Transcripts
1. Introduction: Problem-solving is
a critical skill in all aspects of business, from people problems to technical problems and from short-term to long-term problem. So let's say problem-solve. We happen in every
ankle business. And for selecting
the best option, the decision-making
part, you will use both logic, intuition. As I started out
life as an engineer, a consultant, management,
and an instructor. So I started on technical
problems before going on to management and having
to deal with more with people problems
and system problems. And I saw this is an opportunity
because every problem that comes up is a chance for
us to improve what we do. This class will help with all sorts of techniques
you can learn and use to increase your creativity and to improve your
decision-making. So it's an important
and fascinating area and you can learn
to, we could add it. See you in the class.
2. What is the Root Cause of the Problem?: The absolute first step in the process of problem-solving. And the one that often gets missed out is to be
sure you have got the accurate right cause facing the wrong moot courts
will not help e.g. replacing the wrong part, installing the wrong
software version or even replacing
the wrong person. This happens all the
time in everywhere. E.g. many people think that
if they could get pairwise, they will enjoy their work
more and be happy in life. But money might not
be the cause of their unhappiness or the lack
of enjoyment of the job. Or if you are not sleeping well, is because the fact
that you bet is not comfortable enough for the
room is not dark enough, or there is noise or is
its face inside your head? If it is stress, then a
new bed will not help. Sometimes we do not
know the cause, so we resort to live in
with the product instead. In manufacturing
inside the factories, this would mean using inspection to just throw away the bad ones, which is wasteful and also a few bad ones we surely
still always get through. In one factory where I
worked as a consultant, they made very thin plastic bags and the machine had
about 80 settings. There were lots of rollers with temperature and pressure
and speed settings. And when the machine
was working badly, we just fill it with everything hoping to get the
combination right. It was only after months
experimenting that we found that the cost
was from only one molar, it had to be running at
just the right speed. So we put it very
accurate speed controller and that one rolling
because finding, because that was the real key, Sometimes there are two causes and you only know
about one of them. So the problem continues even after you can
do a fixed it. An example of this
would be your computer, laptop running slowly
and maybe there are a number of unwanted
applications running on it. Finding just one
you'll not be enough. Sometimes one called may have two or more effects and
you only see the effects. You start to assume that one
effect is causing the other. E.g. in cold weather, more people can
exercise in a gene and some get into difficulties
and even faint, which is clearly a problem
that needs solving. Also encode where the
more people drink juice and you are monitoring
these two things, you will notice a correlation between twos,
consumption and venting. And you might start thinking
about banning juice. But in fact, if you ban juice, you will not solve
the provenance or because you have not
got to the root cause, which is the cold weather. So step one is to work out
because and tackle that. You have to make sure
it is the real costs. And the best way to do that
is to compare control groups. Is there a difference in
the exercising accidents between people who are drunk
juice and those who are not. The people who get into difficulties have recently
been drinking too, then it may indeed be the cost. And as everyone in the gym, that Firm 2's comparing the proportions
of juice drinking in the chairman in
the tomb course, we'll get into difficulties. That is the way to prove
it is the real costs. And if it is not, then you have to keep looking
for what might be. The first part of
the process is to get a list of possible causes, everything that is different about the ones who
have a problem, then work out which one or
ones are the real costs, then you can work on
fixing that problem. So for the problem, you have in mind, what
is the root cause? And are you sure there are
not any other causes as well?
