higher price
and also maintaining optimal inventory and minimizing
the slow moving product. That's your primary aim
as a merchandise manager. To maximize your GI MROI, which is your gross margin
Britain on inventory. But the problem is how exactly will you calculate this G MROI? In the next video, we will understand your ROI, which is written on inventory, and your GM ROI, which is your gross margin
return on inventory. This will help you
understand how productive your assets are. When I'm saying acids, it includes everything,
your inventory, your cache, all of the
equipments you have, these are all your assets. As a merchandise manager, your main focus should always be on optimizing
these two matrix. So let's quickly understand
these two matrix. So let's start off with that. Gmr. Gmr is the
multiplication of your gross margin percentage and your sales to stock ratio. We all know that the gross
margin percentage is your gross margin divided
by your net sales. And sales to stop ratio
is your net sales divided by average inventory at cost
at that particular time. So obviously you can
cross your neck sales by net sales and your GMR ROI is your gross margin divided by average inventory at cost. We all know that
gross margin can be calculated by subtracting
your cost of goods sold, COGS from your net
revenue or net sales. And average inventory at cost is your inventory at a
particular period of time, is your beginning inventory
and your ending inventory. And then you have to
divide that by two, which is your average
inventory at cost. This is your GM ROM. You can calculate your
inventory turnover by subtracting your gross
margin percentage from one. And then you can
multiply the same number with your sales to stop ratio. Now apart from this GMR, why you also need to focus on
higher management now GMR, why is the modernize
management microbes? So as a mechanized manager
will be optimizing just GMR. You also have strategic
corporate level matrix, which is your return on asset. Whatever assets you
have in your company. How much of revenue concentrate
from that specific acid. Now in G MROI, you just have your gross margin divided by your
average inventory. You're not managing
any other acid. So previously I have explained that as an open brace manager, your primary responsibility
should always be on optimizing inventory
and gross margin, and that's your primary
responsibility. But as a strategic cooperation, you also need to optimize
number of employees, your furniture, rank
of retail store, the building of the
small expenses. And that's why Return on
Asset is also important. If you have less number of
people in your retail store, you're maintaining
very less inventory. You also have very
minimal expense and then you can
generate more profit. That's your return on asset. As a merchandise manager
or as a category manager, your primary focus is
on optimizing GM ROI, which is you're optimizing inventory and increasing
the gross margin. But at the corporate level, strategic corporate
level, your primary aim, or I would see your
North Star metric should always be on optimizing
return on asset. You have to maintain minimum
amount of acid and you have to increase the net profit
of that specific company. Then you have your
merchandise management level, which is your Finally, one of the metrics
that you can also measure in this is your
sales to stoke ratio. So obviously you have your
neck since at the top, and then you have your
average inventory at cost. How much sales you can generate from the existing inventory. This is one of the
supporting metrics that you can also calculate. Your quarterly sales
to stock ratio is 2.3. You can multiply this by
four and you will have your LLC is to
stroke ratio as 9.2.
40. ABC Analysis for Inventory Management: Hey everyone, my instant deep in the last
couple of videos, or I would say in the
last 56 videos we were discussing about
inventory. Inventory. Inventory. What I know a lot of
you are confused that why this guy is
talking so much about inventory and not helping us understand how exactly we
can optimize inventory. And that's why in this video, we will perform an ABC analysis. Now this is a
technique by which you can understand
which inventory or which category of
product is creating maximum revenue or profit or
students for your company. And then you can purchase
the maximum amount of that specific product
or category of product. Let's understand this ABC
analysis in this video. And the reason why we are doing this ABC analysis
is because 80% of your sales gets generated
from 20% of your product. You need to make sure that you are having more of
these 20% product in your retail store so
that you can generate more and more seeds and you can reduce down your inventory. Before jumping into inventory, let's understand how
exactly you will analyze your merchandise and how
exactly you can manage it. So there are two
ways by which you can manage your merchandise. First one is obviously your
cell through analysis. Let's say you are having hindered different
types of t-shirt. And you are able to sell 20 t-shirts in
the month of April. Sell-through rate is 20 divided by a 100 multiplied by n grid. Yourself through rate for
the month of April is 20%. That means you can sell 20% of your product in
one single month. And based on that, you can basically store more and
more number of products. And second way by
which you can manage your inventory is by increasing
your sell-through rate, which includes bundling
different types of products. Let's say you have
three different types of Nestle Maggie in
your retail store. And let's say if a normal
Maggie is purchased by people very frequently, then you can also bundle
these two products together. Let us see our odds Maggie
and a normal Maggie. And then you can give
some form of discount so that you can increase
the ticket size of people. You have your sell-through rate. With the help of that,
you can understand which product is
selling really fast. And then you can bundle the
slow moving products by giving some discount with
the fast-moving product. Now let's not go deep into
this specific types of analysis that you can use too
many of your mountain dies. And let's perform
an ABC analysis. Let's understand
what are we going to do in this ABC analysis. In the ABC analysis, we will identify
the performance of individual SKU in
the assortment plan. We will do that
by ranking all of these merchandise based on their performance
and which I don't, is generating more
and more sales. If you look at this
specific diagram on x-axis, you have percentage of
item in your inventory. In your y-axis you have
percentage of revenue. Item number a is 20%
of your total SKU, which is your stock keeping
unit or your inventory. Item a is representing
80% of your sales. Item B is having 30% of
your SKUs or inventory, but this is generating
15% of your sales. Item C, which is the slow
moving products we have. This is occupying 50% of
our inventory or SKU, and this is generating
just 5% of sales. This is not an
optimized retail store because you have more of item C, which is generating less
of sales or revenue. And you have desktop item a, which is generating more of
revenue or more of sales. We are not sure about
profits as of now. Now let's perform this ABC
analysis in a furniture store. In a furniture store, you have all of these
different types of products. So you have your products
like your bed, your chair, your coffee table, and your
dining table, your bookcases. These are all the
different types of products you have in that
specific furniture store. On the second column, you
have your annual sales, let's say 5 thousand beds are being sold by this specific
retail store in a year. Similarly, 1500 chairs are being sold by this specific
retail store in the ear. And similarly, you have this annual sales on this
specific column. Then you'll have
your cost per unit. Let's say one bag
is costing $80.1, chair is costing customer $20. This is your cost per unit for this specific
type of product. And this is your annual
revenue or your annual sales, whatever you call
it, or n will usage. If you multiply this
specific number of items which are being sold
with this cost per unit, you will have your annual sales. The first step is to multiply your annual sales
with the price of the product and you will
have your annual revenue or animal uses value of
that specific product. After that, in the second step, you will apply a
short function in the envelope revenue or in the
animal uses value and bad, which is having the
maximum amount of revenue in the ear
is at the top. And bookcases,
which is generating the least amount of revenue
in the ear is at the bottom. The step number three. It will add all of the
individual revenue, and now we will have
a total revenue of 70 seventy one hundred,
ten hundred dollars. And then we also have the
total number of products which are being sold in that
specific retail store. And in step number four, we will find the
cumulative percentage of products that are being solved along with the percentage of annual consumption value. So let's say this specific bag, which have the angle number
of items sold as 5 thousand. This 5 thousand is 23%
of this 20 thousand, which is the total number of
items or index specific ear. These office chair,
which is 10 thousand, which are being sold
in that specific year. This 10 thousand is 47.61
percentage of this 20 thousand. This is our percentage
of annual unit sold. So bad is 23% of total sales. Opposite year is
47.61% of total sales. Dining table is 3.33% of total, since this is the
individual contribution of that specific product in total
sales in terms of units, not in terms of revenue. Then you will calculate
the percentage of annual revenue contributed
by a single product. Not bad individually contributes
52% in total revenue, which is your 7071, $1000. Your office chair contributes to 27% of your total revenue. And you can see that
you're bad contributes 23.8% individually in
the envelope units sold. But on the flip side, it contributes the maximum
amount of revenue, which is 52% of
your total revenue. After this specific calculation, you can split this specific data into three different categories. You have your
category a, B, and C, because 80% of your sales is coming from beds
and office chair, 13% of your sales is coming from dining table,
chair and desk. And just 8% of your sales is coming
from your coffee table, drops, computer cabinet,
your bookcases. You can see that you
have to optimize this specific
category in case if you wanted to generate
maximum amount of revenue. But on the flip side,
you also need to maintain the inventory
of other two categories. Mean conclusion of this video is that category a is
generating 80% of sales. Category B is generating
protein per cent, and Category C is
generating 8% of revenue. Your primary focus
should always be on maximizing the inventory
or the variety and the assortment of
category a because that is generating the maximum
amount of revenue for you. But being a retailer, you also need to have a variety of different
types of products. And that's why you also
need a little bit of variety in dining table
chairs and desks squared. But when it comes
to coffee table, what drops or computer cabinet or all of these different
types of products, you have to have the
least variety of product, because that's your category C, which is generating the
least amount of revenue. You need to increase the variety in beds and office chair, and you need to reduce down the variety in
your coffee table, what drops and computer cabinet, because these are generating the least amount of
sales for your business. Now this is the
oversimplified version of this ABC analysis. In the coming videos, we will do the ABC
analysis in execute. And then you can understand this specific type of analysis
in a much better way. Let's conclude this video by understanding this ABC analysis. Now category number a and
help you precisely and exactly estimate the amount of inventory that you will
need in the future. Because obviously, category is generating maximum amount of
revenue and you can always store more of this
specific inventory because this will end up generating more
revenue for your brand. Because category a is generating 80% of revenue and this is the most important category in your retail store or
in your retail chain. You will always assign
this specific category to some senior manager who is professional and who is having a good amount of experience. Because that's the primary
revenue-generating category. Because category a is your primary
revenue-generating category, you require a very
strict degree of control in this purchase
specific category. Similarly, in category B, you can partially estimate
the amount of inventory or stock that you need to
store for the coming year. And you can assign
this specific category to some mid-level
professional manager. Because this is
some reading around 13 to 15% of your revenue. And this required a
moderate level of control. And categories see is generating minimum
amount of inventory. And you can't really estimate how much revenue this category will generate in the future. And that's why you can assign this specific
category of products to some senior and junior staff, some junior manager, or
some inexperienced people. Because this is not
your primary focus. You do not need any sort of control in this
specific category.
