Transcripts
1. Intro & Structure: Hello. My name is Marius,
and on a daily basis, I work as a financial
consultant and analyst, and I work with private
financing and investments. I've made this course
because I want to increase the focus
on personal finance. Therefore, this course turns financial theories into simple, powerful actions that
you could take today. This class is structured
around six lessons that takes you from
awareness to action. You start by reflecting on
your money habits and mindset. Then build a complete
personal budget using a downloadable template. Finally, you'll learn the
basics of investing and how to make smarter long
term financial choices. The class is designed for anyone who wants to feel
more confident and in control of their finances and no prior experience or
tools are required. By the end, you have your
own working budget and a clear understanding
of how to grow your wealth and make better
financial decisions. The first learning goal focuses on why we spend as we spend. What is the psychology or the behavioral
finances behind this? This is meant to identify your negative habits in order for you to work with
them and eliminate them. Secondly, this will lead to you being able to
cut costs or find air in your budget to put aside into saving and
later on investing. We will do that in the
third lesson where we will build your
personalized budget and try to see what
happens when you cut costs one place in
order to invest it. What happens in the
next five year, ten year, 20 year period. Lastly, we'll look into the general of
investing in stocks. We'll look into the benefit, the cons, the risks, how to diversify, how
to analyze a company, what are index funds,
What are ETFs? Why are they grade and so on. And in the very end,
we'll set the whole thing in perspective and
open the discussion of balance in savings on one hand and life
quality on the other hand. Let's do it.
2. Disclaimer: And just a short disclaimer, this course draws on general financial and
investment theories from books, et cetera, meaning that
there's no one size fits all. Therefore, this is for
educational purposes, and you should always seek advice from a licensed
professional.
3. The psychology behind money habits: Lesson one, the psychology
behind money habits. Everywhere you go on
Internet, there are sales, summer sales, winter sales, pop up, Cyber Monday, whatever. This is a constructed market
scheme to make you buy more. The new currency of this
age is not just your money, it's also your time
and your attention. It's you scrolling through
Instagram, Facebook, watching YouTube
videos or whatever, there's an ad which is tailored to target
you specifically. And visual ads are
not everything. You're also being
pressured subconsciously by influences, by your peers. This pressures most
people into buying something which is not aligned with what they need
or want in their life. And that is what this
lesson is about, trying to figure out
what can we cut out of your budget? What
is unnecessary. And that's why we
start with the brain. Caneman explains how we think fast or slow with the systems. Simon explains why we
don't always think rationally with these
mental limitations. And Luinstein elaborates on these states that we
can be in emotionally. Herbert Simon's theory
of bounded reality says, we don't always pick
the best choice. We pick the one that
feels good enough. When we're tired or
overwhelmed, we take shortcuts, and that's why you
grab something on sale without even asking,
Do I really need this? Simon argues that humans
are not fully rational, and that is because we have at all times limited information, limited time, and limited
cognitive capacity. Meaning, instead of
finding the best solution and maximizing or
finding the optimal, most efficient solution, we often settle
for the solution, which is good enough compared to what we
think at that time. Another take on the
brain is that from Daniel Kaniman who explains
how this happens, as well. He talks about two systems. System one is fast,
emotional, and intuitive. It's for pattern recognition, it's for recognizing
people on the street, it's for making quick decisions. This is the system
that takes action now. There's system two, which is slow, logical and deliberate. This is the system we use to
make conscious decisions, solve complex problems, and
be strategical and rational. This is also the system which requires the most
amount of effort, meaning that the longer
you use system two, the worse outputs you get. So at one point, the
more drained you get, the easier it is for system
two to switch over to system one and make these quick
intuitive decisions instead. And that is also why when
system two is up and running. We have to take advantage of it. And thirdly, we have
George Linstein who shows how emotion, especially in hot states
can override our logic. For example, when we
are hungry, angry, craving, stress or afraid,
our decision shift. The main idea here is
that emotional states distorts our reasoning and often leads to
irrational choices. And that also happens when
we are extremely happy. When we're extremely
happy and excited, we will also spontaneously
buy this new bike or we will buy the airplane tickets for dream vacation or whatever. And I'm not saying that
this is a bad thing. I'm just saying the moment when we know that we are affected
by some kind of emotion, we should stop up for a second and think, Do we
really need this? Is this the best option? Can we do it in another way to build
some kind of habit of, can I get to the point
that I need to get to better or more efficient? And as you get that
into a habit of yours, you will start to make
better decisions. And with that said,
our financial behavior is not just our current mindset, but it's also shaped by
our past experiences. Brad Klunz elaborates on this with his theory
around money scripts. From our childhood, we
have formed beliefs, deep beliefs which run
to the background of our subconscious mind
without us realizing. For example, if we were
told that money does not grow on trees as an
example as children, we would be more
hesitant to spend our money even in
our adult life. Whereas, if we were
told and showed by our parents that
money comes and goes, it's supposed to be enjoyed. Let's splurge on this vacation. Let's buy big presents
for Christmas. Then now in our life, when we get children or when we have a really good
friend or whatever, we are more likely to spend money as we were told
when we were children. Again, there's no right or
wrong in how we were raised, but it's important for us
to have in mind how we were programmed and how
our subconscious mind works when we spend money. Just came up with two examples, but try to review
your own life and your own spending habits and try to see why you do as you do. At least give it a
try to think about if there's something that
you were taught as a kid, which you have brought
into your adult life. The next theory I want
to focus on is from Hirsch Shiffrin who talks about behavior
life cycle theory. And this is the whole subject
of that we as human beings, are wired in a way that
we value something right now more than in two days or
in one month or two months. Is great at the time where food were scarce and we
were hunters and gatherers. This was a survival
mechanism for our brain to make sure that our body got calories right
away all the time. And this instinct is also what's been used so
commonly against ourselves with marketing and sales
because they promised this new shiny object right
now at a discounted price. This is marketing one on one, scarcity, push pull factors. This is bottline
manipulation slash notching. And again, it's
nice being tagleed by ads if you need this product. But have in mind that the
process from getting you on the landing page and you buying has been tailored
with precision. This leads to the
third theory from Amos Trotsky, namely
anchoring buys. And this theory describes
that the first price that we see on a product
becomes our reference point. And I don't think that
it's a coincidence when something is on sale, they will always leave in the original price crossed
out, and then the new price. In one instance, our perception
of value is distorted. And suddenly this
new price seems like a great offer and the
time are taking down, increasing scarcity,
we must buy now. This is used along with
the other theories a lot in marketing and pricing. Up until now, we've been talking about the external factors. We've talked about
the internal factors. I wanted to conclude this lesson with a theory from
Hal Hirschfeld, as this theory describes
that many people fail to save because their future
self seems distant. And this is the lack of
why of why should I save? Why should I enjoy my time now? Why should I spend on what
I've always dreamed of doing? And that's what we need a why. And here the theory
describes that you could write a letter
to your future self. You could build a vision board
or as we will do later on, a budget which shows you the immediate effect right now of saving and what it
does in the future. Importance here is that we get some connection to the future in order to push away
these short term gains or short term excitements, in order for you to get
ahead of saving money. And as I talked about earlier, it is about a balance between life quality and saving for money to be
invested and grow. But in order for
you to willingly, in the first place, put
aside money to invest, is reliant on your ability
to look into the future and see possibilities of
building another life. And this is also what
Elizabeth Dunn and Michael Noton touches
on with the quote, W this money that I'm about to spend on short
term satisfaction, be better spent on investing
in the life I really want. I
4. Take control of your money habits: So welcome to Lesson
two. So up until now, we spent the time looking
at why we do as we do, what is the pitfalls of our brain and why we're
making bad money decisions. In this lesson, the
key takeaway is that we take control of our
money by building habits. And this is paying yourself first, living below your means, giving every dollar a job, as well as building
better habits so first up to bridge the gap between Lesson
one and Lesson two, how do we use the insights of Lesson one to change
the way that we spend? As a talked about, we are constantly being pushed
around, being distracted, and our greatest
resource here is our calm logic thinking, namely system two of Kana we cannot always
rely on this system, because as we also talked about, there is a dimension in return. At some point, you're getting exhausted of
constantly trying to outweigh the options and strategizing and
trying to lay a plan. And this is where habits
or daily systems, daily actions is very important. But the main essence here
is that you create a way of doing things that you don't have to think too much
about afterwards. So you just do them.
And this example is to set boundaries. You always decide at the start of the month how much is going towards the bills, how much is going
towards the savings, how much is going towards
fun money or eating out. What is your limits?
