Transcripts
1. The Ticker Tape: Hello and welcome. My name is Stephen Hollander. And in this
series of videos I will talk about a
popular subject: "how to scale a chart." First, I will look at the
early history of trading. Then we'll need to see
what scale actually is. And finally, we will put
it together on paper and on screen. Very shortly, this is how they traded
back in those days: stock prices were telegraphed to a ticker-machine, and they were written onto a board
at a brokerage. If a trader was rich, he would rent an office and
have his own ticker tapes. Charting stock prices was a later invention - for
a very simple reason: They had to be drawn by
hand using a graph paper. If you have found this
series of videos, you must be somebody who is
interested in Gann's studies. Here, I will only talk about the means and purpose
of his techniques. We will not investigate
why these techniques work or if they work
or don't work. Before you start anything, please use the resources section for help to follow along.
2. The Chart: Charts were a very complicated
or expensive way to trade. But don't take my word. There is a famous
book from those days: "The Reminiscences of
a Stock Operator." It gives us a very
detailed description about the whole atmosphere
of trading back then. I don't want you
to get me wrong. This book has very
little practical use, its literature. It was
written for entertainment, not as a trading handbook. But it gives us an
overview why people preferred looking at the numbers as
they came out of the ticker. Trading charts were
considered impractical for the very reason
that they were too time-consuming to create – as compared to watching the
numbers and acting on them. So let's not go further
than this statement: "A chart helps those
who can read it, or rather, who can
assimilate what they read."
3. The Scale: Let's face it: the
world is globalised. Most of us speak some kind of international English as a 2nd or 3rd language
these days. Some of us only use it to
communicate on the internet. But what does this have
to do with our topic? If you are like me, when it comes to any
special subject, I am always ready
to overanalyse it. And I noticed that most of us,
who study Gann, do the same. People approach Gann
like a puzzle. And they have to solve it. The situation is the same
when it comes to scaling. "Scale" is one of those
buzzwords around Gann. Have you ever noticed how
many different things it means in English? Even if you are a
native English speaker, you might not realise this. For our purposes, this definition is the best;
we don't need to go further: "A system of ordered marks at "fixed intervals used as "a reference standard
in measurement." It sounds very-very complicated
because linguists and other scientists like to
over-complicate things. So let's break it down,
because as I promised, we need to keep things simple. It really goes on
about the same thing. Measurement: which
for our purposes are the numbers.
What are numbers? Ordered marks, and
they are in order with fixed intervals
between each. And most importantly, we
use numbers as a reference. Simply put, we make a connection between things by using numbers. Nothing complicated.
So, for instance, on a time and price chart, we define the price
scale from 1 to 10.
4. Scale on Paper: So far, we have agreed
what a scale is, and now we can get to the point To understand how to
make a chart on paper, first we will need a
piece of paper like this. Let's just say we want
to look at last month's closing prices day-by-day
and make a chart. Which means we have one number for every single trading day. So we define the scale
to start somewhere. We define a scale
from 1 to 10. Then we start putting
the prices onto the paper: from 2 to 6, 4, 8, 6, 8, back to 2, up to 4... And as we start getting
bored, we notice something. We made a mistake! We should have looked at
the whole set of prices! They go up all the way to 20! But our scale only goes
from 1 to 10! What is a normal reaction? Here's our chart and I will just stick another
paper on top of it! Going like this, you will
soon need a bigger desk! ...Or a brand new wallpaper. It's obvious that we cannot
keep on going like this. So we have to ask a question
now: What did Gann do? It's just as easy, but we need to do the work
from the beginning again. Get another piece of paper, redefine the scale
going up to 20 and redo the chart once again:
from 2 to 6, 4, 8, 6, 8, 2, 4... And so on. This way, you are safe
until the price goes above 20 and you will have to
do it all over again. Now you see the reason
why it was so time-consuming to construct
a chart manually. It wasn't just one extra step. It had to be planned, it involved many extra steps,
which we don't see today as charts are automatically
created by computers.
5. Gann and the Scale: Onto the next part! I'll think you could
easily follow the line of thought so far. Here, I want to focus on
something that seems to be the core of the problem and
seems to confuse most people. This is where we are now: we have the exact same charts
on two different scales. What did Gann do? He had other calculations
on his charts. I don't say drawings for a reason because everything he did was based on numbers
and calculations. Unfortunately, the so-called
"Gann Tools" are part of the drawing tools
of any trading software. I would not mind calling
them "drawings" as long as we remember what this
means in our context. This means that when he
changed the scale of a chart, he couldn't just do this: he couldn't just copy all the
so-called "drawings" because the calculations would have been completely wrong,
incorrect. You cannot skip doing the recalculations when it
comes to the "drawings". This is the correct scale.