41. D2C (Direct to consumer) Business Model: Hey everyone. In this video we're gonna talk about the B2C business model, also known as your
direct-to-consumer business model. Let's quickly understand
the difference between B2C business mortar and traditional retail
business model. And in the next slide, we will understand
how companies are shifting towards the B2C
business model nowadays, instead of choosing the traditional retail
business model. Let us understand this. First, let's understand that
traditional retail business, how exactly our traditional
retail business work. And after that we will
understand B2C business node. So in a traditional retail, you have your manufacturer, then you have your wholesaler, then you have your distributor, retailer, and finally,
the end consumer. Any product that you purchased
from all these retailers, they follow this traditional
retail business model. Let's take an
example of a wallet. Let's say I have this wallet. Now this wallet was manufactured by all of these manufacturers. Then these manufacturers will supply all of these wallets
to all of these wholesaler. Then these wholesaler
will supply all of their products
through distributor. The distributor will supply
these products to retailer. And finally, retailer will sell all these products
to the end consumer. Now you have so many
different parties. Let's look at B2C
business model, which is direct-to-consumer. That means these
manufacturers will directly sell all of their
products to consumer. Or maybe you have one single retailer or one
single campy or startup is just purchasing all of
these products from manufacturers and directly
selling it to and consumer. Let's quickly have a look. You have your manufacturers. So obviously if you are
selling any product, you at least need some manufacturer who can
manufacture these products. Then you have your brand. Let's say this brand can be a startup or this sprint can
be accompany or a retailer. And these people will
be selling all of their products directly
to the end consumer. Now, anytime you skip any of these parties from
the supply chain, basically you are just saving
on the commission because these people might be taking a small margin out of the
complete transaction. I think we had a
discussion about the exact same
thing when we were discussing about the
Amazon's business model. How Amazon was connecting
all of these wholesaler, finally to the end consumer. And that's how they were able to sell all of their products
at a cheaper cost, standard traditional
retail supply chain. That's the main purpose of
the B2C business model. In the next slide, Let's
understand all these friends who are using this
B2C business model. So you have some
very famous company who are using B2C
business model. I would say all the
internet companies or all the e-commerce plan that you will see around yourself. All of these companies are
using this B2C business model. Now, I've taken some
very famous brand. I'm not sure whether you are aware of these plants are not. You have your Gymshark, which is a thickness rank of us. You have your golden nutrition, which is also a
thickness range of us. Gymshark is also there in
UK and other countries. Then you have JVs
bought a normal heart. All these companies are following
the B2C business model. That means these
companies or die people choosing all of their products
from some manufacturers. And then they are directly
selling to the end consumer. And then they are
shipping product with the help of some
logistic providers. All these companies have some
form of partnership with all these logistic companies like FedEx and all
these columns. So if I device the concept, the main purpose of
DTC brand direct to consumer brand is to
make sure that they are directly shipping the product
from the manufacturer to the end consumer with the help of some
logistic partner. And that's how they're able to sell the product at
a cheaper price, and they can also generate
much more revenue. Now let's understand
this B2C business model with the help of this example. And we had a good
understanding about this specific example in the Amazon's marketplace
business model. But I'm still discussing this again so that things
are very clear. In reference to B2C
business model. If you look at the
traditional supply chain, in a traditional supply chain
you have your manufacturer, then you have your wholesaler, then you have your distributor, then you have your retailer. And finally your
end consumer say, we are talking about shoes. A manufacturer is manufacturing
the shoes in $99. Then the wholesaler
is purchasing all of the tools from
manufacturer in 10, $5. Then obviously wholesaler also have to Ansar lot of money. Then distributor is purchasing seems used from
wholesaler in $110. Then distributor also
have to make some money. Then finally, the retailer is purchasing all of the
tools from distributor. And then we dealer is selling all of the tools to
the end consumer. You can see that the cost of this US got increased
from $99 to $135. Now companies like Amazon or any e-commerce company that
is there in your country. These companies will
directly take products from wholesaler and select
to the end consumer. So let's take an
example of Amazon, because Amazon is a very famous, famous
e-commerce company. Amazon will take all of these product from
the wholesaler. They will take temporal
$10 as their profit. And let's say it will take extra $5 to ship this product
to the end consumer. Amazon might be using
their own logistic arm, or they might be using a third-party logistic arm like blue dot in some countries, let's say the
logistic cost is $5. Amazon will invest $50. Finally, if you add $15, which is ten plus
five to this 10, $5, this end consumer will get exactly the same
product in just $120. You can see that with the e-commerce suit
or with a B2C rule, this consumer was able to
get the same product in $120 with the traditional
supply chain, this customer was getting exactly the same
product in $135. And that's the beauty
of B2C business model. If I summarize the
video and highlight the benefits of B2C
business model. In B2C business model, you have nominal men
if you do not have any middlemen like wholesaler
or distributor or retailer. So if you do not
have any middlemen, the company can
have more profit. So all of these B2C
brand who are selling the product directly from manufacturer to
the end consumer. They can easily maximize their profits because
they do not have to pass on a specific amount of that profit to all
of these middlemen. Second benefit is
they can easily gain access to the more
targeted customer data. Now, because all of
these B2C companies are directly selling their
product to the end consumer. They can have a much
debated customer data when compared with the traditional
retail business model. Let's say if I'm purchasing ten different products online from ten different companies, those companies have
access to my data. Let's say they have details
like my name, my please, my mobile number, how many products am I purchasing
from that brand? And it does spend half
that specific data. They can quickly tweak on the product based on
my specific requirement. They can understand it. They can quickly take a feedback because they are directly
interacting with the customer. They had a much more
targeted customer data. Third one is higher degree
of personalization. And this is one of the
most important point because if you look at
traditional supply chain, the biggest problem in the traditional supply chain is the inventory holding cost. Let's see, you are
making these wallets. And let's say instead of just five different
types of older, you can quickly make 20
different types of wallet. And then you can directly ship all these wallets
to the customer. Now the problem with the
traditional retail supply chain is the inventory holding cost. Nobody in this
supply chain wants to hold the inventory,
the extra inventory. Let's see. If you have 20 different wallet. You can just buy, let's say, maybe 1 million
piece of every single wallet. And then you can
hold inventory In your manufacturer
can hold inventory. And anytime you have
a sudden boost or a certain supply of
all of your products, people can directly purchase it. The problem with
traditional retail, wholesaler will only purchase the quantity that he can
sell to a distributor. Distributor will only
Bolchoz as hotel level of quantity that he can
sell it to a retailer. And retailer wants to sell the product as fast as possible. They don't really want to
hold a specific inventory in their shelf because they have
a limited stories capacity. And that's why B2C
business model have a, have a high degree
of personalization because they have an inventory
less plasmas, mortar. They don't really
hold inventory or any of these parties
hold inventory. Let's see. Tomorrow you end up shipping a million pieces to your
distributor and your retailer. And both of these people were not able to sell those products. Then these people have to
send you back the product, and then you have to
receive those products. Technically, the product is going in the forward logistic. You are just incurring
some sort of cost in shipping those
product to these people. And then these
people are sending back the products because
they are not able to salute inventory holding cost is a big pain in the
traditional retail. And when you have
high inventory, then you can have
less personalization.