And this will also make sense a little
bit later when we the budget in Listen three. But for now, let's just stick to the idea of
setting boundaries. Check your bank account every
day at the end of the day, see where you spend money, get a feeling of where
your money goes. It's not for you to feel
bad about your spendings, but it's about building
awareness and not being afraid to look at your account every
once in a while. And thirdly, we
wire your actions. And for example, use
nudging against yourself. So make it easy to make good financial
decisions and make it difficult to make bad
financial decisions. Sounds simple, but this
could, for example, be to have two
accounts in your bank. One with the money
you have set aside after bills and
savings and whatever, and the other one
with your savings. This forces you to only spend the amount on
the first account. And if you were to need money additional to what
you have set aside, you'd have to physically go into your account and transfer from your savings to
the other account. A hurdle making your brain stop up for a second
and thinking, Okay, I'm actually betraying
my own plan right here. And then you get a
moment to realize the savings which I'm about to transfer to buy something.
Is that really worth it? And this is on the contrary
of having everything on one account and you just
spending and thinking of, Okay, I've set
this amount aside, but let's see at the
end of the month. Another habit could be that you set a goal for yourself to only buy groceries on
one day of the week. Then you have to buy for
the whole week in one trip. This forces you to make a
plan of what you want to buy. It forces you to reflect
on the amount of total money you spend and also to figure out the
smartest way to do so. And this applies to
a lot of situations. The main point here
is that you take time out to be logical, to use system two, to be logical, strategic, you set up boundaries. So that throughout the weeks, throughout the
months or whatever, you don't have to
think about it. You just have to do
what you set out to do. Now we'll take inspiration of some of the books that
I've quoted, for example, the richest man in
Babylon Tiny habits, the Barefoot investor, Rich
Dad Poor Dad, and so on. And we'll start out with
paying yourself first. So what does paying
yourself first mean? It means that you focus on
your goals first and putting yourself first in line and then reordering all the priorities
after you so afterwards. And this is, for example,
prioritizing setting aside 10% of your
income into savings. And by doing so, you
take the first 10%, no matter what, of your pay
and put it into savings. Then all other costs come second and you make sure that you take certain steps towards your goal. And this is also to
flip the script of many people as they will
get their paycheck, then they will first
cover all bills, then they'll cover
all the expenses. And then at the very end, they'll see, Okay, how
much do I have in savings? At every step of the way, there's a huge
possibility of you not setting a question
mark of that cost. Whereas if you turn it around
and take 10% into savings, every cost from here on, you have to prioritize and say, Okay, I have this
fixed amount of money. I have 90% left of my pay. Does that cover
all my cost or no? And that makes you prioritize. Okay, do I really
need this Netflix? Do we really need this
cost or can we cut it can we reduce it? Is
there some way of altering these 90%
and not the 10%. And as mentioned, it
builds strong habits, it prevents overspending
and ensures that your future is prioritized
before the lifestyle. Also, make it automatic. Make it so that the first 10% is deducted as soon as
it hits your account. There's an automatic transfer
to a different account, which you do not
see, or it would take you some effort to look
into it to see the numbers. By that, you remove
the workload, you also make it easy for you to make the best financial choice. And you can soon start using some of this air in your budget, which you have created by taking out cost and
increasing savings. Take some of this
and start investing. And we'll get to
that later, more hands on in Lesson three. Another habit from one of my
favorite financial books, the richest man in Babylon, says, live below your means. And there's a quote from
the book that says, What each of us calls our
necessary expenses will always grow to equal our income unless we
protest to the contrary. And this is the typical trap when you get a little bit more you simply just start upgrading
your life, spending more. And if this happen and as soon
as your income increases, your cost increases the same, we don't
really go anywhere. There's nothing
aside to building assets or growing your money or making your
money grow for you. The book, the
Million A Next Door, also put emphasis on
this that you have to spend less than you
earn consistently, and this is the foundation of financial stability
and long term wealth. And this is exactly because you use some of this
air, some of these savings to build assets, to invest in funds to invest to some point
later on in life, have these assets
pay you back in dividends or capital gains or whatever for you to
use that to upgrade your life and not simply the
earnings of your income. The main point here is about
wealth isn't your income. It's about what you keep and
can keep on building with. And this leads us on
to the next habit, which is giving
every dollar a job. Here is a quote from
You need a budget. You're not deciding what
to do with your money. After it's gone, you're
deciding before. And this again is
about making a plan, aligning beforehand
your spending with your priorities and making sure that
you take control of your money or else it
will take control of you. And this is also
building on the concept of if you make a plan first and try to divide
your payment into different buckets
of this is cost, This is saving for myself, emergency funds.
This is fund money. This is for
investments and so on, you had a plan starting out, and also you have something
to look back on and say, Okay, I didn't succeed with this plan, but
why did that happen? Which cost got out of line? Were you too optimistic of
how much you could save? It allows you to reflect, and it also allows you
to go back and really pinpoint where
things went wrong. So in total, managing
your spending habits, not too much about math.
It's more about behavior. It's about your
daily choices and systems and you
actively making a plan. It's about being aware both of your emotions and your habits, but also checking in on your
account on a daily basis. It's about recognizing tricks and replacing these
mindless purchases with intentional decisions and making the choice of a mindset
where you create and you stack these habits on top of each other over decades. And it's about designing
an environment which fosters better habits and
better choices in general. Doing this, you
will consistently be able to save more money, which can be invested on your route to being
more financially free.
5. Building your budget (download): So welcome to the third
lesson of this course where we will start hands on
building your budget. And this will be done by
looking at your finances. Head to the course
material and open the excel sheet named
personal finance. But this exercise is beneficial to have the following
information prepared, an overview of your
monthly expenses, your total pension savings, the value of your stock
portfolio, outstanding debt, and interest rates
on your loans, and also the current
income tax rate and the threshold for
the top tax bracket. And you can look this up online. When you open the personal
finance spreadsheet, it should look
something like this. And as you'll see,
there's an input page, a graph, a private
budget, and three loans. We're only going to
look at the input page, and this is where everything
is going to happen. And I've graded these out
in order for you not to make any adjustments
directly in the formulas. Although we'll get
to that later. For now, we start at the top. You should put in the start year that you
would like to start in. Also just put January if you're starting in January.
This doesn't matter. It just has to be the year
that you're starting in. This although has
to be the month. So if you were to
start, for example, in February, you would write it like this or
in March or whatever. And of course, this will be in your own language
as you open Excel. For simplicity, I will
just start with January. Then you can name your budget, and you can put in the currency, and also we'll put in
an inflation rate. And this is important
to forecast both expenses and your income. And for the numbers you see
here, it's just an example. I've just put something in for income and rent and
expenses and so on. And this here is, of course, your monthly income,
monthly pension. This is your monthly cost. Everything is monthly except
tax deduction per year. So again, start with the
currency, put in your income. We have the pension
contribution from employer. You have the pension
contribution from yourself. You have variable income, you have benefits and other income. You can just change the
names here if you want to and write something specific, just as side hustle
or something. Maybe you rent your
car, rent rent of car, et cetera, and just
write in your numbers. The only thing important here
is that this is for income, and this is for
benefits, as there is a tax calculation
running behind this one. Once you have
inputted your income, we get down to your cost. You'll put in your
rent, heating water, power, Internet insurances, if you have those,
streaming subscriptions, music, fitness, everything
you have you can put in here. And in later versions, if needed, I can add more of these. But for now, just sum it up. The only thing important
here is that you put in minus when you do an input. So if you were to
put in, let's say, the same without a minus, it will tell you, but
just be aware of this. Also, you'll see already that
some of these light up red, and this means that this is
your third biggest expenses. Again, you can change your
name of any of these, and they will change throughout
the whole Excel sheet, and it's also possible