3. Dig Deeper by Asking "Five Whys": Many times it has
happened that the cause of a problem might've
even deeper cause, and it is necessary to track
them right down to the root. For doing this, there is an effective technique
known as the Five Whys. The idea is that you ask
why maybe up to five terms, certainly more than
once until you get right down to the
start of the problem. E.g. the phone
number is wrong in the company contact this
directory, the ground. You could just pretty great. But first, why is it wrong? Because Peter type the wrong. Why did PDA type it wrong? Because Peter was a
temporary intern who maybe did not care or
perhaps was not trained. Why would someone like
Peter doing this job? Why was not p the train? Why did not someone check
what Peter was Dewey? Because there is not a
proper quality system for looking after intense. They'll quality system. Why is not their quality system? You could see how asking
why a few times begins to uncover a whole lot of
problems in the system. In fact, sometimes the five
whys are not just the chain. It can be more of a tree. Sometimes there are several
underlying causes, e.g. Bibles, the delivery late. Well, it could have been that
we we're short of staff, may be a machine broke down or perhaps we had a last
minute quality problem. You then need to find out why
these three things happen. And again, shortage of staff could have a
number of causes. So you end up with a tree of clauses and they all
need to be sorted. And sometimes the Five Whys
can go around in a circle. E.g. why are we running out
of fish in the Pacific? It is because
fishermen are using net with smaller mesh and are catching all the small fish before they can
grow into big ones. Small needs. Why is that? It is because there
are no big ones where they have to
catch the smaller ones. But why are there
no big fish left? Is because are the small
ones are being caught. Hang on a minute. We
have just been there. So what is happening is that the small nets are
causing that we know beat 12f and that means we have to have smaller
and smaller units. So in this case, we have to break the loop and stop the use of smaller nets, which is not going to be easy. But usually the Five Whys in an organization ends up
pointing to one place, and that is management. E.g. quality problems are caused by lack of
training or processes, which are caused by lack of
attention from management. Or bad boss is caused
by a system that encourages bad behavior
may be poverty. So bullying and the cost of the system being like there
is lack of measurement, real results or neck
alignment objectives between departments or lack
of training or lack of monitoring
of staff morale. And these are our management
problems for all management. In the end, everything
is management's fault. And of course, the
result of disease, the lead is not necessarily in management interests
to ask why too many terms a good manager
would still do this. A bad manager would
often just read a fixed the surface
problem where to dig deeper and
find something big and expensive and
possibly their fault. But to solve the problem, you must get to the root cause so it will keep popping up. So I would like you to ask
why at least two or three times with a problem that you
have in mind at the moment. And maybe draw it out
as a tree as you find more than one possible
underlying costs. And keep digging
deeper until you feel that you are
cut to the railroad. It
4. Kepner-Tregoe Method: From the past back in the 1950s, Kitchener and
trickle came up with the cabinet tree go
problem-solving method, which is still in use today. It is a very comprehensive
and mechanical process where you analyze the situation, define the problem
and the causes, sometimes known as
root cause analysis. Then you identify and
evaluate possible solutions, select the best one, and then you consider
possible risks with the solution
that you have chosen. It is obviously brilliant and it was originally used by nasa. But generally, I think for and cabinet trigger
is probably a bit over the top for more
smaller problems that you might be working on. Start with something like the computer problem you can
experiment to find out we'll use a problem and really is not often by swapping things over. So when the computer will
not print the first thing we try and our team is have
we tried getting a trickle? And this will involve, does
it print from the laptop? It gets then it is
not the printer. It is your computer. If no, then it is the printer. The printer, the one that uses
a wire rather than Wi-Fi. This will tell us
about the Wi-Fi. Does it print some
documents and not others? This will tell us
whether the problem is within Office applications. Similarly, if something
will not switch on, it might be the
fuse and the plot, or a faulty connecting lead. The thing itself might be dead. So cabinet trigger would say
try it with a differently. Of course, you might
have to faulty leads. But it usually that
is working with a different plants and then
swap it into your faulty one. And you can find
out DVDs to lead on the actual piece of
equipment that is broke. Also, try plugging in
into a different socket. In cases the socket swap everything over until you find out what the problem really is. This even applies to people. You haven't
underperforming person. Try and moving them, swapping
them with someone else. Then you can really
find out DVDs, the person or somebody
in a job, e.g. the manager. I hope you liked this part of cabinet
tree ego as much as I do. And now, for your problem
that you have in mind, could you swap something
over and see if the problem carries
on, it goes away. In each case, what
would that tell you?
5. Pareto Principle: Now I will guide for
problem-solving from Italian economist named
Bill Fredo Pareto. Most people have heard
of the 80 20 principle, which is also known as the Pareto principle
or the names for these principle
and not the vital few on the principle of factors. Possibly. We started with the observation that 80 per cent of the land in the Kingdom of Italy in 18 96 was owned by 20
per cent of the people. This AD to any rule applied to a lot of other things
to do some math, I will not go into here. E.g. 80 per cent of your problems probably
come from 20% of your customers and
80 per cent of your problems who come from
20 per cent of because it's, in other words, there are a few underlying causes that are causing most of your problems. But what is the use
of knowing this? Well, the point is
that if you focus on eradicating just 20 per
cent of your problems, you will save 80 per
cent of the cost, 80% of the time and money
that they are costing you. So the first step is to
work out what they are. You make a list of all
your problems and work out the cost of each and then
tackle the top ones. You can look for sample
any problems such as lab, all the reasons that machines
in a factory you have to stop all the reasons that you sent items back to suppliers. So are the reasons that time
gets wasted on the causes of campaigns are reasons why
people leave the company. And then you lock those
for each time they happen. Or you measure the cost of
the midterm they happen. You will soon be able to add up which ones are the
main culprits. The good news is that there
will not be many to tackle. Out of say, ten courses. You will only need to tackle to the other eight being
all the small ones, they only add up to 20
per cent of the cost. If you think about it, these top two causes and not
just for time's is costly if the other 816
time just causeway, because being only 20%, there are quarter as many of
them and being worth 80%, they are four times as
expensive in total. So that is a factor of 16. So it is really important
to focus on them. In other words, if
two of them cost $800 and the remaining
eight in cost the remaining $200 in the
first two are costing $400 each and the other eight
are costing only $25 each. So there is indeed
a factor of 60 in-between the most
valuable and the rest. So you will be met not to
focus on those top two. I saw an amazing video
that talk with the guy prioritized on the
biggest problems in the world such
as overpopulation, starvation, disease,
climate change, its door. And he then rated them for size and chances of being
able to fix them. And these analysis said that we should just focus on the top two instead of trying to fix them all and failing
on all of them. So if you can do that, you can list your province in the organisation or a
new life and then work out which one or two
the target first and really focus
on that top 20%. So thinking about
your example problem, what are the possible causes? And then can you
measure which are the top 20 per cent of those?