42. Private labels and white labels: Hi everyone, My
name is now leap. And in this video we're
going to talk about private label business model or white-label
business more group. And this business model is
widely used by B2C brand, which is direct to
consumer brand. Because if we wanted to start your own e-commerce
company or B2C brand, then it's really difficult for you do manufacturer
your own product. And if you cannot manufacturer
your own product, then you have to take the help
of contract manufacturer. And that's why in this video
we're gonna talk about private label and y label brand. Let's quickly understand
the meaning of private label and
y label Foster. A private label and
y label products are manufactured by
contract manufacturer, also known as third-party
manufacturer. And you can send all of those product under
your own dynein. That's even if the
doc private label and y label brands or products. Let's understand this. If you wanted to start your own e-commerce website
where you can sell supplements or nutrition or any product with
your own brand name. The new hat to be held from all these contract manufacturer. And that's why
you'll be contacting them for white label and
private label branding. Let's say you wanted
to start a website where you can sell
your own supplements, your own wallet, or any product. You will reach out to
all these manufacturer will manufacture products for you
and they will paste our logo on DOD
specific product. Let's say I will reach out to, let's say if I wanted to start my own eCommerce brand for
supplements or nutrition, I will reach out to any
of the manufacturer or contact manufacturer who is manufacturing
deed supplement. I will request him to paste my brand or my label
on these products, and then I will purchase these
products in bulk quantity. Now obviously you have to purchase all of
these products with sorting MOQ, minimum
order quantity. And then I will
convince these people, do let's say manufacturer
5 thousand quantity of this product for me and then paste my label on this product. And then I will settle all of these products using
my e-commerce website. Then I will ship all
of these products with the help of some
logistic partner. That's how the private label and the white-label
business model work. Let's understand this with
the help of an example. Let's say I am a fitness influencer and
I wanted to start up fitness plan where
I can sell all of these supplements like we're protein multivitamins omega-3. So let's understand how
exactly IV execute this ramp. Or I would say I will start this eCommerce brand or
supplement and Nutrition. First of all, I have
to find a list of five to ten different contract
manufacturer and I have to do an initial consultation with those contract
manufacturer. At this stage, we
will discuss about how many units we want for
this specific product. Let's say they will give me a price quotation for 10 thousand borders
of this multivitamin. So let's say 5 thousand boxes
of a specific VIP protein. They will ask me about
the flavor, the quantity, the minimum order
quantity, the price, the quality standard, and
all of these details. And then they will
give me sodium price. So if you asked me about the price difference between the final price of
any specific product, whether it's a supplement brand, multivitamin, omega-3, or any product
manufacturer can give you all of these products
at 20% price, then the final products. Let's say if I am
purchasing as a customer, if I'm purchasing any
of these products like a multivitamin protein
band or anything like $10, the manufacturing cost of all these product is
20% of final price. So if you are purchasing this supplement brand
or this multivitamin, let us say $10 than that manufacturing cluster of this product is just two or $3. And the remaining goals
will goes to logistic, to marketing, to branding, and you as a prophet and sway. Then after I have finalized
what I have done, the initial consultation, then I have to select a product
which I wanted to sell. Let's say I'm choosing
three different products, like a VIP protein or
omega3 or a multivitamin. Once I'm done with choosing
all of these three products, then I have to do some
blending and licensing with those people that
have to finalize a logo. I have to finalize our label. And then those people
will stick my label on their product and that's how then I have to
go for approval. Almost all these
countries you have. So the food license, drug license and storage
license that you have to take from your
specific government. Then finally, you can
start selling all of these product using your
e-commerce website. Let's define a conclusion. If I summarize the video. If you wanted to sell
your own VIII protein, your own ME, omega3, your own multivitamin
or any product, even your own wallet. Then you have to talk to
these contract manufacturer. These contract
manufacturer will give you the minimum order quantity that you have to purchase at least. And then they will give
you a price Cartesian.
43. How to start your own Private Label: Now once you understand
the complete process, let's understand how
exactly we implement the same process in case of private label and
white label brand. Let's say you are a fitness influencer or let's say any
influence or forsake. You have good number
of subscribers on YouTube and you have
good followers. Let's say you had a
fitness influencer. If you have a 100 thousand
subscribers on YouTube and let's say a 100 thousand
followers on Instagram. You have a good audience. Now you can build your own bike label and
private label brand. And then you can sell all of your products to
all these people. And then you can
generate profits. You first have to decide
which all product you have to launch for that
specific audience. Remember if you are a
fitness influencer, chances are that all those
people who are into thickness, they might be following you. If you are a beauty influencer or I would say a
fashionable influencer, then all those
people who are very frequent in purchasing
new dresses, new fashion. I mean, they're trying
their hands on new fashion. Those people are following you. You have to choose product based on the type of
audience you have. Once you choose those products, then you have to go through
a special legal compliances. So let's say if you wanted to sell nutrition or supplement, then you have to take
a drug license of food license because you
are selling food to people. But on the other side, if you
are a fashion influencer or if you're selling clothes or
let's say beauty products. And you have to give a
normal automatic license or a drug license. And then you have to
do some basic taxation and legal compliances. You can take help from some
legal advisor if you want. After that, you have
to contact all of these contract manufacturer and then you have to pick
a price quotation. Let say if you wanted, if you wanted to sell the lipstick, or let's say any, any other product
and you have to find all those contract manufacturer what manufacturing lipstick
or different brands. Once you find all those people, then you have to take
a price quotation from all those contract manufacturer
for a specific lipstick. And then you have to ask
for minimum order quantity. Then they will see
you that we can manufacturer at least or the minimum of 5
thousand quantity. And then you have to ask them
for the processing time. How much time we do need to manufacture these
products from me. Now, obviously they will
paste your brand logo, your level and everything. You have to ask for
processing time as sweat. Finally, then you
have to list all of your products on your
own personal website. Let's say if you also wanted
to sell your products on Amazon or maybe some
other e-commerce website, then you will take some nice
photo or some nice pictures. Maybe do some influencer
marketing and maybe then list out all of
those products on Amazon, you're on the website or maybe any other website
that you can imagine. Finally, this is the time you have to focus on
sales and marketing. So if you have a
good personal brand on YouTube, on Instagram, then you can sell
these products to your own influencer,
your own follower. But on the other side, maybe you can also tie up a
couple of more influencers. Let's say, you know, 34 good influencers who have a very genuine, engaging audience. You can reach out to them. You can pay them some amount
of money and then they can maybe do some sort of
sponsorship of your product. If you are launching
a new product, you may have some
early mover advantage. Then you can sell
your products on Amazon or maybe to
your own audience. If you have a very
unique product which is not there
in the market, then people do not have
any choice because in case of supplements like
the protein multivitamins, omega-3, people help maybe
1000 different choices. But if I'm launching a
very unique product, people may not have choices and then they might end up
choosing your product. Now, once you have done a specific initial sales of
your product or your brand, let's say you gave an order of 5 thousand quantity to all of these contract
manufacturer. And after three to four months, you are able to sell all of these products to
different customer. Now you have to find a way to
scale all of these plants. If you look at some
successful startups like Kylie Cosmetics
from Kylie Jenner, those people were able
to scale their brand. Now those people are blocking and revenue
of three hundred, four hundred million
dollars every single year. That's the scale we
are looking for. Now to scale your brand. Now you have to invest in
good team, good people, good partnership, good products, good research and development. And now you have to attract
some investment from all of these venture
capitalists or angel investor. Let's quickly summarize
the video by understanding the difference between private
label and white label. There is a very small
or a slight difference between these two terms. But let's really
understand this. So private label products are manufactured exclusively
for retail brand, while white label products are manufactured for
multiple retailers. So if you look at big
companies who are purchasing products in
millions of quantity, all of these contract
manufacturers usually manufacturer
product for them, which have some
exclusive flavors, some exclusive fragments,
or some exclusive content. And that is something
called as private label. You are privately manufacturing all of your products
or some brand. While on the other side, white-label products are
open for, open to everyone. Let's say you have
a small audience on YouTube and Instagram,