to change later on. Then we have the tax. You have your personal tax
rate, additional tax rate, the limit for top taxation, meaning that every
dollar earned beyond this point is taxed differently. But differently, I mean
by the top taxation rate. In my country, this
is a super clear cut. So if you were to earn above
a certain amount of money, you pay an extra
fixed percentage. But in some countries, this
all is just calculated into your personal tax rate as one percentage number,
so be mindful of that. For now, if you're unsure and you don't
know what to put in, just leave this at a point where it's way higher than
your income before tax. That means it won't trigger
this effect, tax wise. And a little disclaimer
for especially this part of the model is that
this is estimates, and this is mostly to
get some kind of tax in the model and not
as a clear advice. And that, of course, goes
for a lot of the model, but let's stick to it. Just under, you have the
tax deduction per year. This is typically
also a fixed amount, and you should be
able to look this up in your country or
county or whatever. Then you have your tax
deduction on interest rate, which later on calculates
this number here, which is the tax deduction
on interest rate. So in amount instead
of a percentage, and this will make
sense a little bit later when we
fill out the loans. Then I left this cell for
other tax deductions, which can differ from
each individual. And then we have the tax on
capital gains in percentage. And then, of course,
we have the cost deductible in pay before tax. I think in most situations, you will know better
than me which cost you have already that
is deductible in tax. Then up here, we have the loans. We have loans A, B, and C. And this, of course, refers to these three slides
or sections of the model, where we have the amount,
we have the interest, we have the margin, we have
the loan terms, and so on. So here, I've put in $200,000
with interest rate of 4%, no margin. We'll just put 1%. It's a variable loan
payments per year, however you negotiated it. Normally I would
just leave it at a full, so paid quarterly. And then, of course, we
have repayment in years. How many years? I've
just left it at 30. And then here, if
you have managed to negotiate with the bank, you might have a non
amortization period. Meaning, of course, a period
where you only pay interest. And here you should
put the date of when you start paying
these amortizations. Then over here, I've
put a commission fee to the bank, establishing fee, loan processing fee,
registration fee, stamp duty, whatever
they call it, made some sales for
you to input the cost. And have in mind here, you
have to put in the amount in a positive amount and not a negative amount,
as we saw over here. And this, of course,
is a percentage. And if we were to go
over to this slide, you'll see that the
amount is here, the interest rate is here, the
margin is here, loan term. This, although number of
installments per year is at 12 and you shouldn't change that for
the model to work probably. If you go back to
the input page, if you scroll a
little bit more down, you can now see that
all your cost from up here is listed
in this pie chart. And you can see a huge
chunk of that is your rent. This is just a great overview
for you to visually get an overview of where you spend your money and where you can try to cut cost a little bit. For example, this great
one here is groceries. See this one, work
lunch and activities. And, of course, it will look
way different when you input your own personal numbers here and change the
names and whatever. And here on the right side, you will see what's
called a waterfall chart, and to give it a little
bit of explanation, have here your income
as a revenue stream, then you have your tax
here as a cost of 848. And this, of course,
is your income deducted what you have put
into your pension fund, and also average
throughout the year. And you might ask, why is this average out on
a monthly basis? And that is because some
of the costs that you pay are paid on a
quarterly basis, for example, the loan,
and that's why we take the whole
year into account, divide it by 12, and
then average it out. So this is an average
monthly income, as well as this is
an average tax paid, your average expenses
per month and also the average cost of
loan interest per month. Even though this one is
only paid quarterly. We do not pay amortization. We won't start paying
amortizations until 1 July 2030. Just for this example,
we can change it to something
closer to this date. Let's just say here. And you will see here that you also
pay an amortization here. So, meaning that now we
have input all this data, you have this
beautiful pie chart where you can see where you
spend most amount of money. You can see maybe already
where you can cut things out, and you can see exactly how much you should have
left every month. Or not exactly, because
as you remember, this is a average
monthly cash flow, but it shouldn't be too
far off this number. And this is also the
number I check the most. When I go through my personal
finances, I would check, once everything is
paid in a month, did I really have this
number left on my account? And I really focus in and zoom in and try to really figure out what the reason is behind that I didn't
have this number, since I already
thoroughly went through every cost and every
income of my budget. So your first focus
should be to look at this number and use it as a
kind of reality check of, Okay, am I really doing
what I say I'm doing? But this is also
now the fun part because that means that you
have paid for everything, all your cost, and now you
have money left to invest. And that's where we
scroll up a little bit. So for now, we have to put in
a guess on our yearly ROI, and this is, of course,
return on investment. But the savings,
it's kind of easy. And if you log onto your bank, this is stated on your account, and this will
normally be a number 0-1% on your normal
savings account. You might have a
special account, which allows for
something above 1%. That's great for you.
Just put it in here. For now, I'll just go with 0.5%. We have the pensions.
The typical pension fund will invest in indexes
or ETFs or the market. So for now, I've just
put in these 8%. To be 100% accurate, you would also had to put in the cost of the managing
your portfolio. So let's say they had
a yearly cost of 1%, then you would have to
deduct it from this return. There we go. And of course, 1% is on the high
end of the scale. But for now, I'll just keep
it at 7% for simplicity. Then we have our stocks
or in this case, our ETFs and funds. These again, follow the market, although with quite a
lower cost of managing, let's say the ETF has a cost of 0.05% and the index one is a
little bit higher of 0.015%. Then I have some growth stocks, and having read through a lot
of analysis of the stock, I expect a return of 10%
per year, for example. Then we have the emergency fund, which again just has
the same percentage of our savings account
and, of course, our house, which for simplicity,
I've just put the appraisal of the house or the gain and value
of the house per year, the same as the inflation. But this is at the
low end of the scale and somewhat conservative
for some houses, as there's also a demand
increasing, for example, if you live in the city, and you should also
take that into account. But for now, let's put it at 3%. But for this number,
you could talk to your real estate
agent and see what their expectations are for
growth in the area around. It also goes for
these pension funds. For now, we just put 1% in, but you can of course
contact your pension and ask them what is the
specific amount? And you can just change
here accordingly. Now that we have our yearly ROI, it is time to put in the
monthly investments. And for example, I will
put $100 in savings. Here, in these pension funds, you are already adding to the pension via
contribution in your pay, and that is also why
this number here, 5820, is not the same as this. So although you do not
insert anything here, these numbers will, of
course, grow nonetheless. Then I'll put 400 in Jevs, 300 in funds box sample. I'll put 100 into these
more risky stocks, and then I'll put the
rest in emergency funds. And that is, of
course, because I want to grow this a little bit, as this right now is at 11,900, which is a little bit below the two months of
income before tax, which is the guided amount to
have in an emergency fund. And actually, I'm growing
this number every month. With $157, meaning that
in the end of 2026, I should have a
little over 13,000. So now you can see that
I started with the 1057 of average disposable
income before investing, and now my average
disposable income after investing is zero. And that is, of course, because
all these numbers here, sums up to 1057. And if we go down to our
waterfall graph here, you can now see that we
have the input, the tax, the cost, the loans, the loan interest,
loan amortization. Now we have savings of
100 and our investments of 957 and a cash
leftover of zero. And this means that we have
successfully completed the first year
meaning that we have accounted for all costs
and all investments, and this allows us to forecast. And the model is made so that by just filling
out this one year, we can now forecast
for 20 years. And I'll quickly show
you how that works because this is
the year of 2025. If we go a little
bit to the right, we'll see that this is
now the year of 2026. Of course, when you get to
it, you can fill it out. But for now you can see that it has just taken all your
numbers which you put in the last year and just forecasted by the
inflation rate. And under the
unlikely assumption that your income doesn't
change by more than 3%, your rent doesn't change, or you don't get any other
cost prior to last year. This is the baseline of the
model and how it works. And if we go to the right again, you'll see the same
will happen in 2027, the same will happen in 2028, 2029, and so on. And if you go back to 2026
here and go down a little bit, the biggest difference
here is that now your savings has
grown throughout the year with both
the interest rate but also your
monthly investments, which you made in 2025. Your pension has grown.