6. Whole System Thinking: You can identify the root cause of a problem by
keeping your calf. The whole system. There is a great book called
Why Things Bite back, which says that often
you will fix something. But if you somehow
come back again, e.g. when they made kid's
playground safer by putting big soft sponge on the ground
around the climbing frames. All that happened was that
the kids climb higher, jumped off more
because they knew they were soft sponge there. The number of accidents
stayed the same because the kids risk
tolerance will still the same ratio until they were somewhere
without soft sponge. And then of course, they
had not learned what it feels like to
fall onto concrete. Or another example would be that the city
committees might think that widening the road might
improve traffic congestion. But in fact, you would
probably just get more people using that road since it is now quicker to use. So you end up with
a congested Route again and no improvement
in Germany term. So the key is to
think about what will happen over time if
you make your change. In a book, The Fifth Discipline, peter Senge, says that humans are not good at planning ahead. In fact, anything
that has a time lag of more than about 2 s for size. If there is a two second
time lag in the shower, you turn up the wall and you
think this is not working. So you turn it up some
more and it is too hot. So you turn it right down
and then it is freezing. And it is the same if you
try to drive a super car in a computer game and there is a slight time lag
on this theory. It is really hard. And you end up swerving left and
then swirl, be white. And of course, in your work
there might be a time lag of miles between the price change
and the amount you sell, advertising and
how much you sell. During which time you
will be thinking cut the price more or
cancel the advertiser. You're just not working. While I'm talking about
Peter Senge's book, I want to mention another
idea for me which relates to problem-solving
and how we are not good at standing back and
looking at the whole system. He calls it the
illusion of control. Often managers make decisions based on the evidence
that they have. They are basically
reacting to the situation. And then the sensible manager would make that same decision. Production is behind schedule. So let's work overtime
at the weekend. The manager thinks
they are in control, but really they are just
a cog in the machine. Makes the cost of
overtime are too high. There is a big cut back, but then production starts
to get behind again. It is just like the
person swinging the temperature
around in the shower. So ideally the manager
would stand back and analyze the system and set
it up in the optimal way. Says that systems consist of feedback loops and time delays. And it is the combination of peace that we are
bad at coping with. When the feedback comes
back to bite you later. You do not worry
about it until later. Many of you have got worse. But if you draw the product now, there's a flow diagram. You can then think about
how to cut below in case of lower quantity of fish
in reciprocal of fishing, where it is the
logical action for each fisherman in
the short-term, maters net smaller to
get the remaining fish. But in the longer term, they lose because they
end up chasing after smaller and smaller
fish at once. They understand
the system and see that smaller Nestle to
everyone getting smaller fish, they can see that they need
to bring in quotas and net controls and work together to get the
stocks backup again. And then we can all gain. And it is the same
in an organization. Once you realize that stopping training will lead to
more problems later, or that Caddy people's pay
might not save you money in the long run because you will not be able to retain
and recruit good people. Or that cutting your
prices might not lead to enough new cells to make up for the loss in profit margin. You can then make
scientific decisions for your problem and the solution that
you are considering. Can you see any longer-term
effects that might end up coming back
again and again.
7. Adjust Your Speed of Thinking: Many people solve
problems intuitively. They just lead to an amazing
and create new answer. They probably could not even
tell you how they did it. They just jump there. But if they cannot
make the leap for some reason, then they stop. And if the problem involves
conditions and numbers, that is much harder for them, or the people use
the logical side of their brain much more. They like to slowly
nibble away at the product until
they have salt on it. This works really well
for some problems. But if there isn't
intuitively to be MAY, then they cannot make that leap. So it is clear that ideally, you would use both
parts of your brain. Your brain, most intuitive,
the logical part. Sometimes you can do this by working with the two
different types of people. So everything gets covered. But if you are on your own, you should definitely try to tap into both parts of your ability. They are both there
somewhere in your brain. You can practice by use a bit of analyzing than creatively, than logic again, to think
about what it means, to tidy it up, ready for the next creatively. So try to use all the parts of your brain for whatever
your problem is. Are you personally
more prone to using just logic or might be
creative part of your brain. Which part could you
consciously work on develope.