and you don't, and you can't really purchase those products in
millions of quantity. In that situation,
you will reach out to all of these
white label people. And then you can
ask for, let's say, a thousand pieces
of any product or let's say maybe 2 thousand
or 10 thousand PCs. And in that situation, they may not customize
that product based on a specific flavor
or fragments, and they will
directly give it to you by putting your own label, your own branding in
the private label. As usual, retailers have the ability to
modify the products. And obviously these manufacturer will develop a unique
product for them. But in case of white-label, retailers do not have any flexibility or
the economic request. All of these white
labeled manufacturer to customize or to rebrand couple of
things for themselves. But if you're just starting on your journey with startup
entrepreneurship, you have to go through
the flight labeling and then you have to
enter into the market, sell couple of videos
of different products. You have to test
them and then you have to somehow find the V2, sell your product to
a specific niche. And that's the basic difference between white label
in private label. These two tones are
some board saying. They can also be used
interchangeably, but there are a
couple of differences between white label
and private label. So apart from white table
brand and private label brand, you also have one very unique dome core contract
manufacturing. This contract
manufacturing is used by Apple, not even Apple. Even if you look
at any smartphone that you have in your hand, every single smartphone have
more than 11000 components. And it is nearly impossible for a single brand to make all these one hundred,
ten hundred components. And that's why all of these smartphone
manufacturer with the help of contract
manufacturing, Let's stick to iPhone
for this specific video. If you take iPhone
it as an example, your iPhone is
assembled by Foxconn, withdrawn and positron,
and all the components in your iPhone or manufactured
by all of these companies. The camera which is
steered in your iPhone, the camera and the
camera sensor in your icon is made
by Sony in Japan. The OLED display, which
is there in your iPhone. That oleg display
is made by Samsung. The binding check, which
is there in your iPhone, that Bionic chip
is made by DSMC, which is Taiwan Semiconductor
Manufacturing Company and now on, recently acquired by n video. But I'm also mixed
binding chip for iPhone, I think 118 and buy a
new chip was made by r. Then the batteries in your
iPhone are made by Samsung. The flash memory, or I
would say the memory chip, the storage chip
in your iPhone is made by Samsung and both fever. That's why your iPhone
is not made by Apple. The majority of the component in your iPhone is made by
some other companies. Apple is just assembling
all of these companies, maintaining the quality standard and making sure that the
software is really nice. And Apple, that's the
main work of Apple. They're using this contract manufacturing, not only Apple, every single smartphone
company is taking help from some other company in manufacturing their product. I think Samsung mix
majority of the component, but they still did
components from Qualcomm, from some other companies. But Samsung is the only compete, which means around 80 to 85%
of all their own components. And the only big health from other manufacturer for
15% of their components.
44. Demand Management: If you look at a
normal business, a normal business may have these different
demand variation. Because of manufacturer. The number one factor
is your seasonality. So there are some products
that you are able to sell only at some
specific season. If we look at umbrella
or maybe ice cream, all of these products
are seasonal. You can only sell these
products in a specific season. Then you have some more factors that can cause demand
variation like fashion. So all of these
fashion items or, and have a specific trend that
is going on in the market. And that is why we Blackboard using these specific
fashion product. Another cause of
demand variation is the change in the
customer income. Now obviously this
doesn't happen overnight. But let's say if a stock market of a specific countries growing, then people will also
make a little more money than normal because
their money that was there in the stock
market is also growing. And that may also cause our
demand variation because now people have more money to
spend on the other side, if your stock
market is crashing, then all of your stock that you have purchased or in the losses, and then you may not have more money to spend
in the market, then you have global changes. So let's say if you have a
Create Board that is going on between United States or China, if there is a COVID-19
situation in the world, or let's say there
is a war between your grain or Russia
that is going on. So all of these global
changes can cause a trade crisis and that can also lead to the
demand variation. Another cause of
demand variation is marketing drive or promotion. Anytime you have some
variation in your demand, you may have a
stock-out situation. And that is why you have
to understand all of the factors that can cause
the variation in the demand. The mean purpose of
making this video is to make sure
that you understand all of these factor so that you can plan
these things forward. And we'll be solving all of these problems
with the help of some forecasting model
in the coming videos. Now in this video, let's understand about the external and the internal
demand management. As a business, you
always need to make sure that you will have a
stable demand over time. And that is why you
will always avoid all those situation where you will have fluctuation
in the demand. Because if the demand
fluctuate so much, either you will have a
stock-out situation or even if you're ordering so many products in
the first place, you may have inventory
holding cost. Now remember, all of these different businesses
manage the demand in their own personal v. So if you look at aviation
as an industry, those people will reduce
down fluctuation in the demand by increasing the
price of a flight ticket. If you are booking that,
let's say few days before the actual flight or even a few weeks before
the actual flight. But on the other side,
if you are booking a flight almost a month before, in that case, the price
will be way less. On the other side, a normal
retail store or reduced on the demand fluctuation by
not giving enough promotion, or let's say by reducing down the percentage of promotion
that they are giving. And let's say an e-commerce
giant like Amazon, or incentivize regular
order or subscription of a specific product so that they can reduce down the
fluctuation in the demand. So let's say if you're
ordering a specific product that you need every
single month. So instead of going
to Amazon and buying that specific product on the phospho off
every single month. You can also start at
regular subscription, and Amazon will
automatically ship that product in the next month. To avoid the demand
fluctuation saw that Amazon will have
a predictable demand. Let's say if 2 thousand people are ordering a specific product, amazon will know that we have to ship 2 thousand products
in the next month. They have at least some level of data to stabilize
a specific demand. Another way to reduce down the demand fluctuation is
by maintaining transparency between vendor or
distributor and planning these things
properly so that you can avoid the bullwhip effect. And I think we had a discussion
about bullwhip effect. And in that video we
took an example of sanitizer and toilet paper. Then another way you can
reduce down the fluctuation in your demand is by
reducing down the lead time. Lead time is very subjective. I think it depends on the kind of business
that you are doing. The best way to reduce down your lead time is
lead customization. You have to ask your customer what they want, the
default please, so that they did not give you a small customization in the end because otherwise it will hold your complete assembly line. And in this video we will see all the different component
of the demand management. Like you may have seen these
different types of charts. If you look at a normal chart, a normal chart will look
something like this. And it may have
these random moment. These random moment can be
because of Black Friday sale or let's say a Christmas tree or maybe some other small
events that are happening. And this specific chart may have a specific cycle as well. So let's say if you are
selling some cyclic product or if you have a
cyclic business, you may have this specific type of chart in your business. Suddenly you may have
a higher demand in a specific season and in off season you may
have a lower demand, then suddenly you may
have a higher demand in the next season and a lower
demand in the off-season. Then you have these
seasonal patterns. Then you also have
these specific type of chart which are
growing over time. This is an uptrend chart. If you look at the demand
over a period of time, you have this original
time series data. And if you break down this time series data into a
trend component, into a seasonality component, and into a noise. If you combine all of these
three things together, you will have these fluctuation
in a specific chart. Let's say if you're
selling a product and that specific product
is growing over time, let's a specific trend that you are following
in the market, that people are liking
this product and you're going with a specific
uptrend in the market, then you also have
some seasonality. Let's say you have designed a beautiful umbrella
or a smart umbrella. And you're selling that specific
umbrella in the market. Obviously because we are selling an umbrella
in the market, you may have these
seasonality component. Now obviously it depends how much seasonality
you have in the market. Then you also have some
form of noise or residue. Let's say a small class of society really
liked your product. You may have DDS, sudden
spike in a small timespan. Let's say you have a bulk code, you got a bulk order
from some supplier. You may have these
noise and residual, all these noise and that it says it will cause these
random movements. If you combine your noise, you're seasonality component
and your print component, you will have an original
time series data. Now I know these things sounds confusing
to you right now, but please wait because
in the next video, we will understand time
series or exponential smoothing or moving average
with the help of Microsoft. Excellent.