The funds, ETFs, and stocks has
grown by this rate, and also the amount which
you put in last year. This is the monthly
investments for 2026, based on, again, what
you did last year, and then accounted for
the inflation rate. And now these numbers
are grade out, and that will continue
throughout the years, as we will only change
the monthly investments, and the model will do the rest. And you can also see here that
your house has increased. Emergency funds has
increased, and so on. And if you go down to
the monthly cash flow, you see now your income is
increased, also your taxes, your cost, your loan interest,
and loan amortization, this should be about
the same the amount you put in savings,
your investments. And actually, now you have a little bit more cash leftover, which we can go up
here now and invest. Let's say we put it in
funds, zero plus 22. We have a zero here now,
and now 2026 is done. And of course, that
again is under the assumption that
your income hasn't changed and none of your cost changed with more
than the interest rate. Let's say you managed
to get a raise of $100 per month
or $1,200 per year. After tax and pension, that is an additional
disposable income of 78. So we can add that to,
let's say, the stocks. And this is the
methodology. So you have done most of the work
in the first year, and now it's all about
making small changes. You can also see now that
these are grade out, meaning that this is the amount you have
left on your loan, and through the past
year, you've already paid off around $3,000. So now you have spent a lot of energy putting in
all your numbers, making some thoughts
about what to invest, what's your ROI,
what's your taxes. And you piled up all this
information in order to forecast into 2026,
2027, and so on. And this is where we go into this tab here called
Grab Net Worth. And here I have made a
visualization of your budget, and this one is the two year
forecast of your assets, your net worth and
your total loans. These orange boxes here
is the total loans. And if you deduct
your total assets with your total liabilities
or your total loans, you'll get your total net worth. And you can see here if
you start out in January, you have total assets
amounting to 355,000. If you go to January of 2026, so one year later,
you'll see already that you have assets of 382. If you do the same for the loan, you start out with 200,000
in the beginning of 2025. And at the start of 2026, you have paid off these 3,000, and you have a net worth
amounting to 185,000. And if we go to the end of 2027, you'll see an increase
of around 100,000, a decrease of around
10,000 on your loan, and your net worth being
somewhere around 270. And this is to visualize
what happens when you're able to cut costs
from your budget, invest them in assets, and make money grow for
you and not against you. You can also highlight
specific assets. Let's say you would
like to look at your house. You can
filter that in here. And you'll see your house
increasing from 250,000 in the start of 2025 to
273,000 in the end of 2027. Just looking at this
is great motivation already for you to cut costs. But let's see what happens
on a five year basis. On a five year basis, again, you start out of 355,000. At the end of December 2030, you'll have assets
totaling around 600,000. So almost a double up. You net worth will
be around 421,000. And you would have paid off
nearly 20,000 on your loan. And let's see on
a 20 year basis. Here see your loan is
already almost paid out. You have a net worth of just under 2 million and total assets of just over 2 million. And then of course, the
longer the period is, the more loan you have paid off, the closer than your
net worth will get to your total assets, as again, your total net worth is the sum of total assets minus
your total liabilities. If we filter in your ETF, for example, or your house,
let's go with your house. We can see again that you
start in 2025 with around a valuation of 250,000
on your house. And in 20 years, the same house will be worth almost
double the amount. You can also see your ETFs
and your funds and stocks, and all these are just
steadily increasing. And, of course, your total assets is the sum of your house, your emergency funds,
and all these assets. So this should be
your motivation to find air in your budget
and to keep investing. And again, this is just
given the assumption that your income only
increases with 3%. There's no bonus, there's no extra demand in the
area of your house. So I would say this is more a conservative view on finances. And if you were to update
the input page every year, let's say you were
to get a pay jump of $500 here per month, which is quite a large pay job. But let's say you
change your job or you get more
responsibility and whatever. This also compounds
into the next year. Now the whole baseline
for your income the next 20 year has taken
into account this one raise. And let's say this year, again, you change your job,
and get an extra 500. This means that if
you scroll down here, on top of what you're
really investing, you have an extra
$600 to invest. And let's say we put it into
our funds, for example, two. We get to invest $592
more every month, starting in 2027 for
the next 20 years. If we look at the graph now, we see that instead of having just over 2 million in
total assets in 20 years, we have 2.5 million. So these changes which
we do early in life, we take a leap of faith,
we get a new job, we get a new side hustle, and we focus in on investing these extra cash and getting
money to work for us. It's evident how much it
pays off in the long run. This is called compounding
or the compound effect. This is the overview
of the model. I've explained how
to input data, how it works with the loans, how the average
disposable income works, how to put in savings
and invest things and put money aside,
which will grow. I've explained a
little bit about the visuals here and also how that affects the long
term budget of yours. This is made on a yearly average in order to limit the amount
of inputs that you have to make but
let's say you want to go down into the nitty
gritty and be very, very focused on every
income and expense, you can also go into the private budget
and make adjustments. So this is all the calculations for all the years
in the whole model. And as you see, it's a very
big file with many formulas, which you shouldn't
touch too much. I have still made
it possible to make small changes behind the
scenes, so to speak, and also in order for you to get a much larger perspective on each detail and to really keep track of every expense
in every month. And this is how it
works. So first up the top of the budget here, you will see that this is
tied up to the date of today, meaning that you would quickly
be able to if you go from your input budget to your private budget, you
will quickly be able to see. Okay, I have to be up to date with at least these six months, and this one is ongoing. This allows for structure, but also forces you to check
if all this is correct, if your taxes is correct, if your income is
correct and so on, all the things that you
had on your input page. But you can also see
here that I've put in corrections or the ability
to make corrections. And that is, of course,
the gray area here. You can make corrections
to your income statement. You can make corrections
to your cost. You can make corrections
to the loans. These are dark gray and has to do with how you
pay off your loans, for example, in quarters. So these dark grays,
you shouldn't touch. And then, of course, you have
your investment activities and your balance here. And if we start on the top, so this allows you to make monthly changes instead
of just putting in the 6,000 in the input page and your income being 6,000 a
month for the whole year. You can now put in, oh, I got a raise of 200 in March. And this continued until
this continued until May. And in June, I changed jobs, additional raise of
500, for example, compared to the 200, so 700 in total. And that I'm forecasting
it to last to the end of the year and
also the beginning of 2026. You might also have gotten
another cost deductible, a variable bonus, for example, of, let's say, 200 again. So this allows you to
be even more detailed in how your budget
is set up and for the model not to be as rigid and closed as it
might seem at first. That's your income,
Let's say you got a rent increase or you spent a little bit more
than heating or water. And this is, of course, minus. Let's say you did $10
more this month and $5 more this month and
seven more here, whatever. You can make corrections to all the costs
that you have input. As already mentioned
regarding the loans, these are dark gray,
meaning, please don't touch. So let's go on to
the investments. And this is, of course, if
you have corrections to the amounts that you put
in in different months. Let's say you put in an extra $50 because it was your birthday and you got
an extra $50 or whatever, or you put an extra
amount of 60,000 here in stocks in
May, and so on. You get the point. This year, I would say is the most
important corrections you can make because
this allows for you to make corrections based on the specific amount
of your savings, the specific amounts on your
stocks and funds and so on. So as you know, this is
projected with 8% increase over the year or 8% minus the fees and the
cost of pension and so on. But you can now
go in and correct these numbers by
month if you want to. For example, if the ETFs
increased or decreased, but more or less
than this, well, you can go here now and say, Okay, actually, it
was a good month. So we did an extra $100. And this is immediately
changed down here and your total assets. But again, it depends on how much you want
to go into detail, how much focus you want
to be on your finances. You could also just
say, Okay, in December, I will look into
all these numbers and make adjustments
so that this is all correct so that when we
enter January of 26. I know all these
amounts are correct, and I can project on those
numbers as a baseline, but I want to spend the time to update before December 2026, so that again, I have a
new baseline for 2027. But again, that's
up to you, totally. I just want to show you how you can make changes if you want to.
6. The Basics of investing in stocks: Welcome to Listen four
the basics of investing. In this lesson, we start out
describing what are stocks. And basically, stocks represent
a ownership in a company. So, for example, if you own
a 1% stake in a company, then you have a 1% ownership in the company's
assets and earnings. An example could be Microsoft, and when you own a small part
of Microsoft, each year, when they increase revenue
or grow by selling software, you take part of that growth in respect to the
percentage that you own. You as an investor, are
typically rewarded by either the growth in value of your stock or getting dividends. How do you as an investor,
make money from stocks? As already mentioned, you
buy at a certain price. You believe in a company. The company behind
the stock does well. They increase their
earnings. They make good negotiations to
enter other markets. They cut costs by
negotiating with logistics, or they just have
some technology or a new medical drug or
something that is patented, which nobody else can make, and they are able to scale
their business and earn money. When that happens, the
view on the stock and the expectations of
the company increases. And that makes people like
you and I investor buy the stock in the belief that the underlying company will
continue on doing better. Next year, they will
penetrate another market or they will fill up or
enhance their current drug, which we think will lead to even more revenue and
even more growth. The more people
that buy the stock, the more it increases in price. And as an early investor, this means an increase on
your stock price. So that's one half of
making money on stocks, and the other half
is that the company will make dividends yearly, meaning that they pay
out money back to the investors and share
the company's profits. Then when we talk about stocks, we also have to
talk about bonds. These two are typically
mentioned together, and where stocks is
an investment in a company and a leap of faith in some way
where you believe that the company is worth
more than it is today. You pay money for the stock, but you're not guaranteed any
return on your investment. Whereas bonds is more
like a loan to a company. So you buy a bond, you
give money to the company. And in the contract of the bond, it is written that
at some point, let's say, over a
four year period, you get coupon interest, meaning that every year, you get a specific interest
rate paid out to you, and then after
exactly four years, the initial loan amount
that you paid, let's say, it was $10,000 upfront
get that return. This is less risky than
stocks, and therefore, it also offers small returns, but a stable return,
nonetheless. Whereas buying a
stock, you're not capped to a specific return. But then again, you're
not guaranteed anything, and as I mentioned before, you could stand to lose everything. But this is about investing, and it's about
investing in stocks, so I'll keep my focus on stocks and leave
bonds out for now. In order to talk a little bit
more about these pros and cons of investing in stocks,
I've made this slide, where you can see stocks offer return through compounding
gains and dividends, and we'll be talking a little bit more about
compounding gains. But this is mostly about
that if you were to invest, let's say, $1,000
in a stock today, it increases with 10%. So next year it's worth $100. Then going into year two, and t's say, again, we
expect an increase of 10%. The increase is now based on the $1,100 instead of $1,000. And this is called
the compound. So what more does stocks offer?