8. Effective Brainstorming: Everyone ever heard
the best-known process for generating ideas
is a good brainstorm. In any way, what I want to
say about brainstorms is that most people do their brainstorms
while in one simple way, but it is really important. And that is that they charge
each idea as it comes up, instead of just getting
lots of ideas instead, one and then
completely separately instead to judging the ideas. It is human nature
to charge each idea, but you must resist
the temptation. Just write each one on the list. The CBD is fine, even if
it is at least took it. Can every idea on the list. There are four reasons
for doing it like this. First is that you
can bounce from a stupid idea to a great one. So who knows where that
stupid idea might lead? Second is that it puts a damper
on people's creativity if their ideas are criticised and you want to
keep them rolling, keep all those ideas coming. Maybe they will have
to pass through ten bad ideas before they
come up with the good one. And you do not want to switch him off after the first ten, or perhaps after
their first one by telling them that their
ideas are not good enough. 30s ownership,
people waste time in bias the process by are
doing for their own ideas. They naturally defend
their own ideas. What did you just
make a great big list and then come back
to judging it later. People do not feel the need to defend their own ideas so much. They often cannot even
remember whose idea was which. So they can properly judge each one and choose
the actual best one. You do not just end up
with the one that was suggested by the most
dominant person. Finally, the fourth
reason is that you are using different parts of your
brain for the two phases. The first creative phase is using what is known
as the White brain. Childish, fun. Creative part needs
to be on maximum. Then in the second phase, you use the logical, adult, sensible, often
called left-brain, to judge the ideas. And this is a completely
different mode. It would be really hard to swap between the two
modes constantly. In fact, most people in a bad brainstorm just
stick to one mod. So a few people are suggesting ideas and the others
are judging them. So you lose the creativity
of half the group. And the creative one says, start to hit the others. So much better to
have everyone being creative and then later
everyone judging. So there you are. That is all you need to
know about brainstorming. Everyone coming up with
ideas we didn't have on a board with no judging,
criticizing allowed. Then later you go to the
meniscus, which ones are best.
9. Approaching Problem with Mind Mapping: One of the famous
tool when I have got a complicated problem
to solve is a mindmap. There is something about them that just feels natural and it helps me to think they work
much better than a list. So here is what a
mind map looks like. They were invented by
Tony Buzan in 1974. And the good thing about
them is that they really do reflect how you think they
make the problem visual. They use bought
your creative side and your structured
thinking side. They are quick to
draw and you can add extra items in
any order justice, you think of them also because
it starts in the middle, as you spread out, there is always space for my subsections. These are effective tips for making them were extra whale. Firstly, use paper or canvas in landscape mode
rather than portrait. I do not know how Tony
Buzan decided this, but I'm pretty sure
he is right there. Just feel better somehow. Next, use color and I
deal with pictures and cartoons as well to be
new mind map to life, then consider using
a whiteboard. If you're at work, they
have loads of space, well-being are this easy? And the whole group can
contribute to mapping out the problem and
possible solutions. Then you can photograph it with your phone once it's finished. The x, perhaps surprisingly, tablets are great for drawing
mine maps because you can move the branches around with your fingers if one area
gets a bit crowded. In fact, with some
version to the branches automatically space themselves
out as you add more. Also on a tablet, you can zoom out to
see the whole thing and then zoom in to
look at parts of it. And you can hide sections if you want to have lots of detail, but not get confused by
seeing it all in one go. You could even use your
phone to draw mindmaps. There are free apps
are though personally I find this screen of
the phone a bit small. You do need some decent space for drawing out a
proper mind map. I think a couple of other uses for mindmaps
while I'm on the subject. And number one, note-taking, it's been shown that retention with subject is greater if you draw out a mind map rather
than just reading notes. And number two, use not to explaining something
to other people. A mindmap can be better
than bullet points. And all you need is a sheet of paper with a Mind Map Sketch, bounded or graphic on
the screen to point to. The one limitation of mind
maps is that if you have multiple causes and
multiple solutions, say solution y will
help with courses 1.2, the mind map is great for
showing how they own income. But overall, I would
strongly recommend the mind map for
approaching any problem. Either when you are on your
own thinking through it, are working with a
group wanted to see it. If you have never
used a mind map, you should definitely
give them a try. Maybe after this
session you could try drawing one out for problems
that you have in mind.