45. Forecasting and Prediction: Hey everyone, In this video we will understand
about forecasting. Forecasting is the
process of making prediction based on the
past and the present data. And then you have to combine
your own understanding or your own expedience with
that past or present data. And then you have to compare your forecasting that
you have done for the last few months
so that you can tweak your forecasting a bit when it comes
to a halt costing, some people have a
slight confusion between forecasting
and prediction. So if you look at forecasting, forecasting is the use of previous event that was
combined with the V St, a trend that is going
on in the market. And then you have
to come up with the future outcome with
your own understanding. And the best example of forecasting is your
weather forecasting. Where you look at
the past data or the temperature or the present
data that you have new. And you will combine
all of those information with the help
of your own understanding. And then you will come at a
confusion that you will have rain tomorrow or you will have at this specific
temperature tomorrow. You will also tweet that
data as you go forward. Let's say if I have called
costed something for tomorrow, I can treat the data maybe after 34 hours based on the
current data that I have. Then if you look at prediction, prediction is something
that will happen in the future without you having Brian information
about that specific event. Now before going deep into
forecasting and prediction, we first have to build
a strong foundation. That is why before he
went to understanding these training model
dataset and all of that, we first have to understand some very basic
forecasting technique like moving average, exponential smoothing or
weighted moving average. And then we will understand
about regression, ANOVA and all of
these techniques. And after that, we will
understand about these concepts. Now one question that you may
have in mind that not be, why are you teaching forecasting
to us a default, please? I mean, what's the use case of forecasting in the real life? If you look at forecasting, forecasting model is there in almost every place
that you can imagine. If you're using ride-hailing
company like Uber, of the fear calculation
of your Uber app is done with the help
of regression model. And those people use multiple linear regression
for that purpose. If you're watching
a movie on Netflix, then the Netflix
recommendation engine is powered by the regression. If you're using Amazon.com, the Amazon's recommendation
engine is powered by lift. Lift as a concept in retail. And I think if you
go to my profile, I have a complete course
about reading management. In that specific course, you can understand how exactly the
recommendation engine of Amazon work and how they use lift to power that specific
recommendation engine. And not only in retail or
let's say in technology, you can use forecasting in
the supply chain as well. So let's say if
you wanted to have a better utilization
of resources, you can do an
inventory forecasting. Let's say if you wanted to enhance the quality
of management, then you can forecast the staff requirement
that you need for a specific festival
season like Christmas or Black Friday or
any other festival that is there in your
specific country, then you can always add that specific product in your portfolio and you can
increase your revenue. Forecasting have so many
important use case. And now this is a simple forecasting
model that you can use. Now let's understand
the step-by-step process of forecasting. And once we understand
about all these different types of forecasting
technique moving forward, then you can understand this concept in a
much better BE fast, you have problem identification. The reason we will be doing forecasting is
because we may had some stock-out situation
or excess inventory in our specific warehouse or
retail store in the past. And that is why we want to
avoid that kind of situation. And that is why we will
be doing a forecasting. You have to identify a problem, then you have to gather the data for that
specific problem. So let's say if you wanted
to have a demand planning, you wanted to calculate how much product we need to
order for the next month. In that case, you have to get the past data for at
least a year or two. Then you have to do a
preliminary analysis to get a specific insight
from that specific data. That is there any seasonal
fluctuation in the data? Or how much or what
is a growth rate? What is the marketing
span that we have and all the possible seasonality or noise or fluctuation you can have
in your specific data, then you have to use
a specific approach. And here you can use moving average or simple
moving average or weighted moving average
or exponential smoothing. You can use all of these different types of
forecasting technique. And we will understand about all these different
forecasting technique in the coming video. And then you can use any of
these forecasting technique. And you also have to tweet this forecasting technique over time because that's
an ongoing process from forecasting sales
in the next month to forecasting how much gold can
be expecting a call center, you have to solve this
problem step-by-step. In the first step, you will go with problem identification, then gathering information,
then exploited research, then choosing a specific
model that you can use for forecasting and
finally forecasting using tags specific molecule. Now when we talk
about demand planning or demand fluctuation, apart from forecasting, you can also do scenario
and backcasting. Forecasting will predict
the most likely future. So let's say if you're in
the present and you have to forecast how much demand will you have in the future after a specific period of time, then you can use forecasting. But let's say if you
have multiple options or let's see how many
products will be there in the future
or what will be demand of DOS product
in the future. Then you now have
multiple scenario. And then you also have
backcasting variable compare your previous result after a saltine lapse of time.
46. Quantitative and Qualitative forecasting: Now when we talk about
supply chain forecasting, supply chain forecasting
is the combination of your quantitative forecasting and qualitative forecasting. But one question you may
have in mind that nobody, why do we need
qualitative forecasting? So if you look at
every business, every business is also
influenced by economy. The trend that is going
on in the market, the infrastructure
that you have Bill. And that is why you also need a qualitative angle where instead of just playing
around with data, you need to do
survey interviews. You need to have
industry benchmark, competitor analysis, the growth rate of that
specific industry. And that is why we do this qualitative
forecasting apart from just playing with numbers. So if you look at a
quantitative forecasting where we use historical data
to determine the future. You have all of these
different types of technique, from exponential smoothing
to adaptive smoothing, to moving average, to regression analysis, to
lifecycle modelling. And we will understand
about all of these different
forecasting technique in the coming video. But if you look at
qualitative forecasting, you have market research, Delphi method, and
historical analysis. And these are very
subjective decision that you have to
take by yourself. These are not backed by data, so you have to use
your own brain, your own understanding. You have to talk
to some industry expert to make sure that you're coming up
with the right kind of prediction or forecasting. Let's say if you wanted to start an EV company in a country where you do not have enough
data or enough sales data, so that you can forecast how much demand will be
there in the future. In that case, you need
to talk to these expert. In that case, you need
to have we need to do survey or interview
to make sure that you understand what's
going on in the mind of the people and how fast can you move in developing
new technology. And that is why we use qualitative and quantitative
forecasting methods. In qualitative,
you'll have expert opinion market
research focus group, historical analogy, Delphi
method, panel consensus, and use method in quantitative we have moving average,
exponential smoothing, regression analysis,
adaptive smoothing, graphical method, econometric modelling
and lifecycle modeling. We will understand about both of these techniques in
the coming video. Now let's start with
qualitative forecasting, which is not backed by data, but still you have to give a
very large contribution to qualitative
forecasting if you're starting a business
in a new industry, well, let's see If you
do not really have enough data to backup
your hypothesis. In that case, you use
qualitative forecasting, which is based on your judgment and
opinion that you have. The first one is the
jury of execution, where you take an opinion
from higher-level executive because those people
are working in your industry from
so many years, if not decades, and they have a very good understanding
about a specific industry, then you have your
sales-force composite. In this, you have to
talk to your sales individual because those
people are interacting with your customer on
day-to-day basis and they have a better understanding about the product or what
exactly a customer wound, then you have your
consumer market survey. And doing a consumer
market survey can be expensive some time, and it is also
difficult to apply. Then you have a Delphi method
where you establish a panel of expert which have knowledge from a specific
domain like finance, marketing or production
or technology. And then you will
take their opinion apart from doing
quantitative forecasting. And finally then you have your
quantitative forecasting, which include your
moving average or exponential smoothing regression,
linear moving average, and all of these
different models that will help you forecast a specific day doubt
with the help of previous and the present
data that you have, whether you want to do of
forecasts the stock price or the better condition or the electricity consumption
or the heart rate monitoring, or our total sales in a store. You can use previous
and the present data to forecast the price or the
demand of a specific product. Let's understand about
demand forecasting. For demand forecasting
is art and science. The reason we are calling it as artists because it also need, because in case of art you need experience
and value system. And in case of science, you need data so that you can
forecast the future demand. When it comes to
quantitative forecasting, you can use time series forecasting so that
you can look at the past data to forecast
the demand in the future. Let's say you can forecast gasoline demand by
looking at the past data. And then you can use
associative forecasting by looking at the relationship between these
different variables. In that case, we'll
be using regression. So in that case,
you can forecast the gasoline price by looking
at the vehicle sales. Here we are taking all of these different variable and then we are finding
a relationship between these
valuable that whether the price of gasoline is decided by the
vehicle sales or not. And if so, how much?