It is easy to buy. It's easy to sell, meaning that money wise,
it's very liquid. And if you compare
this to, for example, your car or your house or your rare Pokemon cards
that you want to sell, yes, these are worth something. But you could have, let's
say, $10,000 in stocks. And the next day, you could sell these and
have cash in hand. This is valuable to have something that can
increase in value, but you can also liquidate it
and use the money quickly. Whereas, for example, if
you want to sell your house or your car or something
of value in your home, this could take days,
weeks, even months. Also, it offers a protection
against inflation, and we'll talk a little bit
about this on the next slide. But basically, as you've
probably heard before, when you have money sitting
in your account with no interest rate on
the account itself, so the money that
you have deposit, if there's zero interest rate, then as inflation increases
of one to 2% year over year, it's not that you lose
money in your account, but imagine everything
outside of your account, all increase with 1.2% a year. And if your money in
that account does not increase with the same
interest rate a year, that means that
your buying power for that money has decreased. But I'll show that more visibly
in the upcoming slides. Stocks also offers the
possibility to really dive into a company in your
line of work and have a strong conviction in
buying into that company. So you can use your knowledge and your expertise to
find good companies, which you know are
doing good business. And since you're
in that work area, you know that this company
they have awesome products, or you know, if they
make this big deal, then they will completely
wipe out all competition. Then you as a investor, you get to really dive deep into this company and make it so that this knowledge
that you have, since you have worked
in this area or you're just interested in
this area in particular, you get to translate that
into making good investments. But then, of course,
on the other hand, when you have pros,
you also have cons. First, risks are these
typical pitfalls. You'll have new investors, and I've done this myself. You're chasing the
hottest new stock that all your friends are
talking about or someone at work
is talking about, and you just dive head into the stock not really
thinking much. This can be profitable
in some situations, but in the majority
of situations, you'll see that people are just buying into this
stock as a hype. And when you really take a look into the fundamentals
of the company, there's not really
any substantial proof or evidence that they
should be worth this much. Again, this has
to do a lot about the human psychology where we
don't want to be left out. We have Fomo fear
of missing out. And instead of
thinking, we just act. The second pitfall is that typically the new investor
would try to time the market, which translates to that
when we see a stock, which we have been observing
and wanted to buy, when we see that taking a and we are looking for a time to enter. Sometimes we simply
wait too long. And let's say we wanted
to invest $1,000, instead of buying 100 this week, 100 the next week, the next week, and so on, this
is dollar cost averaging. Instead of dividing
our investments over time, we sit there, we wait for it to drop, and we're waiting on, okay, it can go even further. And then the next morning, it
shot up 10%, 15%, whatever. And vice versa, we see
a stock increasing. But we're still waiting
a little bit for conviction from the market, and then we see a big
increase the next day. We're still waiting a little bit and even bigger
increase the day after. We're better left off with
the first method of just investing a little
bit into the stock and kind of spreading
out our risk and increasing the
likelihood that we will catch these increases. Of course, this has
to be weighed up against these transaction fees, so you have to pay every
time you buy a stock. But one could argue
that it's better to pay a little bit more
transaction fees to make sure that you get
a more decent try when you invest in
the first place. Third pitfall and probably
the most important is that new investors invest in stocks without
understanding the business. And this ties to
the first pitfall of chasing the hot stock, but it also has to do with new investors investing in stocks. It simply
underestimates the time that you have to put
in on following up on your investments and
looking into the markets of the companies which you have invested in in order
to be successful. Yes, of course, you can buy of these blue chip
companies such as Microsoft, Apple, Coca Cola. And that's a completely
plausible way to invest. And that's how I
invest myself as I do not have the time and
effort to put into analyzing and reading up on all these different reports
and market updates and so on. But if you're sitting
out there and you want to find the next hidden gem, you have to spend the time and effort to learn
about the companies, to learn about what makes this company
special in the market. Why do you think
they have longevity? What is it that
makes them special? And from all that
data and knowledge, then you can have conviction
and start investing. Then onto risks, you have
market crashes and you have all the external events which are out of your control. So you could have strong
conviction in this new company. They're doing great.
They have a new CEO. They just rammed up
their production line. But all of a sudden,
a worldwide event happens that clogs
up their logistics, meaning that they could not
get their machines home, to produce the product,
to fulfill the orders, and now they're in bad shape. These are risks from the
whole world, from the market. Difficult to factor in, but still a risk nonetheless. Then, of course, you have
the underperformance of the company which
you have invested in. Let's say they, for
example, over promised and underdelivered, and
halfway into the year, is projected that now
they're only going to do 80% or 70% of these
projected earnings. This, in most cases, makes the investors
like you and I lose faith in their ability to
fulfill their promises, which reflects in the stock
price, typically negatively. And then the last two cons, you have dilution of
shares where a company creates more shares and dilutes your current
ownership of the shares, decreasing the worth
of your shares, and of course, you
have bankruptcy. And bankruptcy of a company
typically means that you lose everything
that you invested. But I would say, as I
note, that these two, the dilution of
shares and bankruptcy is mostly happens to mid
to smaller companies. So this is a risk that you
have to think about, as well. Before investing, ask yourself, how comfortable am I with
market ups and downs? What's my risk tolerance?
What's my horizon? Do I invest into
something that I believe can grow in
the next ten years, or is it a one year period of a new shiny
product or whatever? It's healthy to have a mindset of where's
your boundaries. And when you buy stocks
and kind of pick eggs to put in your portfolio
and in your basket, it is commonly known to pick something which is not
in the same sector. So, for example, you would maybe pick one or two stocks in tech, you would pick some
in healthcare, and you would also diversify in different countries or
in different regions. So, for example,
you would not have everything invested
in let's say Europe, then you would also
bring in some from USA, emerging markets in Asia, maybe invest in some
stocks in China and so on. And that means that if some of your investments take a hit, then hopefully you have
other investments, which you also believe in in different countries that
can take some of this hit. Or they are even correlated
in some way that when the American
tech stock decreases, this is seen as a good sign
in the Chinese tech stock, and then you get a
little bit of increase there to pattern out
the loss in the US. If you see where I'm
getting, instead of just having one stock where
you put everything into, and you kind of write
that stock write or die, if it goes up, it goes
up, goes down, it goes. Then you kind of spread your
money out a little bit, still in companies
that you believe in, which is well built and hopefully gives you a
great return year by year. So with all this
extra effort into analyzing and having to
dive into the financial, as well as the market, as well as these cons
and pitfalls and risks, the question is why is it
still important to invest? And this is mainly because
of two reasons where I will show a quick
example in a little bit. But it is mostly due to investing is a way
to beat inflation. And secondly, it is a mean or a tool for letting your
money work for you. And this has due to
the compound effect. But let's take a quick
example of inflation. You have a savings
account of $1,000, and on that savings account, you have a interest on the
deposit of 0.5% per year. Over the next ten
years, you will have gained $50 on interest, meaning that the total
amount is $1,050. But at the same time, the rate of inflation is at 2%, which means that even
though you've gained the $50 in interest in the
same period of ten years, your savings has
become 20% less worth. Your rent has increased,
your water bill, your electricity
bill, your insurance, everything has increased,
except your money. And that is this
hollowing out effect. And the main reason that
you want to put your money somewhere in a high
interest savings account, you want to buy bonds or stocks. So putting money, investing
in a portfolio that is so diversified that you get the market return because if you look at the whole stock
market as a whole, on 100 year basis, for example. And if you average
every return out, factoring in all
the ups and downs, you get a number which
is around eight to 10%. And the earlier you as an
investor invest in the market, the more time your
money has to grow. And that's what I've
tried to show here with the example with
Anna, Bo and Karl. Where you have Anna
starting at 20, you have Bo starting at 30, and Karl starting at 40. So you'll see that Anna is
investing $200 per month, and so is Bo, and so is Karl, but they start out
at different ages. And if we take a scope
of 60 years in total, we'll see that since
Anna started at 20, she invested for 40 years, and this amounted to an
investment of $96,000. But the gains which compound
it amounted to $575,000. Have Bo, who started ten
years later than Anna, meaning that he
only get to invest $72,000 over this
40 year period. And you see already now that this ten year
difference means that his compound gains amounted to half of Anna, which is 221,000. Then at the end,
you'll see that Karl, who started investing
in his 40s, he only gets to
invest for 20 years, a total of 48,000, half of what Anna has invested. But you'll see that even though he invested half
of what Anna did, his money did not get
to compound over years, and he ends up with 70,000. Only amounts to an eighth
of what Anna ends up with. But if we go a little bit
deeper and say, Okay, but Karl only invested 48,000 and Anna invested
double of that. So if we go here and make it so that even though
Karl starts at 40, he starts out by investing $400, which makes it so
that in the end, he has invested the same
amount as Anna, also 96,000. And now we see that
even though he has invested the very
same amount of Anna, this only amounts
to 141,000 compared to 575,000, which Anna receives. This just goes to
show that one thing is putting an amount
aside to invest, but you also get a huge advantage of your
money working for you along all these years and compounding gains upon
gains upon gains. This is why I've made
this example to show you the power of compounding. I'll also leave this along
with the other tools in order for you to play
around with it if you want to. So up until now, we've talked about what stocks
are, how they work, the pros and cons,
and also stressed the importance of investing
and investing early. You might be seeing
now thinking, Okay, how do I begin? What do how do I find stocks? How do I find companies to analyze further and how
does this whole thing work? In order to invest
in the first place, you would commonly find
what's called a broker. And with a broker, you would
open a brokerage account, and through that
account, you can invest. And throughout different
countries and different regions, there are a lot of
different brokers. It is best to find a broker
which has knowledge of your country and
the rules and laws of your country before
you open account. I would go talk to
either my bank or a financial advisor in order for them to point me in
the right direction. Also, before you start investing through a regular broker, check if your country offers
special investment accounts. It can be a smart
move to fill these up first depending on
how they are set up. These accounts often have a annual or lifetime
contribution limit and sometimes rules about when
you can withdraw the money. Even though they have
these restrictions, it is worth investigating
because using them even partly can save you a lot of tax and boost long term returns. Just to name a few popular ones, we have Fidelity, Vanguard, Child Swap, Nonet, Desiro, Saxo, and many more. The importance here
is just to understand that you sign up
at these brokers, you use your ID, your TIM
number or CBR number, your personal tax number
so that the brokers know who you are and also so that they can report your earnings, your losses in order for
your state to do your taxes. For the most part, this
is completely automated, and it's quite easy to use. The main thing is here that you go to website, you sign up, fill in your information,
open the account, then you can transfer
money to it. Then from there, you can use
there too to find stocks. You can search up the name
you can buy, you can sell. Most of these brokers, they would also have you take a test before you can do anything, just to learn the
interface and learn the basics of investing.