6. Scale on Screen: Let's carry on from
this statement: Anything we put on a chart
must be referenced by numbers. When you make a chart by hand, you will know the price went
from 2 to 6, 4, 8 and so on. However, when you see the
same thing on screen, there will be a
great disadvantage. You don't need to focus
on the numbers anymore. To make it more convenient, the change in scale
has become automatic. This is how it works
on the screen. No need to redraw
anything because the work surface is now endless. The chart is flexible. Let me again remind
you of this quote: "A chart helps those who can
assimilate what they read." Working on a computer
instead of paper doesn't mean that we
don't have challenges. We just face different ones. What did Gann do on paper? He tried to use a fixed scale
to save efforts and time. He also used so-called overlays, which were independent
layers to move his analysis from one
chart to another chart. To do this, both
of the charts and the overlay had to be the same
scale as I have shown you. This is the reason he placed so much emphasis on the scale! What would Gann do on screen? It is almost the opposite: because charts have
become flexible, we need to make sure that
whatever we do on charts, our analysis moves hand-in-hand. The analysis cannot move independently when we scroll through a chart on screen.
7. Graph Papers: Now I need to ask
you to do something. If you have only been *watching* these lessons without actually following along by using
a paper and pencil, please go back and do so now. You'll need to practice
this and the reason is you will answer most of your
own questions along the way. These are just a few
numbers to start off with. You'll need to understand how to transform them into a chart. As I have explained, all you need is a pencil and
the simple grid on paper, I could not make it
any more simple. A real chart would be much
more complicated to create. One more thing about
the grid on the paper. Back in those days of Gann,
prices were quoted in full points
and quarters of points. And Gann used an inch-by-inch
charting paper. Today, prices are quoted in
full points and decimals. It's better suited to use
a metric charting paper. Which means we have
a paper where 1 square is not 1 inch
divided into quarters and eighths, but 1 square is 1 cm divided into 10. This does not affect our method or any of our techniques
in any way. Let me show you. We can assign any number of
points to any of the spacing. It is not the grid or the
measure of 1 inch or 1 cm that dictates anything. It is also us who utilise
the spacing of the grid and define what
scale we want to use. Earlier, I made the
explanations and lessons very simple by using the most
basic grid possible. Depending on the
price movement that we want to transform
into a chart, we can have many options.
8. What Did Gann Do?: I used this question
throughout these lessons - obviously, the main
reason is to give you some consistency all the way, to be able to connect
the lessons. But the other reason
is plain and simple. If you notice, I tried
not to use any of the buzzwords around Gann
other than the "scale". As I've said, it's not a puzzle, do not try to analyse words. Try to understand what he did. Most of the Gann literature and internet content is nothing but stuff that is trying
to explain what he meant by this word or that word. And people go into lengthy arguments about
them in comments. So instead of talking or
giving you a lecture, I tried to show you
how it had been done. I encourage you to experiment. We can argue about
the words later. So for instance,
instead of "scale", it would be more
appropriate to talk about the "spacing" of a
paper-based grid chart. It solves the problems,
because we don't have to use any grid on a
screen-based chart. It does not apply there because it works in
a different way. *We* work on it in
a different way. And the issues we face are
also completely different - as I have pointed out. Gann never did
anything special in the construction of his charts, because you can only
do it one way, really. He just never lost track of the fact that the chart is not a goal,
not the purpose, it is just the most important
tool to reach the goal.
9. What Would Gann Do?: In the introduction, I said
I will talk about the means and the purpose
of Gann's techniques. I talked about the "means" a lot, which is - in a nutshell: don't forget that
first and foremost, he worked on paper. Plenty of the problems
that he ran into simply don't exist today. So I have talked about the means, the tools
of his analysis, but I haven't talked
about the purpose. It's for an obvious reason. If you have found these lessons, it means we already
have the same goal: we want to put our
analysis onto a chart before the price movement
reaches the future areas. If we miss this goal, it doesn't matter how
brilliant our analysis looks. So the real value to take away
from these lessons is simple: it's not the tools
which are important, it is the concept. What is the "concept" we have
agreed on in these lessons? Gann's techniques are based on numbers and their regularities. Never forget that the
chart itself is also just a tool which helps us to identify these "regularities" - which is just a word
for something that is not a rule but occurs often enough. It makes no difference
whether this tool, the chart, is based
on paper or screen. A chart helps us visualise
those regularities. So, to wrap it up on
a personal note: depending on the reactions
or encouragement I'll get after I publish these
short lessons, I have other things
planned for the future. But I had to start with the very basics to
make sure we are all on the same page regarding
what a chart is. Because, in my experience, most people take it for granted and that is where
they get mixed up, not understanding the
technical difficulties of a paper-based chart; and they end up creating issues on the screen which should not even be there in
the first place. The whole discussion about "scaling" is nothing
but such an issue. Don't get me wrong. I don't expect anybody
to agree with me. If you take away one
thing from these lessons, it should be: focus
on the purpose and use your tools as
they are intended. Whatever the case is, I thank you for your time
and I'll speak to you in another string of
lessons in the future.