47. Introduction to Simple & Weighted moving average: Hey everyone. In this video, we will understand about
simple moving average. And the reason we aren't
covering all of these concepts like simple moving average,
weighted moving average, or exponential
smoothing, because we wanted to calculate demand
in the coming future, also known as your
demand forecasting. Because if you are a
retailer or a distributor, and let's say APOE
choosing these products directly from manufacturer
or a wholesaler, then you have to
forecast these demand. Let's say if you wanted to place an order for the next month, you need to have some level
of demand forecasting. Demand forecasting will become a very big problem or
a very huge problem. Especially if you're working for some e-commerce company
or some retail giant. But there are a couple
of advanced software and these advanced technique
to do demand forecasting. But we will build a strong foundation and we
will understand the difference
between simple moving average weighted moving average, exponential smoothing,
Exponential Smoothing, or three-way
exponential smoothing. And then we will
understand about all of these different
forecasting technique. But if I can give you a
very high level overview of all these different
forecasting technique on an accuracy scale or
will be going from low accuracy in forecasting to very high accuracy a costume. Let's start by understanding the naive approach or the
naive method of forecasting. Use the previous period to
forecast the next video. Why the simple average
calculates the overall average? Let me help you
understand this with the help of this simple example. From day one to day ten, this is your actual demand or
actual sales that you have. In the naive approach, you are just taking
the demand of the previous day as the
forecast for the next street. And it is pretty simple. You have demand then on day one, and you're just taking
that as a forecast for next week and so
on and so forth. This is the naive approach. Now this is the
most basic approach that you can use
in your business. Then you have your
simple average. Now if you wanted to calculate the simple moving
average for three days, You just have to add these
three numbers and you have to divide them by 314
plus 1226 plus 1036. If you divide 36 by three, you have 12 as your
simple moving average. And you can take that
as your forecasting. Then other techniques
that are there in case of demand forecasting is
your weighted moving average and exponential
moving average. Let me oversimplify. These are different types of forecasting technique by
understanding their formula, please do not worry about
any of these formulas. We will execute this formula or this forecasting model
in the same video, where we will Of
calculate all of these things with the
help of Microsoft. Excellent. If I talk about simple
moving average, in simple moving average, you will take all of the data points of the previous state. So let's say if you
wanted to calculate three dates, simple
moving average, you will simply take
the value of yesterday, day before yesterday,
and it told last week. And you will divide
that by three. And that's how you will have three dates, simple
moving average. If we have simple moving
average as a concept, then why do we need
weighted moving average? Now to understand that, we have to understand these three important
characteristic of any forecasting
technique on model. The first one is
granularity rule. So if you have more accurate
data for your forecast, you can have more
accurate prediction. And this is because
aggregated data have lesser radiance
and less than noise. The second is your
frequency rule. That means if you
wanted to calculate the price of, let's
say gasoline, then you have to
have the data for every single factor that is affecting the price
of the gasoline, like the number of cars that
are sold into the market, how much disposable income
that specific country have? What is the tax rate in
that specific country? How the economy will grow
in the coming future. And every single data, 0.2 is your frequency sleep. You're updating your
data more frequently. And if you have the
latest information, then your forecast would be much more accurate for last week, not for this week. In situation number one, you have the price of the
last six days of gasoline, and now you need to forecast the price of the gasoline
on the seventh day. In situation number two, you have the price of the gasoline data for
the previous week, and that is why you will use
this for print suitable. Third one is the horizon rule. If you have a knowledge
of setup data point, let's say instead of
having a dataset of last one week versus a having a dataset
of last one month. Obviously, the dataset of last one month can give you
a much more accurate result. When we talk about
moving average, we are giving equal contribution
to all these three days. Let's say we wanted to forecast the temperature for
the next state. Let's say in on Monday it was around 50 degree
Fahrenheit on Tuesday, 53 degree Fahrenheit
on Wednesday, 55 on toaster if 54. Now we need to calculate
the temperature on Friday. So obviously we will give more contribution to
the temperature on Thursday instead of giving equal contribution in
case of moving average. And that is why we use
weighted moving average. We ever give more weight or more contribution to
the last data point. And then it will also give a very little contribution or weightage to the day
before yesterday, or let's say to the Tuesday. So let's say instead of
giving them three value, or instead of finding the average of all
these three value, we will do 80% to toasty, or maybe 10% to Wednesday, and we read 10% to Tuesday. And that's how we can calculate the weighted moving average, so-called forecast
of the temperature that will be there on Friday. And it's up to you how much
percentage we wanted to give. You can also give 60%
tutor stay or 30% to Wednesday or let's say 10%
to Tuesday, It's up to you. It depends on you how much
weightage you want it to give to that specific
situation or use case. Let's understand
moving average and weighted moving average with
the help of an example.
48. Simple and weighted moving average exercise: Now let's understand
about moving average or the concept of moving
average is super simple. And you can also understand that with this specific formula, you are taking the average of last three actual sales figure or the actual demand
of last three months. And then you are averaging
it out in the fourth month. That is your moving average. I just need to type equal to and I need to find the average
of the last three months, which is my January,
February, and March. And I just need to
divide this by three, and that is my average. Moving average is very simple. I will simply drag
this specific formula and I will have my
moving average. This is the moving average. Very simple. If you quickly plot
a simple chart or with the actual
sales and moving sales, I'll go to the Insert tab. And I will simply plot a chart which will show me my
actual sales versus moving. You can see that
my actual sales is fluctuating so much that is
there in this blue line. But with the help
of moving average, I have normalized my
demand so that I can consistently order
these products from some supplier
or distributor. That I do not really
have to store a lot of inventory
in my warehouse. The simple concept of moving average is to make
sure that you will normalize the fluctuation in your actual demand so
that you can place the order to avoid stock-out or excess
inventory in your store. Remember, ordering a lot of quantity will increase your
inventory holding cost. And ordering very
less quantity in your warehouse can
cause you up stock-out. But there's one problem
with simple moving average. We're giving equal contribution to these three last month, that is our January,
February, and March. But in reality, we give maximum contribution
to the last month, that is our March. And that's why we
need to understand about the weighted
moving average. In weighted moving average, we will give a contribution
of 80% to the last month, 10% to the second last month, and 10% to the third last month. And it all depends
on your business. You can also give 20% to
the second last month, or maybe let's say 10%
to the third last month, or you can give 70%
to the last month. It's up to you. You can give whatever
weight to this weighted moving average based
on your business. To forecast to sail with weighted moving
average technique, I just have to multiply the actual sales figure with the weight that I've given
to this specific data. And then I will have a
weighted moving average is simply equal to, I'll take a bracket and I
just need to multiplied this specific data point
with 80%, that is your 0.8. And I need to then add, and I need to multiply this
specific data point with 0.1, that is your 10% weightage. And then I need to multiply this specific data
point with 0.1%. Remember, I'm giving 80%
to the last month and 10, 10% to the second and
the third last month. And then I just need
to close the bracket. And if I hit Enter, I will have the weighted
moving average for aspirin. I just need to drag this formula and I will have a
baited moving average. Let me quickly plot
all of this in a chart so that you can
understand this visually. So I'll go to the Insert tab and I will simply plot a chart. And this is not super
interesting to understand. Let me increase the
size of this chart. And now this is
very interesting. You can see that
the actual sales of your data is
fluctuating so much. And you were able to normalize the sales with the help
of simple moving average, which was a great concept. But now you have given the
maximum contribution to the last month when compared with the second
audit heard last month. But if you closely look
at this specific chart, you will realize that
the data point in the weighted moving average is very close to the actual sales. Let's understand that with
the help of this diagram, this red color is our
simple moving average, and this yellow color is our
weighted moving average. Now the idea here
is not to tell you which technique is good for your business because some business also use
simple moving average. Some business also use
weighted moving average. It depends on your business. If you have a business where the average of
last three months, I can give you a
better prediction or a better forecasting, then you should use
simple moving average. But if you are running
a business where the sales of the last
month is very important, and I guess majority
of the business, the last month's sales as the immediate contribution
of their next month's sales. In that case, you
can use weighted moving average in
majority of the business. Weighted moving average gives
you a better forecasting or a better result when compared
with simple moving average. But again, it's up to you. You can use whatever
technique that you want. If you closely look at
weighted moving average or simple moving average, you will see a lot of
fluctuation in the demand. In the next video, let's
understand how can we normalize this further with the help of
exponential smoothing.