It's really straightforward. The only thing not
straightforward is how to pick and how to analyze the
stocks that you want to buy. So an overview of how to
analyze a company First up, you would start by
understanding the business. What do they sell? How
do they make profit? What is the deal? What is
their value proposition? Then you would check
for a competitive edge. So look for their strengths, their patterns,
their market share. What makes this company stand out and what makes you believe that they have something unique that they offer to their customers or to
their business partners. You also have to look
at the bigger picture and the trend of the market, so to speak, even
though you understand the company and it
has a bright future. What about their sector?
How is their sector moving? How do you see that
sector going onwards? Do you see that sector as being profitable for the next five
years, ten years, 20 years? This is, again, very important to think about for the stock, but also for your
investment horizon. Maybe it could be a good investment for the
next five years. But if you want to find a long term investment
which you believe in, maybe you have to
find a stock within a sector that's growing and has possibilities
and it's not declining. This is arguably the three
most important questions to ask yourself
before investing, the fundamentals
of how it works. Once you've done
that, you can start looking into the cash flow, the balance sheet,
they return on equity, the price earnings, and so on. And if you take, for example,
the financial statement, you will look at the
income statement. Has the revenue been
growing for the past years? Also, has the
revenue been growing at the rate which the
company has promised? How are their assets compared
to their liabilities? Are they continuing to have extremely high debt,
so liabilities? And more important,
can they pay off the interest of these
liabilities? The cost behaving? Do they increase cost or
try to decrease cost? If they are increasing cost? Is that because they
have just bought new products or
machinery, for example, which is supposed
to help the company grow for the next three
years or whatever? Below all the revenue and the
cost and the balance sheet. So is there anything left? Is there cash flow after this? So what do they do
with their cash flow? Do they invest it back in the company or do they
distribute it to the investors? If they are distributing
it to the investors? Do you think that is too
early for the company? Do you think they should invest more back into themselves? Because they are in a critical
phase of growing or are they at a point
right now where they can actually pay out?
What do you think? So now this is some thoughts to look at the
financial statement, but there are also
some key ratios which you can look up online, which is used to analyze
the company you're looking at and compared to other companies in the same sector. This is, for example,
the most common ones is ROE, return on equity. And this is basically
to take the company, deduct all debt or liabilities, and then you have your equity. So if you have that
number, and then you have a number of how
much income you did, you divide those two
and you get a number. This number shows how much the company has grown
compared to its equity. Then you have the
net profit margin, where you divide the
net profits with the revenue to see
how much profit you actually made after cost. So even though the
company is bringing in X amount of
dollars in revenue, how much is left after cost? These two key ratios
is mainly used to see how profitable a company is. And it's kind of easy to
get a two digit number and go to another company, do the same analysis and compare that number to the number which you get from
the new company. A quick way to compare
different companies. Then you have the
valuation ratio. The most commonly
used is the PE ratio, which takes the market price of the stock and divides
it by the earnings per a way to compare the
value of the stock of how much the stock is going
to pay you back, essentially. So a recommendation for a free two is this website
called thinwis.com. This site, in my point of view, offers one of the best
overview of both stocks, markets, commodities.
You even have crypto. You can go to a news
section here where you can choose between market
news, stock news, News, and crypto News with every story coming out from some of
the biggest newspapers, you can click the Link, and it goes directly to the article. Here, this is, for example, Trump talking about the next
move that could hit Pharma. You can go to Home. If you want to look at the
whole market by sector, you can click this one, and you can see you have
technology here. In this sector, you have
Microsoft, Oracle, Penca. You have some of the
biggest players. You have semiconductors
with Invidia, AMD, Inocorp and so on. You have financials
here with JP Morgan, credit services,
with Visa Mastercard as a management, financial data, capital markets,
healthcare, communication, consumer cyclical, with
Amazon, auto manufacturer. And with this, you can see first up how the whole market moves, but also which sectors
in the market that pulls the gains or
takes the losses. This is SP 500. You can see Russell
2000, so 2000 stocks. You can see the whole world
here, ETFs, even crypto. And you can kind of play
around if you want to see the bubbles or
maps or whatever. But this is a super
good overview to play around, in my opinion. If you go back to home, you can see some of the biggest
companies here. You can see if you scroll down, you can even see
the major news and how it affected the
different stocks. If you scroll further
down, you can see it's called insider trading. So this is, for example, the CEO or the chief
legal director, whatever, you can see
if they sold anything, if they exercised an
option, and so on. Also, a great tool
if you want to follow a specific stock. You have your
commodities down here with oil, natural gas, gold, so in total, a great overview, and I use this daily
to see what's going on and keeping a ear to
the ground, so to speak. Instead of having
to read thousands of different articles
or having to wait at the specific company's
website to release a statement on something that I can just look
here on the news. And for the most part,
it pops up here. And another thing is that if you really want to dive
deep into a company, we can search up, for example, IVDa so here NVDA, Corp but down here, you have all these KPIs
that we talked about. So you have the PE,
you have the PEG, you have the enterprise
value compared to Ipta. You have all these
kinds of ratios. You have earnings
per share over here, which turn on equity over here. You have a profit margin here, and on the far right, you
have the performance. So performance per
week, per month, per quarter, three year, five
year, and even ten year. And the cool thing
is here that they have already listed the peers, so the biggest
competition to NVIDIA. So if you want to go
check, for example, MD, you can go there. Look at their ratios
and quickly get a view of how do the two companies
stand compared to each other. You could also go to Intel, for example, see their numbers. So a quick, efficient overview
where the calculations of these different ratios are
already done for you and set up for you to
perfectly dive into. But if you want to see
the numbers for yourself, you could go to the statements. There is a income statement. So you can see the
total revenue, you have the gross profit,
you have the cost of goods, interest expenses on the loans, price to earnings, net
margin, and so on. The balance sheet where you can see their total liabilities, their total equity, and also
their return on equity. You could go to
cash flow, and you can see the cash from
operating activities, cash from investing activities, cash from financing activities, and at the very bottom, you
have the free cash flow. So I would highly
recommend using FINWIS and for you to
play around with it, just in order for you to get
a taste of you see the news, you see what's happening
to the numbers, and you get a feel for
how these two correlate, both with the single stock, but also in the sector
and the whole market. Also have liquidity ratio
and solvency ratios and a lot of ratios and metrics, which has rules of thumb
of where it should be for the company to be healthy and the company
to be in good shape. But you have to take all
these ratios and also put it into perspective of what
type of company is it? Where is the company
in its lifetime? What is the market expectations? What is the management
saying about these ratio main point
here is just that alone, you cannot take these
numbers for good. Before you go headfirst into all these finances and read all the small
details of a company. You should simply
understand the business, check their competitive edge and see if the sector which
they're in is growing. After that, you can use these
ratios in order to compare different companies and see which company you
believe in the most. And just to make a bridge from Lesson four to Lesson five, have been talking
about how to invest, where to invest, why we invest, and what to be coacous about. And as we saw with
Anna Buen kal, long term and consistent
investments works.
7. Investment Funds & ETF's: Welcome to Elison
five. In this episode, we'll be talking about
investment funds or ETFs, and what these funds
offers compared to picking your own favorite
stocks and making a portfolio, doing all the homework,
putting the time in to stay on top of
the market, and so on. Index funds would do the same on a much larger scale and for the most part
with lower fees. So following the articles
from Spiva scorecards, as well as Spiva US in 2023, it has shown that
most active investors underperforms the
market over time, meaning that most
active investors and investment funds can overperform
the market short term, but this overperformance
is typically short lived, as the longer period
you focus on, the smaller the percentage of active investors beating
the market becomes. In 2023, over 85% large
cap fund managers failed to beat the
S&P 500/10 years. And the S&P 500 is index that follows the 500 most valuable
companies in the world. And remember, this is
professionals that spend their whole full time job
dedicated to managing the money of the investors in
order to actively beat the return which
the investors could have by investing in the market. These actively managed
funds with experts and high personalities in the front will typically have higher fees. They normally have fees
on managing your money, and then they also take a cut of the ins which you make
throughout the year. And as we saw in the example
with Carl Bo and Anna, in the previous
episode, both gains but also cost compounds, meaning that these
costs or these fees, they're not only eating
your profits this year, but also then hindering your money to become
bounded next year, next year, and next year again. And this amounts to a huge
difference in the long run. And that's exactly
what John Bochle, the founder of Vanguard, spent his whole life proving that low cost index funds or ETFs outperforms most
active investors. Also, on top of
that, John Bochle argued that index investing
is simple, it's cheap. Effective. And if you
invest consistently, you don't need to beat
the market to make wolf. So instead of chasing returns, focus on increasing your income and let your investments
quietly track the market. And this is backed up
by Ron Buffett saying that compound over time is
your biggest advantage, where he argues that
even modest returns grow significantly when
invested over decades. In the market beats
timing the market. And to top it all off, W
Buffett, actually in 2007, made a bet with one of their most popular
actively managed funds, saying that he would
bet $1 million, to prove that S&P 500 would beat the hedge
funds over time. And around ten years later, he cash in the bet
of $1 million. Eugene Farmer argues that the reason why it's difficult
to consistently beat the market and consistently
find the good stocks to make the good returns at the right time is because of the efficient
market hypothesis, saying that all the
information's out there already so the yearly reports or the newest headlines of
this stock's performance or the CEO of the company
making a statement, all investors have the same
information at the same time, meaning that as soon as this information is
out in the market, it is priced into the stock, and that makes it so that it is extremely difficult to find
good deals consistently. And if you think about it, most of the stocks which you see completely booming overnight is because something out of
the ordinary happened. And these sudden news, they
just come out of nowhere. And what are the
chances that you as an investor would be able to foresee all these huge news coming that would
be close to zero. And that is the main idea of the efficient market hypothesis. Also thought to include
Burton Malkil with his popular theory in his book named a random walk
down Wall Street, where he explains that
information of stocks, which we talked about
the workshop a CEO or the annual reports or a big
event that harms the company, for example, happens randomly. It's not consistent,
and therefore, it is nearly
impossible to predict anything about the stock
and its movements. And since the movement
of the stock on the short term is unpredictable, trying to do all these
technical analysis with the SMH line and all this technical
analysis of the stock, from his point of view,
mostly a waste of time. And you're better off investing
long term in something with a low cost and
a diversification. And that is mostly what
index funds are all about. It is about diversification. It is about spreading risk. And what happens is that
instead of buying one, two, 20 stocks and having this single company risk,
you have a bucket of, let's say, hundreds or
even thousands of stocks, making it so that
for the first part, you're not so dependent on your stocks as an
individual performing. Since you own so many companies, if one or two or even ten
doesn't go as expected, then you have another sector.
Then you own a healthcare. You own agriculture,
you own farm, which have a great chance of being the booming
sector of that year, and that would outweigh the
loss in the first sector. Meaning that at the
end of the year, even though you lost
in some sectors, these losses were greatly
outweighed in other sectors, and you book a
gain for the year. And this might not
be the biggest gain as you would have had if you, for example, picked Invidia in the year where
it was booming. But that gain you had came
with a lot less risk, but second of all,
with a lot less time consumed and having to stock
pick in the first place. Baseline is that
index funds or ETFs, exchange traded funds,
balances global exposure. And by investing in different
regions and economies, it helps you protect your
portfolio from local downturns. To be super specific,
I've put it up here. So you have stocks
on the left side and ETFs on the right side. And you'll see that when you pick stocks, you go to market, you have to choose yourself you invest in a single specific
company at a time. By doing this, you have a
higher company specific risk, higher risk of losses, but also a potential
upside with gains, of course, requires research
and ongoing monitoring. There's a potential for
rapid value fluctuations, and this is what we
talked about earlier, these random news or information will have great effect on the
value of the stock. And it is often a part of a more active
investment strategy. Total, there's a lot of
work in having stocks, but this is also
what some investors find thrilling and entertaining. Then on the right
side, you have ETFs, where you invest in
many companies at once, you have a low risk
through diversification. It is more a passive
form of investing. You don't have to stock
pick as you buy index, which automatically
follows a market. You're choosing, it
is broadly known as a stable and effective way of achieving long
term market returns, and it is suitable for investors with less
time or experience. Let's say you are more
on the right side and you want to
spend less time and, frankly, just want to
make a consistent return. What is important when choosing these ETFs or investment funds? Of course, this
matter is subjective, and it depends on what
you want to invest in and which sectors that
you believe will do great in the long term. But now we'll talk
about what will matter, whatever you choose,
and that is fees. So we're looking for a fund, you can choose either a
actively managed fund or a passively managed fund. The active managed funds will have higher
cost since you have people actively buying and selling different
parts of the fund. And I thought a lot about
this because if you don't believe that actively managed
funds can beat the market, why would you pay someone to
do what you could be doing. If I want to buy the
market as a whole, understood between
buying it passively with no extra fees or paying one
to 1.5% for a fund to do it, and they invest in the same
funds and the same market. Isn't it just throwing
money away in some way? So we'll look at fees,
and when you find a fund, you can look them up, and in the very bottom or
in the very top, they will have
these fees listed. So that's the most
important thing, fees, but you also have to look
at how good of a job these funds are
doing in tracking what they're saying
they're tracking. So for example, let's say
the S&P 500 had a return of 10% does the index fund or ETF have the
same return of 10%, or is it 9.5, for example, or
nine or even eight? Because them low fees don't
really matter if you do not end up with a percentage
of what you should. So another thing that matters both when you're
looking into stocks, but also into mutual funds such as ETFs is your risk profile. As mentioned, these index
funds and ETFs allows you to buy out sectors instead
of one specific stock. And before choosing what
area, how many areas, which areas you want to buy, you should have your
risk profile in mind. To give you an example,
you have low risk, which is choosing
the broad market or bond heavy index ones, one that captures the
world, so to speak, so that you have
a little piece of every large industry
in most of the world, which also means
that you will take the gains and the losses
of just about everything, and you can expect low
risk and low volatility. But since you have lower risk, you also can expect
lower returns. Whereas you could go
a little bit more moderate risk and go for, for example, SP 500. These are historically well
performing companies with a good track record
and are known for performing well
year after year. But then again, by only having 500 stocks in your portfolio, only having 500 stocks
in your portfolio, that comes with less
diversification compared to the low risk where you buy into the whole
market, and therefore, at moderate risk,
there is a risk that the top 500 companies are not evenly spread out over the different countries,
continents, and sectors. As SP 500 is known to
be quite tech heavy, then you are more
exposed to risk, but also a chance
of a higher upside. Then of course, you have
high risk where you buy into funds or ETFs, which are very specific
in one sector, that could be emerging markets, that could be tech, for example, if you
believe really, really much in tech and what's going to happen in tech
the next ten years, you can buy ETFs that
are focused solely on that sector alone and only the companies
in that sector. That could come down to
20, 30, 40 companies. And with that, as you
already know now, there is a higher risk as you get this sector specific risk, meaning there is no safety net balancing out your returns. If the TF, which you picked
gets wind under its wings, you could see a
significantly higher return. But then again,
the more specific and the more niche
these funds becomes, it decreases the
difference between having a fund and having
just a simple stock. And at some point, you get to a situation where you
have deviated from your original idea of buying the home market and not putting too much effort
and time into it. But of course, you could argue
that in choosing more of these very specific ETFs and
bundling those together, you can create a
portfolio which has greater diversification that different single stocks into
your portfolio would have. And by doing so, you
don't have to spend so many fees on trading the specific stocks and rebalancing your
portfolio and so on. It is arguably a fin line. Since compared to stock picking, you're not watching
one stock anymore, but you're still having
to watch a whole sector and be able to invest
or divest as you go. Just to pick a few, buying these ETFs is the same as
you do with single stocks. As we talked about
in earlier lessons, you pick a broker, you can
search different ETFs. You can look at the
cost, the market spread. You can look at the
tracking error. Just as an example, I have these five, which I
want to go through. The first one is the S&P 500. This is from ASHA's
C, S&P 500, ETF. This is in US dollars, and this ACC stands
for accumulating. The counterpart is DIST,
which means distributing. And we'll get to
that in a minute. Then there's a SINCde that is the unique code for
this specific ETF. So you could either
search up the ETF name or the ISN code. Then this ETF has a
cost of 0.07% per year, and it tracks the 500 largest publicly
traded US companies. Then we have another
one from ISAs. It's called ISHAS
Core MSCI World, also US dollars, also accumulating.