49. Exponential Smoothing Excel Exercise: If you look at the
chart of any product or any equity or anything
that you have, you always have a
trend component. You have a seasonality
component, and you have a
noise and residue. And to reduce down
this noise and residue who take as much
data as you can. So when we talk
about forecasting, remember the three most
important rule that you have to understand when
it comes to forecasting. You have your granularity rule. That means you
have to collect as many data points or as
manufacturers as you can, then you have the
frequency rule. That means you quickly
have to update your forecasting model so that you can get the
accurate forecast for the coming days
are coming week. So the coming month, then
you have horizon rule. So you have to take
a very long horizon of data point or
let's say dataset, so that you can minimize all
the different fluctuation or seasonal component that
you have in your data. Now if I look at this specific time series data that we have, the first component
is your level. Now the first one is the level. And level are all those
different components that will add baseline to this
specific time series. Then you have a trend component. And trend it's
something that will increase or decrease over time. If you have a famous
product or let's say if you are
growing as a company, you may have an upside
or a downside trend, then you have seasonality. Seasonality we'll define
a specific pattern that will repeat over time. So let's say if you're selling
a specific vaccine for seasonal flu or let's
say if you're selling umbrella or all these
seasonal product, you may have the seasonality
component which is affecting the complete
original time series data, then you have a cyclicity which will repeat over
a fixed interval. Some businesses may have
some business cycle and the sales or the demand will fluctuate in those
business psyche. In the end we have noise. And noise are all these
random fluctuation that happens in data. You may have a noise because of promotional offer
that you have given. You may have a noise because of some festival season
that was there. And there are so many
micro factors that are there behind
this specific noise. Let's understand about
the most important topic, that is your time
series forecasting. Now in simple average, you just take the simple average of last three days
and then you will calculate the forecasting for the next street and
invaded moving average. You give more weight to the most recent data and you give lesser
and lesser great, because in majority
of the use case, the forecasting for
the next day will depend on the actual sales
of the previous tree. And that is why we have to use these Exponential Smoothing, which will normalize
the fluctuation that is there in your business. And it is widely used as the forecasting technique for
the univariate time series. When we talk about forecasting, you have simple
exponential smoothing, double exponential smoothing, and triple exponential
smoothing. To understand simple
exponential smoothing, you have this specific formula that the reason
exponential smoothing, it's so special
when compared with simple moving average or
weighted moving average is because exponential
smoothing gives the importance to
the previous data in the previous forecasts. If you wanted to
calculate the forecast for month number seven, then you have to take the previous or the actual
sales of month number six and the forecasted
value of month number six. And then you have to
multiply that with alpha and one minus Alpha. We will talk about
Alpha when we will do simple exponential smoothing with the help of Excel sheet. Here everyone In
this video we will understand about
exponential smoothing. The main purpose here is to
normalize the fluctuation that was there in case of moving average or weighted
moving average. And that is why we'll be using exponential smoothing to
forecast the future seal. And to understand the
exponential smoothing. I hope you got a good
understanding about alpha. If you have more
dynamic environment, you can increase
the value of Alpha. If you have less
dynamic environment, you can decrease down
the value of alpha. This is our simple
moving average, and now we need to calculate the exponential moving average. Simple moving average
will give you a forecast that is
not very accurate, is also fluctuating a lot. And that is why in
exponential moving average, we have to normalize
this fluctuation will be using exponential
smoothing so that we can have a consistent demand throughout the year
instead of having the sudden peak in simple moving average or
weighted moving average. But the reason we will be using exponential smoothing is because exponential smoothing
pick the actual data and the forecasts to
date of the last month, and then it will predict
the next month value. If you look at the formula
for exponential smoothing, the forecast of the next
month will be calculated by multiplying your alpha with the actual sales of
the previous month. And then you need to
add one minus alpha multiplied by the forecasted
sales for the last month. So exponential smoothing is
taking the actual sales of the last month before costume
sales of the last month. And that is why it will give
you a much better result. Now let's quickly
apply this formula. So we have to take the alpha, that is your 0.3 and
we have to multiply this alpha with the actual
sales of the last month. And the actual sales
over the last month is 10 thousand units. Then we have to add one minus
Alpha, that is your 0.7. And then we have to
multiply this with the forecasted sales
of the last month. And the forecasted
sales of the last month is your simple moving average
of the last three months. And then you need to
simply find the value. Now I need to fix
couple of values. I need to fix the alpha. That's why I will press
F4 to fix this value. And I also need to fix our D7, which is one minus Alpha. And this S5 value in D5 value will constantly move as I
drag this value forward, and this is your
exponential moving average. So let me quickly plot all of these forecasted value
in a single line chart. And this is now remember, the mean reason why we are understanding all of these
techniques is because we need to go from low accuracy to high accuracy when it
comes to forecasting. A simple moving average will give you a very
low accurate result. But exponential smoothing,
double exponential smoothing or triple exponential smoothing will give you a
very high accuracy. And that is why we are using all of these
forecasting technique. When it comes to
demand planning, can look at this
orange color chart. This is the actual sales. And actual sales is having
so many fluctuation. We have normalized this
actual sales by using simple moving average and
weighted moving average. Now you can look at this gray
color line to understand the simple moving average and this yellow color line to understand the weighted
moving average. But if you look at
exponential smoothing, exponential smoothing is
giving you a very nice curve, this blue color curve. And that is why we are using exponential smoothing
to make sure that we're not ordering all of our
product in large quantity. Because if you order
product in large quantity, you have to be your
inventory holding cost. But if you are ordering them
in less number of quantity, you will have a
stock-out situation and both of them are
bad for your business. Now, again, the main
purpose of this video is not to tell you
which forecasting technique is good or bad. You have to find out the right forecasting
technique for your business. If you feel that simple moving average is doing a good job for your business, you can use simple
moving average. You can use weighted
moving average if you have a lot of fluctuation in the data because of
the last few months, you can give a contribution
to the last month a little more than the contribution in the second or the
third last month. And then you can
also use exponential smoothing by just changing
the value of Alpha. So if you have
stable environment, you can use a lower
value of alpha, that is 11.3 or 0.2. So if you have situations
like COVID-19 or Russian invasion or something like that is happening
in the economy. You can use a
dynamic environment with higher value of alpha. And if I continue this video, this is our actual sales and this is our forecasted sales. And if you just plot these two numbers on
a specific chart, you will see that your actual
sales may fluctuate a lot. But you can normalize the
forecast with the help of all these forecasting
model so that you can avoid stock-out and excess inventory
at the same time.
50. Double and Triple Exponential Smoothing: I hope from the
last video you got a good understanding about these simple
exponential smoothing. In that simple
exponential smoothing, we took the actual data of the previous month and the forecasted the dog
the previous month. And then you have
more deployed that specific data with alpha
and one minus alpha. But if you talk about
exponential smoothing, we have not still
covered the trend and the seasonality and
the noise component. And that is why we have a
double exponential smoothing, which consider the trend
of a specific cities. If you look at the
forecasting with the help of double
exponential smoothing, we can also take trend as the component really takes simple exponential
smoothing and we will add trend component to that simple exponential
smoothing so that we can have a double
exponential smoothing. If you look at the FIT, that is your forecast including trend for time period
t. You have to take a forecast for
time period t. Then you have to calculate
forecast for time period t. And then you have to add the trend for that
specific time period. The formula will look
something like this, but please do not get
scared with this formula. This is super-simple and
we will understand about this specific formula directly
inside the Excel sheet. And I'll make it
super simple for every single person
to understand. As we all know, Alpha is the smoothing coefficient
of forecasting and Beta is the smoothing coefficient of trend forecasting
for time period t in simple exponential smoothing is your smoothing coefficient
of forecasting. That is your alpha multiplied by the actual sale on time
period t minus one, then you have to add one
minus alpha multiplied by the previous forecasted sale
for time period t minus one. And that is your simple
exponential smoothing. Now if you add, if you add tank to this specific equation, you will have a double exponential
smoothing forecasting, including trend FIP for a time period p, that
is your small d. If you look at the trend, trend is made up of your Beta, which is the smoothing
coefficient of print. If you wanted to calculate
praying for time t, then you have to multiply Beta, which is the smoothing
coefficient of print with the forecast
for time period t minus the forecast of
time period t minus one plus one minus
beta multiplied by T, which is your trend in
time period, t minus one. And if you combine both
of these equation, you will have your double
exponential smoothing. We will understand this specific equation in the Excel sheet, just like double
exponential smoothing, you can also have a triple
exponential smoothing where you will take
seasonality component test when we have level that at the basic component
to the time series, then you have trend, then
you have seasonality, and finally you will have noise. So if you look at triple
exponential smoothing, you have your level plus
trend plus seasonality.
51. Why Inventory matters in Retail Management: So perfect. In this video, we'll talk about inventory
and replenishment. So what is inventory? Inventory is the
product or the stock that is sitting idle in your
store or in the warehouse, waiting for a customer
or supplier to purchase. But why is inventory
so important? The problem is that if you
have too little of inventory, then your shelves will be empty and shoppers
will leave unhappy. But if you have too
much of inventory, your product will expire, they are gathering dust, and you're losing money on them. Because the time you
buy a certain product, that money is blocked until you sell the
product to the user. The sweet spot is that you have just enough stock
to meet the demand. A good example of inventory
is that in a grocery store, you're running out of
bread on Sunday morning. In that case, it's bad for you because you will see
people going out of store angry because
they are not able to get a necessary item
that they actually need. Remember those five,
six inventory, milk, bread, butter, and
maybe some veggies. Those are important and they are attracted and that's the reason people came to
your retail store. So what is replenishment? And how do you replenish
the inventory? To tackle the problem
of inventory, you have to strike the right
balance with replenishment. Replenishment is the art of refilling shelf
at the right time. So there are certain
category of product that are fast mover like milk, bread, snacks, you have to replenish them
every single day. Sometimes you have to
do it twice a day. But then you have slow
moving items like exotics or seasonal item that you
might have to simply replenish every single week
or sometime even a month, and then you have
some item in between. The main idea is that you have to replenish it so that you can avoid out of stock
situation for your user, and your goal should be to
balance availability and cost. Good example of replenishment
is that a store orders milk every morning because it is a high demand product
with low shelf life. But in case of chocolate sauce, they just place the
order once a month because very less people
actually purchase this item. So let me help you understand a little about inventory cost. Because remember,
in the last slide, we discussed that if
you haul too much, you're blocking
too much of cash. If you haul too little, you might have a
risk of stockout. So what are the three
kind of costs you need to keep in mind when
it comes to inventory? The first one is carrying cost. So anytime you store inventory, it might go bad. The second cost is
a stockout cost. Imagine a customer walked
into your retail store and because you don't have two
or three most common item, he'll say, Hey, man, you
don't really have bread and milk and I'm not
interested in other product. I'll go somewhere else
and buy all my item. That's your stockout cost. And then you have ordering cost. So every time you
order inventory, there is a procurement team that actually placed the order. So inventory contains
the carrying cost, the stockout cost, and
the ordering cost. So ordering milk every single
day in a retail store is costly because you are
storing 500 liters of milk, and if you're not
able to sell it in just one or two days,
it might go bad. So that's your inventory cost. Now, we will go deep
and understand each and every small topic in
the upcoming video, but I'm just giving you a high
level overview so that you understand everything about
the concept. So perfect. If I give you some example
to understand inventory, you have Amazon Fresh that uses data to
predict the demand, and then they restock the
inventory automatically. In fact, let me explain
you this diagram on how exactly inventory
is maintained, stored, and being
sold to the consumer. At first, every single
retail location use a POS data or
point of sale data. Like how much product
are they selling every single day or
every single week. Now they look at the seals. Now they do seals analysis, they look at the
shrinkage tracking. So they will see
the market data, how much are they selling
every single day, how much potentially
they can sell in the coming future and based
on that they forecast, place the order in
advance to the supplier, once they receive the goods, then they check if the
goods are damaged or not, and then they store
the inventory, count them, fit it
back into the system, and then keep replenishing them based on the quantity that is
needed every single month. Now, in the coming video, we will discuss about concepts like economic order quantity, and at what time you need to
actually place the order. But we'll talk more about that. But whether it's a retail
location or ecommerce brand, they try to maintain optimal level of inventory
to avoid the stockout, and I'll be giving you
so many assignments and exercise so that you understand
these concepts better.
52. Why Store layout matters in Retail: So perfect. Now we will discuss about store layout
and experience. So store layout is more about user journey
and experience. And this is not just
about shelf and product. The reason store layout is
very important is because a good layout makes the shopping more smooth, fast,
and enjoyable. I'll give you example to
understand it better. If you have a bad layout, it will cause frustration,
you will loss sale, and you might have
unhappy customer, and it can act as
a bottleneck and you might see a lot of people being crowded
at the wrong place. Layout is important. It decides how long you want to customer to stay in
your retail store, and it depends on the different
retail strategy as well. I'll give you a really
good store layout for a store like Ikea. Like when you go to a Ikea, you can enter from one side, and the exit is also
closer to the entrance, just a little far away. But they make you visit the whole Ikea so that you go
through a complete layout, look at each and every corner, and then came out through
almost the same door, and I'll show you one picture
to understand it better. But let's first understand
the different types of store layout and why
they are so important. So if you go inside
a retail store, let's say the exit and
entrance is over here. Usually the exit and
entrance could be different. Like exit is mostly over here. Sorry, entrance is
mostly over here and exit is over here
next to the checkout. So people usually enter
at this location, they go to the vegetable
section, fruit section, bakery, electronics, and they
usually just take a full circle and
then just come out to the checkout and then
just take exit from here. So this is a proper
simplest usual layout that you see in
many retail store. This is a really good example of grid layout where
you have neat aisle, they are efficient and it's quite common in grocery store. Then you have free flow layout, which is mostly
popular in boutique. Now, I don't really
have a picture now, but in the coming videos, I'm going to show you
different kind of layout that these different retail store usually implement to solve
different use cases. And I'm going to
explain more about this topic as we go along. And the third kind is loop
or racket track layout. Now, this one is more
popular in Ikea, and I'm going to show you
this layout in a minute. But if you look at
a grocery store, but if you look at a
supermarket or a grocery store, they usually use a
grid layout where a customer usually go through all of the section and they can, in fact, let's say, if you just wanted to buy
vegetables and fruits, then you can simply go from
this and then come back here. You don't really have
to visit this area. Same goes with let's say you
wanted to buy clothing item, you can just go from here, just pick some item and
come back to the checkout. That's your grid layout. Now there is a psychology
behind different layout. So if you have a smart design, you're basically
influencing people and shoppers to buy more. You have to have some
decompression zone where the entrance
space is quite free so that the user can decide in which direction
they wanted to go. You need to have high
level shelves so that it is easier for everybody to
see what's in the shelf. Average height for a female
is less than a male, so the eye level shelf for a male item or a female
item could be different. You have to have
some impulse zone or section near to checkout
where they mostly place gum, magazine, chocolates for kids because the kids are spending most of their time
near the shelf with the parents and they usually grab something from the shelf. Then you have some power aisle, which is the main
area where you store most of your seasonal
promoted items. And let me give you a real
world example so that you understand why store
layout is super important. This is the store
layout of Ikea, and this is common worldwide. Whether you visit Ikea in India, in Europe or in US, you'll find a similar
kind of layout. So over here in this Ikea, this is the entrance of Ikea. Now, I have been to
Ikea a couple of times in Herbad and
it was beautiful. It was huge, big space,
but it was amazing. So if you look at the
store layout of Ikea, you usually enter at this
location and you almost exit in the same area with
a little bit of distance. So you normally
enter at this point, you go through the different
kinds of living room that they have where they have
placed all of their item. For example, in this area, you might have seven or
ten different types of living room with different items being placed in the living room. Then you go through the
living room storage, the workspace room, the
kitchen, the dining, the bedroom, the
bedroom storage, the children's section, and
then you will have a cafe. In fact, in case if you
don't know about Ikea, 30% of Ika revenue just come from the cafe
and the restaurant. Because once you go
through the Joy of Ikea, this is approximately
1.5 kilometers. If you walk this much, you obviously need food, and then you end up
with this location and then you actually take exit. That's why you will see
that Ikea obviously have a restaurant cafe at the end so that you can at least eat and drink something and that contributes to a large
amount of revenue, even if you don't buy anything. So you have different
layout like Apple store has a minimalistic layout
in their retail store. Sephora shows open display with tester product because
it's a beauty store. You have Starbucks, which you will often see a
warm sitting space, aroma of coffee, and it
makes you feel that, Hey, you need to drink coffee. And then you have Costco, which has a tracer hunt kind of layout with limited signs, and you'll find new
surprises in every visit. So different store have
different layout because it is targeting different customer and they have a different strategy.