The ISN code is here. There's a cost of 0.2%. It gives broad exposure to developed markets
across North America, Europe and Asia Pacific.
We have emerging markets. It's called Ishars C MCI, EME IMI. You get the rest. It's accumulating icing code
here and a cost of 0.18%. It covers, and it's
also accumulating. It covers large,
mid and small cap companies across the
emerging markets countries. Then you have Europe,
ISHAes C MSI Europe. This one is in euro
and it's accumulating ICN code is here, cost of 0.12%. It tracks large and mid
cap European companies in developed markets. And then the last one
I have here is called the IHRs MSI Europe
Information Technology sector. The CN code is here. You have your cost here. It's
also accumulating. And this is focused
on European companies in the information
technology sector. And these five are just an
example of funds you can find. There are hundreds if not
thousands of different funds. And just to underline,
these are just examples. I've tried to find
those with lowest cost, but that might be
different for you. Accounting and
currency, for example, how your country taxes
them differently. Normally, the government
will have a list of how they tax the
different ETFs, and this is just as
important as the cost, as the taxes also eats away
of your gains over the years. So before buying anything, try to decide on
your risk profile, decide on which sectors
do you believe in, look up the cost of
the different ETFs, and also look up if any of
these are taxed differently. So just to touch up on the accumulating and
the distribution, and the difference between the two, the accumulating funds does not pay out anything
to the investor. I reinvest the dividends
automatically, and this is good for long
term growth as you do not pay personal tax before you
decide to sell them yourself. Then on the other hand, you
have the distributing funds. These pays out
dividends as cash, and it's good if you
want regular payouts. Although have in mind that you are taxed on these payouts, if you were to put them out from your brokerage and into
your personal account. But also if you do not
reinvest into the fund, the money is not compounding. As the accumulating
funds, they automatically reinvest into the same fund without you having
to take any action, you just have to
sit back and relax. There's no right and
wrong. The choice is very subjective and also dependent on the tax laws in
your countries, how your personal
finances are set up, and also mostly dependent on
how do you want to invest. Do you want to see
the money coming out, or do you want to
just leave it there? So, thank you for
following along. A quick recap of this lesson. Index funds offer
diversification, simplicity and low cost. Broad and global funds are
a great starting point. Make sure to watch the fees, as small percentages make a big difference
over a long time. Check up on your portfolio
and rebalance if needed. And lastly, when investing in index funds or ETFs, it's
about the long term. The goal isn't to
beat the market, it's to capture the
market's return patiently and consistently.
8. Opportunity Cost & Other Assets: Welcome to Lesson six. For
the past five lessons, we have talked about the
psychology behind money habits, how to find pitfalls. We have talked how to fix
them, what can be done, what systems and what
behavior can I change? What systems can I
set up in order to avoid these pitfalls
in the first place. This has led you to
being able to create a budget in Lesson three,
cutting out costs, and shifting the
look of looking at your expenses all the
time to saving and investing and forecasting
and actually look into the future ins the
lesson four and five, we've talked about how this
is done most efficiently, but also personally and
most beneficial for you. First up, I thought lesson
six would be much about investing in stuff which is
different from index funds, stocks and ETFs, and
how it increases the diversification of
your portfolio even more. But instead of talking about these currencies,
commodities, and so on, I thought to make this a discussion of
opportunity costs. You see opportunity
cost everywhere you go to describe it as
simple as possible. Opportunity cost is thinking about everything in
relation to each other. So investing in stocks with 8% return or a 10%
return or whatever, that is a use of your money and you putting the
money somewhere. And by doing so, for
a period of time, you lock your money
in that place. Opportunity cost is now
the question of is there a cost of you missing out
on another opportunity? This could, for example,
be that you had an opportunity to buy
into a new startup, for example, that
needed money at the same time where you
invested in the stocks. So you chose to put the money in the stocks instead
of the startup, and you're not able to get the same opportunity for
the startup again. Another example could be
that you could put it into down paying your mortgage
on your house, for example. But by doing so, again, you lock your money into
down paying on the loan. Let's say in a half
a year from now, the interest rate
on the house drops, meaning that instead
of 10% or 8%, it goes down to 2%. Now you have locked your
money in down paying on something which
only cost you 2%. Whereas, if you have put the
money into the stock market, for example, then you could have an expected return on
the same money of 8%. By doing so, wherever you put your money and
say yes to putting your money is a no to so many other things
where you could put them if you see
what I'm getting at, and the decision of where
your money should go can differ depending on your
risk tolerance at that time, your financial
goals at that time, and also just the stability
of your finances. And this is also
very difficult of striking the right balance
between security and growth, but that is what turns
financial decisions into long term success. So the key takeaway here is that before you spend any money, before you invest anything, look at the whole picture, the bigger picture and see is this the right
time to do this? Compared to all the other
options that I have. And from the other
options that I have, what is the best
possible outcome? That is the main point here that you cannot just see
an investment or the purchase of a
stock or an ETF as a solely standing
opportunity. It has to be seen in comparison
to the whole picture, to the greater picture,
which is your life. But since this lesson
is also about what else can you invest in than
stocks and ETFs and bonds, just wanted to list a few here, compared to the risk they bear. Let's start with the safest
investment category, money market funds
and US Treasuries. These are the kind of
investments people use when safety and
liquidity matters most. Money market funds invest in short term instruments
like treasury bills, or certificates or deposits, things that are very stable. They're great for parking
cash temporarily, most like a super
secure savings account, which we talked about
in lesson three, for example. US treasuries. These are government
bonds backed by the full faith of
the US government, which is often considered the safest investment
in the world. There are short term bills, medium term notes,
and long term bonds. They won't make you
rich, but they are a cornerstone for stability
and capital preservation. Then number two, you have tips, which is treasury inflation
protected securities. They are government bonds that adjust automatically
for inflation, and this is more than
US government bonds, so bonds for the whole world. These bonds are adjusted for
inflation automatically. So if prices rises,
your return does too. This makes tips an
ideal investment for cautious investors who
wants to make sure that their money keeps
their value over time. Then we move up
to fixed incomes, a broad group of bonds
that pay regular interest. This can include
government bonds, corporate bonds, or
even municipal bonds. Essentially, as we
talked about earlier, you're lending
money to a company, a city or a government, and they pay you
back with interest. Have in mind that risk varies, so lending to the US government is very safe compared
to lending to a small company
which is riskier as they can default being
unable to pay back the loan. Returns go up as this risk
of default increases. So this is about a steady income and measured risk not
chasing quick wins. Now we until the middle ground, which is real estate, it has a moderate risk and a long
term growth potential. You can earn both
rental income and hopefully see your property
appreciate in value as well. Real estate is also great for
diversification because it doesn't always move with
stocks or bond markets. Next, we have dividend stocks, which is shares in
companies that regularly pays out part of their
profits to shareholders. These stocks provide
a reliable income and are typically less volatile
than growth stocks. Then we have equities, so large cap to venture capital, and now we step into
the broader world of equities or regular stocks. This includes
everything from large, stable corporations,
Apple, Coca Cola, Missile, Microsoft, you name it, to small high growth startups. The smaller and new the company, the greater both the risk
and the potential reward is. Next, are emerging and
venture markets which represent the highest potential
growth and volatility. Talking about fast
growing economies such as India, Vietnam, or Indonesia or early
stage industries like AI, so artificial
intelligence, biotech, green energy, et cetera,
in developing regions. These markets can
deliver huge gains as they grow and modernize, but they're also unpredictable, influenced by politics,
infrastructure, and other global trends. Best suited for long term and risk tolerant investors who can write out the ups and downs for a possibility of
exceptional returns. And then finally,
at the very top of the risk return scheme,
we have entrepreneurship. So starting your own business, this is the ultimate high risk, high reward investment because
you are the one taking full responsibility both
financially and emotionally. Start a business, you're
investing your money, your time, and your
energy into an idea. And if this succeeds, the returns can be
extraordinary and far beyond what most
financial assets can deliver. But do have in mind, you're not investing in a company,
you are creating one. So the key takeaway here is
that as we move down below, from money market,
all the way up to entrepreneurship,
the story is clear. With every step, potential
reward increases, but so does risk
and uncertainty. The key to successful
investing isn't to avoid risk, it's to understand
it and to balance your portfolio according
to your goals, time horizon, and comfort level. At the end of the
day, investing is really about balance. I